Indians Invade Baltimore to Take On Orioles

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Indians Invade Baltimore to Take On Orioles
    MLB Betting Preview: Indians Invade Camden to Take On Orioles

    The Indians and Orioles begin their weekend series with as many wins combined as the Tampa Bay Rays. Weather permitting, someone has to get a win on Friday.

    It's not the most attractive weekend series, but since when did that matter to bettors?



    Baltimore will host Cleveland at Oriole Park for three games beginning Friday evening. The Orioles send Jeremy Guthrie (1-6, 4.67) to the mound at Camden Yards with the Tribe's rotation landing on Justin Masterson (2-4, 5.24).

    Oddsmakers opened the O's as 135-140 chalk with the early scoreboard total listed at 8½.

    The Orioles opened their eight-game homestand this week by taking two of three from the Mariners. Luke Scott went deep with the sacks juiced in the eighth inning of Thursday's 6-5 comeback win as 120 underdogs. Baltimore is now 11-24 on the season, 9-8 in its last 17. The O's are down 8.4 units at the window and 21-12-2 to the 'under.'

    Cleveland got its eight-game trip underway by taking two of three at Kansas City the past few days. The Tribe's hopes to sweep the Royals feel short with a 6-4 loss to Zach Greinke and KC on Thursday. The Indians were 180 dogs and enter Baltimore with a 13-19 record (minus 3.3 units), the 'under' holding a 17-13-2 advantage.

    Masterson made two starts against the O's last year wearing two different jerseys. Part of the deal that sent catcher Victor Martinez from Cleveland to Boston, the right-hander got plenty of support from his old Red Sox mates in a 12-1 win at Fenway. He got very little support from his new Indians lineup in late August, falling 5-2 to the O's here at Camden.

    The former second-round pick out of San Diego State has not fared well in Baltimore regardless of who he was pitching for. In 9 2/3 career innings, that include a couple of relief outings, Masterson has been charged with 10 runs, nine of them earned. Pitching against the Orioles lineup outside of Baltimore, Masterson has allowed just one earned run in 9 1/3 frames.

    Guthrie finally got rid of the goose egg in his win column with a victory in his most recent start. The right-hander worked 6 2/3 innings last Saturday in Minnesota, allowing three runs in a 7-3 Baltimore win.

    He hasn't faced the Indians since Aug. 2008 when he tossed a dandy in Cleveland (7 IP, 1 ER) in a 6-1 win. This will be the first time he's started against the Tribe at Oriole Park.

    This will also be just his third home start of the season. His two previous starts at home resulted in Orioles losses to the Yankees and Rays, two of the best-hitting lineups in the majors. Guthrie worked a combined 11 2/3 innings in those outings, giving up nine earnies.

    The only way you could get less offense in an AL series would be if the Mariners were somehow involved. Baltimore does have a lot more power than either the Indians or M's – Cleveland and Seattle had combined for as many homers as the Orioles (31) entering Thursday's action. But that's about it.

    The Indians have scored three runs or less in exactly half of their games this year, 16. The O's have done the same in 22 of their 35 ventures onto a major league field.

    It's going to at least be a muggy evening in Charm City, if not a wet one. There's a good shot of afternoon showers and t-storms in the Baltimore area, and some of that may linger into the early evening. Look for mid-to-upper 70s for the temp at first pitch with 12-20 mph winds from the west (3B to 1B).

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they started games in the 2010 season. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com, ESPN.com and, of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82824

    #2
    Didn't know Indians invaded places..I thought the Whites came here and invaded their land.

    I like the Orioles today. They compete well with teams having similar talent..just can't compete with the big 3 in their division.
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      I just like the 60 percent-plus chances of eight runs or less in this one.
      Comment
      • Holtgetsback
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-10
        • 4655

        #4
        Originally posted by Willie Bee
        I just like the 60 percent-plus chances of eight runs or less in this one.
        Where did you get 60 percent from Willie Bee

        I had it around 95
        Comment
        • Willie Bee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-14-06
          • 15726

          #5
          You're probably right, Holt. I lost part of a finger recently when the ax proved smarter than me, so I think that is messing with my cipherin' these days
          Comment
          • LostBankroll
            Restricted User
            • 02-10-10
            • 4538

            #6
            O's ML
            Comment
            • vlad
              Restricted User
              • 11-19-09
              • 1669

              #7
              Anyone watching this game on TV or in person should have their head examined. Unless I've bet over 10K on this game I wouldn't watch this game. Both teams blow chunks.
              Comment
              • richyrich8478
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-08-10
                • 296

                #8
                I think Indians 2 of 3. Their pitching is pretty even wit slight advantage to orioles but Indians hitting is going to make the difference in this series. I would take orioles money line tonight and take Indians rest of series
                Comment
                • nickluva
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-05-10
                  • 322

                  #9
                  Originally posted by vlad
                  Anyone watching this game on TV or in person should have their head examined. Unless I've bet over 10K on this game I wouldn't watch this game. Both teams blow chunks.
                  Orioles can hit the ball pretty well in the late innings. plus Cleveland's bullpen is suspect
                  Comment
                  • nickluva
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-05-10
                    • 322

                    #10
                    Originally posted by richyrich8478
                    I think Indians 2 of 3. Their pitching is pretty even wit slight advantage to orioles but Indians hitting is going to make the difference in this series. I would take orioles money line tonight and take Indians rest of series
                    huh? wrong O's and Indians hitting are pretty even. The O's pitching is gonna make the difference in this series. O's could easily get the sweep this weekend.
                    Comment
                    • richyrich8478
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-08-10
                      • 296

                      #11
                      ya didn't have to say "huh wrong". it wasn't an opinion, its a fact. on paper they seem pretty even but cleveland has been better so far this year in hitting by quite a bit. Cleveland is actually the `12th ranked offense this year and orioles is last time i seen it 26th. so its a fact. But like u said and i said that orioles pitching is better. I also said that cleveland will win 2 of 3 but and cleveland will lose the first game which all happened. and the series also showed who the better hitting team was. I am in no way trashing u i am just saying don't say people are wrong without doin some research.. back up what u say with some facts and it will make your post better. good series though
                      Comment
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