A Score in the First Inning Stats....

**jessy** · 04-21-10, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

No worries, if you have a question about the chart please feel free to ask. I used to think the same thing, but you have to remember that the first inning is normally the highest average inning in which a run is scored.And so far this year its 48%.

Have you found any difference between the National League and American League?

**Spartan14745** · 04-21-10, 11:47 AM

I've been following you guys for a bit now, great stuff. I threw down a bit on the NO for KC/TOR. Not a good start for me on following you guys, should've stayed away.

**Grecdogg** · 04-21-10, 12:37 PM

Same here Spartan... Dam KC scoring runs in the 1st..., I know there was a 50% chance of it on the grid, but dam it sucks...

**Grecdogg** · 04-21-10, 12:46 PM

Ok, so i lost with KC TOR, thinking about the Mets Cubs - NO bet...

**JerseyShop101** · 04-21-10, 03:43 PM

Just got back guys. Sorry for your your loss Grecdogg/Spartan, but it really wasn't a play with KC at 50%. You'll make it back.

We have to be careful, the juice is a killer. The 3 books I'm using are Bookmaker, 5dimes and Betjamaica. There are always differences in these lines.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-21-10, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by jessy

Have you found any difference between the National League and American League?

I haven't compared them much at all, but I do know that AL has scored in the 1st inning in 49 of their 99 (49.5%) , and NL 50 out of their 109 (45.8%) thru Tuesday's games.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-21-10, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by terrortwylight

strongest NO looks like cubs/mets.. my book has got it @ -125. considering the pitchers and the trends i'd say this is good value!

Definitely. I got it at -105 at 5dimes (still available right now). Just like what I've seen last year, this prop will have some big price between the different books, we are forced to line shop even more with the high juice.

Thanks for the points, again!

**JerseyShop101** · 04-21-10, 04:06 PM

Here's my Wednesday plays:

WEDS PLAYS: TeamGames% Ballpark%

SF GIANTS 36%
SD PADRES 43% 50% NO -125
SF: T. Wellemeyer (0-2, 9.58)
SD: J. Garland (0-2, 3.60)

CHI CUBS 21%
NY METS 43% 50% NO -105
CHC: C. Silva (1-0, 0.69)
NYM: O. Perez (0-1, 3.75)

NY YANKEES 46%
OAK ATHLETICS 40% 44% NO -125
NYY: P. Hughes (1-0, 3.60)
OAK: B. Sheets (1-0, 2.65)

DET TIGERS 43%
LA ANGELS 40% 44% NO -120
DET: J. Bonderman (1-1, 9.00)
LAA: J. Weaver (2-0, 2.84)

Lets make some money!

**JerseyShop101** · 04-21-10, 04:45 PM

I like this prop!

Keep in mind that Philly is the -145 favorite in this game!

This prop is at BETJAMAICA:

328 Team to have the Highest scoring inning Wed 4/21 7:10PM (EST)

328 PHI Phillies +135 329 ATL Braves +170 330 Tie +250

Philly at +135 odds is too good to pass up, especially since they are the AWAY team (this could be huge if it comes down to the btm of the 9h in a tie, or extra innings).

There are many different ways you can do this, but just make sure you play on the tie also!

To get approx the same payout, place 2/3 of what you bet on the Phils on the tie.

Phils +135 risk 100 to win 135
Tie +250 risk 66 to win 165

If Phis prop wins, you win $69
If tie prop wins, you win $65

You are basically risking $166 to win $67. Odds of -247 on having the 2 out of the possible results.

-247 is steep, but you have the Phillies who are: (1st in scoring, 3rd in batting average) who are also the the favorite and the Away team, going against Atlanta (17th in scoring, 24th in batting average).

**griffdog** · 04-21-10, 06:34 PM

Came real close on the Padres-Giants. One out to go, and unsurprisingly, Wellemeyer serves one up to Gonzalez.

**IrishTim** · 04-21-10, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

Sry Irish, this is a first for me on this.

No problem Jersey (I'm from Jersey btw). I like your data collection, keep it up.

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 08:12 AM

Tought night last night Jersey... I'll be watching for ur posts, BOL

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 08:17 AM

Jersey, how bout today's Yankees vs Oakland... I see 46% 40% ballpark 44% No's.

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 09:30 AM

Im going with the YES in the 1st inning, Mil vs Pitts...

**JerseyShop101** · 04-22-10, 09:35 AM

Originally posted by Grecdogg

Jersey, how bout today's Yankees vs Oakland... I see 46% 40% ballpark 44% No's.

I like that one also, especially with Sabathia and Braden on the mound.

**terrortwylight** · 04-22-10, 09:38 AM

got a 4/21 chart jersey?

**therber2** · 04-22-10, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

I like this prop!

Keep in mind that Philly is the -145 favorite in this game!

This prop is at BETJAMAICA:

328 Team to have the Highest scoring inning Wed 4/21 7:10PM (EST)

328 PHI Phillies +135 329 ATL Braves +170 330 Tie +250

Philly at +135 odds is too good to pass up, especially since they are the AWAY team (this could be huge if it comes down to the btm of the 9h in a tie, or extra innings).

There are many different ways you can do this, but just make sure you play on the tie also!

