Ck's 2024 mlb thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • atthehalf
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-13
    • 4408

    #421
    Those who do have Juan Soto on roster-may want to keep him there as he is listed day to day and you don't want to have him on waivers or stashed or day trade him and he suddenly appears in the lineup. You will lose all kinds of money and your bookie will love you. I am only not using him in this format given the circumstances of his injury; which he underwent an MRI for yesterday
    Comment
    • atthehalf
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-13
      • 4408

      #422
      Bradish is on and Rodriguez has been moved to Sunday for the Orioles-so no go on that one for me. I am obviously keeping him on roster and firing away with him tomorrow. this is why it's very important to only go with LISTED
      Comment
      • atthehalf
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-13
        • 4408

        #423
        Yeah...naw I am gonna pass on the Wanderers. Miller has good numbers vs the Wanderers and there's no telling who the Giants will mix and match with after that. AI am going to keep Heaney on my 12 teamer however
        Comment
        • atthehalf
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-13
          • 4408

          #424
          Ok here's the condensed version of my moves for today-lots of changes with pitching, overpricing, you name it

          Rot.#912 Athletics+1.5 -125 Medina#21 1 UNIT
          Rot.#915 Sailors-135 ML Castillo#1 2 UNITS
          Rot.#915 Sailors (Castillo#1) OVER 5.5 K's +112 1 UNIT
          Rot.#909 Snakes+130 ML Nelson#27 (DNS) 2 UNITS
          Rot.#919 Astronauts-145 ML Brown#11 2 UNITS
          Rot.#919 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -122 1 UNIT
          Rot.#904 Nats+120 ML Gore#5 3 UNITS
          Rot.#903 Braves (Morton#14) OVER 6.5 K's +112 1 UNIT
          Rot.#901 Blunts Team Total OVER 5.5 -120 2 UNITS
          Rot.#901 Blunts/Metropolitans OVER 10 -110 1 UNIT
          Rot.#925 Brews (Peralta) OVER 6.5 K's -120 1 UNIT


          Comment
          • atthehalf
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-13
            • 4408

            #425
            232-238-12 +42.03 UNITS



            Wowzers! My studs on Saturday were barely making it to 5 frames and most if not all didn't record a 3-1 K/W ratio.

            Well aces gonna ace and I have that definition for Skubal, Ragans, Fried (who's taking the day off and is #2), Jones, and Imanaga.

            Imanaga has had a time of it recently and I don't expect for him to dominate the Red Leggins-but I do see both he and Montas going 5 frames or more and the Cubs prevailing because he gives them a chance.

            Zack Littlell throws very few waste pitches or mistakes and his pitch separation makes me want to rate him higher-but it's the Orioles-so although he didn't even crack to the top 2 tiers he is worth the investment if you have a 15 teamer and are looking to fill out your daily roster.

            Keaton Winn is making his first start back from the injured list and the Wanderers would like to not get swept by the Giants. Eovaldi is all stretched out now and ready. You should feel solid with this. Because this is a RL move you may want to wait until right up before game time in this format to be sure the listed arms are going-the Giants have a weird way of manipulating players much like the Brews

            My CRUMBS POD Streamer of the day is Mitch Spence of the Athletics. What's not to like? He will have less than 20% of use and although he didn't locate his cutter and slider that well his last time out-he has the stuff when those are on to dominate the middling offense of the Jays. this will be a bullpen game for the Jays so hopefully the A's can pick them apart with their bats. Rooker has some really good numbers vs the relievers for them

            I have to get out of here and go help set up for a cookout and get three picanha briskets rolling that I marinated overnight

            So let's dig right into it

            Rot.#976 Tigers (Skubal#1) OVER 7 K's -109 1 UNIT
            Rot.#964 Royals (Ragans#3) OVER 7.5 K's +111 1 UNIT
            Rot.#974 Buccos (Jones#4) OVER 6.5 K's +104 1 UNIT
            Rot.#955 Cubs-118 Imanaga#5 2 UNITS
            Rot.#961 Orioles/Ryas UNDER 4 FF -105 Rodriguez#6\Littell#20 1 UNIT
            Rot.#963 Sailors (Kirby#7) OVER 5.5 K's +114 1 UNIT
            Rot.#979 Dodgers/Bombers UNDER 4 -105 FF Glasnow#8/Gil#12 1 UNIT
            Rot.#972 Wanderers-1.5 +132 RL Eovaldi#9 3 UNITS
            Rot,#963 Sailors/Royals UNDER 4 -120 FF Kirby#7/Ragans#3 1 UNIT
            Rot.#973 Twins/Buccos UNDER 4 +100 FF 1 UNIT Ober#10/Jones#4 1 UNIT
            Rot.#968 Athletics+111 Spence#16 CRUMBS POD 3 UNITS


