Halladay loses today

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  • konck
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-17-06
    • 12554

    #1
    Halladay loses today
    Yep remember I dont tout -170 games like the smucks on here. This happens to be one of my two system plays today.
    1st I always bet the earliest dog over +165 Thursday afternoon and Saturday afternoon. You would be shocked how many times I win at a huge price ....Todays play is St Lou and Loshe the loser....It seems Thursday and Saturday everyone ties the early lock into all parlays a lot of times they lose right off. Remember your getting +220 here you won't win every time but you will win enough times to come out ahead. ( Did Bobbyfuks actually give out Philly and say thank me later lol) wow give out a -240 thats the public is on 95% lol great move oh boy can't wait for your next pick.....Oh wait a minute -240 that means you have to hit 70% to break about even thanks BOBBYFUKS now we know why you went into bizz with TonyToilets lol
    2nd system play today is the Astro's....After a team wins off a losing streak bet them to come back and win again. Astro's lost 8 in a row then had a walk off last night to win.....Bet them to win again off that, The thinking here (and it works) a team is pressured to break that losing streak, once they do the monkey is off their back and they will free wheel a game and play good....I love this system you catch a lot of nice prices here to.

    So today system one St Lou+220
    System two Astro's+120
  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #2
    Probably, Barkley is using him as a huge bailout game.
    Comment
    • whatsgood5
      Restricted User
      • 10-13-09
      • 15359

      #3
      Doubt this
      Comment
      • btraband
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-05-08
        • 514

        #4
        better pick would be the Orioles to beat the Twins. pays +220 or something in that neighborhood.
        Comment
        • floridagolfer
          SBR MVP
          • 12-19-08
          • 2757

          #5
          I don't know if Halladay loses today or not, but getting the Cardinals at +220 or so, let's just say that opportunity doesn't present itself very often.
          Comment
          • Bluehorseshoe
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-13-06
            • 14998

            #6
            I like the Cards today for some reason. (The total is insane by the way.)
            Comment
            • KC
              SBR MVP
              • 04-12-07
              • 1613

              #7
              Wait to see lineups, but has to be better plays than fading Halladay
              Comment
              • MartinBlank
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-20-08
                • 8382

                #8
                I am confused...what is the "system" exactly?

                Just picking the first dog on the board?

                So if this game went off at 7:05----it wouldn't be a system selection?

                Do I have that right? I have to admit it---I have never seen a system selection based on time of day.

                Best of luck to you---but I don't see any value betting into two of the very best arms in baseball---Halladay and Haren. Those guys are workhorses and don't make many mistakes.
                Comment
                • Davydave
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-01-08
                  • 700

                  #9
                  Originally posted by KC
                  Wait to see lineups, but has to be better plays than fading Halladay
                  Have to agree, staying away from this game.
                  Comment
                  • Chi_archie
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-22-08
                    • 63167

                    #10
                    I'm on it too..... let's get this konckers
                    Comment
                    • jayc88
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-30-07
                      • 6785

                      #11
                      great systems

                      what a fking loser
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82816

                        #12
                        What if there is a rain delay and the game ends up starting later tonight? Is this still a system play?
                        Comment
                        • linedrivr
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-04-10
                          • 2223

                          #13
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          What if there is a rain delay and the game ends up starting later tonight? Is this still a system play?
                          inquiring minds would like to know....
                          Comment
                          • fixxer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-13-05
                            • 1877

                            #14
                            No way Roy will lose....
                            Comment
                            • desunoto
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 04-13-10
                              • 85

                              #15
                              halladay will win.
                              Comment
                              • SolidDala
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 1696

                                #16
                                I would reckon the value of backing the biggest dog on Saturdays would turn profitable longterm, hence mr Joe are more active and therefor contributes to the loss of value for the favorite. As for this game UNDER is the only play here for me if a bet would be made
                                Comment
                                • feldzpar
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-06-10
                                  • 113

                                  #17
                                  Good luck with the play, I doubt Halladay loses to Lohse.

                                  Phillies shouldnt lose this game but I can see "value" in the Cards bet. But, like my Dad says, what is value if they dont win?
                                  Comment
                                  • KACK
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-19-09
                                    • 976

                                    #18
                                    If anything... go with the under.... Why would you bet against the best pitcher in baseball... I see alot more games on the board with better value than the Cardinals... GL
                                    Comment
                                    • Adebayor365
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-23-10
                                      • 603

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by desunoto
                                      halladay will win.
                                      Comment
                                      • Crayzee
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 4945

                                        #20
                                        the value is there-
                                        but cant see it happening
                                        cards are one trick pony and hallady not gonna let poo hole beat him (meaning pitches around him and intent walk with bases loaded even if neccessary)

                                        rest of cards lineup is garbage
                                        lohse is garbage
                                        Comment
                                        • Mikail
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-19-09
                                          • 21689

                                          #21
                                          I think the thread title should read Cards win today if anything. I see the value on the Cardinals but if the Phillies lose I doubt it will be on Halladay's watch. Maybe bullpen. Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • Pick of Destiny
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 04-19-10
                                            • 221

                                            #22
                                            If this game has the same Umps as yesterday, DO NOT TOUCH! They blew two calls that potentially lost 2 runs for the Cards, complete Bullshit calls.
                                            Comment
                                            • Facepunch
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-17-09
                                              • 2090

                                              #23
                                              Bold play. Not gonna touch it. But good luck.
                                              Comment
                                              • rthoughton
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-27-09
                                                • 1992

                                                #24
                                                when Pitchers' first names are misspelled and homonym difficulty occurs with yourvsyou're I tend to disagree.
                                                Halladay dominates. Phils win again. 3-1 series win vs Cards after the series win vs "the hottest team in baseball" NYM. lol.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by konck
                                                  I always bet the earliest dog over +165 Thursday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.


