MR OCTOBERS 2022 Season Long MLB Props/Futures/Plays

[Mr0ctober]

Props 9/20:
Pablo Lopez under 6.5 ks +105 (1.5u) would play to -120)
Brayan Bello under 5.5 ks -135 (would play to -160) (1u)
Dylan Cease over 5.5 Ks -130 (0.5u)
Dylan Cease over 1.5 walks -140 (0.5u)

9/20:
Mariners -1.5 (-118) (0.75u)
Nationals /Braves over 8.5 +100 (1u)
parlay: Braves/Mariners -109 (0.75u)
parlay: Yankees/Mariners -107 (0.75u)
parlay: Braves/Yankees/Mariners +154 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

9/22
Cubs +104 (1u)
cubs -1.5 +172 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

9/27:
Braves live -140 (1.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

9/27:
astros team total over 4.5 (-125) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

9/13/2022:

Mets/Astros Parlay (-128) (1u)❌
Mets/Yankees Parlay +105 (1u)❌
Braves -161 (1u)✅
Angels +115 (1u)❌
Mariners -106 (1u)❌

Props:
Trout no Homer -240 (0.5u)✅
Judge No Homer -210 (0.5u)❌

Props 9/20:
Pablo Lopez under 6.5 ks +105 (1.5u) would play to -120)✅
Brayan Bello under 5.5 ks -135 (would play to -160) (1u)✅
Dylan Cease over 5.5 Ks -130 (0.5u)❌
Dylan Cease over 1.5 walks -140 (0.5u)✅

9/20:
Mariners -1.5 (-118) (0.75u)❌
Nationals /Braves over 8.5 +100 (1u)❌
parlay: Braves/Mariners -109 (0.75u)❌
parlay: Yankees/Mariners -107 (0.75u)❌
parlay: Braves/Yankees/Mariners +154 (0.5u)❌

9/22
Cubs +104 (1u)✅
cubs -1.5 +172 (0.5u)❌

9/27:
Braves live -140 (1.5u)✅

9/27:
astros team total over 4.5 (-125) (1u)✅

2022 regular season record 141-139 -5.15u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅

[Conqueror]

BOL tonight!

[Mr0ctober]

Anyone that has followed knows my biggest strength is season long stuff and with the emergence of updated win totals becoming more and more prevalent going to add a few here

Adding a couple adjusted win totals I’ll give some insight to why

Reds under 66.5 total wins (3u). This is somewhat a two team bet wrapped into one. The Reds after an awful start have since played pretty well all things considering. They carry a terrible run differential and have actually been a bit lucky according to my projections. Have them about +1.8 wins more than their true record should be. The Reds would have to go 33 and 38 over the remaining 71 games that features 36 games against teams .500 or above. They also 7 games against that daunting Marlins pitching staff. And another 12 games against the cubs who I am much higher on than their record. I have the cubs about 8 games better than their true record at the moment. Which is why this is more of a 2 team wager (I’m somewhat betting on the cubs here and against the reds). But even if the Reds handle the cubs better than expected I can still see this under getting home easily. Reds likely to move Castillo and anyone else possible. Castillo has been nails this season and his loss alone will greatly hurt this staff and bad bullpen. BE SURE TO SHOP AROUND WITH ONLY 71 games remaining a half win or a full win is extra valuable!!!

adjusted win total #2 & #3 are very correlated.

Athletics under 59.5 wins (1u)
Angels over 74 wins (1u)

The angels get 12 games against the athletics down the stretch. Therefore I’m hoping we get a boost Angels wins here who I think play a little better down the backstretch bc their pitching outside of Ohtani really can’t get any worse. As for the A’s the schedule is rough filled with teams like Mets/braves/Astros/Yankees/mariners and for a team that wanted to send their lone all star on a Commercial flight to the game— This team will do everything in its power to lose!

Plays will be few and far between down the stretch here with the lack of races mainly just rooting for these and the season long stuff which is all mainly decided.

[Mr0ctober]

10/3
Braves -152 (1.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Braves -152 (1.5u)❌ -2.28u

2022 regular season record 141-140 -7.43u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅

[Mr0ctober]

10/4: Braves -162/Michigan money line -1460 (-137) (3u)

[Mr0ctober]

10/4: Braves -162/Michigan money line -1460 (-137) (3u)✅

2022 regular season record 142-140 -4.43u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅

[Mr0ctober]

season recap

Win Totals:
Boston Red Sox under 87.5 (3u)✅ +3u
Twins Over 81.5 Wins (-105) (2u)❌ -2.1u
White Sox Under 92.5 Wins (1u)✅ +1u
Tigers Under 80.5 Wins (-115) (4u)✅ +4u
White Sox to win the Central -220 (2u)❌ -4.4u
Twins to win the Central +600 (1u)❌ -1u
Cleveland Guardians Over 76.5 Wins +100 (1u)✅ +1uMariners Under 84.5 (5u)❌ -5.5u
Athletics Under 70.5 (5u)✅ +5u
Rangers Over 73.5 +100 (3u)❌ -3u
Astros under 92.5 Wins (1u)❌ -1.1u
Rockies under 69.5 +100 (1.5u)✅ +1.5u
Diamondbacks Over 64.5 Wins -115 (4u)✅ +4u
Brewers OVer 88.5 Wins (2u)❌ -2.2u
Cardinals Under 85.5 Wins (4u)❌ -4.4u
Braves over 90.5 (2u)✅ +2u
Marlins Over 75.5 Wins (-115) (5u)❌ -5.75u

