1. #1
    imotiv8
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    JM NFL System For BASEBALL

    Last year RKelly ran this thread and it didnít work out. But the year before it was AMAZING

    Letís give it a try.

    Here are the rules :

    Anytime a team has lost 3 SU and 3 ATS they become a play

  2. #2
    imotiv8
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    This was his post from last year

    Quote Originally Posted by rkelly110 View Post
    Back by popular demand, with reluctance (because I never did this from the start), I will post picks.

    Last year I did a 3 game chase. This year I will just post the qualifying picks, you can chase if you want.
    Last year from mid Aug until the end of the season, we hit a 70% win rate. Chasing, we hit a 98% win rate.

    Here's the link from last year. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ystem-mlb.html

    Qualifying pick are teams that lost 3 SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread).
    Bet the team on the ML (money line) if the favorite or bet the +RL (run line) if a dog.

    Today's play is KC +RL. Good luck.

  3. #3
    imotiv8
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    As always Iím too busy to keep up with the posts so I need somebody to step up and help keep up with plays or we can do it together.

  4. #4
    grecycle99
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    I could probably do this one too, if no one step up! What is the best site to look at this?

  5. #5
    imotiv8
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    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99 View Post
    I could probably do this one too, if no one step up! What is the best site to look at this?
    Thatís what Iím trying to figure out🤔

  6. #6
    2daBank
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    Man it seems awful dangerous. Baseball a hell of a lot different than football, teams go on prolonged streaks both directions a lot of times throughout a season. I could see Maybe using some filters to try and stay away from likely losers of 6-7 in a row but the potential to get buried on these chases just too great imo.. gl none the less

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    Week 11
    3-2-0 305 pts

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/12/2018

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/08/2018

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  7. #7
    Looking4Winners
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    Quote Originally Posted by imotiv8 View Post
    Thatís what Iím trying to figure out樂
    I created this SDQL:

    season = 2018 and team and (p:L and (p:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0) and (pp:L and (pp:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0) and (ppp:L and (ppp:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0))))

    That can be run at http://killersports.com/

    So far two teams Rangers and O's have lost 3 in a row that fit the criteria - If a favorite and lost, or if a dog and lost by more then the RL +1.5. Rangers won the game after the 3 game losing streak. The O's would have won 2nd game after the streak on the +1.5 RL, which was yesterday against the Astros.

  8. #8
    grecycle99
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    April 2
    Cincinnati won on A bet
    Detroit won on A bet
    Oakland won on A bet
    April 3
    San Diego won on A bet
    Kansas City won on A bet
    Texas won on A bet
    April 4
    Baltimore won on B bet
    San Francisco won on A bet

    8 units would have been won since the beginning of the season

    Record (8-0)

    G1 - (7-1)
    G2 - (1-0)
    G3 - (0-0)

    Pending - LA Dodgers

    April 5
    G1 - Philadelphia

  9. #9
    Looking4Winners
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    The original criteria was:

    Tony Chow (JM) had an NFL system of after 3 losses ATS and SU to start a 3 game chase.
    I had some good luck in the NBA using that system and have just started using it in baseball.
    Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL. Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL.

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ystem-mlb.html
    Last edited by Looking4Winners; 04-05-18 at 04:53 PM. Reason: adding link

  10. #10
    dumazz
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    Quote Originally Posted by imotiv8 View Post
    Last year RKelly ran this thread and it didn’t work out. But the year before it was AMAZING
    I see that it was amazing in 2016. What happened in 2017... does anyone know?

    ======================================== ==========

    Found last seasons link for this system (2017):

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...all-picks.html
    Last edited by dumazz; 04-06-18 at 10:00 AM.

  11. #11
    Looking4Winners
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    Based on my interpretation of the system teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL, here would have been the results so far:

    April 3rd:
    Rangers WON A bet
    Padres WON A bet
    Orioles LOST A bet

    April 4th:
    Giants WON A bet
    Orioles WON B bet

    April 5th:
    Phillies WON A bet

    chase-G1 (4-1)
    chase-G2 (1-0)
    chase-G3 (0-0)

    Pending: Nats and Marlins

    SDQL query that list teams that lost 3 in a row and greater than the runline:
    season = 2018 and team and (p:L and p:margin <= -1.5) and (pp:L and pp:margin <= -1.5) and (ppp:L and ppp:margin <= -1.5)
    Last edited by Looking4Winners; 04-06-18 at 12:08 PM.

  12. #12
    positivebankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Looking4Winners View Post
    Based on my interpretation of the system teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL, here would have been the results so far:

    April 3rd:
    Rangers WON A bet
    Padres WON A bet
    Orioles LOST A bet

    April 4th:
    Giants WON A bet
    Orioles WON B bet

    April 5th:
    Phillies WON A bet

    chase-G1 (4-1)
    chase-G2 (1-0)
    chase-G3 (0-0)

    Pending: Nats and Marlins

    SDQL query that list teams that lost 3 in a row and greater than the runline:
    season = 2018 and team and (p:L and p:margin <= -1.5) and (pp:L and pp:margin <= -1.5) and (ppp:L and ppp:margin <= -1.5)
    Are you going to continue posting the system?

