Exactly, just received his mail and 2 unofficials series today, Baltimore and Houston!
Comment
arconite
SBR High Roller
05-05-09
141
#1019
I just want to let you know that for May 28th, we have 2 unofficial
betting series if you wish to make wagers on them. These 2 betting
series are unofficial because the RPI difference between the two
teams are just two great. However, do note that we are undefeated
in all unofficial betting series so far this year!
The unofficial betting series are on Baltimore and Houston. Both
will begin at the [A] bets.
both are unofficial plays according to JM
Comment
tomY2501
SBR Rookie
05-18-10
25
#1020
hy, when will be next matches? i know i asked that a couple of times, but i just wanna know, to win some money
Comment
harry
SBR Sharp
10-15-09
273
#1021
Originally posted by tomY2501
hy, when will be next matches? i know i asked that a couple of times, but i just wanna know, to win some money
Check here everyday, if there any any plays they will be posted.
Comment
knugen
SBR MVP
12-09-09
2612
#1022
Reed the post before yours tomy, there is 2 games today on Baltimore and Houston but Both are unofficial, which means tjat u play on your own risk, i'm gonna play à small amount o them!
Comment
tomY2501
SBR Rookie
05-18-10
25
#1023
naaaah, i dont wanna that i wanna something safe, like JM matches on may 24th
Comment
SportsAddict
Restricted User
05-18-10
250
#1024
Comment
knugen
SBR MVP
12-09-09
2612
#1025
Nothing is safe My friend
Comment
tomY2501
SBR Rookie
05-18-10
25
#1026
i wanna matches from knugen i won last ticket thanks to him, he wrote here what to play, he wrote it first
Comment
harry
SBR Sharp
10-15-09
273
#1027
Originally posted by tomY2501
i wanna matches from knugen i won last ticket thanks to him, he wrote here what to play, he wrote it first
The problem with that is the RPI can change making some plays that would have been official unofficial, and vice versa... if you check each day then you won't place any bets by mistake or anything like that. They will always be posted by someone very early so there is no chance you will miss out
I meant to quote your other post lol
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#1028
Originally posted by harry
The problem with that is the RPI can change making some plays that would have been official unofficial, and vice versa... if you check each day then you won't place any bets by mistake or anything like that. They will always be posted by someone very early so there is no chance you will miss out
I meant to quote your other post lol
while you're on that subject, if a play is off. on the A bet, and the rpi should change the B & C plays to unoff. status, we're still suppose to continue w/ that series since it started off as off., is that correct? i think we've had 1 situation like that so far.
Just so I get this right, IF Baltimore or Houston wins tonight then that would be a Version 3 play on Toronto or Cincinnati tomorrow correct?
Comment
harry
SBR Sharp
10-15-09
273
#1031
Originally posted by jphil
while you're on that subject, if a play is off. on the A bet, and the rpi should change the B & C plays to unoff. status, we're still suppose to continue w/ that series since it started off as off., is that correct? i think we've had 1 situation like that so far.
Yer i guess so... once a play has been called I think that's it... you chase! What was the situation already?? Either way, when a bet has gone past an A bet, JM has sent the subsequent e-mail out
Originally posted by stevex
Just so I get this right, IF Baltimore or Houston wins tonight then that would be a Version 3 play on Toronto or Cincinnati tomorrow correct?
As long as they are 0.25 RPI ahead of their opponent then yep
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#1032
Originally posted by Kev the Brit
Zigo, I disagree that the player should lay off with low odds. The team is destined to win (or lose) regardless of the odds. The bookies adjust odds to encourage or discourage betting on a particular line. They do not always adjust them to reflect the probable outcome. In many cases it is simply a case of reacting to the betting (ie JM system). IMHO, when the odds only reflect the betting, the player should reduce his target, such that his exposure at the C bet is about the same in all series (as in the case of the Cubs). Where I would lay off, though, is when the probability of the swept team avoiding a 2nd sweep is quite low. Therefore, I would recommend the following 2 simple filters to avoid the disaster of the Giants and the near disaster of the Cubs: the swept team must have an RPI greater than the opponent by at least .02 and must be at home. Now, this will reduce betting opportunities but there will be fewer B and C Bets, which means that the series target can be increased, even with low odds, because the probabality of the named team winning one from three is very high. Just my 2 cents. I played the Giants and Cubs, but reduced my target with the Cubs because the odds did not reflect the probable outcome. JM followers clearly pushed the odds down. The Cubs offence played well, Ted Lilley and the outfield were poor. Thankfully, the guy who twice screwed up in the left outfield was the guy who ran in the winning run. His dinner will taste better tonight.
