Home Run Predictions for August 21

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4083

    #1
    Home Run Predictions for August 21
    The daily SBR home run predictions cashed Kyle Schwarber (+230) on Wednesday and Sean Tomlinson takes the wheel on Thursday with his best home run bets for August 21st:

    Jose Altuve to hit a home run (+950 via bet365)
    Cody Bellinger to hit a home run (+560 via FanDuel)
    Junior Caminero to hit a home run (+330 via FanDuel)
    Freddie Freeman to hit a home run (+330 via FanDuel)

    Parlay odds: +114685 via FanDuel ($10 to win $11,468.59)

    Best Bet: Jose Altuve (Astros) to hit a home run (+950 bet365)

    "We're getting an eye-popping price for Altuve to launch one from our best MLB betting sites today, though there's still a chasm between the top and bottom of the market.

    That's why you need to be sure to roll with bet365, which is offering +950. Several of our other best sports betting sites are down around +850 before a significant drop off to DraftKings at +700 and FanDuel at +600.

    To varying degrees with the books all over the map, those prices make the pint-sized slugger a long shot to go yard tonight. That's happening perhaps in part because Altuve's Astros are beginning a four-game series in Oriole Park at Camden Yards, which suppresses home runs to righties due to its generous dimensions in left field. It ranks 22nd in dingers allowed to righties this season, according to the park factors at Baseball Savant.

    However, the thing about Oriole Park at Camden Yards is that the Orioles play there, and their constantly imploding pitching staff can make any ballpark look small on a given night, especially when Altuve is involved. He's posted a .985 OPS over his last two weeks (12 games) with a .295 batting average and four home runs.

    And he'll get to tee off on a team that's allowed the sixth-most home runs leaguewide and enters tonight with MLB's fifth-worst ERA (4.65). It's an evening that will start with Brandon Young on the mound for Baltimore. He was impressive against these same Astros last time out, but Young gave up six earned runs to the Athletics the start prior, and his ERA sits at 5.68."
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65657

    #2
    According to RotoWire, Judge has a 50/50 chance of hitting one out tonight.
    I'm going to take another shot with a deep sleeper pick.
    Carlos Cortez of the Athletics is more than capable of launching one at Target tonight.

    8/21

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    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 4083

      #3
      Most bet props (tickets) at BetMGM on Thursday:
      1. Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home runs +750
      2. Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home runs +400
      3. Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home runs +475
      4. Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home runs +575
      5. Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home runs +375


      Most bet home run props at DraftKings on Thursday:

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