On3’s MLB 2021 Opening Day System

grecycle99 · 04-21-21, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by littlecat

Thanks grecycle99. Appreciate the hard work you do on all of your posts.

Originally posted by mcmister

I’ll co-sign the above! Thanks grecycle99!!!

Originally posted by k310

Thank you grecycle99.

Thanks guys, Appreciate the love!

grecycle99 · 04-21-21, 01:00 PM

UPDATED for 04/21/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 18-4; Profit: 9.34 units
Filtered System: 4-3; Profit: 10.61 units
5/2 chase: 0-3; profit: 61.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 22-10; Profit: 81.16 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 12-10; 4-3; 0-3
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 0-4; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 40.71-40.71-40.71-40.71-86.50-53.12
(B) 27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-55
(C) 34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37

REGULAR FOR 04/21/2021

(C) San Diego RL 111 to win 3.44U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

MexMamba · 04-21-21, 09:23 PM

Maaan this gotta stop what the hell are teams doing getting swept in home games....this got to be the craziest month all time in MLB with this stuff
.

grecycle99 · 04-22-21, 09:21 AM

UPDATED for 04/22/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 19-5; Profit: 23.52 units
Filtered System: 4-3; Profit: 10.61 units
5/2 chase: 0-3; profit: 61.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 23-11; Profit: 95.34 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 12-10; 4-3; 0-3
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 0-4; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 22.81-22.81-22.81-22.81-22.81-22.81-22.81-22.81
(B) 37.41-37.41-37.41-37.41-37.41-37.41-37.41-37.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-27.41-55-40
(C) 34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-68.88

REGULAR FOR 04/22/2021

(A) Boston -165 to win 2.29U
(A) LA Dodgers -175 to win 2.29U
(A) San Francisco -148 to win 2.29U

Filtered

(A) Boston -165 to win 2.29U

5/2

No Play

grecycle99 · 04-22-21, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by MexMamba

Maaan this gotta stop what the hell are teams doing getting swept in home games....this got to be the craziest month all time in MLB with this stuff
.

You got that right, don't know whats happening.

mcmister · 04-22-21, 09:42 AM

“ MLB: Underdogs went 8-5 SU with Rays-Royals closing consensus pick-'em; Brewers (+170 at Padres) was biggest upset with the others by Rangers (+158), Blue Jays (+113), D-backs (+155), Cubs (+113), Rockies (+129), Braves (+130) & Pirates (+113 in Game 1). Dogs reclaim lead on season at 127-126 SU with 11 games closing PK; Over/Unders split 7-7. For season, Unders still lead 138-118-7 ”

grecycle99 · 04-23-21, 12:05 PM

UPDATED for 04/23/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 19-5; Profit: 23.52 units
Filtered System: 4-3; Profit: 10.61 units
5/2 chase: 0-3; profit: 61.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 23-11; Profit: 95.34 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 12-10; 4-3; 0-3
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 0-4; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05-27.05
(B) 29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09-29.09
(C) 34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-34.37-68.88-55-40

REGULAR FOR 04/23/2021

(A) Atlanta -160 to win 2.71U
(A) Chicago Cubs -145 to win 2.71U
(A) Chicago White Sox -145 to win 2.71U
(A) Minnesota -153 to win 2.71U
(A) NY Mets RL -124 to win 2.71U
(A) Tampa Bay -148 to win 2.71U
(B) Boston -138 to win 2.91U
(B) LA Dodgers -142 to win 2.91U

Filtered

(A) Chicago Cubs -145 to win 2.71U
(B) Boston -138 to win 2.91U

5/2

(A) Boston -138 to win 5U

mcmister · 04-24-21, 06:50 AM

Getting good traction to dig us out...nice!

mcmister · 04-25-21, 07:47 AM

LAD’s get the job done for us!
The digging continues!!!

