1. #1
    kingdom
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    Winning at Baseball

    Got some freebies. i havn't lost a season in baseball in 4 seasons using these plays. Some say accuracy isn't 100 pct as lines may change from posted. you just have to be smart and play avg's and what you are comfortable with. these plays have worked for me so i'll share some with those interested. Be smart and remember probabilities are not guarantees. gl.

    I'm gonna start with the rockies. they are awful after a game in which they did not homer. the roi is positive su/rl, and the under. since aug' 17 they are 55-88 su, 59-84 rl, and 54-82 under. this should be played each time.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Last edited by kingdom; 05-01-21 at 12:56 PM.

  2. #2
    kingdom
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    CWS have been a hot fave for some time. they quietly have some of best covers in baseball as a fav. Since aug '18 they are 73-34 as fav and 59-47 rl (avg +129) for an roi of +26.2

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22

    they are more lethal as a road fav going 28-11 su and 26-13 rl (roi 47.6%)

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  3. #3
    kingdom
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    WP< 54 and F and pp:AF and pp:SII>=4 and date>=20190407

    This has been one of more consistent plays over last few seasons. Favs winning less than 54% of games and off a game as road fav where starter went more than 4 innings 65-25 (72%) with an 18.7% roi. rl roi is positive as well.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  4. #4
    kingdom
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    WP<50 and F and o:WP>50 and date>=20170604

    this last one i really like because there are daily plays. teams winning less than 50% of games as fav vs. team winning over 50% are 377-231 with and roi of 9.5%. Gotten off to a red hot start this season and been plays nearly everyday.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  5. #5
    kingdom
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    team = Yankees and p:HR = 0 and p:L and date >= 20170819

    This one isn't common, but it is great. after they yanks don't hit a homer and lose, they are 44-22 on the rl for 21% roi.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...output=summary

    I have quite a few of these. some are team relative and some are mlb in general. i'll drop some here from time to time.

  6. #6
    acehole
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    thanks man

  7. #7
    kingdom
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    t:team=Rockies and A and date>=20190621

    Just horrendous on the road. expensive, but the rl has a better roi for a much better price.


    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22

  8. #8
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by acehole View Post
    thanks man
    np. gl to you.

  9. #9
    kingdom
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    t:team=Phillies and H and date>=20200814

    great thing about this is lines still at avg of only -119. not sure how long that will last.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22

  10. #10
    kingdom
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    t:team=Padres and H and F and date>=20200909

    the unders are on a roll. i never put too much on a streak though. unless chasing which i probably will


    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22

  11. #11
    kingdom
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    t:team=Cubs and A and D and date>=20180902

    Cubs 36-17 over (21-35 su as well) on road giving up 5.57 on avg.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...road%20dog.%22

  12. #12
    kingdom
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    in line with what i played yesterday, i'm fading cubs, royals and rockies today.

  13. #13
    kingdom
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    F and pp:FL and p:F and p:SII>=4 and date>=20190407

    as far as winning percentage, this is one of strongest at 73% su and 52% on the rl

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  14. #14
    kingdom
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    My favorite plays today are system plays as well. Phillies have lost 2 in a row at home. i expect a bounce back. oakland a strong home team at not a bad price. and seattle. i am parlaying these 3 as well. i like the rockies already and they fit a play as well today.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  15. #15
    kingdom
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    A's are a great home fav. rare you can get them at this price.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22

  16. #16
    kingdom
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    phils are 31-16 over since last aug as a fav. i'm gonna be watching this trend closely.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22

  17. #17
    kingdom
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    brew crew on a long road stretch. they hit unders alot on the road.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22

  18. #18
    kingdom
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    i skipped the nhl this season. checking some stuff today. this is a great dog fade:

    https://killersports.com/nhl/query?s...0%3E%3D2016%22

  19. #19
    kingdom
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    Jays on a long road stretch. they are on a 35-48 under road run. not sure if i will chase it, but will be paying attention.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22

  20. #20
    kingdom
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    Cards are on an under home stretch. i like the opponents for unders also this week. avg under 7.5 runs

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22

  21. #21
    kingdom
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    Cubs with dodgers and pirates coming in should continue with home unders. been a good home under.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  22. #22
    kingdom
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    i don't know of kc can be this year version of the white sox, but when they are a fav they win. surprised the times they are fav they are 37-14.
    i'm not playing them this series. but i will be watching for more opportunities.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22

  23. #23
    kingdom
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    i know this is mlb thread, but i skipped some nba hot trends that both won last night. hawks at home and knicks ats. tonight there are 2 teams that have quit for the season. the cavs and thunder have mailed it in. cavs next 4 are against playoff teams

    https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...%2C%202021.%22

    https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

  24. #24
    kingdom
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    not much in baseball today. all i got is oak home trend and padres under. thinking about chasing sea but not sure yet. one more nba trend. this is one of best play and chase opps i have seen. 112-58 over and multiple plays weekly.

    https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...0line%3E-15%22

  25. #25
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Good stuff
    Points Awarded:

    kingdom gave DiggityDaggityDo 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  26. #26
    007D
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    SO what are the N.B.A. teams to play for this??

  27. #27
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by 007D View Post
    SO what are the N.B.A. teams to play for this??
    fade the cavs and thunder. and fade them both again if you lose.

  28. #28
    k310
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    Fade IND and HOU at home. ATS: 16-48-0

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: kingdom

  29. #29
    007D
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    Thanks for letting me know what that was for the N.B.A. Kingdom..

  30. #30
    007D
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    I was looking at those 2 Games. Good to know" Thinking about taking Sacramento Kings + 6 I would try to get if it wasn't too much.

  31. #31
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by 007D View Post
    Thanks for letting me know what that was for the N.B.A. Kingdom..
    had a crazy day. great weed. no time to cap anything. i should be back tomoroow,,,,but i am getting the same weed but no guarantees. but some good fades and unders for series i posted yesterday.

  32. #32
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by k310 View Post
    Fade IND and HOU at home. ATS: 16-48-0

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    definitely 2 of the 1,2,3 cancun teams still out there. great stuff. thanks bro

  33. #33
    masr
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    Quote Originally Posted by kingdom View Post
    had a crazy day. great weed. no time to cap anything. i should be back tomoroow,,,,but i am getting the same weed but no guarantees. but some good fades and unders for series i posted yesterday.
    Enjoy!

  34. #34
    007D
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    Nice! I Live in Colorado. We were the First State to Go Legal..Pretty Much 60% of the State Smoked Weed and Everyone knew it.. Some Super Hydro up Here..

  35. #35
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by 007D View Post
    Nice! I Live in Colorado. We were the First State to Go Legal..Pretty Much 60% of the State Smoked Weed and Everyone knew it.. Some Super Hydro up Here..

    i am almost jealous. but florida legalized gambling this week so weed is coming soon at a beach near me. there are cbd and smoke shops on every corner now. the anticipation is sky high literally.

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