            Last edited by atthehalf; 06-09-24, 08:07 AM.
            Comment
            • atthehalf
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-13
              • 4408

              #426
              227-232-12 +40.43

              Rot.#912 Athletics+1.5 -125 Medina#21 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
              Rot.#915 Sailors-135 ML Castillo#1 2 UNITS LOSS -2.7 UNITS
              Rot.#915 Sailors (Castillo#1) OVER 5.5 K's +112 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
              Rot.#909 Snakes+130 ML Nelson#27 (DNS) 2 UNITS LOSS +2.0 UNITS
              Rot.#919 Astronauts-145 ML Brown#11 2 UNITS WIN +2 UNITS
              Rot.#919 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -122 1 UNIT WIN +1 UNITS
              Rot.#904 Nats+120 ML Gore#5 3 UNITS WIN +3.60 UNITS
              Rot.#903 Braves (Morton#14) OVER 6.5 K's +112 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
              Rot.#901 Blunts Team Total OVER 5.5 -120 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
              Rot.#901 Blunts/Metropolitans OVER 10 -110 1 UNIT LOSS -1.1 UNITS
              Rot.#925 Brews (Peralta) OVER 6.5 K's -120 1 UNIT LOSS -1.2 UNITS

              RECORD UPDATE

              232-238-12 +42.03 UNITS
              Comment
              • atthehalf
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-13
                • 4408

                #427
                Oh and overnight I stashed Jackson Jobe (Tigers) a prospect with top tier talent who's on the IL with a hamstring. I am estimating him to crack the big leagues around August 1st and take over the 5 starter spot for the big club. By getting him early I can use him as a 5X5 or on a 12 teamer straight out the gate and make a piss load of money for maybe two starts before the word gets around
                Comment
                • BOA12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-19-12
                  • 20622

                  #428
                  Originally posted by atthehalf
                  227-232-12 +40.43

                  Rot.#912 Athletics+1.5 -125 Medina#21 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                  Rot.#915 Sailors-135 ML Castillo#1 2 UNITS LOSS -2.7 UNITS
                  Rot.#915 Sailors (Castillo#1) OVER 5.5 K's +112 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                  Rot.#909 Snakes+130 ML Nelson#27 (DNS) 2 UNITS LOSS +2.0 UNITS
                  Rot.#919 Astronauts-145 ML Brown#11 2 UNITS WIN +2 UNITS
                  Rot.#919 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -122 1 UNIT WIN +1 UNITS
                  Rot.#904 Nats+120 ML Gore#5 3 UNITS WIN +3.60 UNITS
                  Rot.#903 Braves (Morton#14) OVER 6.5 K's +112 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                  Rot.#901 Blunts Team Total OVER 5.5 -120 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
                  Rot.#901 Blunts/Metropolitans OVER 10 -110 1 UNIT LOSS -1.1 UNITS
                  Rot.#925 Brews (Peralta) OVER 6.5 K's -120 1 UNIT LOSS -1.2 UNITS

                  RECORD UPDATE

                  232-238-12 +42.03 UNITS
                  Nice work, you get it.
                  Comment
                  • atthehalf
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-13
                    • 4408

                    #429
                    232-238-12 +45.99 UNITS


                    Strange but true-Burnes only has 10 at bats against him for the Rays and Ryan Pepiot has absolutely no at bats vs the Orioles. Despite the matchup Pepiot's 4 seamer is cooking so let him fly here with a nice and tasty FF UNDER and yes I am calling for the upset.



