Mr Octobers 2020 MLB Season thread

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  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #1
    Mr Octobers 2020 MLB Season thread
    Well the time is near folks. I will have a write up on each team and leans/plays/suggestions on win totals, divisional futures, and futures. I did this last several years it has been very successful. Here is last years records which are all on the forum as well here. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...als-plays.html


    MLB 2019 Recap:
    MLB Regular Season 303-320 +9.79u
    Win totals: 13 wins and 4 losses for +11.55 units

    Divisional Futures for 2019 3-2 +6.65 units

    Playoff Record 17-21 -1.310u


    Grand Total of +26.68 units for the year!

    i have dug into a ton already and the previews will start flashing up here soon. I appreciate all the support and kind words the last few years. I take an excessive amount doing this. Last year went very well at a grand total of +26.68 units but honestly that was not my best year by any means the regular season was only +9 units which is my worst year in 5 years but I will never complain about a winning year in any sport ever. Looking forward to starting on the previews by taking my notes and trying to put them into some organized words. My Tweeter is @MrOctober444. I put this out bc sometimes it is easier to follow the plays if you turn on notifications rather than tirelessly checking the forum.
  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #2
    I had all team previews up and was ready to post them but those were predicated on a 162 game season. So therefore the win total list will be much shorter with such higher variance. This is probably your best chance to throw as many long shots together for divisions, WS, MVP, Cy Young, etc. so without further rambling here you go with my favorite season win totals this year.

    Regular Season win totals:
    Red Sox Under 30.5 -106 (to win 3 units)
    Jays Over 27 Wins -115 (to win 1u)
    Indians Over 32.5 (-115) (to win 3 units)
    Athletics Over 33.5 (-110) ( to win 1 unit)
    Marlins under 24.5 Wins (-125) (to win 1 unit)
    Reds Over 31.5 Wins -125 (to win 3 units)
    Cubs Under 32.5 Wins -105 (to win 1 unit)
    Diamondbacks over 31.5 Wins +100 (to win 2 units)

    Those were all bet at books where they require 60 games to be played for action. I wouldnt suggest betting an over at anywhere that doesnt require 60 games to be played. I also was going to post the teams that i played to make the playoffs but those since have been taken down at most shops with the talk of the expansion.

    I won't count these on here but here is what i played and some were before the pandemic even hit. but just throwing these out there for people that maybe has a local or another book in case you are lucky

    to make the playoffs YES:
    Braves -110 (1u)
    Dbacks +225 (1u)
    Reds +180 (1u)
    Athletics +135 (1u)
    Jays +600 (0.5u)
    Royals +1600 (0.5u)

    Here are the divisional futures as well:

    AL East:
    Jays +3500 (0.5u) (would play to +2800)

    AL Central:
    Indians +300 (1u). (would play to +200)
    Royals +10000 (0.2u) (would play to +8000)

    AL West:
    Athletics +230 (1u)

    NL Central:
    Reds +350 (1u). (would play to +220)

    NL Wes:
    Dbacks +900 (0.5u) ( would play it to +800)


    I have nothing opening night. but stay tuned for friday. as we will be ready to rock and roll.
    Comment
    • Mr0ctober
      SBR MVP
      • 02-27-18
      • 2795

      #3
      And i have already lied:

      Nationals +148 (risk 0.5u)
      first 5 over 3.5 (-105) (to win 0.5u)

      Good luck everyone! welcome back sports
      Comment
      • Mr0ctober
        SBR MVP
        • 02-27-18
        • 2795

        #4
        Recap
        Nationals +148 (risk 0.5u)❌
        first 5 over 3.5 (-105) (to win 0.5u)✅

        2020 MLB Season record 1-1 +0.00u

        Some of you all got that nationals bet refunded thanks to the new rules at some books if so cheers to a winning night!
        Comment
        • buzzard013
          SBR Rookie
          • 07-22-20
          • 13

          #5
          I was happy to get a refund on it over at bookmaker. Looking forward to your plays today, Mr0ctober
          Comment
          • Mr0ctober
            SBR MVP
            • 02-27-18
            • 2795

            #6
            Originally posted by buzzard013
            I was happy to get a refund on it over at bookmaker. Looking forward to your plays today, Mr0ctober
            Same with me I just didn’t want to count it as everyone may not have gotten a refund there. And thanks let’s hope to make some Money this year!
            Comment
            • Mr0ctober
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-18
              • 2795

