2010 MLB Season Thread: 100+ units or bust!

[dvb02]

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Best of luck to you this season.

Cheers

Commish, thanks for answering the question. I was out all day.

Snap, it really works well so hope you check it out.

[snapstick]

[jolmscheid]

Here we go Snap...big season ahead!...Hopefully

[snapstick]

jolmscheid :

[Panekkkk]

Panekkkk : No i may start it a few days before May 1st, not sure yet. Last season i used -200 as a max line but i decided to lower the juice a little to -180 or below. Your thread and plays will be a good reference to compare these plays with.

Hey Snap, sorry took a bit to get back to you.

Here is a link to what I started last year:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/200939-betting-favorites-new-trial-system.html

System was +28 units in one month of posting from July to August but I stopped it after August because it stopped producing as well and unfortunately I stopped tracking it at that point. Prior to July, it was up over 80+ units in 2 1/2 months of tracking but I have to admit that my tracking was not very detailed. I still have the spreadsheets but have not had the time to go back and dig up all the historical data.

I've refined it greatly this year and have been tracking much more in depth.

This system only bets on favorites in the line range of -115 to -165. I exclude any games where the line moves 10 cents or more in the opposite direction of the line I post in the morning. So far since April 8th it's up +16.63 units (on SU bets) for a record of 24-5 with my new filters. The system is an amazing 10-0 on teams playing at home so I may double units for home games. 4 of the 5 losses came betting on road teams of a SU streak of -1, which may be another potential filter. Of the 24 winners, only 3 teams have won on the road with a SU streak of -1. Still too early to tell whether it's a valid filter or not, but probably not.

I've been playing it personally but I will start posting May 1st. It'd be wishful thinking to see it continue at this rate, but rarely is there ever a huge losing day. If I can keep it between 65-70% or better it should be nice and profitable.

Since your system includes dogs it could be a great opportunity to cross-reference as we move forward. We can play them separately and may be able to identify where our systems may disagree to save on some losses.

Looking forward to see how you do and good luck man. May we BOTH win!

[snapstick]

Panekkkk : Sounds great bud! Two good threads to compare and contrast....BOL and i will be checking out what you have.

[snapstick]

I will be starting this thread this week...Putting everything together and getting ready..BOL

[snapstick]

I decided to start a new thread for ONLY the Projected Money Line Plays. At the request of others i will post the rules and of these plays in this thread. You may want to pay attention to these plays as last season i played them for about 2/3 of the season and finished close to +150 units wagering 1 unit per play. Good luck and as i stated these plays will kick off in about a weeek or so.

1. The plays will start on or before May 1st.
2. The plays will conclude at the conclusion of the World Series.
3. The plays will be wagering to win 1 unit (Favs) & risk 1 unit (Dogs)
4. Their may be a few days no plays are posted due to family/personal plans.
5. These plays will, at season's end, have at least a +100 units or more return.
6. I do not cap these games they are played based on projected/current lines.
6. Favorites of -180 or higher are eliminated.
7. Teams that have a losing streak of 2 or more games are eliminated.
8. Their must be at least a 20c differential with the oddsmakers and my line.
9. Starting pitchers must have at least 15-20 innings completed.
10. The plays will be posted 15-30 minutes before gametime of the play.


.

I have added a few more filters to my original post before we start to increase our odds of winning plays:

11. Addition to rule #7 above. Teams are eliminated that have a winning streak of 2 or more games.
12. Teams are eliminated if they have a non-favorable travel schedule for only the first game of each particular series. Teams that travel long distance are not profitable to wager on, especially in the first game of their series.

I did not use these 2 added filters last season so i hope to decrease a few losses using these extra filters this season.

[DIRTYDIRTY]

lets get it i follow all ur threads GL

[snapstick]

DIRTYDIRTY : You home today? Went to the Ville yesterday checking out the city..Did some work on my mother's ranch...screwed around a bit.

I will prolly wait until this weekend to start these plays..There is no hurry to win cash, right?

[kidkonggolf]

BOL WITH THE NEW THREAD

[PacmanJr_00]

gl. very interested to see how it plays out.