                    Rot.#901 Orioles/Rays UNDER FF NO LINE Burnes#1/Pepiot#5 1 UNIT
                    Rot.#902 Rays+130 Pepiot 2 UNITS


                    Check out these numbers and anyone can see why I am taking the FF UNDER for the Rox/Twins


                    Dakota Hudson vs Twins-34 at bats; 5 hits, 3K's, 3 BB, .147 AVG; .216 OBP; .217 SLG, .497 OPS
                    Chris Paddack vs Rox-23 at bats; 5 hts, 5 K's 2BB; .217 AVG, .280 OBP; .217 SLG; .497 OPS
                    So they aren't exactly striking out batters yet they are creating weak contact


                    Rot.#907 Rox/Twins UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Hudson#14 (DNS)/Paddack#10 1 UNIT


                    Dylan Cease has too much of a ceiling to deny vs the Athletics with a line that looks like
                    40 at bats; 15 K's (37.5%); 7 BB; .150 AVG; .277 OBP; .250 SLG; .527 OPS
                    The Fathers don't have Manny Machado in the fold right now due to injury. I won't pay negative money for a runline move so I choose a bat in this format and keep Cease on my roster.


                    Rot.#912 Fathers (Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +109 1 UNIT


                    Eric Fedde-can he keep the magic going on the highway? I say he gives me 5 frames vs a team he has only faced 21 at bats. For Gilbert vs the Pale Hose
                    44 at bats; 9 hits;11 K's,1 BB, .205 AVG; .222 OBP; .313 SLG, .540 OPS


                    Rot.#905 Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 4.5 FF -125 Fedde#8/Gilbert#2 1 UNIT


                    Want K's? Berrios#6 vs Brews 46 at bats; 8 hits; 19 K's (41.3%); .174 AVG; .224 OBP; .413 SLG; .638 OPS


                    Rot.#909 Jays (Berrios#6) OVER 5.5 K's +104 1 UNIT


                    Arrighetti? the Giants are not a team to fear and if he keeps his heater upstairs with decent secondaries he should come out ahead


                    Rot.#913 Astronauts-120 ML Arrighetti#9 3 UNITS


                    This brings me to my CRUMBS POD Streamer.


                    Rodon#4 vs the Royals 34 at bats; 12 hits, 13 K's; 4 BB, .353 AVG; .421 OBP; .559 SLG; .980 OPS
                    Lugo#7 vs Bombers; 59 at bats; 16 hits; 19 K's; 9 BB, .271 AVG; .368 OBP; .458 SLG; .825 OPS


                    Rot.#904 Royals+110 Lugo 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD


                    Last edited by atthehalf; 06-10-24, 09:02 AM.
                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 4408

                      #430
                      232-238-12 +42.03




                      Rot.#976 Tigers (Skubal#1) OVER 7 K's -109 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#964 Royals (Ragans#3) OVER 7.5 K's +111 1 UNIT WIN +1.1 UNITS
                      Rot.#974 Buccos (Jones#4) OVER 6.5 K's +104 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#955 Cubs-118 Imanaga#5 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#961 Orioles/Rays UNDER 4 FF -105 Rodriguez#6/Littell#20 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#963 Sailors (Kirby#7) OVER 5.5 K's +114 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#979 Dodgers/Bombers UNDER 4 -105 FF Glasnow#8/Gil#12 1 UNIT PUSH
                      Rot.#972 Wanderers-1.5 +132 RL Eovaldi#9 3 UNITS WIN +3.96 UNITS
                      Rot,#963 Sailors/Royals UNDER 4 -120 FF Kirby#7/Ragans#3 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#973 Twins/Buccos UNDER 4 +100 FF 1 UNIT Ober#10/Jones#4 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#968 Athletics+111 Spence#16 CRUMBS POD 3 UNITS LOSS -3.0 UNITS



                      RECORD UPDATE




                      232-238-13 +46.99 UNITS

                      Last edited by atthehalf; 06-09-24, 09:00 PM.
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 4408

                        #431
                        Damn Mitch Spence performed wonderfully in my 12 teamer going 7 FRAMES with 3 K's and no walks. The payout may be more than I figured with only 15% of streams. I will know at the end of the Dodgers/Bombers game
                        Comment
                        • atthehalf
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-13
                          • 4408

                          #432
                          Originally posted by BOA12
                          Nice work, you get it.
                          Thank you.

                          Just experimentally trying to merge fantasy MLB betting with conventional side/totals MLB betting and see what happens. my hat is off to those who bet conventionally. Managerial decisions and blown saves and errors have cost me dearly-even today for instance with the Athletics, I am pretty sure that I will be around .500 at years end like everyone else
                          Comment
                          • BOA12
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-19-12
                            • 20622

                            #433
                            Originally posted by atthehalf
                            Thank you.