Thanks Grecycle99!

mcmister · 04-25-21, 07:50 AM

... and Tampa Bay cleans the slate!

mcmister · 04-26-21, 09:06 AM

Braves
Brewers
Giants
Dodgers
Astros (9)

I think this is correct. Yes?

grecycle99 · 04-26-21, 11:59 AM

UPDATED for 04/24/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 19-5; Profit: 23.52 units
Filtered System: 4-3; Profit: 10.61 units
5/2 chase: 0-3; profit: 61.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 23-11; Profit: 95.34 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 12-10; 4-3; 0-3
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 0-4; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 27.05-27.05-80.22
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36

REGULAR FOR 04/24/2021

(B) Tampa Bay -136 to win 3.36U
(C) LA Dodgers -142 to win 3.84U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

grecycle99 · 04-26-21, 12:02 PM

UPDATED for 04/25/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 28-5; Profit: 13.59 units
Filtered System: 6-3; Profit: 9.23 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 35-11; Profit: 79.03 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 27.05-27.05-80.22
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36-38.36

REGULAR FOR 04/25/2021

No Play

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

grecycle99 · 04-26-21, 12:10 PM

UPDATED for 04/26/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 28-5; Profit: 13.59 units
Filtered System: 6-3; Profit: 9.23 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 35-11; Profit: 79.03 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45-22.45
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86

REGULAR FOR 04/26/2021

(A) Atlanta RL 112 to win 2.25U
(A) Houston -171 to win 2.25U
(A) LA Dodgers -185 to win 2.25U
(A) Milwaukee -168 to win 2.25U
(A) San Francisco -169 to win 2.25U

Filtered

(A) Houston -171 to win 2.25U

5/2

No Play

sunshine11 · 04-26-21, 05:45 PM

Go Astros

J.M. Disciple · 04-27-21, 02:30 AM

Hi guys. Good luck this season. Might start following soon.

Why are you adding 1 unit (.5 units per #) to the line vs each new series on already what is a volatile system with lots of overlapping plays for the 3 systems?

For example if the line is
A) 10-10-28
You have three new series. What I see happening is:
A) 10-10-28-10-10-10
(78\6)
New line avg:
13-13-13-13-13-13 or (13x6)

Why not just try and clear the $48 on the line? Maybe it means betting less than 1 unit? If the wager turns out to be less than 1 unit, then maybe just make the line $10x6 so it's only a small increase rather than risking 1.3 units per play. Where the original $48 on the line between the 3 games would of only been to win 0.8u per play.

"If bet size is greater than 1 unit when you average out the line, before adding additional money, then no additional money should be added to the line, but if bet size is less than 1 unit then start a fresh line at 1 unit per game." Hopefully that makes sense. I don't see the need to add $30 to a line instead of $12.

Also filtered system is still using same A B C lines correct? So if line was 2.25 x 6 and have MIL at -170 for reg system and filtered system it's 7.65 units to win 4.5 each play or 15.30 units to win 9 units for that one game. Correct? Lot of added variance to the mix.

I think a lot of people following are jumping ship because they don't understand how the system works or familiar with the labby. They see bet 2.25 units and don't realize that is "to win" amount or how multiple plays over lap. To follow all three systems probably need roughly 1,000 units to deal with the swings. I believe there were past seasons where some games were wagering or risking 20 units right? Would say a minimum of 500 units should be required to follow all 3 systems.

I didn't look but how are the losses being handled? If A loses half the loss stays on A and half the loss goes to B? If B loses then split between B & C? If C loses? Where does the loss go?

Thank you for any feed back and comments.

J.M. Disciple · 04-27-21, 02:57 AM

Couple more questions
1) if "A" loses when team is -160 and game 2 "B" they are +120 ML does the system play RL on dogs or ML?

2) the system was originally designed as a chase system before the labby was implemented. I remember people wanting to add filters for qualifying series price and not just having game 1 qualify but series price as additional filter so game 2 and 3 don't have bad pitchers where team is a dog. Anyone know if this was ever looked more into?