[snapstick]

kidkonggolf
PacmanJr_00

Thanks fellas. I'm ready to get this thing started.

[jolmscheid]

I can't wait Snap...I know you're gonna KILL IT this season!!

[snapstick]

jolmscheid : Killed the books last season...Hopefully we can kill it again!

[doylfish]

looking forward to the start of this thread

[snapstick]

doylfish :

So am i just remember that money isnt made in one day it is made throughout the season. No get rich scheme here just steady profit.

[dale0630]

looking forward to your thread snapstick good luck!!!

[shari91]

Best of luck Snap! I've subscribed to your thread and am looking forward to seeing your plays.

All the best for a highly profitable MLB season!!

[rockman123]

No idea how i ll wager on those plays since i'm from Europe and when the plays start the clock is usually 3am... I ll have to get some1 from the US to place my wagers Luckily i don't know any1

[snapstick]

dale0630 : BOL...Just a few more days.

[snapstick]

shari91 : I am looking foward to it. Your input and comments always welcome!

[snapstick]

rockman123 : I understand living in a different time zone. Most plays will be posted 15-30 b4 gametime. There might be a few i post earlier if the line is obviously moving in the direction that's positive for my Money Line movement. The reason i wait is to make sure the line is moving in the opposite direction of my projected line as close to gametime as i can..Sorry if it is inconvienent.

[DIRTYDIRTY]

snap haters already start ur thread tonite with the yankees -180 easy money

[DIRTYDIRTY]

dont really care about the units but snaps picks are golden hes a great handicapper and a mathamatical genius good luck on ur hatin career DIRTYDIRTY

[DIRTYDIRTY]

fade the yankees tonite genius DIRTYYYYYYYYYY

[tonyp0387]

Bobby he never stated to only make one play a day he could make 10 plays a day if he wished just one unit. Give the guy a chance i think he will do just fine.

[jolmscheid]

Do what you do Snap...

[snapstick]

BobbyBaseballs : I didnt call you out idiot...I believe you called me out...And i do know who you are...Just another troll running your mouth. And for your info kid...Im not a tout..if i was i wouldnt be posting to give morons like you a winning thread.

Thanks for your opinion now go away with your comments and your penny's you want to wager with. By the way...You are no comparison to what i provide in these forums kid.

AND if you can read you should have realized there are no limit to the number of plays i post. You really need to read and comprehend before you run your mouth to someone that is way above you in capping brother.

[COACHPUFF]

Hey snapstick how do i subscribe to your thread?

[snapstick]

COACHPUFF : Scroll to top of page and click on "Thread Tools" and click "Subscribe To This Thread"

BOL bud!

[BobbyBaseballs]

my 5k to your 2k.....the offer still stands....ROFLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.... Shoulda never came in my thread stain.

[BobbyBaseballs]

Shouldn't go laughin at ppl's losing picks when you dont have the sack to post your own yet. Pretty simple to comprehend. 5k to 2k.....Lemme know.

[snapstick]

my 5k to your 2k.....the offer still stands....ROFLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.... Shoulda never came in my thread stain.

Shouldn't go laughin at ppl's losing picks when you dont have the sack to post your own yet. Pretty simple to comprehend. 5k to 2k.....Lemme know.

Since you have no idea what you are typing about and since i have decided to add you 5k to my bankroll i will gladly accept your 5k to my 2k wager. If i hit the +100 unit mark anytime during the season you pay me 5k via paypal, Fed Ex or any method you choose. If i dont i pay you 2k and it's here for all to see.

By the way you said i would have to finish with 130 wins out of 150 to reach my goal right? Well your not to good at math. At that rate you are saying i will only be playing one game per day. If you didnt run your mouth and just sat back and observed you would realize i play more than one game per day with these plays. There you go, offer accepted and thanks for your money.

Now, stay on thread topic and no more bashing of other people's threads..This is an adult forum not a forum for children...There are actually people here at SBR that want to win money and believe me you will if you follow this thread, i promise that.

[snapstick]

Sory all but ocassionally we have children that stop by the thread. Lets stay on topic and win some cash.