how to bet preseason baseball

Rainman328 · 03-11-10, 03:26 PM

i might be wrong here, but all i do is realize the fact that these guys simply don't care about the outcome, so i just bet underdogs with better spring records, since maybe that indicates that they work harder...? it worked last year and so far this year

BigPapa62 · 03-11-10, 05:38 PM

I couldnt help ya out on this one spring ball is a crap shoot

KingJIM · 03-11-10, 06:02 PM

My 2 cents for you is Don't bet on it.

Ian · 03-11-10, 07:12 PM

I'm just hypothesizing here, but if you could find out which players are actually going to play in something like a split squad game you may be able to find an edge.

As an aside, a guy from another forum used to blindly bet dogs in preseason based on the presumption that no team should be a big dog because none of the players are playing their best in spring training. I went back and looked at how his system would have done over the previous two years of spring training (I did this in '06), and his system lost big.

Terrapin Station · 03-11-10, 10:02 PM

The only Spring Training games I bet on, are ones where I can see the posted lineup ahead of time, from a confirmed source. I also like to see just how many pitches they plan to let the SP go. Capping Spring games is a decent amount of work, but I think you can get some fairly decent value at certain times.

GL

rob11234 · 03-11-10, 10:47 PM

I can't really imagine betting on a spring training game, but I guess I would look at teams where a lot of players are competing for roster positions. I would tend not to bet a team like my Yankees because almost everyone knows their role is already.

PatrickBateman · 03-11-10, 11:22 PM

Maybe just playing teams that are 1) normally not good in the regular season (ie- teams that are going to have players playing hard to get a roster spot) and 2) teams with good young talent...

TheBet · 03-12-10, 12:09 AM

Stay away from ST games.

sharpmoney · 03-12-10, 01:23 AM

Knowing who is in the starting lineup for that day would be quite an advantage since alot of these games have low lines. I don't bet st games though, just waiting for the regular season to get going. GL to you though.

ezmoney · 03-13-10, 09:51 AM

Stick with hot teams, SF and Tampa Bay, both 7-1.

EZ

IrishTim · 03-13-10, 10:31 AM

Information, information, information.

Jasonal_98 · 03-13-10, 06:14 PM

I actually bet 5 SBR points on any team that was +100 or higher today just to see what would happen. It went 3-2 with a nice little profit. May try it again tomorrow.