                                                  Thank you Marc Lawrence.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dirty Bay Player
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-05-09
                                                    • 705

                                                    #26
                                                    -205 seems WAY too expensive against a lineup like the Cards. Aside from FLA, Halladay hasn't faced a good offensive club this year (he's dominated Washington, Houston, Atlanta and the Mets). And two starts ago he gave up 10 hits and five runs through 7 versus the Giants.

                                                    None of that really matters - the guy is one of the top three without question.

                                                    But so many times that I've loaded up huge on a highly favored pitcher in a game like this and then he surrenders three in the first and you kick yourself for paying so much, because after all the guy is HUMAN. It isn't like Halladay is going against the Astros today, and riding a 10 game winning streak and in a tight Cy Young race. Like I said, he gave up 5 runs through seven to the lowly offensive Giants two starts ago.

                                                    Lohse can show up once in a while too, btw.

                                                    I think people that load up on Phillies today are envisioning a scoreless top half of first, some quick runs by the Phillies, Lohse getting chased out of the game by the fifth, and the Phillies cruising to an easy win in another complete game for Halladay.

                                                    But what if the Cards score 1 or 2 runs in the top of the first? Then ur 615 to win 300 starts kicking up that acid reflux, ur sitting there cursing Raul Ibanez for striking out with the bases loaded, and so on. No thanks - I've suffered through that scenario too many times.

                                                    I'm laying two units on the Cards, hoping they can be within one run late into the game. Just accepting the nice value, going to sit back and enjoy the game and pass on the nail biting on this one. Because the Cards have too many weapons and it's just too easy to imagine an early three run homer by Pujols, Rasmus, Holliday or Ludwick.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JC2008
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-27-08
                                                      • 2258

                                                      #27
                                                      I agree with the under still being a solid play, even if it has dropped to 8.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mikail
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-19-09
                                                        • 21689

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Dirty Bay Player
                                                        -205 seems WAY too expensive against a lineup like the Cards. Aside from FLA, Halladay hasn't faced a good offensive club this year (he's dominated Washington, Houston, Atlanta and the Mets). And two starts ago he gave up 10 hits and five runs through 7 versus the Giants.

                                                        None of that really matters - the guy is one of the top three without question.

                                                        But so many times that I've loaded up huge on a highly favored pitcher in a game like this and then he surrenders three in the first and you kick yourself for paying so much, because after all the guy is HUMAN. It isn't like Halladay is going against the Astros today, and riding a 10 game winning streak and in a tight Cy Young race. Like I said, he gave up 5 runs through seven to the lowly offensive Giants two starts ago.

                                                        Lohse can show up once in a while too, btw.

                                                        I think people that load up on Phillies today are envisioning a scoreless top half of first, some quick runs by the Phillies, Lohse getting chased out of the game by the fifth, and the Phillies cruising to an easy win in another complete game for Halladay.

                                                        But what if the Cards score 1 or 2 runs in the top of the first? Then ur 615 to win 300 starts kicking up that acid reflux, ur sitting there cursing Raul Ibanez for striking out with the bases loaded, and so on. No thanks - I've suffered through that scenario too many times.

                                                        I'm laying two units on the Cards, hoping they can be within one run late into the game. Just accepting the nice value, going to sit back and enjoy the game and pass on the nail biting on this one. Because the Cards have too many weapons and it's just too easy to imagine an early three run homer by Pujols, Rasmus, Holliday or Ludwick.
                                                        well when you put it this way. The Cards ML does seem like the way to go here. I however do have a small play to consider on the Phillies today. Good luck.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BuffaloBettor
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-15-08
                                                          • 445

                                                          #29
                                                          I agree with ya on the Cardinals $$$ value. But I can't bet against Halladay......Phillies RL (-1.5) -110.....GL on your plays today....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sawyer
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-01-09
                                                            • 7761

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by feldzpar
                                                            But, like my Dad says, what is value if they dont win?
                                                            Well said..

                                                            Cards lineup is garbage except Pujols and one hitter may not be enough.. Phillies -1½ sounds good! I'm expecting Phillies to win by 4-5 runs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sonnybaby
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-04-09
                                                              • 9770

                                                              #31
                                                              LETS GET IT
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dirty Bay Player
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-05-09
                                                                • 705

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                                Well said..

                                                                Cards lineup is garbage except Pujols and one hitter may not be enough.. Phillies -1½ sounds good! I'm expecting Phillies to win by 4-5 runs.

                                                                Wow - nice analysis. You think Holliday and Rasmus are garbage? GL to you on your bet, and it's certainly quite possible that the Phillies will steamroll them today. But Holliday is an elite hitter. And Rasmus would be one of the better hitters on 75% of all MLB lineups (except the Phillies').
                                                                Comment
                                                                • philswin
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-18-07
                                                                  • 1279

                                                                  #33
                                                                  When I play 2 -1 Dogs in baseball I do not look at 2 equal teams, one with their top starter going. I would rather take a lower tier team against a top team with their 3 or 4 starter going. But good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ProfaneReality
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-14-09
                                                                    • 7607

                                                                    #34
                                                                    solid reasoning.

                                                                    whats your other system? betting on the first team that is +150 that has 3 or more syllables in the cities name?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dodger33
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-14-09
                                                                      • 3962

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I am glad to see you predict the same type of game Sawyer. I just have one question for all the STL backers. What is Lohse's ERA on the road vs at home the past 3 years.... You might want to take your bets back when you find out the answer. If Philly isn't resting anyone they will knock lohse out before the 5th like they did both times he started agianst them last year. Ahahahha
                                                                      Comment
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