*******Totals Using VMI, Umpires, Weather and Relievers *******

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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #1
    *******Totals Using VMI, Umpires, Weather and Relievers *******
    VMI, Umpires, Weather and Relievers will be my four criteria I will use for my total plays. (If it's a first five inning's play, obviously I won't be using relievers) I don't use starting pitchers because I feel that's already baked into the line.

    I will use VMI as my starting criteria and if at least one of the others matches up, and none of the others are opposite, it will be a play. I may add a filter or two as the season progresses.

    No guarantees here. It's early and these are crazy times, so buyer beware! Be careful!

    I know I should wait but here we go........................

    Today's plays are based only on weather and VMI:

    All first five inning unders:

    Pit/Cubs 3.5
    Atl/Phil 3.5
    Mets/Wash 4
    TX/KC 4.5


    First day, be careful and good luck

    DD


  • KnuckleHeadz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-19
    • 8194

    #2
    No St. Louis?
    I heard they have light snow throughout the game
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #3
      Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
      No St. Louis?
      I heard they have light snow throughout the game
      St. Louis does qualify using both teams' VMI, and it will be 39 degrees at game time, but there also a 15MPH wind blowing out to right center, so my conservative side came out and passed on the game.
      Comment
      • Dynasty3669
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-10-17
        • 516

        #4
        Never question DD...he is beyond reproach.
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #5
          Originally posted by Dynasty3669
          Never question DD...he is beyond reproach.
          Very kind, but far from it.
          Comment
          • KnuckleHeadz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-11-19
            • 8194

            #6
            I never question at all.
            Just wanted to get his opinion and I haven’t even checked the wind today..
            Thanks again DD!!
            Comment
            • matt711
              SBR MVP
              • 07-09-12
              • 2283

              #7
              Good luck this year
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #8
                Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
                I never question at all.
                Just wanted to get his opinion and I haven’t even checked the wind today..
                Thanks again DD!!
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #9
                  Originally posted by matt711
                  Good luck this year
                  Comment
                  • Tanko
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-19-09
                    • 5143

                    #10
                    DD,
                    Doesn't VMI already take the weather factor into play?
                    Maybe not wind speed....


                    Good luck.
                    Comment
                    • Mike Huntertz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-19-09
                      • 11207

                      #11
                      It's always enjoyable to watch your totals play out. I await the overs.
                      Have a great season DD.
                      Comment
                      • RM Logic
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-09-13
                        • 847

                        #12
                        Good luck. You are one of the best on the board.
                        Lol at Tex/KC scoring 18 runs in 5 innings.
                        Comment
                        • Mike Huntertz
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-19-09
                          • 11207

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RM Logic
                          Good luck. You are one of the best on the board.
                          Lol at Tex/KC scoring 18 runs in 5 innings.
                          I was thinking it but wasn't going to say anything.
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Tanko
                            DD,
                            Doesn't VMI already take the weather factor into play?
                            Maybe not wind speed....


                            Good luck.

                            That is correct, however the change in the weather environment when a team travels to another park is also a factor.
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                              It's always enjoyable to watch your totals play out. I await the overs.
                              Have a great season DD.
                              Always good to see you drop by Mike.
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RM Logic
                                Good luck. You are one of the best on the board.
                                Lol at Tex/KC scoring 18 runs in 5 innings.

                                At least it was over quick. The first update I saw was bases loaded top of the first with no outs. Ugh


                                Thanks RM
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #17
                                  Yesterday:

                                  1-2

                                  YTD:

                                  1-2
                                  Comment
                                  • Crayzee
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 4945

                                    #18
                                    i play almost all home run props
                                    one thing i noticed yesterday
                                    i identified the following lineups as having hr potential

                                    dodgers, kc, sd, chiusox, angels, sf, sea

                                    had a great day

                                    but also noticed- all but one game went over
                                    Comment
                                    • doubledime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-22-09
                                      • 9751

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Crayzee
                                      i play almost all home run props
                                      one thing i noticed yesterday
                                      i identified the following lineups as having hr potential

                                      dodgers, kc, sd, chiusox, angels, sf, sea

                                      had a great day

                                      but also noticed- all but one game went over
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #20
                                        Friday:

                                        WSox/LAA over 8.5

                                        ADI (Air Density Index) = 67 (the lowest on the board today with the exception of Colorado which is always the lowest), over umpire, 8MPH wind blowing out to right center and VMI is basically neutral.

                                        Good luck
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #21
                                          Yesterday:

                                          1-0

                                          YTD:

                                          2-2
                                          Comment
                                          • KnuckleHeadz
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-11-19
                                            • 8194

                                            #22
                                            Lot of wind at KC and Chicago today
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz
                                              Lot of wind at KC and Chicago today
                                              Yes there is, and also a low Air Density Index. You're reading my mind.
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #24
                                                Saturday:

                                                Pit/Cubs over 10.5
                                                TX/KC over 9 (may have to buy the 1/2 run)


                                                Both Plays have over VMIs, ADIs and wind, but no umpire data.

                                                May have something on the late afternoon/evening games.

                                                Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                  • 11581

                                                  #25
                                                  Good Luck this year DD!! 2 days and 2 blown saves with multiple run leads for me. I had the Twins up 3 in the 9th on Thursday and Marlins/TB Under 7.5 yesterday. It was 0-0 after 5 and 2-0 in the 7th and couldn't stay under 8. Alrighty then. Feeling great about the season though! Ran a parlay today buying .5-1 run with Yanks/Jays Over 8.5 and Reds team total Over 3.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                    Good Luck this year DD!! 2 days and 2 blown saves with multiple run leads for me. I had the Twins up 3 in the 9th on Thursday and Marlins/TB Under 7.5 yesterday. It was 0-0 after 5 and 2-0 in the 7th and couldn't stay under 8. Alrighty then. Feeling great about the season though! Ran a parlay today buying .5-1 run with Yanks/Jays Over 8.5 and Reds team total Over 3.5
                                                    Thanks Fred. You may want to consider the first 5 innings when betting unders. At least you don't have to worry about questionable relievers.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Smutbucket
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-14-08
                                                      • 3996

                                                      #27
                                                      Checking in. Tailing. Good luck on season
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                        Checking in. Tailing. Good luck on season
                                                        Thanks SB
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by doubledime
                                                          Saturday:

                                                          Pit/Cubs over 10.5
                                                          TX/KC over 9 (may have to buy the 1/2 run)


                                                          Both Plays have over VMIs, ADIs and wind, but no umpire data.

                                                          May have something on the late afternoon/evening games.

                                                          Good luck
                                                          Adding:

                                                          W Sox/LAA over 9


                                                          Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • luvtogamble
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-21-11
                                                            • 1084

                                                            #30
                                                            what is vmi
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by luvtogamble
                                                              what is vmi
                                                              Visual Memory Index


                                                              We combine Temperature, Humidity and Altitude calculations along with where the batters and pitchers played recently compared to the sports weather played in today to create a neuroscouting concept.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #32
                                                                Yesterday:

                                                                1-2

                                                                YTD:

                                                                3-4
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Sunday:

                                                                  TX/KC over 9.5

                                                                  Tor/NYY under 5.5 first five innings
                                                                  Balt/Bos under 5.5 first five innings


                                                                  Good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yesterday:

                                                                    2-1

                                                                    YTD:

                                                                    4-4
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Monday:

                                                                      Tor/TX over 9

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Comment
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