Red-hot Blue Jays host Chicago White Sox

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Red-hot Blue Jays host Chicago White Sox
    Vernon Wells, red-hot Blue Jays host Chicago White Sox

    Yes, it's too early to get excited and call a series crucial. But the four games in Toronto between the Blue Jays and White Sox are still very critical to my futures bets.

    It's beginning to appear that the Blue Jays obituary I wrote before the season began was entirely premature.



    Toronto is off to a 5-1 start on the 2010 campaign and the top money-winner on the MLB charts at a profit of at least six units, depending on when bets were laid. All six games have been on the road, and now the Blue Jays return home to open a 10-game homestand beginning with four against the White Sox. In fitting fashion, Chicago was a team I expected great things from in 2010 and is, instead, off to a slow start.

    Monday's series opener finds Brian Tallet on the mound for the home team against Jake Peavy for the visitors. Opening lines listed Toronto as the 110 underdogs to Chicago's 120 chalk. It will marks the seventh straight game the Jays have been underdogs.

    The total for the game is 8-8½.

    Thanks to some late runs by the Rangers, the Blue Jays lost their season opener at Texas, 5-4. They have since reeled off five wins, the latest a 5-2 victory in Baltimore on Sunday to sweep the Orioles. Toronto was a 100-110 'dog at close for Sunday's game, and the seven-run final left the Jays 3-2 'under' on the young season with one 'push.'

    Tallet (1-0, 2.70) won his season debut in Texas, 7-4, whiffing six in 6 2/3 innings. He allowed two homers (Vlad Guerrero, Nelson Cruz) and four runs total, two of them unearned. He made one start versus Chicago in 2009, working 5 2/3 innings of a 14-0 rout on the Windy City's South Side.

    The long ball has keyed Toronto's quick start; Toronto batters have swatted 11 over the fence in six contests. Vernon Wells and Alex Gonzalez each have four, with Gonzalez belting two on Sunday.

    Blue Jays relievers have also been solid. Cito Gaston's bullpen owns a 1.88 ERA through its first 14 1/3 innings, and has allowed just one earned run since Opening Day.

    The White Sox, my pick to win the AL Central, snapped a four-game losing skid on Sunday with a 5-4 win at home over the Twins to avoid being swept. Chicago closed as 130 chalk in the game, with the final score just slipping above the 8 ½-run total. It was the first 'over' for a Pale Hose game this season after four 'unders' and a 'push.'

    Minnesota saw the potential tying run thrown out at the plate to end the game, lifting the White Sox to 2-4 and down about three units. Both of Chicago's wins have been with Mark Buehrle on the hill.

    Peavy (0-1, 5.40) got a no-decision in his season debut last Wednesday, a 5-3 loss to the Indians. The right-hander was staked to a 3-0 lead, but couldn't hold it and watched from the bench as the Chicago bullpen was unable to keep Cleveland off the board.

    In his first full season with the White Sox, Peavy will be making his first career appearance against the Blue Jays. He made five interleague starts AL East clubs while he was in San Diego, and the Pads went 3-2.

    Aaron Hill, Toronto's slugging second sacker, is expected to miss the series opener on Monday and possibly beyond with a tight hamstring. Hill batted .370 (10-for-27) against ChiSox pitching in 2009 with two homers and six RBI.

    Last season's head-to-head meetings saw the Blue Jays take six of seven, sweeping all four in Toronto. All seven were played by the middle of May before the Jays saw their fast start in '09 swirl down the toilet. Four of the seven went 'over.'

    First pitch Monday is set for 7:20 p.m. (ET). With the thermometer expected to be in the upper-40s, low-50s at the start, the Rogers Centre roof should be shut.

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they started games in the 2009 season. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com, ESPN.com and, of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • rfr3sh
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 10229

    #2
    Bluejays home opener
    Comment
    • encephalization
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-26-10
      • 491

      #3
      Takes a man to admit his errors.. Was closing my eyes and holding my hands over my ears when you posted your write-up on Toronto's season. Also played OVER but I know that it is FAAAAAR from done yet. Toronto had a great opening last season but the slumped.

      I'm liking Toronto here, mainly because of the line. +117 in their home premiere is too good to pass against a shaky White Sox.

