2018 - RL Chase for Baseball

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  • Looking4Winners
    SBR MVP
    • 12-21-11
    • 1198

    #771
    SYSTEM #1

    Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
    Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

    2018
    System to Date: 145-9
    (finished series)
    System Profit/Loss: +54.7493 (finished series)
    Current Open Series: 0

    G1 - (A) 87-67
    G2 - (B) 42-25
    G3 - (C) 16-8
    Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552),
    Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512), Marlins (-9.92),
    Orioles (-6.6825)

    Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
    Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
    Post #240 (June Plays)
    Post #512 (July Plays)
    Post #704 (August Plays)

    September 1st: Rangers WON C Bet

    September 4th: Twins LOST A Bet , Indians WON A Bet , Phillies WON A Bet
    September 5th: Twins LOST B Bet

    September 7th: Twins WIN C Bet
    September 8th: Royals WON A Bet , Giants WON A Bet , White Sox LOST A Bet
    September 9th: White Sox WON B Bet
    , Orioles LOST A Bet , Rangers LOST A Bet
    September 10th: Rangers WON B Bet

    September 11th: Orioles WON B Bet
    September 12th: Giants WON A Bet
    September 16th: Cardinals WON A Bet , Twins WON A Bet
    September 18th: Braves LOST A Bet

    September 19th: Braves WON B Bet , Rangers LOST A Bet
    September 20th: White Sox WON A Bet
    , Tigers WON A Bet
    September 21st: Rangers WON B Bet

    September 22nd: Angels LOST A Bet

    September 23rd: Angels LOST B Bet
    September 24th: Angels WON C Bet
    , Diamondbacks LOST A Bet
    September 25th: Diamondbacks WON B Bet
    , White Sox WON A Bet
    September 26th: Blue Jays WON A Bet

    September 27th: Phillies LOST A Bet
    September 28th: Phillies Lost B Bet , Marlins WON A Bet
    September 29th: Phillies WON C Bet


    Season Over
    Comment
    • Looking4Winners
      SBR MVP
      • 12-21-11
      • 1198

      #772
      SYSTEM #2

      This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

      2018 System to Date: 60-2 (finished series)
      System Profit/Loss: +44.652 (finished series)
      Current Open Series: 0

      G1 - (A) 43-20
      G2 - (B) 16-4
      G3 - (C) 2-2
      Losses - (Royals -10.368), (Orioles -5.58)

      Post #241 (April, May and June plays)
      Post #505 (July plays)
      Post #705 (August Plays)


      September 1st: Rangers WON B Bet

      September 5th: Twins LOST A Bet
      September 7th: Twins WON B Bet
      September 9th: White Sox WON A Bet
      September 10th: Rangers WON A Bet
      September 11th: Orioles WON A Bet
      September 19th: Braves WON A Bet
      September 21st: Rangers WON A Bet
      September 23rd: Angels LOST A Bet
      September 24th: Angels WON B Bet
      September 25th: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
      September 28th: Phillies LOST A Bet
      September 29th: Phillies WON B Bet


      Season Over
      Comment
      • dumazz
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-15-11
        • 41

        #773
        Looking4Winners... nice job with these two systems in 2018! For System #2, what % of BR would you suggest as a betting unit size?
        Comment
        • Kenny King
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-04-16
          • 168

          #774
          Look at the largest loss from last year and pair that with your unit size that feels comfortable. At $10 a unit that loss would cost you $160. How does that feel regarding your bankroll. Do you plan on a recover system for the loss or will you just play it safe all the way through? This will also affect your unit size comfort level.
          Comment
          • positivebankroll
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-18-10
            • 222

            #775
            Originally posted by Kenny King
            Look at the largest loss from last year and pair that with your unit size that feels comfortable. At $10 a unit that loss would cost you $160. How does that feel regarding your bankroll. Do you plan on a recover system for the loss or will you just play it safe all the way through? This will also affect your unit size comfort level.
            Can anyone explain RECOVERY SYSTEM FOR LOSS in a chase??
            Comment
            • spankmythighs
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-10
              • 2884

              #776
              Originally posted by positivebankroll
              Can anyone explain RECOVERY SYSTEM FOR LOSS in a chase??
              ooo ooo I can!
              sbr
              Comment
              • spankmythighs
                SBR MVP
                • 01-26-10
                • 2884

                #777
                Take your win/loss ratio over a few years and you should get something like 14/1 or 15/1. Now you can spread your losses over the next 14 or 15 series or you can do what I do and divide the 14 or 15 by 2 and recoup a little quicker at a higher unit amount but less chance of an overlapping loss.
                sbr
                Comment
                • spankmythighs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 2884

                  #778
                  Just my 2 cents. I ran this similar to Looking4Winners last year at a clean +154 units with 4 series to recoup (154-4). My setup was slightly different as I took +1.5 for all chases and no ML. Bet365 allows alternate lines where the fav can be taken at +1.5. I know I know, but what about the juice? Some were quite high but they were usually a pretty good team and it wasn't the good teams I was losing a chase with.
                  sbr
                  Comment
                  • spankmythighs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-26-10
                    • 2884

                    #779
                    I will be running all 3 systems (Looking4Winners 2, and my 1) plus I will be running the Sweeps strategy as well. Honestly guys, if I could legit create an equity fund by betting baseball, I would and only work late March to Sept. Hit me up if you guys have any questions here or on my thread. Warm regards.
                    sbr
                    Comment
                    • Looking4Winners
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-21-11
                      • 1198

                      #780
                      Originally posted by spankmythighs
                      I will be running all 3 systems (Looking4Winners 2, and my 1) plus I will be running the Sweeps strategy as well. Honestly guys, if I could legit create an equity fund by betting baseball, I would and only work late March to Sept. Hit me up if you guys have any questions here or on my thread. Warm regards.
                      Comment
                      • spicybulldog15
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-18-19
                        • 13

                        #781
                        I am very interested in your system!

                        @Looking4Winners or @spankmythighs, do you guys happen to have overall record of all ever since you guys been following/playing the system? I really greatly appreciate it advance!
                        Comment
                        • Looking4Winners
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-21-11
                          • 1198

                          #782
                          Originally posted by spicybulldog15
                          @Looking4Winners or @spankmythighs, do you guys happen to have overall record of all ever since you guys been following/playing the system? I really greatly appreciate it advance!
                          Spicybulldog - Check out the new thread, plus sent a private message...
                          Comment
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