Saturday's Front Page Picks (Aug 25)

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Saturday's Front Page Picks (Aug 25)
    Blue Jays +121 at LA Angels

    Game Time: 08/25/2007 09:05 PM -
    By: Al McMordie | bigal.com

    Toronto's Shaun Marcum is rounding into the form that made him a highly valued prospect in the minors. Back the Blue Jays tonight on the road in Anaheim against the Angels.

    Our Saturday night MLB selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Los Angeles Angels out west in Anaheim.

    Shaun Marcum's success this season for Toronto should come as no surprise. Despite struggling in 2006 in his first big-league stint as a starter, the 25-year-old right-hander was a strikeout machine in the minors from 2003 through last year. It was only a matter of time before Marcum would start to blossom as a major leaguer. And that time has apparently come as Marcum looks like he will now be a fixture alongside Roy Halladay and AJ Burnette (assuming the latter can stay healthy) in the Toronto rotation for years to come.

    Marcum is 10-5 with an ERA of 3.65, WHIP of 1.12 and only 35 walks in over 130 innings. Don't look for him to return to the minors anytime soon.

    Similarly and at only 24-years-old, lefty Joe Saunders has also blossomed for the Angels this season. Saunders has shown great control, with only 19 walks in over 69 innings pitched so far. But Saunders does not overpower batters the way Marcum does, tallying only 39 strikeouts. And Saunders is merely a fill-in at this point, taking the place of oft-injured Bartolo Colon in the rotation. That is not to say that Saunders doesn't deserve to stay since Colon can't seem to stay healthy and Saunders has certainly earned the right.

    The Angels continue to play without their main sparkplug, 3B/OF Chone Figgins, who is nursing a sore wrist, and Los Angeles is doing everything they can not to put him on the DL. But he will probably miss this game tonight as well. Take Toronto.

    Free Pick: Blue Jays +121
  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #2
    NY Mets (-153) vs. LA Dodgers

    Game Time: 08/25/2007 03:55 PM -
    By: Scott Spreitzer | sportspic.com

    The Dodgers have had a tough time winning under the sun while the Mets have played well in day games. Nab New York as the home favorites today when they take on Los Angeles.

    These two teams are night-and-day in this situation. The Dodgers are well below .500 in road day games against right-handers, scoring an average of 3.6 runs per game. The Mets are excellent in home day games against southpaws, scoring just a shade under seven runs per game while cashing 71% of their outings.

    Orlando Hernandez gets the start for New York, which for the last eight trips to the mound has meant a win for the Mets. During the run, Hernandez has allowed just 17 earned runs and 54 base runners in 52.2 IP for a 2.90 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The righty also owns strong day numbers this season, including a 1.15 WHIP and .199 BAA.

    Look for the Mets to grab the afternoon win on Saturday.

    Free Pick: Mets -153
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Chicago Cubs (-114) at Arizona Diamondbacks

      Game Time: 08/25/2007 09:40 PM -
      By: Larry Cook | procappers.com

      With the Cubs 4-0 in left-hander Ted Lilly's most recent starts on the road, Chicago has the edge in this one out in the desert against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

      Ted Lilly hasn’t pitched up to par in his last two games, but we think highly of Lilly against an Arizona team not known for their hitting.

      Plus Lilly faces Yusmeiro Petit who is 0-2 in his last three starts with a terrible 10.54 ERA. Arizona is hitting .249 this season. Lilly fares better on the road than he does at home also. The Cubs are 4-0 in Lilly’s last four road starts. The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Petit’s last five starts as an underdog.

      This matchup favors the Cubs very well tonight. Bet Chicago.

      Free Pick: Cubs -114
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        Cincinnati Reds -108 vs Marlins

        Game Time: 08/25/2007 07:10 PM -
        By: Nelly's Sportsline | playbook.com

        The Reds are hitting over .300 their last 10 games and catch a struggling starting pitcher tonight in Marlins righty Sergio Mitre. Cash on Cincinnati at home in this one vs. Florida.

        The Reds have won seven of the last 10 games and the team is hitting .318 in that span. The Reds are scoring 6.5 runs per game in the last two weeks and Cincinnati catches a struggling Marlins team.

        Florida had lost eight consecutive games before winning in St. Louis on Thursday. After a strong start to the season, Florida starter Sergio Mitre is now struggling as well. Mitre has an ERA of 7.36 in the last six starts and the Marlins have lost in his last two outings.

