JM NFL System For BASEBALL

[imotiv8]

Last year RKelly ran this thread and it didn’t work out. But the year before it was AMAZING

Let’s give it a try.

Here are the rules :

Anytime a team has lost 3 SU and 3 ATS they become a play

[imotiv8]

This was his post from last year

Back by popular demand, with reluctance (because I never did this from the start), I will post picks.

Last year I did a 3 game chase. This year I will just post the qualifying picks, you can chase if you want.
Last year from mid Aug until the end of the season, we hit a 70% win rate. Chasing, we hit a 98% win rate.

Here's the link from last year. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ystem-mlb.html

Qualifying pick are teams that lost 3 SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread).
Bet the team on the ML (money line) if the favorite or bet the +RL (run line) if a dog.

Today's play is KC +RL. Good luck.

[imotiv8]

As always I’m too busy to keep up with the posts so I need somebody to step up and help keep up with plays or we can do it together.

[grecycle99]

I could probably do this one too, if no one step up! What is the best site to look at this?

[imotiv8]

I could probably do this one too, if no one step up! What is the best site to look at this?

That’s what I’m trying to figure out🤔

[2daBank]

Man it seems awful dangerous. Baseball a hell of a lot different than football, teams go on prolonged streaks both directions a lot of times throughout a season. I could see Maybe using some filters to try and stay away from likely losers of 6-7 in a row but the potential to get buried on these chases just too great imo.. gl none the less

[Looking4Winners]

That’s what I’m trying to figure out樂

I created this SDQL:

season = 2018 and team and (p:L and (p:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0) and (pp:L and (pp:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0) and (ppp:L and (ppp:margin <= -1.5 and line > 0))))

That can be run at http://killersports.com/

So far two teams Rangers and O's have lost 3 in a row that fit the criteria - If a favorite and lost, or if a dog and lost by more then the RL +1.5. Rangers won the game after the 3 game losing streak. The O's would have won 2nd game after the streak on the +1.5 RL, which was yesterday against the Astros.

[grecycle99]

April 2
Cincinnati won on A bet
Detroit won on A bet
Oakland won on A bet
April 3
San Diego won on A bet
Kansas City won on A bet
Texas won on A bet
April 4
Baltimore won on B bet
San Francisco won on A bet

8 units would have been won since the beginning of the season

Record (8-0)

G1 - (7-1)
G2 - (1-0)
G3 - (0-0)

Pending - LA Dodgers

April 5
G1 - Philadelphia

[Looking4Winners]

The original criteria was:

Tony Chow (JM) had an NFL system of after 3 losses ATS and SU to start a 3 game chase.
I had some good luck in the NBA using that system and have just started using it in baseball.
Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL. Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ystem-mlb.html

[dumazz]

Last year RKelly ran this thread and it didn’t work out. But the year before it was AMAZING

I see that it was amazing in 2016. What happened in 2017... does anyone know?

======================================== ==========

Found last seasons link for this system (2017):

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/3382019-tony-chaus-nfl-baseball-picks.html

[Looking4Winners]

Based on my interpretation of the system teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL, here would have been the results so far:

April 3rd:
Rangers WON A bet
Padres WON A bet
Orioles LOST A bet

April 4th:
Giants WON A bet
Orioles WON B bet

April 5th:
Phillies WON A bet

chase-G1 (4-1)
chase-G2 (1-0)
chase-G3 (0-0)

Pending: Nats and Marlins

SDQL query that list teams that lost 3 in a row and greater than the runline:
season = 2018 and team and (p:L and p:margin <= -1.5) and (pp:L and pp:margin <= -1.5) and (ppp:L and ppp:margin <= -1.5)

[positivebankroll]

Based on my interpretation of the system teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL, here would have been the results so far:

April 3rd:
Rangers WON A bet
Padres WON A bet
Orioles LOST A bet

April 4th:
Giants WON A bet
Orioles WON B bet

April 5th:
Phillies WON A bet

chase-G1 (4-1)
chase-G2 (1-0)
chase-G3 (0-0)

Pending: Nats and Marlins

SDQL query that list teams that lost 3 in a row and greater than the runline:
season = 2018 and team and (p:L and p:margin <= -1.5) and (pp:L and pp:margin <= -1.5) and (ppp:L and ppp:margin <= -1.5)

Are you going to continue posting the system?

