Tony Chau's NFL for baseball picks

[rkelly110]

Back by popular demand, with reluctance (because I never did this from the start), I will post picks.

Last year I did a 3 game chase. This year I will just post the qualifying picks, you can chase if you want.
Last year from mid Aug until the end of the season, we hit a 70% win rate. Chasing, we hit a 98% win rate.

Here's the link from last year. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ystem-mlb.html

Qualifying pick are teams that lost 3 SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread).
Bet the team on the ML (money line) if the favorite or bet the +RL (run line) if a dog.

Today's play is KC +RL. Good luck.

[imotiv8]

Nice! Let's get it

[brainfreeze]

Wasn't texas 0-3 .. ? They're smashing everything 8-0

[2Shirts]

Wasn't Texas 0-3 - continue the thought would love to hear. So they won't win a game - just projecting out on assumption.

Wasn't texas 0-3 .. ? They're smashing everything 8-0

[2Shirts]

FACT they are 0-3 against the Indians. think

[brainfreeze]

Qualifying pick are teams that lost 3 SU (straight up)
k.

This is why i referenced texas 2shirts

[rkelly110]

Off to a good start. KC comes through as a big dog.

I originally had Tex. They lost 3 SU, but one game was by one run as a dog so that didn't qualify. As you can see,
they pounded their opponent. Hope you cashed.

1-0

[rkelly110]

Today's play is SF ML

I will only be posting the same team 3 times. If they can't win a game with the +RL or ML after 6 tries (3 before we bet them) I will not be posting them again for the season.

[rkelly110]

SF lost.

1-1

Today's plays are:

SF (B) ML early game
HOU ML early game

Sunday's were good to us last year, let's get 'em!

[crackerjack]

Good luck. I like both these picks today and the idea of the chase in general

[rkelly110]

Good luck. I like both these picks today and the idea of the chase in general

Good luck to you also. Most people don't like chases which is why I'm not going to emphasize it. We had a 70%
straight bet season, as small as it was, last year. I'll leave it up to the individual to do the chasing.

[rkelly110]

Good day yesterday.

Houston pulls out a win in 12 innings having us guessing. San Fran gives us a no problem (B) win.

No plays today.

Record is 3-1

[rkelly110]

Two games today.

Clev ML early game (odds really low I will bet -RL)
Tor ML

GL

[brainfreeze]

Off to a good start. KC comes through as a big dog.

I originally had Tex. They lost 3 SU, but one game was by one run as a dog so that didn't qualify. As you can see,
they pounded their opponent. Hope you cashed.

1-0

[rkelly110]

Indians pulled out a win.......barely.

2 plays for today:

STL +RL early game
TOR (B) ML (low odds again)

Record is 4-2

GL

[jcygts6]

Thanks let's get these!

[rkelly110]

STL gave us an easy SU win with nice ML odds.

Today's plays:

PIT +RL early game
TOR (C)

Record is 5-3

[jcygts6]

Thanks letsss goo!

[rkelly110]

Well, Toronto sucked an egg. They will no longer be on my list. They've only won one game so far this year.
Sorry for those who chased.

Pirates almost pulled us out a SU win, but we'll take a +RL win.

3 games need their info updated to see if we have a play, so far we don't.

SU record so far is 6-4.

[jcygts6]

Yup jays are struggling big time

[rkelly110]

2 games for today.

CLEV ML early game
LAA ML

GL

[jcygts6]

Thanks!

[rkelly110]

Cleveland kicked major butt yesterday. LAA couldn't pull it off. Toronto finally won one.

3 plays for today:

LAA (B) ML or +RL depending on your book. Early game.
ARI +RL early game
OAK ML early game Rained out canceled

Sundays have been good for us, let's get 'em!

SU record 7-5

[skyblue0x]

Did you end up playing both RL and ML for LAA?

[rkelly110]

Did you end up playing both RL and ML for LAA?

No. My book had them as a dog and I bet the +RL. Winner!

I'm confused as to why OAK was taken off the board.

[skyblue0x]

Rain out so they rescheduled someday.

[rkelly110]

Rain out so they rescheduled someday.

Thanks sky. Edited my post above.

[skyblue0x]

I like this system a lot. It hard enough to win 50% of the games, why not just try to win 25 or 40% and get a profit. Many times played a team and they lost and they win the next one lol. I have never applied in baseball so hope it all goes well for us. I'll keep an eye on this thread. If the team is decent and gives a shit then they will play hard and win during the chase. At end of season it not a big difference between the top team and near the bottom teams. Just need your guidance on when to play the RL or ML.

What you think if Texas and St Louis next?

[boycali01]

end up pick ML for laa. ready for stl and cubs tomorrow

[rkelly110]

My book had LAA as a dog and I bet the +RL for a win, but looking at the matchups this morning, they were the fav.
You guys can bet them if you wish, if you bet the ML.

STL as stated above, won on the +RL and is not a play today. Play at your own risk.

Today's plays are:

SD +RL
CHC ML
OAK ML (caution, TEX has lost 3 also, but doesn't qualify)

SU record 9-5

GL

[boycali01]

so the tex and stl won the RL (ats) in last 3 games right?

[rkelly110]

so the tex and stl won the RL (ats) in last 3 games right?

Yes.

[PokeyAristocrat]

Wow rkelly, thanks for posting. In your experience have you found this system to be profitable?

[rkelly110]

SD gave us a win on the +RL, Cubs lost and OAK got creamed by TEX.

SBR odds haven't updated, but found a new play of the ones that were. Will update if we have more.

Today's plays are:

CHC (B) ML
NYM ML
OAK (B) ML or +RL depending on your book

Let's get these.

Record is 10-7

[rkelly110]

Wow rkelly, thanks for posting. In your experience have you found this system to be profitable?

Started this last year mid Aug. Was down over 30 units. Ran it until the end of regular season and came out plus units. So far I'm up 6 units. This is my 1st year playing this from the start so tread lightly.