Cubs total too low at 9

milwaukee mike · 05-10-10, 01:58 PM

when they played arizona i thought it was dry with the wind blowing out?
45-50 degrees and damp is pretty tough hitting weather and i think the wind you want for over is ssw?
i think ese is right to left rather than out to left

jjgold · 05-10-10, 02:07 PM

When you think a total is off by 4 runs it is time to quit gambling because it is a matter of time you lose the house and cars. GL with play though.

lakerboy · 05-10-10, 02:09 PM

under is one of the best plays on the board tonight. Good luck Pavy.

pavyracer · 05-10-10, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

when they played arizona i thought it was dry with the wind blowing out?
45-50 degrees and damp is pretty tough hitting weather and i think the wind you want for over is ssw?
i think ese is right to left rather than out to left

Mike,

Any south wind will help. SSW is perfect because it helps all sides of the field (left, center, right) but a SSE wind still carries the balls hit at left field and if you hit it at center it wouldn't hurt. Lilly and Robertson are fly ball pitchers and Lilly last time he pitched at Wrigley in windy conditions he gave up a ton of runs. It was cool last night in Boston but did you see the hitters slowing down from it?

milwaukee mike · 05-10-10, 03:15 PM

i think comparing boston/yankees hitters (343 combined runs) with marlins/cubs lineup (297 combined runs with one extra game) is a stretch.

i guess we agree to disagree, i hope you're right at least for the marlins scoring a bunch of runs since i am a brewers fan...

3PtShooter · 05-10-10, 03:28 PM

then,,,just bet the.......out of the OVER then and you will be rich

3PtShooter · 05-10-10, 03:29 PM

JDUB07 · 05-10-10, 03:35 PM

I agree. I like the over. Lilly is straight up garbage and is throwing BP fastball out there at like 82 mph. Florida has a ton of guys who can put it out as well.

Wilforth · 05-10-10, 03:37 PM

This is no daytime time game and the Marlins can't anything right now.

Vesuvius · 05-10-10, 03:38 PM

The total is about right. No way it should be more than 0.5 runs higher, even if it does end up going over.

Edluva33 · 05-10-10, 03:47 PM

Yes, LILLY has been serving up some great Meat dishes as of late. However, the Cubs hitting is also streaky. The wind is blowing in from Right and not straight out like the past few weeks. The Marlins could pounce on it right away. It should intersting.

Staying far away from this TOTAL! Good Luck!

unusialsusp5 · 05-10-10, 03:49 PM

nite ball in chc land not condusive to a lot of runs being scored. see wash natl series at wrigley last week. maybe it will be 4-4 after 4. more runs will be scored in milwaukee monday nite than wrigley. now thats a lock.

nosniboR11 · 05-10-10, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Winds will be blowing out with fly balls hit in the left field going to be carried away. Both starting pitchers are LH. This is the exact same wind conditions as last time they played Arizona when the totals where set to 13-14. Get it soon before it starts climbing.

dont ever listen to pavy

Lib208 · 05-10-10, 04:05 PM

i like the over.

Bad_Cat · 05-10-10, 04:09 PM

The wind isnt blowing out it is blowing from the right field corner to the left field corner at 15 mph. Also there is a 80% chance of rain tonight so they probably wont even get the game in and the rain does not help the over. Just my 2 cents.

National and Local Weather Radar, Daily Forecast, Hurricane and information from The Weather Channel and weather.com

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rm18 · 05-10-10, 04:10 PM

the wind that day was way over 20-30 mph it was like 40+, but i think this is good advice though

rochestertitans · 05-10-10, 04:40 PM

2 lefties pitching in the nl i believe is 12-3 on the under on the season

jjgold · 05-10-10, 04:45 PM

Under getting pounded

Paver must see something different than us

seaborneq · 05-10-10, 05:01 PM

I am listening to you this time pavy, and I agree with you. The number just look funny.

suckerforparlays · 05-10-10, 05:09 PM

Look I live south of the City and the weather is muggy and cold right now. It looks like its going to rain. There is a breeze but not a extremely strong breeze. I would like to think this could go over though because once the ball gets up in that cold air its gonna carry with the winds higher up. Up in wrigleyville the breeze is going to be cooler also so I would like to think this goes over

pavyracer · 05-10-10, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Under getting pounded

Paver must see something different than us

How is the under pounded? I see 67% on the over at SBRodds.com and it dropped from +109 to +104 since I posted the play this afternoon?

Sunde91 · 05-10-10, 07:01 PM

It's the FLA Marlins...vs. a Cubs team that hasn't scored.

And books extra juicing the under.

Patrick McIrish · 05-10-10, 07:15 PM

Not sure on the total but fading Lilly here has some merit. He's been setting them on a tee of late....

icsky3 · 05-10-10, 07:16 PM

I have the UUUNDERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRr

Slim · 05-11-10, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by nosniboR11

dont ever listen to pavy

lakerboy · 05-11-10, 12:56 AM

[quote=lakerboy;4488655]under is one of the best plays on the board tonight. quote]

playersonly69 · 05-11-10, 01:06 AM

Generally the rule is take all Cubs games at home under if the total is 9 or less and all Cubs totals over if the line is 10.5 or more

CashMoney27 · 05-11-10, 01:16 AM

Bol boys let's kill the books

Chi_archie · 05-11-10, 08:34 AM

books know what they are doing

nosniboR11 · 05-11-10, 02:09 PM

this thread alone should tell everyone to NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING PAVY SAYS, this "mans" thought process is way out there, so everyone when pavy gives you some information about anything start looking the other way..

good luck

pavyracer · 05-11-10, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by nosniboR11

this thread alone should tell everyone to NEVER LISTEN TO ANYTHING PAVY SAYS, this "mans" thought process is way out there, so everyone when pavy gives you some information about anything start looking the other way..

good luck

I like Cavs ML today at -385.

Slim · 05-11-10, 05:17 PM

Too much juice.

pavyracer · 05-11-10, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by Slim

Too much juice.

It's OK nosnibor11 will bet the opposite.

Chi_archie · 05-11-10, 05:21 PM

Pavy was killing totals in the beginning of the year....

SBR, got too many complaints from the sponsors and forced him to stop.....