To get approx the same payout, place 2/3 of what you bet on the Phils on the tie.

Phils +135 risk 100 to win 135
Tie +250 risk 66 to win 165

If Phis prop wins, you win $69
If tie prop wins, you win $65

You are basically risking $166 to win $67. Odds of -247 on having the 2 out of the possible results.

-247 is steep, but you have the Phillies who are: (1st in scoring, 3rd in batting average) who are also the the favorite and the Away team, going against Atlanta (17th in scoring, 24th in batting average).

Genious! I don't have betjam tho

Jerseyshop, I have the sheet up to date at http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...-big-card.html Take a look, and let me know what you think. Post on the first page scroll down.

Good luck today.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-22-10, 09:51 AM

Current trends/streaks:

"Yes - A Score in the 1st Inn prop"
Rangers tied with the best "Yes" record at 11-3 (79%) with Pittsburgh, are 9-2 (82%) for the "Yes" in their last 11.

Pirates still at the top tied with Texas for the "Yes", are 8-2 (80%) in their last 10.

Diamondbacks are now 8-3 (73%) in their last 11 for the "Yes" and its won 5 in a row.

"No Score in the 1st Inn prop"
Cubs are now 12-3 (80%) with the "NO" prop, its now won 6 straight and is 9-1 (90%) in their last 10.

Mets are 7-1 (88%) in their last 8 for the "NO" prop and its won 6 in a row.

BALLPARKS-
In Pittsburgh, the YES is now 7-1 (88%).
In Arzona, the YES has won 5 straight.
In Chicago Wrigley field, the NO is 1-5 (17%)
In St. Louis the, NO has won 4 straight.

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 11:24 AM

Im on the YES for a score in Mil vs Pitts...

1st time ever on the Yes...

**therber2** · 04-22-10, 11:34 AM

Ran the numbers JS,

MIL/PIT looks like a go for the YES; however Pittsburgh is showing bad running production, OBS, and slug rates. Wind is good. MIL should probably score the first run, and I'd take a light wager on YES for this one. Let's do it!

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 11:45 AM

Mil goes down 123 of course.... Need the Bucks to hook me up

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 12:02 PM

lost

**fjordo** · 04-22-10, 01:03 PM

Didn't know this prop existed, but I like it. I'm going to start playing it myself I think. Thanks for keeping track of the 1st inning scorings, keep it up.

Jersey, would you mind if I posted your table in another forum so that as many as possible can benefit, and hopefully profit from your work?

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 01:24 PM

Do you believe this, its the 5tin inninw now & Mil has Scored in every inning so far, EXCEPT for the 1st! un effin realll

**JerseyShop101** · 04-22-10, 02:13 PM

2-2 -0.4 yesterday

THURSDAY PLAYS: TeamGames% Ballpark%

NY YANKEES 46%
OAK ATHLETICS 40% 44% NO -140
NYY: P. Hughes (1-0, 3.60)
OAK: B. Sheets (1-0, 2.65)

CHI CUBS 20%
NY METS 40% 44% NO -140
CHC: T. Gorzelanny (0-1, 1.93)
NYM: J. Santana (1-1, 3.00)

**Illusivecone** · 04-22-10, 02:17 PM

Can laying -140 on this prop be profitable? (not bashing just asking a q)

**infamousbacardi** · 04-22-10, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by Illusivecone

Can laying -140 on this prop be profitable? (not bashing just asking a q)

If you win.

Honestly though, what I try and do, is pick 3 of these a day...and try and hit 2 of them...if you stake $100 per bet...you can win $50 by hitting 2/3. If you take the games with the lowest O/Us as your 3...it has worked fairly well for me over the years.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-22-10, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by Illusivecone

Can laying -140 on this prop be profitable? (not bashing just asking a q)

Its not easy as you know, 58.4% just to break even at -140. The books juice kill it with the 20-30 cent line (which is a topic in itself). The last couple years playing Yes on the Marlins was profitable in the early months. This is my first time tracking all the teams.

**Grecdogg** · 04-22-10, 03:08 PM

Took NO on the yank A's, yanks go down 123 & the A's score 3.... I am at a total loss?!?! 0-3 today

**TomG** · 04-22-10, 05:22 PM

Hopping on board and taking Cubs NO SCORE at -140

**therber2** · 04-23-10, 05:40 PM

Jersey, there is a question for you over at The Big Card.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-24-10, 07:18 AM

Updated charts:

I added the totals to the Ballpark Chart. You can see how the 1st Inning "Yes" has done for each line total. And I also broke down the High, Mid, and Low average Ballparks for each total. Not sure if anything meaningful will come out of it though.

**JerseyShop101** · 04-24-10, 11:01 AM

ATL/NYM No score 1st inn -130

Atlanta (38%) vs. NY Mets (35%) with 8 "No Score in 1st Inn's" in a row, playing in New York where the "No" is 7-4 (64%).

**therber2** · 04-24-10, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by JerseyShop101

ATL/NYM No score 1st inn -130

Atlanta (38%) vs. NY Mets (35%) with 8 "No Score in 1st Inn's" in a row, playing in New York where the "No" is 7-4 (64%).

Nice!

**azynplyer** · 04-24-10, 02:33 PM

nice