                            Just experimentally trying to merge fantasy MLB betting with conventional side/totals MLB betting and see what happens. my hat is off to those who bet conventionally. Managerial decisions and blown saves and errors have cost me dearly-even today for instance with the Athletics, I am pretty sure that I will be around .500 at years end like everyone else
                            You're a pioneer in this field of expertise, a Guru in your own rite.

                            BOL ATH, nobody does it better.
                            Comment
                            • atthehalf
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-13
                              • 4408

                              #434
                              Condensed version

                              Rot.#901 Orioles/Rays UNDER 4 FF -110 Burnes#1/Pepiot#5 1 UNIT
                              Rot.#902 Rays+130 Pepiot 2 UNITS
                              Rot.#907 Rox/Twins UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Hudson#14 (DNS)/Paddack#10 1 UNIT
                              Rot.#912 Fathers (Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +109 1 UNIT
                              Rot.#905 Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 4.5 -125 FF Fedde#8/Gilbert#2 1 UNIT
                              Rot.#909 Jays (Berrios#6) OVER 5.5 K's +104 1 UNIT
                              Rot.#913 Astronauts-120 ML Arrighetti#9 3 UNITS
                              Rot.#904 Royals+110 Lugo 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD


                              Last edited by atthehalf; 06-10-24, 09:00 AM.
                              Comment
                              • atthehalf
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-13
                                • 4408

                                #435
                                I will be along to update the K's information once available
                                Comment
                                • atthehalf
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 4408

                                  #436
                                  Pretty good payout last night for Mitch Spence. Time to grab some more QQQ shares for my son!
                                  Comment
                                  • atthehalf
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-13
                                    • 4408

                                    #437
                                    The big board and condensed version have both been updated
                                    Comment
                                    • atthehalf
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-13
                                      • 4408

                                      #438
                                      Looking ahead to tomorrow....

                                      I haven't ranked my arms yet, nevertheless I know what I am looking for in this format

                                      I know the Braves bats aren't working as they should-having Fried on the bump will minimalize that effect. Against the Orioles he is great
                                      43 AT BATS; 7 HITS; 8 K'S; 4 BB; .163 AVG; .234 OBP; .326 SLG, .560 OPS

                                      Rot.#959 Braves-125 ML Fried 2 UNITS

                                      Skenes is a stud.

                                      Rot.#953 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +105 1 UNIT

                                      James Taillon (Cubs) vs Rays 47 AT BATS 12 HITS; 10 K'S; 5 BB; .255 AVG; .327 OBP; 340 SLG; .667 OPS
                                      Zach Eflin (Rays) vs Cubs 78 AT BATS; 27 HITS (YIKES); 19 K'S, 5 BB; .346 AVG; .386 OBP; .641 SLG; 1.027 OPS

                                      Rot.#963 Cubs+127 ML Taillon 2 UNITS

                                      Jesus Luzardo (Fish) vs Metropolitans 102 AT BATS; 25 HITS; 29 K'S; 8 BB; .245 AVG; .300 OBP; .353 SLG; .653 OPS
                                      Tyler Megill (Metropolitans) vs Fish 30 AT BATS; 8 HITS, 10 K'S; 4 WALKS; .267 AVG; .371 IBP; .533 SLG, .905 OPS
                                      neither of these teams are lighting it up with their bats hitting .234 and .242 on average respectively

                                      Rot.# 951 Fish/Metropolitans UNDER 4 FF -105 Luzardo/Megill 1 UNIT

                                      It's not how a pitchers record looks. It's how he performs vs a team. I am no fool. I will probably have Zack Wheeler #1 when I rank and probably replace his production with Snakes bats. Why?