Regards
Kev
kev: they seem like nice acceptable filters.
any thoughts on fading certain teams at times for more plays, when the swept team hasn't met your 2 filters. for instance tonight, w/ the 2 unofficials, both tor. & cinn. have rpi's of .04 & above the swept teams & are at home? Or would the possibility of v3's the next game be a factor?
Comment
jose21_us
SBR MVP
05-24-10
3844
#1033
A lil off subject anyone knows what happen to jm buffet picks?
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#1034
Originally posted by jose21_us
A lil off subject anyone knows what happen to jm buffet picks?
Quote:
Originally Posted by jphil
while you're on that subject, if a play is off. on the A bet, and the rpi should change the B & C plays to unoff. status, we're still suppose to continue w/ that series since it started off as off., is that correct? i think we've had 1 situation like that so far.
Yer i guess so... once a play has been called I think that's it... you chase! What was the situation already?? Either way, when a bet has gone past an A bet, JM has sent the subsequent e-mail out
not sure harry. didn't keep track of the rpi change, but i'm pretty sure there was at least one.
Comment
stickbit
SBR Sharp
03-09-08
265
#1036
What's strange is why wait until after Hou or Balt win a game to fade (i.e. V3 system)...why not start tonight and take Toronto and Cincy? Seems like a good idea to start on game 1...I'm on the fade.
Comment
JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#1037
anyone playing Balt or Houston..
Comment
jose21_us
SBR MVP
05-24-10
3844
#1038
yes that was it thanks. and i am also on balt and houston.
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#1039
Originally posted by stickbit
What's strange is why wait until after Hou or Balt win a game to fade (i.e. V3 system)...why not start tonight and take Toronto and Cincy? Seems like a good idea to start on game 1...I'm on the fade.
I agree!
Comment
Morgan
SBR Rookie
12-04-09
11
#1040
Originally posted by stickbit
What's strange is why wait until after Hou or Balt win a game to fade (i.e. V3 system)...why not start tonight and take Toronto and Cincy? Seems like a good idea to start on game 1...I'm on the fade.
Toronto and Cincy wins. Now take Hou and Balt.
Comment
sportsbetwin
SBR Wise Guy
03-07-09
745
#1041
You would hve done very well last year doing this.
Comment
tomY2501
SBR Rookie
05-18-10
25
#1042
so, what to play for today? is there anything?
Comment
SolidDala
SBR MVP
12-14-09
1696
#1043
Think BOS 4th june is the closest play, at least if you read the list on page 16-17 something...
Comment
dukipl
SBR Sharp
04-08-09
376
#1044
both unofficial plays going to b bet
Comment
stickbit
SBR Sharp
03-09-08
265
#1045
Tor and Cincy ez. Good luck reversing and taking Houston and Balt guys...two of the shittiest teams in the league.
Comment
tomY2501
SBR Rookie
05-18-10
25
#1046
so, what should i play? which team and what type, win or +1.5? can someone write me that please, thank you
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#1047
it will change now for baltimore, they just informed the team they need to score more runs than the opponent to win, they were just mixed up that's all. they will be ok now i am pretty sure of it. it wasn't their fault before.
Comment
RaRhythm24
SBR Sharp
05-22-10
374
#1048
Originally posted by Kelloggs
Added: Phi-Nym 6/8 Ari-Col 4/6
Great schedule, just to make sure i have this right!!! this schedule is your plays that you like for the season?
Comment
Matweizman
SBR High Roller
04-28-10
199
#1049
Mmm mmm, unoficial parlay time !!!
Comment
knugen
SBR MVP
12-09-09
2612
#1050
**** 2 C bet tonight, atleast 1 of them Will Lose i think !