Good movement on the ATL-STL game

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  • MartinBlank
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-20-08
    • 8382

    #36
    Originally posted by Fishhead
    Last evening with my local


    Actually there was a better price that I missed at Matchbook


    04/28 15:18 +205 / -219
    04/28 17:09 +210 / -225
    04/28 17:35 +221 / -237
    04/28 17:53 +219 / -235
    04/28 22:24 +225 / -241
    04/29 01:36 +228 / -245
    04/29 02:30 +229 / -246
    04/29 10:20 +242 / -260
    04/29 11:10 +246 / -265
    04/29 11:23 +251 / -270
    -219 was there----but do you see the amounts?
    Comment
    • jlgarciaiii22
      SBR MVP
      • 04-14-08
      • 1792

      #37
      Great work Fish... Like your style! Good Luck
      Comment
      • BamaCBass
        SBR MVP
        • 10-07-09
        • 1252

        #38
        Fish, I'm guessing you could get on big John Morrison (or other big system plays/touts) plays early and just watch that line move the next day couldn't you?
        Comment
        • tltaylor89
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-19-09
          • 19610

          #39
          Wainwright all the way.
          Comment
          • Fishhead
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-11-05
            • 40179

            #40
            Originally posted by BamaCBass
            Fish, a person would need well over a $20K bankroll to make this worth their time wouldn't they?

            Tough question, depends on the individual.

            I would say for most here, that is a very good figure.
            Comment
            • Fishhead
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-11-05
              • 40179

              #41
              Originally posted by MartinBlank
              -219 was there----but do you see the amounts?

              No, didn't see...........probably not over 1,000 though.


              My local has limits of 2,000
              Comment
              • Fishhead
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-11-05
                • 40179

                #42
                Originally posted by BamaCBass
                Fish, I'm guessing you could get on big John Morrison (or other big system plays/touts) plays early and just watch that line move the next day couldn't you?

                Yes

                I
                Comment
                • himeshforex
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-29-09
                  • 1414

                  #43
                  FISH HEAD nice thing going u have .... most imp. question, wht criteria do u use before backing a line, expecting it to drop obviously...
                  Comment
                  • Fishhead
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-11-05
                    • 40179

                    #44
                    Originally posted by himeshforex
                    FISH HEAD nice thing going u have .... most imp. question, wht criteria do u use before backing a line, expecting it to drop obviously...

                    I take leads less than half the time..............

                    When I do, I look for PUBLIC thinking on a game..........there are lots of factors really, but I don't have time to get into at this time.
                    Comment
                    • mtneer1212
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-22-08
                      • 4993

                      #45
                      Fish -- do you bet any at all on your opinions, or do you just look for scalp/middle opportunities?
                      Comment
                      • Fishhead
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-11-05
                        • 40179

                        #46
                        Originally posted by mtneer1212
                        Fish -- do you bet any at all on your opinions, or do you just look for scalp/middle opportunities?

                        Mostly scalps/middles
                        Comment
                        • rgbraves
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-21-10
                          • 282

                          #47
                          Pujols out that is why the line moved
                          Comment
                          • Brock Landers
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 06-30-08
                            • 45359

                            #48
                            Originally posted by rgbraves
                            Pujols out that is why the line moved
                            where do you see lineups?

                            Why is he out, the guy is the key to their whole team, resting him is tantamount to throwing the game.
                            Comment
                            • Brock Landers
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 06-30-08
                              • 45359

                              #49
                              Fuk, no pujols for St Louis...thats a pile of shit

                              No chipper Jones for the braves

                              ST. LOUIS — Deep in the heart of a lengthy stretch of games, St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Albert Pujols will get a break today, and Colby Rasmus will get a promotion befitting his spot among the league leaders.
                              Rasmus, the cleanup hitter in this afternoon’s game against Atlanta, woke up this morning as the National League leader in slugging and on-base percentage, with .746 and .459, respectively.
                              “So what?” manager Tony La Russa said when asked if Rasmus’ spot atop the league caught his eye this morning. “We’ve got five more months to play. It’s a nice credit to what he’s done, don’t get me wrong. But if this is the only time we’re talking about these things (like the pitching staff’s ERA) then we’re in trouble. I was taught an old adage: ‘It’s what you do next.’”
                              This will be Pujols’ first game off of the season.
                              “He needs a break,” La Russa said. “Give him a day. We’re playing a lot of games.”
                              The lineups:
                              CARDINALS
                              1. Skip Schumaker, 2B
                              2. Ryan Ludwick, RF
                              3. Matt Holliday, LF
                              4. Colby Rasmus, CF
                              5. David Freese, 3B
                              6. Yadier Molina, C
                              7. Joe Mather, 1B
                              8. Adam Wainwright, P
                              9. Tyler Greene, SS
                              And for the visiting Braves ..
                              ATLANTA
                              1. Melky Cabrera, LF
                              2. Yunel Escobar, SS
                              3. Martin Prado, 2B
                              4. Brian McCann, C
                              5. Eric Hinske, 1B
                              6. Omar Infante, 3B
                              7. Jason Heyward, RF
                              8. Nate McLouth, CF
                              9. Jair Jurrjens, P
                              Comment
                              • Carson05
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-02-08
                                • 506

                                #50
                                great information fishhead, really good stuff.

