Don't bet much baseball, but CURIOUS if anyone has ever done this?

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  • Peyton2MarvinN06
    SBR MVP
    • 09-25-06
    • 1352

    #1
    Don't bet much baseball, but CURIOUS if anyone has ever done this?
    I was just curious to find out if anyone has ever wagered on 1 team specifically EVERY GAME of the season... I was thinking if you bet a .5 unit or a unit on either the Red Sox or Yankees for the whole season you could come out pretty decent... You figure both teams will win atleast 95 games... So 95-67 for the season, that would be +28 units or +14 units depending on how you bet it... I was just thinking that this might be something interesting to do... Would love to hear anyone's thoughts or stories if you have actually done this for a whole season!

    Someone should start a poll on who everyone's favorite team is on SBR! My favorite team has always been the Atlanta Braves!

  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #2
    Problem is, the Yankees are ALWAYS the favorite... seeing them at -200 or more is very, very common. I actually think you'd probably lose on the season overall, since the lines are so skewed against these guys.
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Originally posted by Peyton2MarvinN06
      My favorite team has always been the Atlanta Braves!
      I'm sorry to hear that

      'Stros fan here Also grew up a Texas Aggie and Houston Oilers fan, so I learned about losing at a very early age

      You'd probably make more money betting the Braves every game this year than you would betting the Yankees or BoSox every game.
      Comment
      • BuddyBear
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-10-05
        • 7233

        #4
        Betting the Yankees and the Redsoxs every game does not exactly present much value.....they could have great records yet lead you to the poor house real quick.
        Comment
        • onlooker
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 36572

          #5
          Yep. They are mostly over -200, and sometimes get over -300 and -400 at times. Not good value at all.
          Comment
          • imgv94
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-16-05
            • 17192

            #6
            Are you talking about doubling up after they lose..
            Comment
            • trustbutverify
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-12-07
              • 221

              #7
              Check the ROI for every MLB team season to season for as far back as you can find. In fact, check it for every sport. No statistically significant carryover. If you do happen to find a reliable predictor please- let me know immediately.
              Comment
              • VegasDave
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-07
                • 8056

                #8
                Originally posted by imgv94
                Are you talking about doubling up after they lose..
                Haha not martingale again!

                Doubling-up-til-you-profit-a-unit on -250 to -400 odds should break you faster than just about anything
                Comment
                • seaborneq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 22556

                  #9
                  You would come out better betting the +200-+1000 betting they would lose the 60+ games both teams are going to lose in my opinion. You would lose a lot buy when you hit it would be very big. I have seen the Rays +1000 against the Yanks and win. It is possible.
                  Comment
                  • RickySteve
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-31-06
                    • 3415

                    #10
                    Originally posted by onlòóker
                    Yep. They are mostly over -200, and sometimes get over -300 and -400 at times. Not good value at all.
                    Yankees haven't been over -380 in the last 4 seasons.
                    Comment
                    • RickySteve
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-31-06
                      • 3415

                      #11
                      Originally posted by seaborneq
                      I have seen the Rays +1000 against the Yanks and win. It is possible.
                      Hilarious stuff. Where do you people come from?
                      Comment
                      • onlooker
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 36572

                        #12
                        Originally posted by RickySteve
                        Yankees haven't been over -380 in the last 4 seasons.
                        Oh my bad. -380 at times.
                        Comment
                        • Illusion
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-09-05
                          • 25166

                          #13
                          Originally posted by seaborneq
                          I have seen the Rays +1000 against the Yanks and win. It is possible.
                          I have never even seen a reverse runline close to that.
                          Comment
                          • onlooker
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 36572

                            #14
                            Sometimes it seems the Devil Rays should be +1000 at times, but I dont recall seeing anything that high.

                            Tampa Bay always plays the Yankees tough, so thats something to remember durning the season.
                            Comment
                            • Razz
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-22-05
                              • 5632

                              #15
                              It might be successful with a team like Milwaukee or Cleveland. The key is finding the right team, and frankly, if you were going to do that, I'd just bet their team win total over.
                              Betting on the Royals every game will almost certainly return more of a profit/less of a loss than betting on the Yankees every game.
                              Comment
                              • goldengoat
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-05
                                • 3239

                                #16
                                i don't bet baseball much but yanks are public team #1 and are priced as such

                                devil rays backers made some good $ last year and a half over yanks til yanks finally put it on them

                                this is not a good idea at all
                                Comment
                                • bigboydan
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 55420

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RickySteve
                                  Yankees haven't been over -380 in the last 4 seasons.
                                  Are you sure about that Ricky, because I thought there was a -400 dog last year.
                                  Comment
                                  • JED
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-01-05
                                    • 108

