I just don't get it: Cle (Huff/Porcello)+149

MrTwiz · 04-09-10, 11:02 AM

PORCELLO is 3-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.040.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

HoulihansTX · 04-09-10, 11:06 AM

I already hit Cleveland

This is a Major Play in FADEing circles.

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 11:08 AM

porcello's #'s much better. Huff terrible ERA LY

sportsfan2009 · 04-09-10, 11:08 AM

we will see

Facepunch · 04-09-10, 11:14 AM

I am on Cleveland +153

And the Over ( wind picking up pushing out to Right field, and they are a cumulative 3-2-1 Over)

I am with the crowd on San Fran tonight, got them around open @ +117

woodman663 · 04-09-10, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by Justin7

Even with Blantley resting, this game should be closer to Pick. Cleveland has the better offense and better bullpen. What gives here?

People looking at the wrong statistics to cap the game.

Wilforth · 04-09-10, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by Facepunch

I am on Cleveland +153

You may be among the few that'll smile after this game. GL

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 11:18 AM

Public all over Det. Justin by far the sharpest guy around questioning it. hmmmmmmm.........

Sawyer · 04-09-10, 11:19 AM

Tigers played an early game last night. Indians will be a little bit tried since their game was scheduled at night. In addition, they played for 11 innings.

Tigers are more rested. In addition, its Tigers' Opening game! Cleveland can win 2 or 3rd game of the series but not the 1st one! Don't let the odds mislead you guys.

GL!

G's pks · 04-09-10, 11:19 AM

Explain to me how Cleveland has a better offense up to now this year?
Det 5th in BA Clev 25
Det more hits and more HRs... please explain how up to now Cleveland has been such a power source with zero homers???

dodger33 · 04-09-10, 11:20 AM

bullpen has been worn out the last few days for cleveland.

The J Man · 04-09-10, 11:23 AM

The line's a little ridiculous. I'm still going with the Tigers -1.5 runs. I think I got +125.

keel44 · 04-09-10, 11:23 AM

Mainly the odds are driven by the starting pitching. Porcello is much better than Huff. That is why the odds. If you want value.......pick the Indians.

woodman663 · 04-09-10, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by G's pks

Explain to me how Cleveland has a better offense up to now this year?
Det 5th in BA Clev 25
Det more hits and more HRs... please explain how up to now Cleveland has been such a power source with zero homers???

Do you think 3 games matter in terms of statistics?

The Indians have a decent advantage in terms of position players, even if they haven't been great yet: their track record suggests they will be. They've faced some good White Sox pitchers.

Now the bullpen of the Indians having seen a lot of work I think is a good argument, if it's truly a significant difference from the Tigers (who played extra innings 2 days ago).

Wilforth · 04-09-10, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by keel44

Mainly the odds are driven by the starting pitching. Porcello is much better than Huff. That is why the odds. If you want value.......pick the Indians.

How do you define "value" here?

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 11:28 AM

I was all ready to play det but justin has stopped me in my tracks.

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 11:29 AM

He doesnt post shit for his health. I think hes trying to tell us something

G's pks · 04-09-10, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by woodman663

Do you think 3 games matter in terms of statistics?

The Indians have a decent advantage in terms of position players, even if they haven't been great yet: their track record suggests they will be. They've faced some good White Sox pitchers.

Now the bullpen of the Indians having seen a lot of work I think is a good argument, if it's truly a significant difference from the Tigers (who played extra innings 2 days ago).

landers781 · 04-09-10, 11:33 AM

I think I might just hedge the play and take the 80 bucks profit before the game even starts and not even worry about it....not sure

dodger33 · 04-09-10, 11:36 AM

i think you are right profit! crap!!

phillip · 04-09-10, 11:37 AM

I don't know, I think Detroit wins this one easily.

landers781 · 04-09-10, 11:38 AM

Wow the line just keeps moving up and up.....making the sell off more tempting.....

DennisGreen · 04-09-10, 11:52 AM

Have you ever seen Huff pitch? Guy is an ATM for hits. Don't let the public pounding DET scare you off. 159 hits allowed in 128 innings and 65 K - 45 BB ratio last season and more of the same in spring with 27 hits in 23 innings and 12 K - 8 BB ratio.

landers781 · 04-09-10, 11:59 AM

So I stand to win $150 on the tigers while risking $120

Seems like value to me

snapstick · 04-09-10, 12:03 PM

Porcello should never be -180..rediculous line. Either play the Tribe or lay off

woodman663 · 04-09-10, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

Grady Sizemore, Shin-soo Choo, Travis Hafner. But I won't bother to explain why the Cleveland position players are so much better to someone laughing at me for no good reason.

itchypickle · 04-09-10, 12:06 PM

This game got mentioned earlier in the morning by, I'm pretty sure Brock Landers, as being a hangover game for Cleveland after extra innings late last night...and now an early afternoon start on the road. We'll see how it plays out. I'm on Detroit ML for 2 units.

dodger33 · 04-09-10, 12:06 PM

-180 +165 now... line is moving with public

suicidekings · 04-09-10, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

Even with Blantley resting, this game should be closer to Pick. Cleveland has the better offense and better bullpen. What gives here?

I agree that the price got out of control overnight, with DET now sitting at -173 at Pinny and higher elsewhere, but I thought the original -130 line was very fair. Cleveland on the day game after a night game, and the mismatch in the pitchers makes sense to me. The pitching the two teams faced in the opening series has given DET a nice start, whereas CLE had to deal with the tougher CWS staff. A correction will occur, but IMO, the momentum gained from the fast start for the Tigers big guns will help them out a lot until someone actually shuts them down. Huff is not bad, but he's not that stopper. He'll give up 8+ hits in 5+ innings, giving the Tigers a lot of chances to score.

I played DET -136 last night, and put some on DET RL -1 & DET RL -2 as well. Admittedly a big play for early season, but I love it.

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 12:24 PM

I took Detroit first 5 innings & just hit no runs 1st inning WINNER!!!!

woodman663 · 04-09-10, 12:26 PM

Thanks Hafner for adding to my argument about Indians' offense.

Sawyer · 04-09-10, 12:28 PM

Indians are leading by 1 but I'm expecting Tigers to win this one. No value in -180 though but -143 was ok in my opinion. Detroit backers, no panic. Tigers should be able to score 4-5 runs in this one.

THE PROFIT · 04-09-10, 12:59 PM

I just hope they get 2 by bottom of 5th. Not looking good!!!

BatemanPatrickl · 04-09-10, 01:05 PM

Cleveland will take this game. Under was the play.