                                      Zach Wheeler (Blunts) vs Red Sox 67 AT BATS; 23 HITS; 23 K'S; 2 BB; .343 AVG; .357 OBP; .478 SLG; .835 OPS
                                      Kutter Crawford NO DATA VS BLUNTS

                                      So what we have is a arm that no one on the Blunts has faced before who's a stud; and the Red Sox blast Wheeler into the shadow realm. I am calling for the upset as the wrong team will be favored and fresh off a trip back from London. Crawford's use rate will be low so this could potentially bring home the bacon

                                      Rot.#968 Red Sox+146 ML Crawford 3 UNITS

                                      Jose Suarez (Halos) vs Snakes 30 AT BATS; 10 HITS; 3 K'S; 2 BB; .333 AVG, .375 OBP; .700 SLG, 1.075 OPS
                                      Jordan Montgomery (Snakes) vs Halos 25 AT BATS; 4 HITS; 5 K'S, 0 BB; .160 AVG, .160 OBP; .280 SLG, .440 OPS
                                      Simple choice

                                      Rot.#976 Snakes-1.5 RL Montgomery 2 UNITS
                                      Rot.#976 Snakes Team Total OVER 5 +100 vs Suarez (REPLACEMENT FOR ZACH WHEELER) 1 UNIT

                                      Ben Woo vs Pale Hose 17 AT BATS; 3 HITS; 6 K'S; 0 BB; .176 AVG; .176 OBP; .353 SLG; .529 OPS

                                      Rot.#958 Sailors (Woo) OVER 7 K's +110 1 UNIT

                                      Marcus Stroman vs Royals 35 AT BATS; 7 HITS; 6 K'S; 3 BB; .200 AVG; .263 OBP; .200 SLG; .463 OPS
                                      Brady Singer vs Bombers 48 AT BATS; 15 HITS; 15 K'S; 7 BB; .312 AVG; .400 OBP; .375 SLG; .775 OPS

                                      Rot.#955 Bombers-130 ML Stroman 3 UNITS


                                      For some reason-maybe public appeal, why is Kenta Maeda#23 (DNS) favored over Mitchell Parker#10. Maeda is a cherry bomb who can give an excellent performance or blow up in your face; a guy who can have a good performance every once in a full moon. Mitchell parker is clearly going to be my CRUMBS POD now as his 4 pitch mix should get this done.

                                      Rot.#961 Nats-108 Parker#10 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD

                                      Last edited by atthehalf; 06-11-24, 08:37 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • atthehalf
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-13
                                        • 4408

                                        #439
                                        I truly hope that the Tigers put in Jack Flaherty instead of Maeda. I am keeping him on roster and may just elect to take the hits until he pitches again. Dude's a stud
                                        Comment
                                        • atthehalf
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-13
                                          • 4408

                                          #440
                                          FROM OUR DISCORD! I was juiced obviously LOL

                                          Hello! I hope your Monday is treating you well!

                                          The start of a new week can be tough, but for me, looking ahead and finding some fun things coming up that I can get excited about helps me get through my Monday. Let's do that together, baseball style. Here are some of the more intriguing matchups coming up this week.

                                          Seth Lugo (KC) vs. Carlos Rodon (NYY), Tonight

                                          An immovable object or an unstoppable force. Who wins? We'll find out tonight when the scorching-hot Yankees lineup faces off against Seth Lugo and his improbably hot start to the season. He enters the day 9-1 with a 2.13 ERA. Rodon has been no slouch himself. He hasn't quite regained his ace form, but he's well on his way. His 3.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP are great, but his elite strikeout numbers haven't returned quite yet. He's boasting a 23.7% strikeout rate, 10 points below his 2021 and 2022 levels.

                                          Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. Garrett Crochet (CHW), Thursday

                                          If you want an old-school pitching duel, circle this one on your calendar. It's two of baseball's best starters against inept offenses. Sure, the Mariners' hitters are a notch above the White Sox (to be fair everyone is), but they notably struggle against lefties. Quality starts from both Castillo and Crochet seem like sure things. If a team puts even one run on the board, it'll feel like an insurmountable lead.

                                          Corbin Burnes (BAL) vs. Zack Wheeler (PHI), Sunday

                                          This is hands down the best matchup of the week. Ace versus ace with two elite lineups to boot. Both Burnes and Wheeler have occupied the top spot on my lists at some point this year and you could make reasonable arguments that either of them is the best in the sport. They each enter this week with remarkably similar resumes. Burnes is 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 24.2% strikeout rate. Wheeler bests him just a hair at 7-3, 2.23 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and a 28.5% strikeout rate. This one will be fun.
                                          Comment
                                          • atthehalf
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-13
                                            • 4408