      Good stuff from you as always. Keep it up!
      Comment
      • dwaechte
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-27-07
        • 5481

        #4
        I think the Jays are in for a tough one tonight. Don't see Tallet holding up too well, but I hope he does.
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63167

          #5
          homecoming for rios
          Comment
          • G's pks
            Restricted User
            • 01-01-09
            • 22251

            #6
            Yes the Jays have been one of the early season surprises along with the A's...hey that rhymes A's and Jays!
            Comment
            • strickerson
              SBR Hustler
              • 03-21-10
              • 54

              #7
              over 8
              Comment
              • G's pks
                Restricted User
                • 01-01-09
                • 22251

                #8
                Wow the Sox have a different look this year...they are always tough at home with a disappointing start and a horrible BA. should be interesting to see how they play on road against a hot team.
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  Originally posted by encephalization
                  Takes a man to admit his errors..
                  Either that or just a fool

                  Good luck with your 'over' on Toronto. At least one of us will have a winner
                  Comment
                  • pdx107
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-20-09
                    • 923

                    #10
                    jays are hot anda good team at home... love it
                    Comment
                    • Patrickz0rs
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-08-10
                      • 994

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Chi_archie
                      homecoming for rios
                      He has done nothing for the White Sox. Hopefully get does something in Toronto.
                      Comment
                      • dwaechte
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-27-07
                        • 5481

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Patrickz0rs
                        He has done nothing for the White Sox. Hopefully get does something in Toronto.
                        Rios is good for his defense and that's about it. He'll never pull it together with the bat.
                        Comment
                        • strickerson
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 03-21-10
                          • 54

                          #13
                          over/under went from 8.5 to 8 to 7.5 on bookmaker. i'm thinking...or hoping at least that this is just a way to get some unders on a line they realized would've been exploited by overs. either way keep up with this movement if you gonna play the o/u something is happening with it
                          Comment
                          • CappinTerp
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 9650

                            #14
                            W.B. nice write up havent capped the game yet but lean to Jays, but Pale hose could have upper hand cause Jays hitters have not faced Peavy yet.( advantage to the pitcher )
                            Comment
                            • Patrickz0rs
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-08-10
                              • 994

                              #15
                              Originally posted by dwaechte

                              Rios is good for his defense and that's about it. He'll never pull it together with the bat.
                              I haven't seen anything yet to make him a "good outfielder". His stance needs to be changed, he looks like he is on a balance beam at the dish.
                              Comment
                              • jboy4
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-18-10
                                • 1950

                                #16
                                Great write up. Go Jays.
                                Comment
                                • Patrickz0rs
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-08-10
                                  • 994

                                  #17
                                  My Favorite Alex Rios Video:

                                  Comment
                                  • superjeff24
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-17-10
                                    • 1078

                                    #18
                                    Reasons I love this game for TOR
                                    1) Jays are 10-0 in their last 10 at home against CWS, hasn't lost since June 1, 2007
                                    2) Jays are hot, CWS are not
                                    3) Hill is actually expected to play in this game, and was taking ground balls Sunday and swinging the bat friday or saturday
                                    Comment
                                    • keyboarding
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-30-09
                                      • 6817

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by superjeff24
                                      Reasons I love this game for TOR
                                      1) Jays are 10-0 in their last 10 at home against CWS, hasn't lost since June 1, 2007
                                      2) Jays are hot, CWS are not
                                      3) Hill is actually expected to play in this game, and was taking ground balls Sunday and swinging the bat friday or saturday
                                      To your first point, who cares? These are considerably different teams than the ones who played in the last 10 games. Jays have never seen Peavy, so it's a crapshoot.

                                      Second point, both coming off wins, TOR off a terrible BAL team and CWS against a better MIN team, so in that sense, which win makes which team "hotter"?

                                      Hill in the lineup is an obvious bonus, though he hasn't been playing well to start the season offensively.

                                      I'm a huge Jays' fan but after watching CWS play their series against MIN, this team can hurt Tallet early and often with a lot of power in that lineup. I'm not sure how Peavy will fare against a very surprising TOR lineup, but I really don't see Tallet doing well against Beckham/Quentin/Konerko.
                                      Comment
                                      • DennisGreen
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-27-08
                                        • 18369

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Patrickz0rs
                                        My Favorite Alex Rios Video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2cxHRLJy6w
                                        LOL great video. Expect Rios to get heckled big time today and strike out at least a couple times.
                                        Comment
                                        • dwaechte
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-27-07
                                          • 5481