3) because this system was designed as a series chase and the labby does better with higher win % (obviously), but question becomes why bet game 2 for teams that are small favorites or even dogs that lowers the win rate? What happens if you use one labby line and bet 1) games that are -145 or higher 2) only bet home teams 3) still bet RL at -190 or higher.

The system does well or labby does well with sweeps and streaks. But when it's high juice and additional units are being added to the line it is no longer a "basic labby" strategy. Becomes closer to martingale or half martingale at least.

I know a lot of posters want "consistency" as most important part of a system and have it fully back tested etc etc but I do think some positive changes can be made based on the actual money management strategy that is being implemented.

Thanks again for any feed back.

grecycle99 · 04-27-21, 05:47 PM

UPDATED for 04/27/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 28-5; Profit: 13.59 units
Filtered System: 6-3; Profit: 9.23 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 35-11; Profit: 79.03 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86-25.86

REGULAR FOR 04/27/2021

(A) Chicago White Sox RL -117 to win 3.21U
(B) Atlanta -160 to win 3.36U
(B) LA Dodgers RL -113 to win 3.36U
(B) Milwaukee -145 to win 3.36U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

mcmister · 04-27-21, 06:41 PM

Thanks grecycle99!
Appreciate all your work keeping this up!

grecycle99 · 04-28-21, 10:46 AM

UPDATED for 04/28/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 28-5; Profit: 13.59 units
Filtered System: 6-3; Profit: 9.23 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 35-11; Profit: 79.03 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-75.12
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14

REGULAR FOR 04/28/2021

(B) Chicago White Sox RL -101 to win 3.36U
(C) LA Dodgers RL 106 to win 2.72U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

grecycle99 · 04-28-21, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Hi guys. Good luck this season. Might start following soon.

Why are you adding 1 unit (.5 units per #) to the line vs each new series on already what is a volatile system with lots of overlapping plays for the 3 systems?

For example if the line is
A) 10-10-28
You have three new series. What I see happening is:
A) 10-10-28-10-10-10
(78\6)
New line avg:
13-13-13-13-13-13 or (13x6)

Why not just try and clear the $48 on the line? Maybe it means betting less than 1 unit? If the wager turns out to be less than 1 unit, then maybe just make the line $10x6 so it's only a small increase rather than risking 1.3 units per play. Where the original $48 on the line between the 3 games would of only been to win 0.8u per play.

"If bet size is greater than 1 unit when you average out the line, before adding additional money, then no additional money should be added to the line, but if bet size is less than 1 unit then start a fresh line at 1 unit per game." Hopefully that makes sense. I don't see the need to add $30 to a line instead of $12.

Also filtered system is still using same A B C lines correct? So if line was 2.25 x 6 and have MIL at -170 for reg system and filtered system it's 7.65 units to win 4.5 each play or 15.30 units to win 9 units for that one game. Correct? Lot of added variance to the mix.

I think a lot of people following are jumping ship because they don't understand how the system works or familiar with the labby. They see bet 2.25 units and don't realize that is "to win" amount or how multiple plays over lap. To follow all three systems probably need roughly 1,000 units to deal with the swings. I believe there were past seasons where some games were wagering or risking 20 units right? Would say a minimum of 500 units should be required to follow all 3 systems.

I didn't look but how are the losses being handled? If A loses half the loss stays on A and half the loss goes to B? If B loses then split between B & C? If C loses? Where does the loss go?

Thank you for any feed back and comments.

Thanks for your feedback

First, I don't add 1 unit on every games that starts. What I do is trying to level the line for the new plays! Let's say for examples, theres 7 numbers on A line and theres 5 games starting on A. So we have 12-12-12-12-12-12-12. I had 3 X 10 to have 10 numbers. So we have 12-12-12-12-12-12-12-10-10-10 = 102/10 = 10.20 X 10 For this example, I only added 1.5U to 5 plays and not 5U.

