What do you guys think about a long term strategy of trying to follow good underdogs that are around +140-180 on the alternative runline? I consistently see huge value on there. The mets today were +150ish on the ML and were +249 on the 1.5 runline. That is just tremendous value for a good team on the road. Typically the difference on the ML vs RL is about 50-60 points because the vast majority of road wins are by 2+ runs but whenever you get a significant underdog (Say around +150) involved, that difference is huge. Talking often 80-100 points
In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight
In reality, it's not like a -120 favorite is really any more likely to win by 2 runs than a +140 underdogs. Underdogs win all the time by 2+ runs. The mets won by 5 tonight