Yankees, Tigers Open Series in Motown

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Yankees, Tigers Open Series in Motown
    MLB Betting: Yankees, Tigers Open Series in Motown


    Sergio Mitre will step into the Yankees rotation on Monday night in place of Andy Pettitte as New York begins a four-game series at Comerica Park against the Tigers.

    When ESPN decided to make the Yankees, Tigers game from Comerica Park its Monday night prime time contest, the network was probably not expecting to get Sergio Mitre as the New York starter. But that's what we're looking at to get the sixth week of the 2010 season started when Mitre and the Yanks take on Dontrelle Willis and Detroit.



    Despite the switch on the mound for New York, the Yanks are still the favorite in the 120-125 range with the total set at 10.

    Detroit comes home after a 1-4 road trip. The Tigers are 17-14 and up about 2.5 units after losing Sunday in Cleveland, 7-4. The 'over' nine in that one left the Motown Cats 16-14-1 to the 'under.' The Tigers will be looking to improve upon their 9-3 home record in 2010.

    New York couldn't finish a sweep of the Red Sox in Boston, but comes into this series with a 21-9 record to sit just a half-game behind the Rays in the AL East. The Yankees are up nearly 8.8 units on the season and have been helping 'over' bettors at an 18-11-1 clip.

    Mitre (0-0, 2.79) will be filling in for Andy Pettitte who is being skipped to rest his 38-year-old left elbow. It's Mitre's first start since Sept. 2009, and his first appearance ever against the Tigers.

    The right-hander made nine starts for the Yankees in 2009, with New York winning five. The team's MLB.com site suggest Mitre will be limited to 65-75 pitches, meaning Yankees relievers could be called on early. New York's bullpen worked 10 innings at Fenway over the weekend, including 4 1/3 in Saturday's rain-interrupted match and the 3 2/3 last night by Romulo Sanchez. That long relief effort from Sanchez gave the rest of the New York pen a night off.

    Willis (3-2, 3.99) is coming off consecutive starts against the Twins, with Detroit 1-1 in those contests. The D-Train worked six scoreless on the home mound versus Minnesota on April 29 in a 3-0 Tigers triumph. He earned a no-decision five days later on the road at Target Field, an eventual 4-3 Twins victory. Willis struck out six in both starts, walking five in the two games combined, and hasn't allowed a home run since serving up two to the Royals on April 13.

    The southpaw will be facing the Yankees for just the second time in his career. His only other trip to the mound against them was in June 2006 when he dropped a 2-1 decision at Yankee Stadium while pitching for the Marlins.

    Detroit won the first meeting between the two teams in 2009, with Justin Verlander winning a duel with C.C. Sabathia at Comerica. After that it was all Yankees in the following five games. New York finished up about 3.8 units in the six encounters, with the 'under' 4-2. Both 'overs' came in Detroit.

    A cool and possibly wet day awaits Motown to start the week. Afternoon highs are only expected to reach the upper-50s with clouds increasing as game time approaches. There is a 60 percent chance of rain as the evening progresses, with a first-pitch temp around 50ºF. Nighttime winds are forecast from the ESE at 12-18 mph (in from LF to the 1B dugout).

    The four-game series continues Tuesday when Javier Vazquez (1-4, 9.78) gets the ball for New York. Rick Porcello (2-4, 7.50) is slated for Detroit.

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they started games in the 2010 season. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com, ESPN.com and, of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • Whippit
    Restricted User
    • 04-29-10
    • 3065

    #2
    if there's a value bet on detroit in this series it's gotta be with d-train tonight
    Comment
    • encephalization
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-26-10
      • 491

      #3
      Very nice writeup Willie!

      I'm leaning towards the Bombers but might let this one go.
      Comment
      • crow_ibanez
        SBR Rookie
        • 05-10-10
        • 3

        #4
        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Very nice writeup Willie!

        I'm leaning towards the Bombers but might let this one go.
        [/COLOR]
        [COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
        [COLOR=#000000 !important]+1[/COLOR]
        Comment
        • tzMoney
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-16-10
          • 331

          #5
          I like the Tigers here as a home dog. It'll be interesting to see what the status is on Jeter. He was pulled from the game last night for an injury. Anybody know more?
          Comment
          • JGILL50
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-31-08
            • 836

            #6
            like tigers to get it done tonight
            Comment
            • MBENZ
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-07-07
              • 5238

              #7
              RIP Detroit Tigers.
              Comment
              • Extra Innings
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-26-10
                • 15058

                #8
                5-3 Yankees.
                Comment
                • tzMoney
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-16-10
                  • 331

                  #9
                  I did some more research. Here's what I got:

                  I love the Tigers 17-14 (+115) moneyline tonight against the Yankees 21-9 (-125) . It's a trap game for Yankee fans because there is always a lot of heavy play on them (currently 61%). The Yankees are sending reliever Sergio Miltre (5.49 ERA) to the mound tonight instead of Andy Pettitte. Tonight is Miltre's first start since 2009. He's going to pitch 60-70 pitches max and if the Tigers come out swinging, then they'll get deep into the NY bullpen. The NY bullpen has pitched 10 innings in the last 3 games - that's a lot. They're tired from flying in from Boston last night. The Yankees are 7-5 against Lefty starters - that's 5 out of their 9 losses 55%. 7 of those 9 losses have come on the road 77%. They have lost 9 (50%) of their 18 away games.

                  The Tigers on the other hand are coming off of a day game yesterday and are better rested. Best of all the Tigers are getting plus money as home underdogs tonight. Detroit has a 8-8 record as underdogs against the spread. They're +465 units against the spread at home where they have a record of 9-3. Willis He hasn't given up a home run in 2 games and Arod is 0-3 lifetime against him. The Tigers and Yankees have played more road games than any teams - 19 away games and 12 home games.

                  The Tigers are very underrated and Vegas will make a ton of money off of NYY supporters tonight.
                  67% of the money is on Yankees Runline
                  61% of the money is on Yankees Straight Up
                  71% of the money is on the Over --

                  Prediction Tigers 6 Yankees 3
                  Comment
                  • thechaoz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 12154

                    #10
                    D train is an unmitigated disaster though. I'd have to say the over look solid. BOL
                    Comment
                    • realdeal27
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-21-10
                      • 25

                      #11
                      solid write-up
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Weather will fuk it all up, hard to predict when weather is nasty especially in baseball.
                        Comment
                        • solobass
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-09
                          • 1277

                          #13
                          You forgot the tribute to Ernie Harwell and festivities. There will be a sellout crowd for sure and high emotions greeting the slightly green mitre.
                          Comment
                          • solobass
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-15-09
                            • 1277

                            #14
                            Pitching change I am taking the bet void/push
                            Comment
                            • thirtytwo
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-07-10
                              • 1784

                              #15
                              natural letdown on yankees side after they take yet another series in Fenway... id be very hesitant to lay it with yanks on the road tonight especially against the pitcher they never seen...
                              Comment
                              • greenshark11
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-17-10
                                • 484

                                #16
                                i agree thirtytwo. I think detroit will put them away tonight
                                Comment
                                • cubswin
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-28-09
                                  • 918

                                  #17
                                  Im on the Tigers in this one
                                  Comment
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