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on3's MLB 2018 Opening Day System Thread
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imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#1on3's MLB 2018 Opening Day System ThreadTags: None -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
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imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#3Basic rules -- if HOME team A is favored by -145 or greater in game1 of their series, they are a play. 3 game chase. A few filters:
It was shown to be profitable to play a 5/2 system, the 5/2 is indicating the units bet to win the series. The trigger is when a filtered play loses the (A) game.
No 2-game series' should be played.
After the all-star break, teams must meet either the overall .500 record test or the home record over .500 test.
Odds > -190 should be played on the RL.
The O/U 9 filter has a very strong historical record.
Comment -
kaanyeezySBR High Roller
- 11-06-12
- 179
#4Looking at last years thread, it doesn’t look like this system was updated daily..?Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#5I could do it if you want. When is it suppose to start and end?Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
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Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#8At this stage, I think there are 2 plays:
TOR (currently -165)
HOU (Currently -210)
We also have as of posting one close to play:
OAK (Currently -142)
If I have this system wrong, please tell me as I am new to this system! And I noted in an older post (2016 I think,) that On3 warned about his practice of not betting full units in the beginning 2 weeks of the season.
Goodluck to everybody here!Last edited by Ergo19; 04-02-18, 10:53 AM.Comment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#9Are we going to allow the JM (or whatever we are going to call it!) thread and the on3 thread to merge even though they are different systems?Comment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#10
Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#11UPDATED for 4/2/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/2/2018
(A) HOU -120 RL
(A) TOR -164
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#12I used pinnacle but do you know wich site ON3 was using?Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#13UPDATED for 4/3/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 2-0-0; Profit: 2 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/2/2018
none
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#14I don't know which he used, but, I think emotiv8 once told me to use the covers figures. They were what I used. If I have it wrong, forgive me.Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#15UPDATED for 4/5/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 2-0-0; Profit: 2 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/5/2018
(A) NY Yankees -120 RL
(A) Philadelphia -155
(A) Washington -147
(A) Boston -123 RL
Filtered
none
5/2
noneLast edited by grecycle99; 04-05-18, 11:50 AM.Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#17How a play become filtered?Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#18UPDATED for 4/6/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 3-0-0; Profit: 3 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-3; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/6/2018
(B) NY Yankees -178 to win 2.2 units
(B) Washington (4/7/2018)
(B) Boston (4/7/2018)
(A) Colorado -147 to win 1 unit
(A) Cleveland -110 RL to win 1 unit
(A) Houston -140 RL to win 1 unit
Filtered
(A) Colorado -147 to win 1 unit
5/2
noneLast edited by grecycle99; 04-06-18, 03:55 PM.Comment -
positivebankrollSBR High Roller
- 08-18-10
- 222
#19UPDATED for 4/6/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 3-0-0; Profit: 3 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-3; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/6/2018
(B) NY Yankees -178 to win 2.2 units
(B) Washington (4/7/2018)
(B) Boston (4/7/2018)
(A) Colorado -147 to win 1 unit
(A) Cleveland -110 RL to win 1 unit
(A) Houston -140 RL to win 1 unit
Filtered
(A) Colorado -147 to win 1 unit
5/2
noneComment -
kaanyeezySBR High Roller
- 11-06-12
- 179
#20Any plays today?Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#21UPDATED for 4/7/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 3-0-0; Profit: 3 units
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-3; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/7/2018
(C) NY Yankees -120 RL to win 6.12 units
(B) Washington -155 to win 2.47 units
(B) Boston -164 to win 2.23 units
(B) Colorado -150 to win 2.47 units
(B) Cleveland -110 RL to win 2.1 units
(B) Houston -125 RL to win 2.4 units
Filtered
(B) Colorado -150 to win 2.47 units
5/2
(A) Colorado -150 to win 5 unitComment -
imotiv8SBR Wise Guy
- 12-28-09
- 892
#22Great job posting so far. Let’s give points when we canComment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#23UPDATED for 4/8/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 7-0-0; Profit: 7 units
Filtered System: 1-0-0; Profit: 1 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: 5 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-6; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-3; 1-0; 1-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/8/2018
(C) Washington -140 to win 6.3 units
(C) Cleveland -110 RL to win 4.41 units
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#24UPDATED for 4/8/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 7-0-0; Profit: 7 units
Filtered System: 1-0-0; Profit: 1 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: 5 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-6; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-3; 1-0; 1-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-0; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/8/2018
(C) Washington -140 to win 6.3 units
(C) Cleveland -110 RL to win 4.41 units
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
kaanyeezySBR High Roller
- 11-06-12
- 179
#26Whats the historical success of this? Nats just lost and thats a system loss. Seems kind of dangerous considering we’re only a few days into the season.Comment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#27Comment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#28Hi everybody, the way I see it is we have 5 "A" bets today with 2 being RL at the moment and one just off being a RL bet.
I have:
A bet CHC -156 A bet CLE -195 RL A bet WAS -240 RL (Warning - was just defeated each game by NYM! In a 3 game series) A bet STL -145 A bet COL -190 (>-190 is a RL so watch this closely!) Comment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#29Just realised how badly excel copies across here! Sorry I will be more careful in future.Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#30UPDATED for 4/9/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 8-1-0; Profit: -6.12 units
Filtered System: 1-0-0; Profit: 1 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: 5 units
Total (3 systems) : 10-1-0; Profit: -0.12 unit
(Series chase lost : Washington -14.12 units)
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 3-6; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-3; 1-0; 1-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/9/2018
(A) Washington -120 RL to win 1 unit
(A) Cleveland -125 RL to win 1 unit
(A) Colorado -185 to win 1 unit
Philadelphia is at -143 and St Louis -140 right now, waiting closer to game time
Filtered
(A) Colorado -185 to win 1 unit
5/2
noneComment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#31Sorry about my mistake in houston game, getting the hang of this systemComment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#32What we do to recoup the lost usually? Double the units on A bet?Comment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#33UPDATED for 4/10/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 10-1-0; Profit: -5.12 units
Filtered System: 1-0-0; Profit: 1 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: 5 units
Total (3 systems) : 10-1-0; Profit: -0.12 unit
(Series chase lost : Washington -14.12 units)
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-7; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-3; 1-0; 1-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/10/2018
(B) Colorado -158 to win 2.85 units
Filtered
(B) Colorado -158 to win 2.85 units
5/2
(A) Colorado -158 to win 5 unitsComment -
grecycle99SBR MVP
- 12-18-09
- 3728
#34UPDATED for 4/10/2018
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 10-1-0; Profit: -5.12 units
Filtered System: 1-0-0; Profit: 1 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: 5 units
Total (3 systems) : 10-1-0; Profit: -0.12 unit
(Series chase lost : Washington -14.12 units)
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-7; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 3-4; 1-1; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0
REGULAR FOR 4/10/2018
(C) Colorado -148 to win 7.36 units
Filtered
(C) Colorado -148 to win 7.36 units
5/2
(B) Colorado -148 to win 9.9 unitsComment -
Ergo19SBR High Roller
- 06-18-12
- 178
#35I wasn't sure what we were meant to do about CHC after their first game was postponed. I personally followed them and won on the B bet. Unfortunately had internet troubles and wasn't able to do the C bet on Colorado.
Today, I understand, 2 bets looking good so far:
WAS at -175
MIN at -185
Of course MIN might become a RL play.
Goodluck everybody.Comment
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