For the ones that don't realize that is to win amount, I put the line to win the number of units. For example, today Dodgers is to play the RL, the line I got when I post is 106 and to win 2.72U.

For the losses, they stay on the lines. If A loses the loss stays on A. Sometimes what I do is bring numbers from A and put on B on on C and vice versa. The only losses I don't handle is the losses from 5/2 since they are not part of the labby wich account for 56U loss

What I would say is just take the money management I use has a suggestion.

grecycle99 · 04-28-21, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Couple more questions
1) if "A" loses when team is -160 and game 2 "B" they are +120 ML does the system play RL on dogs or ML?

2) the system was originally designed as a chase system before the labby was implemented. I remember people wanting to add filters for qualifying series price and not just having game 1 qualify but series price as additional filter so game 2 and 3 don't have bad pitchers where team is a dog. Anyone know if this was ever looked more into?

3) because this system was designed as a series chase and the labby does better with higher win % (obviously), but question becomes why bet game 2 for teams that are small favorites or even dogs that lowers the win rate? What happens if you use one labby line and bet 1) games that are -145 or higher 2) only bet home teams 3) still bet RL at -190 or higher.

The system does well or labby does well with sweeps and streaks. But when it's high juice and additional units are being added to the line it is no longer a "basic labby" strategy. Becomes closer to martingale or half martingale at least.

I know a lot of posters want "consistency" as most important part of a system and have it fully back tested etc etc but I do think some positive changes can be made based on the actual money management strategy that is being implemented.

Thanks again for any feed back.

1) I Think it would work better on the dog RL. But I think that the system was to play the ml.

2) I don't about this. Maybe somebody else can jump on this question.

3) Home team starting at -145 have a higher chance to win at least a game in the series. This system is here for a long time. For me it's my 4th year posting it I think. Most of the year were very good, some were less. It could be worth a try.

I just post the system with the old rules and the labby that was being played by on3. I didn't make the rules. I think this was fully back tested and have many years to show it consistency. I'm open to suggestion has long it's not changing the systems.

Thanks

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 02:03 PM

I'm open to suggestion has long it's not changing the systems.

First, I don't add 1 unit on every games that starts. What I do is trying to level the line for the new plays! Let's say for examples, theres 7 numbers on A line and theres 5 games starting on A. So we have 12-12-12-12-12-12-12. I had 3 X 10 to have 10 numbers. So we have 12-12-12-12-12-12-12-10-10-10 = 102/10 = 10.20 X 10 For this example, I only added 1.5U to 5 plays and not 5U.

Mostly want to address this part. I misspoke a little bit earlier when I said adding 3 units instead of 1.5. I understand you are adding $10 or half unit for each additional number you add to the line. My main question is why do you need to add any additional money to the line at all?

in your ($12 x 7) example but have 5 games, so add three numbers ($10 x 3) to the line, so you have two numbers to cross out for each game and add one number when you lose (total loss). I understand that, but I think you are just increasing the volatility of the system. For the labby to work consistently at 33.33% win rate being cross 2 or add 1 it does not involve adding additional numbers to the line. I understand the reason you do it is because it is just easier to manage this way. There are many variations of doing it though.
One method I used to use is capping my line at 6#s but playing a "1 strike" method. Being bet one # on the line when I win (cross one), add one # (total loss) when I lose. This means need greater than 50% win rate though, which shouldn't be a problem with -145+ juice on a lot of games. Then in order to clear the line or recover some of the losses, so I get to the point where my line is $30-$30-$30-$30-$30-$30 or ($30 x 6) my line is capped at 6#s. When I lose that day, the loss is just spread evenly among the line. Losing $30 just adds $5 to each # or ($35 x 6) for the next set of games. It is a very similar concept just less volatile. Also means less profit but less of a chance of busting your bankroll.