        Matt Belisle is likely to return for the Reds and he can pitch well enough for the Cincinnati offense to take over.

        Free Pick: Reds -108
        Comment
        • Willie Bee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-14-06
          • 15726

          #5
          Red Sox -125 at Chicago White Sox

          Game Time: 08/25/2007 03:55 PM -
          By: Joe Gavazzi | thegreengorilla.com

          Boston's Tim Wakefield has been in fine form of late while Chicago's Mark Buehrle has struggled. Back the Red Sox this afternoon when they face the White Sox in the Windy City.

          Tim Wakefield has been one of the most formidable pitchers in the majors since his days long ago with the Pittsburgh Pirates. One look at the knuckle baller's strike out to walk ratio and it’s a good bet to predict his current form.

          In this case, it’s been awesome. In his last two starts he has an 11-3 K/BB ratio. It’s no surprise that in those 15 IP he has allowed just six hits and no eared runs.

          His mound opponent today, Chicago's Mark Buehrle, is in totally opposite form, mirroring the plight of the Pale Hose. In his last three starts totaling 16 IP, he has allowed 28 baserunners and 12 ER. Is it a coincidence that this came shortly after he signed a contract extension? It certainly doesn’t figure to get any better against the big bats of the Bosox. Yet, because of his name, this line has stayed within reason.

          The fact the Red Sox outscored Chicago by a combined 21-4 in Friday’s doubleheader speaks volumes about the motivation of these teams. A proud team might bounce back from yesterday’s home field humiliation. I just don’t see the White Sox having it in them.

          Free Pick: Red Sox -125
          Comment
          • Willie Bee
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-14-06
            • 15726

            #6
            Mariners -122 at Texas Rangers

            Game Time: 08/25/2007 08:35 PM -
            By: Dave Price | procappers.com

            Horacio Ramirez, Seattle's left-handed starter tonight, has fashioned an 8-4 record this season. Make your play on the Mariners this evening in Texas against the Rangers.

            Horacio Ramirez doesn’t have the best ERA in the league, but his 8-4 record shows you the kind of run support he is getting from his mates.

            The Mariners are averaging 7.3 runs per game in Ramirez’ 15 starts this season. Seattle is scorching hot at the plate right now so look for this trend to continue. The Mariners are swinging for a .331 average in their last 10 games.

            The Rangers are hitting .259 on the season to compare those numbers a bit. The Rangers are only 4-9 in their last 13 games as an underdog. Take Seattle.

            Free Pick: Mariners -122
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              Play Phillies (-124) vs SD Padres

              Game Time: 08/25/2007 07:05 PM -
              By: Vernon Croy | 10starpicks.com

              The Phillies, playing at home in Citizens Bank Park, have the pitching advantage tonight behind right-hander Kyle Lohse. Back Philadelphia versus the San Diego Padres.

              The Phillies have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight with Kyle Lohse (7-12, ERA 4.61) who has an ERA of just 2.86 over his 10 home starts this season. Lohse has also lasted an average of 6.9 innings per start at home this season while walking just 14 batters over 69.1 innings.

              The Padres send Clay Hensley (2-3, ERA 7.58) to the mound who has an ERA of 9.76 over his three road starts this season. The Phillies' ballpark is a hitters park and Hensley's road ERA just gets worse tonight against this Phillies ball club that is hitting .278 at home this season while averaging 5.4 runs per game.

              Free Pick: Phillies -124
              Comment
              • Willie Bee
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-14-06
                • 15726

                #8
                Red Sox -118 at Chicago White Sox

                Game Time: 08/25/2007 03:55 PM -
                By: Jeff Alexander | procappers.com

                Boston has some hot sticks going on offense and knuckleball hurler Tim Wakefield on the mound this afternoon. Back the Red Sox on the road in Chicago against the White Sox.

                Boston absolutely killed the struggling White Sox in the first two games of this series. Look for the bats to stay hot in the Red Sox’ dugout while the White Sox stay in their slump.

                Knuckle-baller Tim Wakefield takes the ball for Boston and good things usually happen when he does. He is 15-10 on the year and 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts. Boston is 5-0 in their last five meetings with the White Sox. They are hitting 30 points better on average than Chicago as well.

                The Red Sox just have too much offensive firepower for Chicago keep this one close. Take Boston.

                Free Pick: Red Sox -118
                Comment
                • onlooker
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 36572

                  #9
                  I have to disagree with Nelly's Sportsline. I am on the Marlins at EVEN money.
                  Comment
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