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Patrickz0rs
                                          I haven't seen anything yet to make him a "good outfielder". His stance needs to be changed, he looks like he is on a balance beam at the dish.
                                          He's fast and athletic... that can generally make up for a lot of poor paths and such. His advanced defensive metrics normally rate out pretty well.
                                          Comment
                                          • scarp
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-12-10
                                            • 697

                                            #22
                                            who would have thought the Jays would be 5-1?? They will cool off soon
                                            Comment
                                            • benjy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-19-09
                                              • 2158

                                              #23
                                              Peavy >>> Tallet. Bats are similar, though I'd give the edge to the White Sox. Hot or not, I like the White Sox here. -130 seems like a gift.
                                              Comment
                                              • keyboarding
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-30-09
                                                • 6817

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DennisGreen
                                                LOL great video. Expect Rios to get heckled big time today and strike out at least a couple times.
                                                Who geevs a fawk?

                                                Originally posted by dwaechte
                                                He's fast and athletic... that can generally make up for a lot of poor paths and such. His advanced defensive metrics normally rate out pretty well.
                                                Speed and athleticism don't make up for being a complete moron. Also, it's very, very hard to support a player who honestly doesn't look like he gives a shit at the plate.

                                                Originally posted by scarp
                                                who would have thought the Jays would be 5-1?? They will cool off soon
                                                Well, seeing them take the series from BAL wasn't shocking. The sweep wasn't either. BAL sucks and will be in the basement of the AL East, where they should be. Taking 2/3 from TEX was surprising but not impossible. It's the way they are winning, with power and clutch hitting and come from behind wins, that's the crazy part.

                                                Originally posted by benjy
                                                Peavy >>> Tallet. Bats are similar, though I'd give the edge to the White Sox. Hot or not, I like the White Sox here. -130 seems like a gift.
                                                That's what people aren't realizing. Hot bats can be neutralized by a decent pitcher (seriously, who have they faced that is in the same class as Peavy?) and Tallet is fukking awful. He's a long relief guy put into a starting role for what I can only believe is to increase his trade value as an inning eater. Everyone knows he's going to get hit around when he starts, the GM is even quoted as saying so.
                                                Comment
                                                • keyboarding
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-30-09
                                                  • 6817

                                                  #25
                                                  Fukk, it hurts me to be right about Tallet. What a nightmare. Too bad that hit didn't rock him in the face.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MendozaLine
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-11-10
                                                    • 4088

                                                    #26
                                                    Still early, but Tallet looks like shit
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MendozaLine
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-11-10
                                                      • 4088

                                                      #27
                                                      at least the Blue Jays offense showed up. haha
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keyboarding
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-30-09
                                                        • 6817

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by keyboarding
                                                        Fukk, it hurts me to be right about Tallet. What a nightmare. Too bad that hit didn't rock him in the face.
                                                        But couldn't be more wrong about Peavy.

                                                        I got money on Jays/Raptors and money on Wells to get more bases than Rios. That HR helped.

                                                        Go Jays.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • superjeff24
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-17-10
                                                          • 1078

                                                          #29
                                                          who cares how bad tallet is. peavy isnt fooling the jays today if he goes 6 he will give up 10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brock Landers
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 06-30-08
                                                            • 45359

                                                            #30
                                                            there's a reason San Diego gave Peavy away for nothing
                                                            Comment
                                                            • superjeff24
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-17-10
                                                              • 1078

                                                              #31
                                                              Second point, both coming off wins, TOR off a terrible BAL team and CWS against a better MIN team, so in that sense, which win makes which team "hotter"?

                                                              one team is 5-1 and one team is 2-4. i wouldnt act like Chi coming off a win means as much
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Grandmaster B
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-05-09
                                                                • 6035

                                                                #32
                                                                Peavy is washed up

                                                                autofade
                                                                Comment
                                                                • capri5421
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-19-09
                                                                  • 1474

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Awsome write up, Good luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • krk1030
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-08
                                                                    • 17610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Remember when Jake Peavy was good?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Willie Bee
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-14-06
                                                                      • 15726

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Hill to DL, don't ever underestimate Uncle Willie's contacts on injuries

                                                                      The Toronto Blue Jays have put second baseman Aaron Hill on the 15-day disabled list with a hamstring injury.

                                                                      TORONTO -- The Toronto Blue Jays have put second baseman Aaron Hill on the 15-day disabled list with a hamstring injury.
                                                                      Comment
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