NEVER taking RL ever again

[Kav]

they might get a win against the cubs in there upcoming series, but not against the cards.

[AL1322]

i cant believe they didnt score after the first off of nolan ryan.... i mean BRETT FRICKING MYERS lol

[LT Profits]

Wow this thread most likely confused the living shit out of those looking for advice

Why do you say that? It seems pretty obvious that the consensus advice is to avoid laying -1.5 with home teams unless you are getting decent + odds.

[cyclonebell]

Put me on the got burned list. How many played the RL today and got screwed and are playing it again tomorrow?

[LT Profits]

You know that's what they say opinions are like assholes everybody has one

Well, saying that it is harder for home teams to cover -1.5 is not an opinion, it is a fact. The reasons should be obvious.

[shawnjohn5]

why??

alright! i just took the cardinals RL again tomorrow, it better friggin hit this time!

Apparently you guys all have a hard time reading, taking run line most nights will get you SCREWED, their is a reason the odds are so different. I have a previous thread that might help some of you losing your asses at runline... If you think I team is that big of a favorite it's pretty simple alternative, DON'T PLAY THE TEAM, and if you have to then take a player vs player proposition at MUCH better odds... If one particular team is going to win (or at least you think) then it follows that the players on the winning team will have more at bats, and if a player dominates a pitcher or struggles against lefties etc etc, take him or take the other player. For instance tonight steven drew is batting nearly .400 against billingsley, put a wager on him vs the other player. I took Aubrey Huff today vs Ryan Doumit, I also took Russell Martin vs Chris Young who happens to k a ton and is or was facing a guy in billingsley who happens to k a lot of batters... I'm undefeated this year in player vs player props, 5 out of 5 or 6 out of 6 too lazy to check, i did have a tie today joey votto vs hanley (i took hanley), if you want screen shots i'll provide them... Actually I did lose one p vs p prop this year so I'm 5-1-1 i'll take that to the bank over run lines. lol... If you are taking a 4 teamer do you really need to get greedy and take a run line for the 4th game anyways?? lol, y not just take the ml, and WIN your parlay instead of being pissed off about a run line. A very good thread I started a few days ago rl vs ml, maybe some of you should check into it...

[2daBank]

Did anyone win that bet this game? I took the over and obviously lost. 3 runs in the first inning and not another run the rest of the game. Awesome.

hell i was there, you were lucky to get as close to the over as you did

only pit run wa because of a error and 1 of the 2 cards runs was because of errors, should have been 1-0 and it wasnt pretty at all.....thank god for $8 beers

[2daBank]

Well, saying that it is harder for home teams to cover -1.5 is not an opinion, it is a fact. The reasons should be obvious.

[PAULYPOKER]

Why do you say that? It seems pretty obvious that the consensus advice is to avoid laying -1.5 with home teams unless you are getting decent + odds.

Lt my point was everybody has their own opinion plastered all through this thread and the majority of it does not match up which is expected everyone has their own way of doing things because this is what they are most successful with through their own experience

[thechaoz]

I'm pretty sure I have been killing it fading the stros.

[Maddhatter]

Astros have to win sooner or later man.

Until they do, I'll just bet against them. Even if I'm giving up ML of -250+ I'll still be ahead. Nothing to lose at this point. Of course, this doesn't apply to anyone new to fading them but for me at this point its just a no brainer.

[Sawyer]

Pick -1 ARL instead of RL. So when a home team wins by 1 run, your bet will be voided.

[jjgold]

Run Line are square bets, we mostly are all squares

Squares=losers

[PAULYPOKER]

Pick -1 ARL instead of RL. So when a home team wins by 1 run, your bet will be voided.

do you have to buy this sawyer??

[suicidekings]

Pick -1 ARL instead of RL. So when a home team wins by 1 run, your bet will be voided.

[gryfyn1]

The benefit/pitfalls of the runline depend on how well you pick winners -- the Run line (the favorite anyways) will most likely convert about 15% of your wins in to losses - most people can't take to have that happen. even with the lowered odds.

[suicidekings]

I've actually always thought of the RL-1.5 as something you play in addition to the ML, weighted between the two however it makes sense, depending on the odds. Ideally, you should be coming out ahead as long as your team wins, and if they cover the -1.5, then that much the better...

[ezmoney]

Brett Myers only gave up 4 hits thru 7 innings, Pujols 1-4, Holliday 0-4. Good pitching shut down the high powered offense.

EZ

[BiffTFinancial]

i don't usually put RLs in parlays, and don't usually play home teams on the RL. agree with the sentiments expressed above that both parlays and RLs can be profitable angles, just don't like them together.

[CashMoney27]

F the cardinals. I only played a 2 game and they killed me

[teecee]

I played to win 2u on the Cards ML, and to win 1u on the RL. That's how I play if I decide I like a RL.

[Grind House]

Well, saying that it is harder for home teams to cover -1.5 is not an opinion, it is a fact. The reasons should be obvious.

Because your ass is looking for a two or three run home run in the bottom of the ninth. I know when I hit those types of shit, I'm one hot motherfukker!!!

[Grind House]

The Cardinals did this same shit last year with the Run Lines. They always won by one run, or lost the damn game. I got burnt by those fags a couple times. I got away with it Monday, but pressed my luck and flamed out yesterday. I damn sure don't like Lohse bitch ass today.

[PAULYPOKER]

The Cardinals did this same shit last year with the Run Lines. They always won by one run, or lost the damn game. I got burnt by those fags a couple times. I got away with it Monday, but pressed my luck and flamed out yesterday. I damn sure don't like Lohse bitch ass today.

They will cover the RL today It's all about timing

[LT Profits]

Because your ass is looking for a two or three run home run in the bottom of the ninth. I know when I hit those types of shit, I'm one hot motherfukker!!!

The walk-off homer with someone on base is just one scenario. The other one is if the home team leads by one in middle of ninth, the game is over and they don't get to tack on. So if home team is winning, they have to cover the -1.5 in eight at-bats while the visiting team always has nine.

[Salmon Steak]

-1.5 wins 2/3 of the time ytd so you can put up 2 parts rl and 1 part ml or just take the -1 line instead so you can push.

NEVER TAKE THE +1.5 LINE THIS WILL ONLY HIT 1/3 OF THE TIME ANYWAY!!!!!!!!

[dknight734]

samething happen to me

[tblues2005]

When Houston gets back home and plays a team that has been playing bad then they just might win a few games but until then they aren't doing to hardly win any games if at all. I would not be shocked if they are 0-12 at the end of this weekend. They cannot hit and it is sure showing.

[Grind House]

Here goes this Cardinals team again. Told you I wouldn't put anymore money on this flaky ass team this season. And Lohse sucks so much ass it's not even funny.

[pat venditto]

This thread puts me on massive tilt.

[Grind House]

Only time I'm on tilt is when playing online poker. That shit needs to be investigated. Bud Norris looks like Nolan Ryan out here by the way. 2 strike outs on Pujols!!!

[james4512]

Taking the runline in baseball is like taking the moneyline on a 2-4 point underdog in hoops, it can screw you from time to time but picking your spots effectively will make you money

[msubulldog]

never play the run line in parlays; will only play it using big favorites and cut my risk down. seems every time i used to play it in parlays team would win by 1 run like you last night.

[PAULYPOKER]

They will cover the RL today It's all about timing

You see guys even though this was a loss it was the right play because if I would have taken the ML I would have loss over twice as much as my RL bet

[geebert74]

I fell victim to that game as well... Oh well... This is supposed to be for fun... I guess.