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by seaborneq
                                    I have seen the Rays +1000 against the Yanks

                                    ..funny stuff, wish it was true
                                    Comment
                                    • RickySteve
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 01-31-06
                                      • 3415

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by bigboydan
                                      Are you sure about that Ricky, because I thought there was a -400 dog last year.
                                      The last favorite to close at -400 was STL back in 2004. It's certainly possible that the Yankees touched -400 at some point last year, but -370 was as high as they closed.
                                      Comment
                                      • Peyton2MarvinN06
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-25-06
                                        • 1352

                                        #20
                                        Thanks for the input on this one guys... Guess I wasn't really considerin having to lay all the juice with the heavy favs... I'll probably just sit back and try to make plays based on most of you guys... I love baseball, but have never been that big on betting on it because of soo many fvckin games! Anyways, thanks again for the input and hopefully we can make some CASH this season!

                                        Best of luck to everyone!

                                        Comment
                                        • tacomax
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 9619

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by bigboydan
                                          Are you sure about that Ricky, because I thought there was a -400 dog last year.
                                          There definitely was. Maybe not at all books, maybe not the closing number, but I definitely saw the Yankees at a -400 favourite last season. If you're talking pre-match lines at Bodog then sure, but if you're talking closing lines at Pinnacle then possibly not.
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                                          SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
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                                          Comment
                                          • thezbar
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-29-06
                                            • 6422

                                            #22
                                            The yankees were -425 one Friday night against the royals early last season.They opened that homestand with a rain delayed loss.The score was around 7/5
                                            Comment
                                            • RickySteve
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-31-06
                                              • 3415

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by thezbar
                                              The yankees were -425 one Friday night against the royals early last season.They opened that homestand with a rain delayed loss.The score was around 7/5
                                              According to Covers, the Yankees were -370 that day.
                                              Comment
                                              • imgv94
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-16-05
                                                • 17192

                                                #24
                                                Which book does Covers use for their closing lines?
                                                Comment
                                                • dirtyjock
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 09-09-06
                                                  • 263

                                                  #25
                                                  I was looking if u only bet the Yanks when they are a dog u still lose money.
                                                  09/20/06 @ TOR L 2-3 S. Henn (L) R. Halladay (R) L 217
                                                  08/27/06 @ LAA W 11-8 J. Karstens (R) J. Saunders (L) W 100
                                                  08/25/06 @ LAA L 5-6 J. Wright (R) J. Lackey (R) L 119
                                                  08/20/06 @ BOS W 8-5 M. Mussina (R) C. Schilling (R) W 100
                                                  08/18/06 @ BOS W 14-11 S. Ponson (R) J. Lester (L) W 121
                                                  07/21/06 @ TOR L 3-7 J. Wright (R) A. Burnett (R) L 120
                                                  07/20/06 @ TOR L 4-5 M. Mussina (R) R. Halladay (R) L 122
                                                  07/04/06 @ CLE L 1-19 S. Chacon (R) J. Westbrook (R) L 101
                                                  06/21/06 @ PHI W 5-0 J. Wright (R) C. Hamels (L) W 119
                                                  06/08/06 BOS L 3-9 C. Schilling (R) J. Wright (R) L 133
                                                  06/01/06 @ DET L 6-7 C. Wang (R) J. Verlander (R) L 131
                                                  05/30/06 @ DET W 11-6 A. Small (R) R. Colon (R) W 105
                                                  05/29/06 @ DET W 4-0 R. Johnson (L) J. Bonderman (R) W 103
                                                  05/24/06 @ BOS W 8-6 R. Johnson (L) M. Clement (R) W 121
                                                  05/23/06 @ BOS W 7-5 J. Wright (R) T. Wakefield (R) W 138
                                                  05/22/06 @ BOS L 5-9 C. Wang (R) C. Schilling (R) L 147
                                                  05/21/06 @ NYM L 3-4 A. Small (R) T. Glavine (L) L 162
                                                  05/20/06 @ NYM W 5-4 M. Mussina (R) P. Martinez (R) W 128
                                                  04/28/06 TOR L 2-7 R. Halladay (R) J. Wright (R) L 103
                                                  04/15/06 @ MIN L 5-6 J. Wright (R) J. Santana (L) L 123

                                                  9-11
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thezbar
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-29-06
                                                    • 6422

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by RickySteve
                                                    According to Covers, the Yankees were -370 that day.
                                                    As I recall that number was quickly gone as fools like me layed the wood. At that time I had two books betcris and guardian both had the same number when I bet.[-425]
                                                    Yankees loaded the bases in the bottom on the ninth, but the game ended with a weak ground out
                                                    Comment
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