              #7
              Just clarification for the new people... a underdog bet is always risking the amount of units posted while a favorite is to win the amount of units posted


              Opening day 6 pack

              July 24:
              Braves +140 (risk 1u to win 1.4u)
              Brewers +100 (risking 1u)
              Pirates/cards under 4.5 first 5 (-125) (risk 1.25u to win 1u)

              Athletics -132 (risking 1.32 units to win 1u)
              Tribe/royals under 5 first 5 -105 (risking 1.05 to win 1u)
              Rays -130 (risk 1.3u to win 1u)
              Comment
              • Mr0ctober
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-18
                • 2795

                #8
                Recap

                July 24:
                Braves +140 (risk 1u to win 1.4u)❌
                Brewers +100 (risking 1u)❌
                Pirates/cards under 4.5 first 5 (-125) (risk 1.25u to win 1u)✅

                Athletics -132 (risking 1.32 units to win 1u)✅
                Tribe/royals under 5 first 5 -105 (risking 1.05 to win 1u)✅
                Rays -130 (risk 1.3u to win 1u)❌


                3-3 -0.3u❌

                2020 season to date: 4-4 -0.3u❌
                Comment
                • Mr0ctober
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-27-18
                  • 2795

                  #9
                  July 25th:
                  Rockies/rangers under 9 -115 (1u)
                  Athletics -129 (1u)
                  Braves -120 (1.5u)
                  Reds -1.5 (-140) (1u)
                  Reds -0.5 first 5 (-150) (1u)
                  Comment
                  • Mr0ctober
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-18
                    • 2795

                    #10
                    Rockies/rangers under 9 -115 (1u)✅
                    Athletics -129 (1u)❌
                    Braves -120 (1.5u)✅
                    Reds -1.5 (-140) (1u)❌
                    Reds -0.5 first 5 (-150) (1u)✅

                    7/25 3-2 +0.81u✅


                    2020 season to date: 7-6 +0.51u✅
                    Comment
                    • Mr0ctober
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-27-18
                      • 2795

                      #11
                      July 26:

                      Twins -150 (1.5u)
                      Twins f5 -150 (1u)
                      Dbacks +110 (1.5u)
                      Nationals +110 (1u)
                      Indians -1.5 (-120) (1u)
                      Orioles +170 (1u)
                      Pirates +130 (1u)
                      Rockies over 8.5 -102 (1u)
                      Braves f5 -107 (1u)

                      Parlay:
                      Houston/Tampa +115 (1u)

                      Good luck all!
                      Comment
                      • Mr0ctober
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-18
                        • 2795

                        #12
                        Recap July 26:

                        Twins -150 (1.5u)✅
                        Twins f5 -150 (1u)✅
                        Dbacks +110 (1.5u)✅
                        Nationals +110 (1u)❌
                        Indians -1.5 (-120) (1u)✅
                        Orioles +170 (1u)✅
                        Pirates +130 (1u)✅
                        Rockies over 8.5 -102 (1u)❌
                        Braves f5 -107 (1u)✅

                        Parlay:
                        Houston/Tampa +115 (1u)❌

                        Days like this are fun.

                        7-3 +5.13u✅

                        2020 season to date: 14-9 +5.64u✅
                        Comment
                        • pimike
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 37139

                          #13
                          Nice work.
                          Comment
                          • Mr0ctober
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-27-18
                            • 2795

                            #14
                            July 27th:

                            Don’t like the fact some games are getting cancelled hold on for dear life.

                            Rays/Braves under 8.5 (-108) (1u)
                            Brewers -1.5 (-113) (1u)
                            Royals +110 (1u)
                            Mets -108 (1u)
                            Oakland As -105 (1u)
                            Comment
                            • Mr0ctober
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-18
                              • 2795

                              #15
                              Forgot one guys July 27:
                              Dbacks +110 (1u)
                              Comment
                              • Mr0ctober
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-18
                                • 2795

                                #16
                                Rays/Braves under 8.5 (-108) (1u)❌
                                Brewers -1.5 (-113) (1u)❌
                                Royals +110 (1u)✅
                                Mets -108 (1u)✅
                                Oakland As -105 (1u)✅
                                Dbacks +110 (1u)❌