                                            #441
                                            I made my move on the Bombers-130 Stroman 3 UNITS for tomorrow already BTW. It doesn't make any sense to blast away on the Red Sox in this format yet-given the amount of support from joes on the Blunts that's expected. The Red Sox are priced at +134 and rising so I may end up getting this number to +140 by just waiting

                                            For some reason Jack Flaherty is listed on some books and Kenta Maeda is listed on other books for Tuesday. WTF is going on?
                                            Comment
                                            • atthehalf
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-13
                                              • 4408

                                              #442
                                              Ok get your 12 and 15 teamers ready boys. Here are my rankings for Tuesday 6/11/24

                                              Blunts Zack Wheeler#1
                                              Braves Max Fried#2
                                              Buccos Skenes#3
                                              Sailors Woo#4
                                              Astronauts Blanco#5
                                              Rays Eflin#6
                                              Jays Kikuchi#7
                                              Bombers Stroman#8
                                              Fish Luzardo#9
                                              Nats Parker#10


                                              Notables


                                              Metropolitans Megill#11
                                              Red Sox Crawford#12
                                              Giants Hicks#13
                                              Snakes Montgomery#15
                                              Cubs Taillon#19
                                              Royals Singer#21 DNS
                                              Tigers Maeda#23 DNS
                                              Dodgers Paxton#28 DNS
                                              Wanderers Dunning#29 DNS
                                              Orioles Suarez#16 QS
                                              Comment
                                              • atthehalf
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-13
                                                • 4408

                                                #443
                                                The Nats may swap in Corbin for Parker tomorrow tho. Parker obviously is the best choice given Corbin's Hall of Shame career
                                                Comment
                                                • atthehalf
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                  • 4408

                                                  #444
                                                  I took a few more positions for Tuesday so the big board has been updated with those
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atthehalf
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                    • 4408

                                                    #445
                                                    232-238-13 +46.99 UNITS


                                                    Rot.#901 Orioles/Rays UNDER 4 FF -110 Burnes#1/Pepiot#5 1 UNIT LOSS -1.1 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#902 Rays+130 Pepiot 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#907 Rox/Twins UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Hudson#14 (DNS)/Paddack#10 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#912 Fathers (Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +109 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#905 Pale Hose/Sailors UNDER 4.5 -125 FF Fedde#8/Gilbert#2 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#909 Jays (Berrios#6) OVER 5.5 K's +104 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#913 Astronauts-120 ML Arrighetti#9 3 UNITS LOSS -3.6 UNITS
                                                    Rot.#904 Royals+110 Lugo 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD LOSS -3.0 UNITS



                                                    RECORD UPDATE


                                                    234-244-13 +37.49 UNITS

                                                    Comment
                                                    • atthehalf
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 4408

                                                      #446
                                                      Last night was one of those evenings where on one hand the conventional side and total betting wasn't the best and the streaming was absolutely wonderful


                                                      What you're looking for in fantasy league 12 teamers is for the starter to go at least 5 frames with a 3/1 K/W ratio and you get paid. The more bettors that are on the same side as you the payout is minimal. They go 6 frames? More payout. They go 7 frames, a really good payout. They don't make it to 5 frames-you lose everything. They have more walks than K's and you lose everything. The less ratio of money on the pitcher and the lower the arm rank combined the better payout. You pick a DNS (DO NOT START) and he goes 5 or more frames with a 3/1 K/W ratio you get group percentage payouts-which is where the large money gets made. So here's a look at how a sub par day in this format is actually a good day for my streaming top 10.


                                                      So my top ten list is one that continually turns a profit most days even if the result of the game in conventional side and totals betting is a loss




                                                      Arrighetti#9 5.2 frames 6 K's 3 BB WIN Midgrade payout
                                                      Burnes#1 7 frames 6 k's 1 BB WIN Minimal payout
                                                      Pepiot#5 6 frames 9 K's 0 BB WIN Above average payout
                                                      Berrios#6 5.2 frames 4 K's 1 BB WIN Minimal payout
                                                      Lugo#7 7 frames 4 K's 1 BB WIN Above average payout
                                                      Hudson (DNS) 6.2 frames 2 K's 1 walk Lost everything because of the 3/1 K/W ratio
                                                      Paddack#10 6.1 frames 6 K's 0 BB WIN Above average payout
                                                      Fedde#8 7 frames 4 K's 1 BB WIN Very good payout
                                                      Gilbert#2 6.2 frames, 8 K's 0 BB WIN Minimal payout
                                                      Comment
                                                      • atthehalf
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                        • 4408

                                                        #447
                                                        For some reason-maybe public appeal, why is Kenta Maeda#23 (DNS) favored over Mitchell Parker#10. Maeda is a cherry bomb who can give an excellent performance or blow up in your face; a guy who can have a good performance every once in a full moon. Mitchell parker is clearly going to be my CRUMBS POD now as his 4 pitch mix should get this done.

