Fading big favorites

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  • Dark Horse
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-05
    • 13764

    #1
    Fading big favorites
    Was looking at favorites of -200 or more for the season. Turns out they are only 54-33 to date. Without BOS, CLE, MIL (three division leaders) that number improves to 39-30. And when you take out the NYY it comes down to 28-26!

    The 2006 season record was 162-84, which translates into a profitable season for dog bettors. In 2005 this was not a good approach with a 199-83 record for favorites -200 or more.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    A year like last year was a like the midas touch on everything for dog bettors.
    Comment
    • Dark Horse
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-14-05
      • 13764

      #3
      Do you think the MLB tone for this is established early in the season, so that the 54-33 can pretty much be expected to continue? Or would large favorites do better in the second half of the season?
      Comment
      • BuddyBear
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-10-05
        • 7233

        #4
        you know the units that correspond to that record DH?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Let me find the article I wrote last week. The data is now a week old, but the point remains the same.
          Comment
          • Dark Horse
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-14-05
            • 13764

            #6
            BBD, and I think 2005 was a good year for favorites in the NFL as well. Probably a stretch, but what if MLB and NFL seasons run more or less parallel in that sense? (I didn't really bet baseball so I wouldn't know).

            I don't BB.

            Look forward to it LT.
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