Back to the ($12 x 7) and adding ($10 x 3) though. When you have $12 x 7 or $84 on your line but have 5 games or need 10#s. why not just do $8.4 x 10 and not add additional money? Of course this would be to win 0.84 units per game. The part I am disagreeing with is making the bet size greater than one unit to fulfill this labby management. You are going from $16.80 per game on original line to ($84 + $30) / 5 = $22.80 per game or 35% increase on each wager. The "$102 / 10" was off on the math because you left off $12.

Also wanted to look at some bigger lines as better examples

(A) 32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-32.07-75.12
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14

These lines here are pretty big already compared to starting line of 10-10-10-10 etc. Where they have grown over 3x on average.

but lets look closely at line B. 7 #s on the line ($33.54 x 7) I am not sure why you write it all out instead of just writing it as I do, looks way more clean and organized. but if you have 4 games you would do (($33.54 x 7) + $10) / 8 right? = ($30.60 x 8) or 3.06u per game. compared to if you just take (($33.54 x 7)) / 8 = ( $29.35 x 8 ) or to win 2.94u per game so difference is 0.12 units per game a small increase, but long run these small increases are being compounded the longer it takes to clear the line and get a sweep.

Lastly I do not see the need to have multiple lines in general. Manage one line correctly and you recover your losses if a team doesn't get swept. Otherwise you are relying on A wagers that lose to be recovered by the next teams A wagers right? If series was designed around 96% of home teams don't get swept, why not use the same line to recover the loss?

Lastly do you have an excel sheet with all the plays? I can go back through the thread and get all the plays with the MLs, but I would want to compare the labby I am talking about with one line and not adding additional units to the line to how you managed this years labby. I'm sure both would be losing given the odds and record so far. Just want to see if single line is losing less or not and see how inflated it is by adding additional half units per # to have 2 strike method for the labby.

Then off topic I also wanted to test home favorites -150+ and total 9+ similar to the filter system, but not based on series chase. Just use labby to manage the money and daily MLB plays. If LAD is -180 and they win and they are -180 the next day with total of 9 I would just continue to bet them. Will save this for another thread once I test it though. Don't want to get too off topic.

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 02:44 PM

DATE	TEAM	ABC	RL / ML	ODDS	SCORE	WIN / LOSS
1-Apr	CHC	A	RL	106
1-Apr	KC	A	ML	-149
1-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-172
1-Apr	SD	A	RL	-117
2-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-174
2-Apr	SD	B	RL	-106
3-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-167
3-Apr	CHC	B	ML	-165
3-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-161
4-Apr	BOS	C	ML	-163
5-Apr	CIN	A	ML	-147
5-Apr	SD	A	ML	-149
5-Apr	NYY	A	RL	-112
6-Apr	SD	B	ML	-185
7-Apr	NO PLAY
8-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-165
8-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-151
8-Apr	MIN	A	RL	102
8-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-182
9-Apr	CLE	A	ML	-184
9-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-142
9-Apr	SF	A	ML	-155
10-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-161
11-Apr	NO PLAY
12-Apr	HOU	A	RL	-111
12-Apr	STL	A	ML	-147
12-Apr	TB	A	RL	102
13-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-140
13-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-150
13-Apr	HOU	B	ML	-185
13-Apr	TB	B	ML	-169
14-Apr	HOU	C	RL	-115
14-Apr	TB	C	ML	-187
15-Apr	OAK	A	ML	-163
15-Apr	WAS	A	ML	-170
16-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-150
16-Apr	WAS	B	ML	-187
17-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-109
18-Apr	NYY	C	RL	-112
19-Apr	LAA	A	RL	-106
19-Apr	SD	A	ML	-157
20-Apr	LAA	B	ML	-181
20-Apr	SD	B	ML	-115
21-Apr	SD	C	RL	111
22-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-165
22-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-175
22-Apr	SF	A	ML	-148
23-Apr	ATL	A	ML	-160
23-Apr	CHC	A	ML	-145
23-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-145
23-Apr	MIN	A	ML	-153
23-Apr	NYM	A	RL	-124
23-Apr	TB	A	ML	-148
23-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-138
23-Apr	LAD	B	ML	-142
24-Apr	TB	B	ML	-136
24-Apr	LAD	C	ML	-142
25-Apr	NO PLAY
26-Apr	ATL	A	RL	112
26-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-171
26-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-185
26-Apr	MIL	A	ML	-168
26-Apr	SF	A	ML	-169
27-Apr	CWS	A	RL	-117
27-Apr	ATL	B	ML	-160
27-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-113
27-Apr	MIL	B	ML	-145
28-Apr	CWS	B	RL	-101
28-Apr	LAD	C	RL	106