                                3-3 tread water day lost the juice

                                3-3 -0.21u❌

                                2020 season to date: 17-12 +5.43✅
                                Comment
                                • Mr0ctober
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-27-18
                                  • 2795

                                  #17
                                  Mlb July 28th
                                  Brewers/Pirates over 10 (1u)
                                  Mets/Red Sox over 11.5 (1u)
                                  Cards/twins under 10.5 -105 (1u)
                                  Twins -145 (1u)
                                  Dodgers/stros under 5.5 f5 (-120) (1u)
                                  Dbacks -110 (1u)
                                  Astros +122 (1u)
                                  Mariners +155 (1u)
                                  Reds -110 (1u)

                                  Big card. Model showing a lot of value.. will keep updating it and likely the number of plays will slow down as we move forward.

                                  Good luck all
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr0ctober
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-27-18
                                    • 2795

                                    #18
                                    Recap:
                                    Mlb July 28th
                                    Brewers/Pirates over 10 (1u)✅
                                    Mets/Red Sox over 11.5 (1u)❌
                                    Cards/twins under 10.5 -105 (1u)✅
                                    Twins -145 (1u)✅
                                    Dodgers/stros under 5.5 f5 (-120) (1u)❌
                                    Dbacks -110 (1u)✅
                                    Astros +122 (1u)❌
                                    Mariners +155 (1u)❌
                                    Reds -110 (1u)❌

                                    4-5 -1.4u❌

                                    2020 season to date: 21-17 +4.03u

                                    FYI if I don’t post the price it’s -110*
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr0ctober
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-27-18
                                      • 2795

                                      #19
                                      Mlb July 29
                                      Rangers -120 (1u)
                                      As/Rangers F5 under 4 (-110) (1u)

                                      Nationals -1.5 -105 (1u) yes I love the prospect Pearson but this is more of a mad max going deep into the game and getting to that -1.5 later. If you wanted to back the kid maybe first 5 +0.5 runs is the angle. I’m not sure I have value on the nationals -1.5 contrary to a lot of other people.

                                      Reds/cubs under 5 (-115) (1.5u)
                                      White Sox/tribe under 5 f5 -110 (1u)
                                      Mets/Sox under 4 f5 (-105) (1u)
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr0ctober
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-18
                                        • 2795

                                        #20
                                        Recap
                                        Mlb July 29
                                        Rangers -120 (1u)✅
                                        As/Rangers F5 under 4 (-110) (1u)✅

                                        Nationals -1.5 -105 (1u)✅ yes I love the prospect Pearson but this is more of a mad max going deep into the game and getting to that -1.5 later. If you wanted to back the kid maybe first 5 +0.5 runs is the angle. I’m not sure I have value on the nationals -1.5 contrary to a lot of other people.

                                        Reds/cubs under 5 (-115) (1.5u)❌
                                        White Sox/tribe under 5 f5 -110 (1u)✅
                                        Mets/Sox under 4 f5 (-105) (1u) Push

                                        4-1 day +2.275u✅

                                        2020 season to date: 25-18 +6.305✅✅
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr0ctober
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-27-18
                                          • 2795

                                          #21
                                          July 30:
                                          Reds -115 (1u)
                                          Reds -1.5 +165 (0.5u)
                                          Indians +107 (1u)
                                          Tampa/Atlanta under 4.5 f5 (-105) (1u)
                                          Padres/giants under 4 first 5 (-110) (1u)
                                          Good luck all!

                                          So close to adding Arizona and Seattle but crossed them off last min.
                                          Last edited by Mr0ctober; 07-30-20, 05:08 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr0ctober
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-27-18
                                            • 2795

                                            #22
                                            July 30:
                                            Reds -115 Postponed
                                            Reds -1.5 postponed
                                            Indians +107 (1u) ✅
                                            Tampa/Atlanta under 4.5 f5 (-105) (1u)✅
                                            Padres/giants under 4 first 5 (-110) (1u) push

                                            2-0 day +2.07u

                                            2020 season to date: 27-18 +8.375u✅✅
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr0ctober
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-27-18
                                              • 2795

                                              #23
                                              Friday 31st July:
                                              Braves -125 (1u)
                                              Reds -1.5 (-113) (1u)
                                              Pirates +177 (0.5u)
                                              Rangers -120 (1u)
                                              Dbacks +117 (1u)
                                              Twins +107 (1u)
                                              Comment
                                              • Mr0ctober
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-27-18
                                                • 2795

