SBR's Dustin Saracini hit both his Monday NRFI bets and is back with his best No Run First Inning (NRFI) bets for Tuesday, June 24th (33-22, +6,55 YTD):
Athletics vs Detroit Tigers (-160 at FanDuel)
Luis Severino (4.42 ERA) vs. Tarik Skubal (2.06 ERA)
NRFI record: Athletics (38-42) vs. Tigers (36-43)
"Surprise, surprise, we're backing our boy Skubal - the AL Cy Young odds favorite - once again.
However, he's not the reason we love this play, it's Severino who sold me in this spot. The Tigers have a difficult time with the big righty, owning just a .195 xBA and .281 xwOBA against him while striking out at a 30% clip. We all know what Skubal brings to the table, but it's Severino who we fully trust to help us get six simple outs as part of our best NRFI bets today. Let's ride with him."
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins (-111 at FanDuel)
Luis Castillo (3.38 ERA) vs. Chris Paddack (4.48 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (34-43) vs. Twins (34-44)
"Here we are, once again, betting a NRFI on two of the best YRFI teams in baseball. I love to live on the wild side, and you should too. We cashed this play last night, and it just feels right to run it back in this specific matchup.
I'm a sucker for a large sample size, and both of these pitchers fit the bill. Over 103 plate appearances, Castillo has consistently got the best of this Twins team, and that includes Byron Buxton (0-for-3), Matt Wallner (1-for-7), and Trevor Larnach (4-for-15) - and they all strike out at a 26% rate or more when up against the Mariners ace. We'll take that as part of our best NRFI bets today.
In the Twins' dugout, it's the same story with Paddack, who's held J.P. Crawford, Cal Raleigh, and Julio Rodriguez to a collective 4-for-19 over his career. As for the rest of the Mariners' lineup? They own a .216 batting average while striking out at a 30% clip. That'll play. Let's sweep another handful of NRFIs today."
Athletics vs Detroit Tigers (-160 at FanDuel)
Luis Severino (4.42 ERA) vs. Tarik Skubal (2.06 ERA)
NRFI record: Athletics (38-42) vs. Tigers (36-43)
"Surprise, surprise, we're backing our boy Skubal - the AL Cy Young odds favorite - once again.
However, he's not the reason we love this play, it's Severino who sold me in this spot. The Tigers have a difficult time with the big righty, owning just a .195 xBA and .281 xwOBA against him while striking out at a 30% clip. We all know what Skubal brings to the table, but it's Severino who we fully trust to help us get six simple outs as part of our best NRFI bets today. Let's ride with him."
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins (-111 at FanDuel)
Luis Castillo (3.38 ERA) vs. Chris Paddack (4.48 ERA)
NRFI record: Mariners (34-43) vs. Twins (34-44)
"Here we are, once again, betting a NRFI on two of the best YRFI teams in baseball. I love to live on the wild side, and you should too. We cashed this play last night, and it just feels right to run it back in this specific matchup.
I'm a sucker for a large sample size, and both of these pitchers fit the bill. Over 103 plate appearances, Castillo has consistently got the best of this Twins team, and that includes Byron Buxton (0-for-3), Matt Wallner (1-for-7), and Trevor Larnach (4-for-15) - and they all strike out at a 26% rate or more when up against the Mariners ace. We'll take that as part of our best NRFI bets today.
In the Twins' dugout, it's the same story with Paddack, who's held J.P. Crawford, Cal Raleigh, and Julio Rodriguez to a collective 4-for-19 over his career. As for the rest of the Mariners' lineup? They own a .216 batting average while striking out at a 30% clip. That'll play. Let's sweep another handful of NRFIs today."