Divisional props:
Play: Jays to win the AL East +195 (1.5u)❌-1.5u
Dodgers to win the NL West -200 (5u)✅ +5u
Brewers to win NL Central -135 (5u)❌ -6.75u
Braves to win the NL East +140 (2u)✅ +2.8u

Player Props:
John Means Over 7.5 Wins (-125) (2u)❌ -2.5u
Chris Sale under 9.5 wins (-115) (1u)✅ +1u
Julio Rodriguez AL Rookie of the Year +750 (1u)✅ +7.5u
Mike Trout under .299 average (+100) (1u)✅ +1u
Anthony Rendon under 89.5 RBIs (-115) (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
Rendon Under 25.5 Homers (-115) (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
Flaherty Under 10.5 Wins (-125) (1u)✅ +1u
Sonny Gray Over 9.5 Wins (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Hunter Renfroe under 85.5 Runs scored (-115) (1u)✅ +1u
Trevor Rogers over 9 wins (-115) (1.5u)❌ -1.725u
Alcantara Over 10.5 Wins (-110) (1u)✅ +1u
Trea Turner over 29.5 Sbs (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Jazz Chisholm over 23.5 SBs (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Ohtani OVer 90.5 Runs Scores (-125) (1.5u)❌ -1.875u
Greinke under 9.5 Wins (-105 ) (1u)✅ +1u
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 10 wins -115 (1.5u)❌ -1.725u
Eloy Jimenez Under 33.5 Homers (-115) (1u)✅ +1u
Dylan Cease under 220.5 Ks (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Kenley Jansen Under 32.5 saves (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15uAngels over 83.5 wins -110 (2u)❌ -2.2u
Pirates under 65.5 wins -115 (3u)✅ +3uYankees to win AL East -330 (to win 2u)✅ +2u
Yankees to win AL East -370 (to win 2u)✅ +2u
yankees to win AL East -400 (to win 1u)✅ +1uReds under 66.5 total wins (3u)✅ +3u
Athletics under 59.5 wins (1u)❌ -1.1u
Angels over 74 wins (1u)❌ -1.1u


Win totals very disappointing:
11-8 -0.95u❌

Division futures:
3-4 -0.85u❌

Player props
10-9 +1.925✅ (assuming Julio wins ROY)

2022 regular season record 142-140 -4.43u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅

Regular season grand total: -2.32u❌

[Mr0ctober]

FINAL SEASON TALLY 2020:
Season win totals/props +4.7u✅
2020 season 173-160 +17.596u✅
playoffs 22-26 -7.788u❌
playoffs -10.788u❌ Rough playoffs
2020 season & playoff total +11.508u✅✅✅



FINAL SEASON TALLY 2021:
MLB Season 203-185 +5.658u✅
Props season record 4-1 +2.771u✅
season props/win totals:10-7 +17.14u✅✅
MLB Playoff record: 17-15 +3.545u✅
World series series bets: 1-1 +3.5u✅
mvp bets: +6u✅
Props: -2.30u❌
2021 Grand total: +36.341u✅

2022 FINAL SEASON TALLY
Win totals very disappointing: 11-8 -0.95u❌
Division futures: 3-4 -0.85u❌
Player props: 10-9 +1.925✅ (assuming Julio wins ROY)
2022 regular season record 142-140 -4.43u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅
Regular season grand total: -2.32u❌

[Mr0ctober]

Very Disappointed with how the season went. Worst season in quite some time as the past several have been very profitable. Also, didn't have nearly the time i would have liked to dive in. Either way it wasnt a disaster but it still was a losing season and with the time i put in that stings a little extra. But All that being said, i will be betting the playoffs and hope to find a way to put together a nice postseason. Good luck all. We have baseball all day tomorrow!!

[Mr0ctober]

Playoffs Game 1 Rays/Guardians:

McClanahan Under 4.5 ks +100 (1u)
Franco Over 1.5 Total Bases +167 (0.5u)
Franco -110 More Hs,Rs,RBI than Owen Miller (0.5u)
Beiber Under 1.5 Walks -200 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Playoffs Game 2 Phillies/Cardinals:

Wheeler over 4.5 ks -110 (1.5u)
Phillies first 5 (-115) (0.7u)
Phillies -101 (0.5u)

[Conqueror]

BOL!

[Mr0ctober]

If this game is 0-0 through the 9th. Im going to add Tampa live. Take my chances of what’s left against the Cleveland pen. Bc I doubt Tito is sending Clause back out after a 4 out save yesterday.