                                                #24
                                                Friday 31st July recap


                                                Braves -125 (1u)✅ +1u
                                                Reds -1.5 (-113) (1u)❌ -1.13u
                                                Pirates +177 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u
                                                Rangers -120 (1u)❌ -1.2u
                                                Dbacks +117 (1u)✅ +1.17u
                                                Twins +107 (1u)✅ +1.07u

                                                3-3 +0.41u✅

                                                2020 season to date: 30-21 +8.785u✅✅
                                                Comment
                                                • Mr0ctober
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-27-18
                                                  • 2795

                                                  #25
                                                  August 1:
                                                  White Sox/royals over 10.5 (1u) (-110)
                                                  Red Sox +175 (0.5u)
                                                  Angels +140 (1u)
                                                  Indians/Twins under 4.5 first 5 (-115) (1u)
                                                  Rockies F5 -105 (1u)
                                                  Rangers/giants over 8.5 (1u)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr0ctober
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-27-18
                                                    • 2795

                                                    #26
                                                    August 1:
                                                    White Sox/royals over 10.5 (1u) (-110) ✅
                                                    Red Sox +175 (0.5u)❌
                                                    Angels +140 (1u)✅
                                                    Indians/Twins under 4.5 first 5 (-115) (1u)✅
                                                    Rockies F5 -105 (1u)✅
                                                    Rangers/giants over 8.5 (1u)✅

                                                    5-1 +4.9u✅✅

                                                    2020 season to date: 35-22 +13.685✅✅✅
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BOA12
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-19-12
                                                      • 20622

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Mr0ctober
                                                      August 1:
                                                      White Sox/royals over 10.5 (1u) (-110) ✅
                                                      Red Sox +175 (0.5u)❌
                                                      Angels +140 (1u)✅
                                                      Indians/Twins under 4.5 first 5 (-115) (1u)✅
                                                      Rockies F5 -105 (1u)✅
                                                      Rangers/giants over 8.5 (1u)✅

                                                      5-1 +4.9u✅✅

                                                      2020 season to date: 35-22 +13.685✅✅✅
                                                      Doing Reggie proud. BOL MR O.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr0ctober
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-27-18
                                                        • 2795

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks!!

                                                        One early will have adds here in about 40 mins

                                                        AUG 2
                                                        Tampa rays -1.5 runs -130 (1u)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mr0ctober
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-27-18
                                                          • 2795

                                                          #29
                                                          Aug 2

                                                          Royals +110 (1u)
                                                          Indians +110 (1u)
                                                          Rangers/Giants under 9 (-110) (1u)
                                                          Yankees/Red Sox over 10 (1u) (-110)

                                                          Good luck guys
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr0ctober
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-27-18
                                                            • 2795

                                                            #30
                                                            One last add:

                                                            Parlay:
                                                            Reds game 1/reds game 2 (+165) (0.5u)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mr0ctober
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-27-18
                                                              • 2795

                                                              #31
                                                              Tampa rays -1.5 runs -130 (1u)❌
                                                              Royals +110 (1u)❌
                                                              Indians +110 (1u)❌
                                                              Rangers/Giants under 9 (-110) (1u)❌
                                                              Yankees/Red Sox over 10 (1u) (-110)✅
                                                              Reds game 1/reds game 2 (+165) (0.5u)✅

                                                              Losing day but going to have those more than many.

                                                              2-4 -2.575u❌

                                                              Updated MLB 2020 37-26 +11.11u✅✅
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wesley
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-06-09
                                                                • 1734

                                                                #32
                                                                good start
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mr0ctober
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-27-18
                                                                  • 2795

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Wesley
                                                                  good start
                                                                  Thanks!!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BOA12
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                                    • 20622

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Wesley
                                                                    good start
                                                                    Ditto Mr O.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mr0ctober
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-27-18
                                                                      • 2795

                                                                      #35
                                                                      August 3:
                                                                      Mets/Braves under 4 first 5 (-140) (to win 0.5u)
                                                                      Indians/reds under 4 first 5 (-110) (1u)
                                                                      Mets -126 (1u)
                                                                      Royals +135 (1u)
                                                                      Giants +115 (1u)
                                                                      Comment
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