                                                        Rot.#961 Nats-108 Parker#10 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD

                                                        Comment
                                                        • atthehalf
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-13
                                                          • 4408

                                                          #448
                                                          Ok so the big board has been updated now for those who want to cut straight to the chase without reading why I made my moves...

                                                          CONDENSED VERSION


                                                          Rot.#959 Braves-125 ML Fried 2 UNITS

                                                          Rot.#953 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +105 1 UNIT

                                                          Rot.#963 Cubs+127 ML Taillon 2 UNITS

                                                          Rot.# 951 Fish/Metropolitans UNDER 4 FF -105 Luzardo/Megill 1 UNIT

                                                          Rot.#968 Red Sox+146 ML Crawford 3 UNITS

                                                          Rot.#976 Snakes-1.5 RL+110 Montgomery 2 UNITS
                                                          Rot.#976 Snakes Team Total OVER 5 +100 vs Suarez 1 UNIT

                                                          Rot.#958 Sailors (Woo) OVER 7 K's +110 1 UNIT

                                                          Rot.#955 Bombers-130 ML Stroman 3 UNITS

                                                          Rot.#961 Nats-108 Parker#10 CRUMBS POD 3 UNITS


                                                          Rot.#973 Athletics+141 Sears#14 2 UNITS



                                                          Last edited by atthehalf; 06-11-24, 03:45 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • atthehalf
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 4408

                                                            #449
                                                            The Commish text me earlier this morning and told me that I am definitely the minority for the Red Sox today and he was "rubbing his hands" thinking of the possibilities of the Red Sox pulling this one off and stuffing his pockets minus my share and 3 others so far. As a result, I increased my stake to $700 for vs shares. I want to live like the Commish and have me one of those big boats with a bathroom and kitchen in it one day... dude started off with around $330,000 at the beginning of the year after collecting the $5500 buy ins alone...

                                                            Real talk it easily looks like the most "chicken dinner" move on the board. When it's all said and done by this evening the Blunts may very well have more than 95% of the money riding on them so the conventional sport books like the Hard Rock out here will also be rooting for the Red Sox as well.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • atthehalf
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-13
                                                              • 4408

                                                              #450
                                                              OMG! it's building up so fast! I can literally lose each and every last move that I made today and clear a HUGE profit should Crawford go 5-6 frames with a 3/1 K/W ratio for the Red Sox. Whether the Red Sox win the game or not is actually not material as long as the ideal has been approximated

                                                              Comment
                                                              • atthehalf
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 4408

                                                                #451
                                                                Looking ahead to Wednesday...


                                                                Although I have Pivetta ranked at #7 I am going to keep him rostered and replace his production with a bat as Sterling Marte is 4-7 with .571 AVG, .625 OBP; .857 SLG, 1.482 OPS vs Braxton Garrett. Pivetta has pedestrian numbers of 45 AB; 12 HITS; 14 K'S, 9 BB, .267 AVG; .389 OBP; .614 SLG; 1.033 OPS vs Blunts batters-and it's in a sprinkled effect. No one owns him and no one is being dominated.


                                                                While on the subject of the Metropolitans David Peterson in 42 AT BATS; 8 HITS; 12 K'S; 4 BB; .190 AVG; .261 OBP; .190 SLG; .451 OPS vs Fish; meanwhile Braxton Garrett in 92 AT BATS, 27 HITS; 19 K'S, 5 BB, .293 AVG; .330 OBP; .511 SLG; .841 OPS

                                                                Rot.#902 Metropolitans-140 Peterson#15 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#902 Metropolitans (Marte) OVER 1.5 +100 1 UNIT


                                                                Bailey Falter is a DNS. Let's be clear on that. He does however have a line of 24 AT BATS, 5 HITS; 8 K'S, 2 BB, .208 AVG, .269 OBP, .458 SLG, .728 OPS vs Cardinals batters; meanwhile Sonny Gray is 72 AT BATS; 17 HITS; 23 K'S (WOW) 4 BB; .236 AVG; .337 OBP; .375 SLG; .712 OPS.


