Tracking this Strategy...

[Snowball]

Won:
Marlins (away)
Rangers (away)

Lost:
Angels (home)

Record: 34-23

Today's: Blue Jays (home), Angels (home)

[dodger33]

Toronto is away today. I like your plays though. I think they are a live dog.

[Snowball]

Yesterday 2-0
W Blue Jays away
W Angels home

System W/L: 36-23

Today:
Pirates away
Rays home
Mariners away
Tigers away
Orioles away

[Snowball]

Yesterday's Wins:
Tigers away
Rays home

Yesterday's Losses:
Mariners away
Pirates away
Orioles away

Rec: 38-26

Today:
Orioles away
Mariners home
Nationals away
Diamondbacks home

[Jimbo42]

Just noticed this thread...


I like this thinking...

Playing on Away teams off a one run loss vs. the same team that they just lost to, is a tried and true system over the years...

This will be interesting to see how this all plays out this year...

Keep up the good work!!

[keel44]

Is it only a play if they are playing the same team? ?

[NOPHUN]

not bad... keep up the good work

[Jimbo42]

Is it only a play if they are playing the same team? ?

The system that I was referring to...yes. So it is in play in game 2 and beyond. But Snowball is tracking all instances... I like it!! I am very interested in seeing how this pans out!!

[StewiE]

liking this thread. keep it up!

[Snowball]

Glad to see some are paying attention. I'm playing every team after a one-run loss now, because it's working. Just over 50% of the plays are dogs, so I stopped tracking that..along with 1st 5 inn. I don't know how to run an excel spreadsheet, this is on pad and pencil.. I am building a w/l, h/a rec by each team. Although there are some trends there, for example Mariners are 0-3 on the road off a one-run loss, while Tigers are 3-0 on the same, so are Royals 3-0, etc..Rays are 2-0 at home after a one-run loss.. we need more games to make any judgement calls so it may take another month or so before I post all the recs by team.

Yesterday's Wins:
Orioles (away) over Red Sox
Diamondbacks (home) over Phillies
Nationals (home) over Dodgers

Yesterday's Losses:
Mariners (away) @ White Sox

System Record: 41-27

Today's Plays (Pinnacle odds):
7:10 Padres (no rec.) @ Marlins +145.
7:10 Red Sox (1-0 road)@ Blue Jays -139
7:10 Dodgers (1-0 road) @ Mets -131
8:10 Braves (1-0 road) @ Cardinals +103
8:10 Mariners (0-3 road) @ Royals -167

[Snowball]

Losses:
Padres
Braves
Mariners

Wins:
Red Sox

Rec: 42-30

Today: Twins, Braves, Dodgers, Nationals, Blue Jays

[Snowball]

Wins:
Twins
Nationals

Losses:
Dodgers
Braves
Blue Jays

44-33

Today: Blue Jays, Yankees, Royals, Braves.

[Wilforth]

BOL.

Scared of the Jays though.

[Snowball]

I didn't take Blue Jays or Braves. I took Royals but +1.5, and Yanks.
Using this more as a starting point now.
still tracking each team, will post lists after more data.
has underperformed lately. may be due for a run.

Wins:
Yankees away

Losses:
Braves away
Royals home
Blue Jays home

System Overall: 45-36

Plays Thursday:
White Sox away (0-1)
Royals away (3-0)
Cubs home (0-1)
Brewers away (1-0)

[Snowball]

Wins:
White Sox away
Losses:
Royals away
Cubs home
Brewers away

Rec: 46-39
Today: Indians (home)
Giants (home)

[Jimbo42]

Wins:
White Sox away
Losses:
Royals away
Cubs home
Brewers away

Rec: 46-39
Today: Indians (home)
Giants (home)

I am also on Cleveland homie!! Good Luck!

[StewiE]

not doing so well at the monent. hope it turns around soon.

[whatsgood5]

Good luck man!

[whatsgood5]

On Cleveland today too

[Snowball]

not doing so well at the monent. hope it turns around soon.

Stats are building but it will take a while longer to make them worth posting and considering before betting. Starting to include the rec per team at home or away as below. In a few more weeks I will stop posting every one as a "play" and start over with plays that are above 50/50:

Won: Giants (2-0 at home)
Lost: Indians (0-2 at home)

Overall w/l: 47-40

Today:
Red Sox away (1-1)
Rays home (2-0)
Cardinals home (2-0)

[Snowball]

Losses:
Red Sox away 1-2
Rays home 2-1
Wins:
Cardinals home 3-0

overall 48-42

today:
Padres home 0-0
Twins away 1-0
Yankees home 0-0
Blue Jays home 1-2
Angels away 0-0

[Snowball]

Wins:
Padres home 1-0
Twins away 2-0
Yankees home 1-0
Blue Jays home 2-2
Losses:
Angels away 0-1

Overall Rec: 52-43

Today: Red Sox home 0-1, Royals away 3-1

[Snowball]

Won RS home 1-1
Lost KC away 3-2

53-44

Today - 7pm METS (strk L3) away 0-1 @ Reds (strk W1)
Maine - Arroyo

[Snowball]

Won: Mets away 1-1 Overall Rec: 54-44
Today's Plays:

12:35pm Reds home 1-0
1:10pm Tigers away 3-0
3:35pm Rangers away 1-2
7:05pm Cardinals away 1-0
7:05pm Cubs away 2-1
8:05pm Astros home 0-0
10:05pm Rockies away 0-1

[PAULYPOKER]

Hey Snowball I'm lost here I'm trying to understand your thread but my AADD is kicking in..........................

[Snowball]

Pauly, it's an easy system that is cash positive, as at least 50% of the plays are dogs and it's hitting
54-44. I'm in the process of refining it on a per-team, away/home basis, but need more data.
The records you see are "in the system" records only. For example, above you see Cubs at 2-1.
What this means is that the Cubs are 2-1 when playing at home coming off a one-run loss.
The 3-0 Tigers above means that the Tigers are 3-0 when on the road coming off a one-run loss.

[PAULYPOKER]

Thank you Snowball..............

[bozeman]

Good luck, snowball pretty solid system i guess

[Snowball]

Wins:
Reds home 2-0
Astros home 1-0
Rockies away 1-1

Losses:
Tigers away 3-1
Cubs away 2-2
Rangers away 1-3
Cardinals away 1-1

Overall 57-48

- will post team recs and start selecting games based on performace by Memorial Day, starting the record over at 0-0 because this is where the system is tested, on its data. At that point, I will only post plays where in the scenario teams are OVER .500. While still building the stats, giving them a chance to get over .500

Today:
Nationals home 1-0
Marlins home 0-1

[Snowball]

Won Nationals home 2-0
Lost Marlins home 0-2

Rec: 58-49

Today:
Tigers away 3-1
Indians home 0-2
Braves away 1-3
Mets home 0-1
Padres away 0-1
Royals away 3-2

tigers @ indians.. advantage to tigers 3-1 away over indians 0-2 home.

[Tomasitas]

Interesting strategy

[StewiE]

what date is memorial day?

[Snowball]

what date is memorial day?

may 31 this year.

ok last night's Tigers@Indians was ppd. taking Tigers again, but in tracking, log both.

won:
Padres away 1-1
Mets home 1-1

lost:
Royals away 3-3
braves away 1-4

60-51

today: tigers away, indians home, pirates home,
diamondbacks home, rockies away

[Snowball]

Guys I'm going to start a new thread for my plays and incorporate this data into my picks on my own, keeping track of it. Looks like it's established at this point after 111 games in the system that blind, this system runs about 55%.

[mproud1]

I wonder if u can do even better by leaving out a few picks here & there that u really don't like