  13. #13
    danshan11
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    Quote Originally Posted by positivebankroll View Post
    Are you going to continue posting the system?
    what does losing 3 in a row mean ? why would that be a factor just for fun?

    teams are just as good and bad as normal after losing 3 in a row 10 in a row

    Net Results after 3 in a row losses since sdql started
    ppp:L and p:L and pp:L
    SU: 4203-4730 (-0.27, 47.1%) avg line: 108.0 / -120.9 on / against: -$33,345 / -$11,800 ROI: -3.2% / -1.0%
    RL: 3545-3386 (0.06, 51.1%) avg line: -111.9 / -101.9 on / against: -$16,762 / -$22,558 ROI: -1.8% / -2.6%
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/15/2018


  14. #14
    grecycle99
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    April 6

    Record (8-0)

    G1 - (7-1)
    G2 - (1-0)
    G3 - (0-0)

    Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

    G1 - LA Dodgers

  15. #15
    grecycle99
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    April 7

    Record (8-0)

    G1 - (7-1)
    G2 - (1-0)
    G3 - (0-0)

    Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

    G1 - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington
    Points Awarded:

    imotiv8 gave grecycle99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  16. #16
    Looking4Winners
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    Quote Originally Posted by positivebankroll View Post
    Are you going to continue posting the system?
    Yes - started new thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27704315

  17. #17
    imotiv8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Looking4Winners View Post
    Whatís the difference? This system is based on the same thing 3 SU Llosses and 3RL losses

  18. #18
    Looking4Winners
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    Quote Originally Posted by imotiv8 View Post
    What’s the difference? This system is based on the same thing 3 SU Llosses and 3RL losses
    No sir it’s not. This thread is based on 3 SU losses and 3 ATS, which in baseball are the same. For example the Dodgers would not be a play until today since their first loss of their current losing streak was by a run to the Diamondbacks so that would not qualify.

  19. #19
    grecycle99
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    April 8

    Record (8-0)


    G1 - (7-4)
    G2 - (1-0)
    G3 - (0-0)

    Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

    G2 - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

  20. #20
    imotiv8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Looking4Winners View Post
    No sir it’s not. This thread is based on 3 SU losses and 3 ATS, which in baseball are the same. For example the Dodgers would not be a play until today since their first loss of their current losing streak was by a run to the Diamondbacks so that would not qualify.
    You are correct however that is how it is supposed to be with this thread. The ATS in baseball is referred to as RL. Plays should only occur when a team has lost 3 SU and 3 RL together.

  21. #21
    imotiv8
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    óóó
    Last edited by imotiv8; 04-08-18 at 11:22 PM.

  22. #22
    grecycle99
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    April 9

    Record (10-0)

    G1 - (7-4)
    G2 - (3-1)
    G3 - (0-0)

    Pending - White Sox, Washington

    G1 - White Sox
    G3 - Washington

  23. #23
    COYLO
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    didnt JM already have a system for baseball?

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  24. #24
    grecycle99
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    Yes but this one is not the same. He play this one for NFL but it's been good for MLB.

  25. #25
    Wallco99
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    Simplest way to remember it, The favorite just has to lose the game, and the dog team has to lose by 2 or more

  26. #26
    Wallco99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Looking4Winners View Post
    The original criteria was:

    Tony Chow (JM) had an NFL system of after 3 losses ATS and SU to start a 3 game chase.
    I had some good luck in the NBA using that system and have just started using it in baseball.
    Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL. Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL.

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ystem-mlb.html
    It's more than "some good luck" in NBA. I started the Wallco NBA Chase 110 six years ago on this site, using that exact criteria. You've been playing my system. It has done great for us. I tested this theory somewhat for MLB, and there are some pretty terrible seasons. So be very cautious betting this for baseball.

  27. #27
    Looking4Winners
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
    It's more than "some good luck" in NBA. I started the Wallco NBA Chase 110 six years ago on this site, using that exact criteria. You've been playing my system. It has done great for us. I tested this theory somewhat for MLB, and there are some pretty terrible seasons. So be very cautious betting this for baseball.
    Wallco99 - Yes I followed you on your NBA site. I apologize for any confusion. I was quoting Tony Chow (JM) when it says "I had some good luck in the NBA ..." I just copied and pasted the leading paragraph to his intro to let folks see how he was tweaking your system for MLB.

  28. #28
    Wallco99
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    No problem. Glad it worked out for you.

  29. #29
    grecycle99
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    April 10

    Record (11-0)

    G1 - (7-5)
    G2 - (3-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G2 - White Sox

  30. #30
    grecycle99
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    April 11

    Record (12-0)

    G1 - (7-5)
    G2 - (4-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G1 - Colorado, Texas

  31. #31
    grecycle99
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    April 12

    Record (13-0)

    G1 - (8-6)
    G2 - (4-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G1 - Miami
    G2 - Texas
    Last edited by grecycle99; 04-12-18 at 04:58 PM.

  32. #32
    Wallco99
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    ***
    Last edited by Wallco99; 04-13-18 at 09:01 AM.

  33. #33
    grecycle99
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    April 13

    Record (13-0)

    G1 - (8-6)
    G2 - (4-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G1 - Kansas City, Miami
    G2 - Texas

  34. #34
    grecycle99
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    April 14

    Record (16-0)

    G1 - (10-6)
    G2 - (5-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G1 - Detroit, Washington

  35. #35
    Looking4Winners
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    Quote Originally Posted by grecycle99 View Post
    April 14

    Record (16-0)

    G1 - (10-6)
    G2 - (5-1)
    G3 - (1-0)

    G1 - Detroit, Washington
    If I'm not mistaken the way you are keeping track, 3SU and ATS losses, Tigers should be a "C" bet. They have lost 5 in a row.
    Last edited by Looking4Winners; 04-14-18 at 02:43 PM.

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