                                                                Rot.#904 Buccos/Cardinals UNDER 4.5 FF -116 Gray#1/Falter DNS 1 UNIT


                                                                Framber Valdez#3 vs Giants 44 AB; 11 HITS; 11 K'S; 3 BB, .250 AVG; .293 OBP; .386 SLG; .684 OPS
                                                                Logan Webb#5 vs Astronauts 40 AB; 11 HITS, 8 K'S, 3 BB; .275 AVG; .326 OBP; ;.350 SLG; .676 OPS


                                                                Rot.#913 Astronauts/Giants UNDER 4 FF -125 1 UNIT


                                                                Jake Irvin#12 vs Tigers 17 AB; 8 HITS (YIKES), 1 K, 1 BB, .471 AVG; .500 OBP; .941 SLG; 1.441 OPS
                                                                Reese Olson#8 only has 5 AB vs the Nats which means he will be brand new with a 1-7 record. Going LARGE


                                                                Rot.#920 Tigers-130 ML Olson#8 5 UNITS


                                                                Tanner Bibee#10 only has 2 AB vs the Red Leggins and Nick Lodolo#14 only has 7 AB vs the Guardians. Jose Ramirez doesn't care being 2-2 vs Lodolo with a DINGER


                                                                Rot.#925 Guardians (Ramirez) OVER 1.5 BASES +100 1 UNIT


                                                                There comes a time when the Bombers put their lineup against a bottom feeder arm which is Danel Lynch who I have ranked as dead last DNS for Hump Day. You know the rest


                                                                Rot.#905 Bombers Team Total OVER NO LINE 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#905 Bombers (Soto) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT


                                                                The Rays haven't seen Javier Assad. The Cubs lost having more hits than the Rays.

                                                                Civale vs Cubs 25 AT BATS; 4K'S; 1 BB; .160 AVG; .192 OBP; .200 SLG; .392 OPS
                                                                You know what to do

                                                                Rot.#921 Cubs+106 Assad#13 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#921 Cubs/Rays UNDER 4.5 FF -116 Assad/Civale 1 UNIT

                                                                Pablo Lopez#4 only 28 at bats vs the Rox. That will be their undoing. And aside from that-the Twins had more hits than the Rox and actually lost outright last night

                                                                Rot.#910 Twins-1.5 -117 RL Lopez#4 2 UNITS

                                                                I too a day trade draft flyer on the kid and I am sticking to the guns because I know for a fact that no one else will and I can get away with putting down a minimum amount of money and turn it into a nice sum. One thing is clear. The Pale Hose are playing the hell out of the Sailors in this series. last night they lost to the Sailors but they had 10 hits to the Sailors 5 which is a sign of luck. Why not? if the books and the Commish will take the action then so can I. I am not afraid to go where no one else will go

                                                                Rot.#907 Pale Hose+206 Cannon 2 UNITS


                                                                Last edited by atthehalf; 06-12-24, 08:49 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • atthehalf
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                                  • 4408

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Wednesday top 10 rankings

                                                                  Cardinals Gray#1
                                                                  Fathers King#2
                                                                  Astronauts Valdez#3
                                                                  Twins Lopez#4
                                                                  Giants Webb#5
                                                                  Sailors Miller#6
                                                                  Red Sox Pivetta#7
                                                                  Tigers Olson#8
                                                                  Blunts Sanchez#9
                                                                  Guardians Bibee#10
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atthehalf
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                                    • 4408

                                                                    #453
                                                                    Tigers-130 ML 5 UNITS Olson for tomorrow y'all! Metropolitans-140 ML Already on the big board
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • atthehalf
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                                      • 4408

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Man one of the boys on the discord page alerted me to something that I missed. I have JP Sears (Athletics) ranked at #14 and Randy Vasquez#22 (Fathers) and i didn't put more strength on emphasizing this. Worry no more.

                                                                      ADDED PLAY

                                                                      Rot.#973 Athletics+141 Sears#14 2 UNITS
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • atthehalf
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                                        • 4408

                                                                        #455
                                                                        C'mon Kutter! You got this-all you've got to do is get through this 6 frame for me!
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...