[Mr0ctober]

Tampa live +115 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Playoffs rest of evening
Jays F5 -0.5 runs -110 (0.8u)

Jays -150 F5 (0.7u)
Snell under 6.5 ks -135 (1u)

Mets/SDSU 1h money line (-132) (1u)
Phillies -120 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Ms/Astros live under 6.5 (-120) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Added ms/stros live under 7.5 -125 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Padres live -151 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

MLB 10/19
padres/Phillies under 23 hits /runs/errors -105 (1u)

Padres -115 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

10/21:
padres -115 (1u)
suarez under 3.5 ks +120 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

I’m on Astros -162 (1u)

astros series -170 (2u)

[Mr0ctober]

Mlb 10/29Astros -129 (1u)

Astros series +1.5 games -140 (2u)

Sosa under 0.5 hits -115 (1u)

Wheeler over 4.5 ks -150 (0.75u)

First 5 under 3.5 (-120) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Playoffs Game 1 Rays/Guardians:

McClanahan Under 4.5 ks +100 (1u)❌
Franco Over 1.5 Total Bases +167 (0.5u)❌
Franco -110 More Hs,Rs,RBI than Owen Miller (0.5u) pushh
Beiber Under 1.5 Walks -200 (1u)✅

Playoffs Game Phillies/Cardinals:

Wheeler over 4.5 ks -110 (1.5u)❌
Phillies first 5 (-115) (0.7u) pushh
Phillies -101 (0.5u)✅

Tampa live +115 (1u)❌

Playoffs rest of evening
Jays F5 -0.5 runs -110 (0.8u)✅

Jays -150 F5 (0.7u)✅
Snell under 6.5 ks -135 (1u)✅

Mets/SDSU 1h money line (-132) (1u)✅
Phillies -120 (0.5u)✅

Ms/Astros live under 6.5 (-120) (1u)✅
Added ms/stros live under 7.5 -125 (0.5u)✅
Padres live -151 (0.5u)✅

MLB 10/19
padres/Phillies under 23 hits /runs/errors -105 (1u)❌

Padres -115 (0.5u)✅

10/21:
padres -115 (1u)❌
suarez under 3.5 ks +120 (1u✅

10/28
Astros -162 (1u)❌

Mlb 10/29
Astros -129 (1u)✅

Astros series +1.5 games -140 (2u)

Sosa under 0.5 hits -115 (1u)✅

Wheeler over 4.5 ks -150 (0.75u)❌

First 5 under 3.5 (-120) (1u)❌

14-9 so far +0.095u

Pending:
Astros Series -170 (2u)
Astros +1.5 Games (-140) (2u)

Game 3:
Astros -130 (1u)
Astros -1.5 +130 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

MLB:

Astros -120 (1.5u) game 3

Astros -1.5 +140 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

MLB:

Astros -120 (1.5u) game 3❌

Astros -1.5 +140 (0.5u)❌

Live -1.5u❌

14-14 so far -3.70u❌

[Mr0ctober]

MLB Game 4

Astros -102 (2u)
Astros -1.5 runs (+158) (0.75u)
Nola Under 6.5 ks (-150) (1u)
Adding
Astros Series +1.5 Games (-140) (1u)

Pending:
Astros Series -170 (2u)
Astros +1.5 Games (-140) (2u)

[Mr0ctober]

MLB Game 4

Astros -102 (2u)✅
Astros -1.5 runs (+158) (0.75u)✅
Nola Under 6.5 ks (-150) (1u)✅
Adding
Astros Series +1.5 Games (-140) (1u)✅

Pending:
Astros Series -170 (2u)✅
Astros +1.5 Games (-140) (2u)✅

20-14 playoffs +5.485u✅✅ big win on Astros series and game 4!

[Mr0ctober]

2022 FINAL SEASON TALLY
Win totals very disappointing: 11-8 -0.95u❌
Division futures: 3-4 -0.85u❌
Player props: 10-9 +1.925✅ (assuming Julio wins ROY)
2022 regular season record 142-140 -4.43u❌
2022 Props record 21-15 +1.985u✅
Regular season grand total: -2.32u❌
Playoffs Grand total: 20-14 +5.485u

GRAND TOTAL OVERALL +3.165u✅✅✅✅

[Mr0ctober]

Just running it back on here:

yankees over 94.5 +100 (3u)

Phillies under 88.5 (3u)

Giants under 81.5 (2u)

dbacks over 74.5 (3u)

White Sox under 83.5 wins (-110) (2u)

Marlins under 76.5 (-115) (6u) (would probably play this to max- have this at 71.5 and can easily see this team losing 100+ games

Cubs over 77.5 wins (3u)

Pirates over 67.5 wins (2u)

Astros over 94.5 (4u)

Angels over 81.5 (3u)


played:
jordan Walker NL ROY +750 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Opening day homer pick:

Braves team total over 4.5 (-115) (1u)