[danshan11]

Are you going to continue posting the system?

what does losing 3 in a row mean ? why would that be a factor just for fun?

teams are just as good and bad as normal after losing 3 in a row 10 in a row

Net Results after 3 in a row losses since sdql started

4203-4730 (-0.27, 47.1%) avg line: 108.0 / -120.9 on / against: -$33,345 / -$11,800 ROI: -3.2% / -1.0% 3545-3386 (0.06, 51.1%) avg line: -111.9 / -101.9 on / against: -$16,762 / -$22,558 ROI: -1.8% / -2.6%

[grecycle99]

April 6

Record (8-0)

G1 - (7-1)
G2 - (1-0)
G3 - (0-0)

Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

G1 - LA Dodgers

[grecycle99]

April 7

Record (8-0)

G1 - (7-1)
G2 - (1-0)
G3 - (0-0)

Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

G1 - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

[Looking4Winners]

Are you going to continue posting the system?

Yes - started new thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27704315

[imotiv8]

Yes - started new thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27704315

What’s the difference? This system is based on the same thing 3 SU Llosses and 3RL losses

[Looking4Winners]

What’s the difference? This system is based on the same thing 3 SU Llosses and 3RL losses

No sir it’s not. This thread is based on 3 SU losses and 3 ATS, which in baseball are the same. For example the Dodgers would not be a play until today since their first loss of their current losing streak was by a run to the Diamondbacks so that would not qualify.

[grecycle99]

April 8

Record (8-0)

G1 - (7-4)
G2 - (1-0)
G3 - (0-0)

Pending - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

G2 - LA Dodgers, Miami, Washington

[imotiv8]

No sir it’s not. This thread is based on 3 SU losses and 3 ATS, which in baseball are the same. For example the Dodgers would not be a play until today since their first loss of their current losing streak was by a run to the Diamondbacks so that would not qualify.

You are correct however that is how it is supposed to be with this thread. The ATS in baseball is referred to as RL. Plays should only occur when a team has lost 3 SU and 3 RL together.

[imotiv8]

———

[grecycle99]

April 9

Record (10-0)

G1 - (7-4)
G2 - (3-1)
G3 - (0-0)

Pending - White Sox, Washington

G1 - White Sox
G3 - Washington

[COYLO]

didnt JM already have a system for baseball?

[grecycle99]

Yes but this one is not the same. He play this one for NFL but it's been good for MLB.

[Wallco99]

Simplest way to remember it, The favorite just has to lose the game, and the dog team has to lose by 2 or more

[Wallco99]

The original criteria was:

Tony Chow (JM) had an NFL system of after 3 losses ATS and SU to start a 3 game chase.
I had some good luck in the NBA using that system and have just started using it in baseball.
Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL. Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ystem-mlb.html

It's more than "some good luck" in NBA. I started the Wallco NBA Chase 110 six years ago on this site, using that exact criteria. You've been playing my system. It has done great for us. I tested this theory somewhat for MLB, and there are some pretty terrible seasons. So be very cautious betting this for baseball.

[Looking4Winners]

It's more than "some good luck" in NBA. I started the Wallco NBA Chase 110 six years ago on this site, using that exact criteria. You've been playing my system. It has done great for us. I tested this theory somewhat for MLB, and there are some pretty terrible seasons. So be very cautious betting this for baseball.

Wallco99 - Yes I followed you on your NBA site. I apologize for any confusion. I was quoting Tony Chow (JM) when it says "I had some good luck in the NBA ..." I just copied and pasted the leading paragraph to his intro to let folks see how he was tweaking your system for MLB.

[Wallco99]

No problem. Glad it worked out for you.

[grecycle99]

April 10

Record (11-0)

G1 - (7-5)
G2 - (3-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G2 - White Sox

[grecycle99]

April 11

Record (12-0)

G1 - (7-5)
G2 - (4-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G1 - Colorado, Texas

[grecycle99]

April 12

Record (13-0)

G1 - (8-6)
G2 - (4-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G1 - Miami
G2 - Texas

[Wallco99]

***

[grecycle99]

April 13

Record (13-0)

G1 - (8-6)
G2 - (4-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G1 - Kansas City, Miami
G2 - Texas

[grecycle99]

April 14

Record (16-0)

G1 - (10-6)
G2 - (5-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G1 - Detroit, Washington

[Looking4Winners]

April 14

Record (16-0)

G1 - (10-6)
G2 - (5-1)
G3 - (1-0)

G1 - Detroit, Washington

If I'm not mistaken the way you are keeping track, 3SU and ATS losses, Tigers should be a "C" bet. They have lost 5 in a row.