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Originally posted by BetterBizness
NO -10.5 @ Sea O/U 45.5
So far... I have one analysis on the Seahawks game I will pull from Lakerboys thread that I did yesterday...
Seahawks Upset? Any chance?
Few possible reasons for an upset special that work for the SeaChickens, if even a 10 point cover...
1) Seattle has a HUGE advantage of PLAYING the Saints in week 12... Hasselbeck was 32 of 44 for 366 yards... 1 TD 0 INTs...
Brees was 29 of 43 for 382 yards.. 4 TD's - 2 INT's.... (1 in garbage time)
RB Lynch - Last 4 games avg's 3.8 or better YPC... had 2 of his 3 fumbles of his Seahawks career... Vs the Saints...
After the Adjustments were made in the 27-16 (NO) 1H - it was a 7-3, 2H (NO) ... Seattle only had the Ball 3x in that half, with 2 of their drives stopped because of the fumbles by Lynch...
Coaches make adjustments... Carroll will make them after getting to play them once already...
2) The Saints Momentum - Big thing is the 6 game winning streak - At 4-3 they Clearly needed some help... Playing at Home to Pittsburgh - They were on the verge of dropping to .500 .. Literally in the final few minutes with Pitt driving down 3, NO gets a fumble off a big Pitt gain and drives the other way to win by 10... Huge Win makes them 5-3, and now the next 5 Games, they beat up 5 - Sub .500 teams... In order - The Panthers, a Bye, the Seahawks, Dallas (by 3), Cinci (by 4), and St. Louis ... Only Seattle (At the time) was a team over .500 ...
They close out the season losing to a Tough Raven team.. Beating Atlanta Late, and losing in a throw away today ...
Obviously the second half of the season has been Good to them... They beat who they had too.. But Early on this team was 3-2, beating Minny (5 points), SF (3 points), and Carolina (2 points) .. Losing to Atlanta and Arizona... They were a VERY average team that did what they had to... but Had the Benefit of a Schedule which now at the end of the season turns out to be very favourable...
3) 12th man blah blah blah... Fact is, fans tonight were into it.. They cared... I've been to these games.. For an open air Stadium, you just can't understand how acoustically it is incredible to hear the deafening tone during the NFL Championship game 5 years ago.. They AVERAGE 2 Opponent False Starts PER GAME in their field... It's rediculous how it affects you...
4) Weather in Seattle... It's Rainy... Relatively Cold... And so far the expected Weather forecast is - SURPRISE - Cloudy, rainy, and a high of about 40... Last year NO played Both games up until the Bowl at home in the dome...
In fact, the LAST time NO played in a significant game that being Outdoors had any effect... Dec 11, 2008.. A night game in Chicago that started in 28 degrees (F), 60% Humidity - They lost 27-24 .. Brees was 24-43 for 232 yards - 2TD's and 2 INTs...
Before that... Dec 30, 2007 - @ Chicago again - 30 Deg (F) - 90% Humidity - They lose 33-25... Brees 35-60 for 320 yards... 3 TD's, 2 INTs...
Oh before that... You'll never believe it...Conference Championship @ Chicago - Jan 21, 2007, 28 Deg, 86% Humidity... rainy... Lose 39-14 - Brees 27-49 for 354 - 2 TD's -1 INT...
Of course, it could just be CHICAGO that has their number of course... Or CHICAGO has the distinct advantage of being a team that can play better in the Cold at Home... (Unless they are playing the Pats of course)...
So if you are looking for reasons why they COULD win... there are a few... Of course the Saints ARE the better team... But until they beat Pitt in week 7, they were NOT the better team against anyone... Seattle, until they beat the Rams... Were NOT the better team against many except when they HAD to win...
Brees has to overcome a completely different type of game... Throwing the ball in a wet, cold, hostile environment, PLUS banging up ANOTHER Three starters today after 6 of them were already banged up... they also have to travel 3000 miles and play across 2 time zones, on a short week...
can THEY be the better team in 6 days? Can they at WORST cover 10.5 points???
I'm thinking yes...
Final bets to be determined as game time approaches...
Comment
SEAHAWKHARRY
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-29-07
26068
#119535
I just love my seahawks
Comment
Cuse4tw
SBR MVP
03-16-10
2895
#119536
congrats harry....
theres u 2-0 start paco..
lets go with the over tonight and root some points
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mlb
SBR Posting Legend
12-04-09
10509
#119537
good call paco on both
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Lakers714
SBR MVP
06-17-09
4671
#119538
Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
Just kidding laker714
Yeah man. U should be enjoying the win insteading of posting things like that. I had the saints in a teaser so that's why I was rooting for them to win but the seagulls to cover.
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bodyman
SBR Wise Guy
04-28-10
925
#119539
Congrats Harry....was pulling for the hometown Rams last week....nice to see a division opponent win and beat the defending champs Enjoy this one Seahawks fans they won and they deserve it
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#119540
Paco back on the right side. Keep it going.
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mlb
SBR Posting Legend
12-04-09
10509
#119541
betterbizness nice analysis as well
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sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#119542
Colts over 44 ?
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Cuse4tw
SBR MVP
03-16-10
2895
#119543
Originally posted by sportfan
Colts over 44 ?
line is plummeting fast...but i still like it
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paco
SBR Aristocracy
05-07-09
62873
#119544
Jets Under 45.5 (1x)
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SEAHAWKHARRY
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-29-07
26068
#119545
Laker714 I was just in the moment....that was classless...i appoligize to you and everyone else on here.... Btw GO SEAHAWKS!!!
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mlb
SBR Posting Legend
12-04-09
10509
#119546
good luck paco
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bballs84
SBR Hall of Famer
11-11-09
5461
#119547
BOL PAC on the J E T S JETS JETS JETS
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SwisherSweet420
SBR Wise Guy
01-18-10
922
#119548
made a little teaser with jets and the under so lets get them bookies. Lets go paco
sbr
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Lakers714
SBR MVP
06-17-09
4671
#119549
Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
Laker714 I was just in the moment....that was classless...i appoligize to you and everyone else on here.... Btw GO SEAHAWKS!!!
It's kool bro. I know u were in the heat of the moment. Great win for your Seahawks. I am really happy for Bates and Pete. Come back to USC please. Lane Kiffin is a pussy.
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Keelo
SBR Wise Guy
05-13-10
880
#119550
Where you get 45.5?? I got 44!!
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sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#119551
I took the over 44
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WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
SBR Posting Legend
03-18-10
13389
#119552
Gl paco
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decado
SBR MVP
08-23-10
2392
#119553
paco, i'm on the over.
let's settle for 45?
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Cuse4tw
SBR MVP
03-16-10
2895
#119554
gl paco....on other side.
someone will be perfect tonight.
ill leave the thread...gl boys
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Hexum
SBR High Roller
01-02-11
216
#119555
yea i took the under at 44.5....its 44 across the board where did you get it at 45.5?
either way i love the under here
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SwisherSweet420
SBR Wise Guy
01-18-10
922
#119556
already things getting interesting
sbr
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sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#119557
hmm.. interesting
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latinrus
SBR Posting Legend
08-01-10
11188
#119558
Stupid challenge IMO!
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therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#119559
good luck paco!
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curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#119560
Originally posted by curious
I like Seattle ML and Seattle/New Orleans OVER 45 1/2