                                i think scalping should be something every gambler has in his repertoire, thanks for giving some advice
                                Comment
                                • Bluehorseshoe
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-13-06
                                  • 14998

                                  #51
                                  Chipper being out of the line up is an advantage for the Braves. His hip is so bad, he can barely swing.
                                  Comment
                                  • AmpleGamble
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-04-10
                                    • 568

                                    #52
                                    Obviously the examples he has give us make this seem much easier than it is in reality, but there is definitely money to be made here. One would think that getting on JM/Popular system plays early or on public favs. such as the Yanks would definitely be a great place to start if you want to start doing this.
                                    Comment
                                    • Grind House
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-01-10
                                      • 1405

                                      #53
                                      Chipper and Glaus out is an advantage. Both suck right now. At some point Pujols will come in to pinch hit.
                                      Comment
                                      • BeatTheJerk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-19-07
                                        • 31794

                                        #54
                                        This is a great way to guarantee you a profit no doubt, but lets face it you need a substantial amount of BR to really make any money doing this, which FH seems to have.
                                        Comment
                                        • BamaCBass
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-09
                                          • 1252

                                          #55
                                          Having said all this, does anyone like the Braves to get one out of the series?
                                          Comment
                                          • tblues2005
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-30-06
                                            • 9235

                                            #56
                                            Pujols is not starting that is probably why the line has changed. I still want to take the Cards though.
                                            Comment
                                            • Grind House
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-01-10
                                              • 1405

                                              #57
                                              Braves can't produce runs for shit. And I don't see them starting it up against Wainwright!!!! I like the Cards even w/o Pujols. They should get a good cushion and hide.
                                              Comment
                                              • MileHigh_Club
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-29-10
                                                • 215

                                                #58
                                                Heyward is a beast , he goes deep twice today
                                                Comment
                                                • scarp
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-12-10
                                                  • 697

                                                  #59
                                                  I'm a braves fan and I'd still take St. Louis. The braves have scored about 2 runs in the past 5 games.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • teaserpleaser
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-14-08
                                                    • 26015

                                                    #60
                                                    you could grind out some decent cash like yesterday cc and yankees -200 and climbing to -240 balt +230 at matchbook... the aces holliday,linecum, cc, and most yankee games climb. going to watch these lines some more play with this. thanks for explaining this fish. googled scalp arb tons of stuff pop up but nobody talks about it here good stuff.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • goldengreek
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-25-07
                                                      • 8340

                                                      #61
                                                      How can you be certain some games will move ?

                                                      What happens if they dont ?

                                                      Do you just end up taking the other side and lose juice ?

                                                      Also how many books ( online ) do you have money in ?

                                                      I assume you need to have a HUUGE bankroll ( 100 k ) to do what your doing
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brock Landers
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 06-30-08
                                                        • 45359

                                                        #62
                                                        Jurrjens out after 1 inning...

                                                        i wonder what the line would have been, given the lineup, but as Wainwright vs Medlen??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Carson05
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-02-08
                                                          • 506

                                                          #63
                                                          Medlen is pretty damn good

                                                          throws low 90's with an outstanding changeup and good control
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brock Landers
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 06-30-08
                                                            • 45359

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Carson05
                                                            Medlen is pretty damn good throws low 90's with an outstanding changeup and good control
                                                            he should be starting regularly if he is so good
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Carson05
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-02-08
                                                              • 506

                                                              #65
                                                              braves already have a very good rotation, if kawakami struggles or there is an injury he will be starting
                                                              Comment
                                                              • patswin
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-05-06
                                                                • 1794

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by goldengreek
                                                                How can you be certain some games will move ?

                                                                What happens if they dont ?

                                                                Do you just end up taking the other side and lose juice ?

                                                                Also how many books ( online ) do you have money in ?

                                                                I assume you need to have a HUUGE bankroll ( 100 k ) to do what your doing
                                                                its more of an art than a science when it comes to predicting line moves. I have tried numerous times and gave up cause if you are not correct you lose $$ trying to get out of bad positions. you also need good credit accounts with large lines available at places like matchbook and others where you can reduced juice. don't try doing this with post up money, its almost impossible.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Brock Landers
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 06-30-08
                                                                  • 45359

                                                                  #67
                                                                  7-1 cards...i guess this is a situation Fish, where scalping hurt you, i mean a single position on St Louis is the only payoff here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fishhead
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 08-11-05
                                                                    • 40179

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I could care less who wins or losses games..........
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kato
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-21-10
                                                                      • 254

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                                      7-1 cards...i guess this is a situation Fish, where scalping hurt you, i mean a single position on St Louis is the only payoff here.

                                                                      you should make this a rubber band play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 11-29-07
                                                                        • 26068

                                                                        #70
                                                                        cards are up amd will win this
                                                                        Comment
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