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 02:49 PM

Making a spread sheet and will show the labby variation when I am done. I will only add additional money to the line if when I average it the bet size is less than 1 unit, which case I will bet to win one unit. If labby comes out to $8.4 x 10 I will make it $10 x 10. I want to compare this one and also the one strike method with 6# cap I talked about above as well. Think there was only one day where there were 8 plays, but will just keep splitting the amount on the line to however many #s I need for the day. Very simple process. Also I am only testing the "regular system" not going to have over lapping plays because on a "bad run" things can get really ugly and I just find it slightly greedy. System is based on loss recovery and not actual EV of each game. I don't see the need to double down on any games because of this.

grecycle99 · 04-28-21, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Mostly want to address this part. I misspoke a little bit earlier when I said adding 3 units instead of 1.5. I understand you are adding $10 or half unit for each additional number you add to the line. My main question is why do you need to add any additional money to the line at all?

in your ($12 x 7) example but have 5 games, so add three numbers ($10 x 3) to the line, so you have two numbers to cross out for each game and add one number when you lose (total loss). I understand that, but I think you are just increasing the volatility of the system. For the labby to work consistently at 33.33% win rate being cross 2 or add 1 it does not involve adding additional numbers to the line. I understand the reason you do it is because it is just easier to manage this way. There are many variations of doing it though.
One method I used to use is capping my line at 6#s but playing a "1 strike" method. Being bet one # on the line when I win (cross one), add one # (total loss) when I lose. This means need greater than 50% win rate though, which shouldn't be a problem with -145+ juice on a lot of games. Then in order to clear the line or recover some of the losses, so I get to the point where my line is $30-$30-$30-$30-$30-$30 or ($30 x 6) my line is capped at 6#s. When I lose that day, the loss is just spread evenly among the line. Losing $30 just adds $5 to each # or ($35 x 6) for the next set of games. It is a very similar concept just less volatile. Also means less profit but less of a chance of busting your bankroll.

Back to the ($12 x 7) and adding ($10 x 3) though. When you have $12 x 7 or $84 on your line but have 5 games or need 10#s. why not just do $8.4 x 10 and not add additional money? Of course this would be to win 0.84 units per game. The part I am disagreeing with is making the bet size greater than one unit to fulfill this labby management. You are going from $16.80 per game on original line to ($84 + $30) / 5 = $22.80 per game or 35% increase on each wager. The "$102 / 10" was off on the math because you left off $12.

Also wanted to look at some bigger lines as better examples

These lines here are pretty big already compared to starting line of 10-10-10-10 etc. Where they have grown over 3x on average.

but lets look closely at line B. 7 #s on the line ($33.54 x 7) I am not sure why you write it all out instead of just writing it as I do, looks way more clean and organized. but if you have 4 games you would do (($33.54 x 7) + $10) / 8 right? = ($30.60 x 8) or 3.06u per game. compared to if you just take (($33.54 x 7)) / 8 = ( $29.35 x 8 ) or to win 2.94u per game so difference is 0.12 units per game a small increase, but long run these small increases are being compounded the longer it takes to clear the line and get a sweep.

Lastly I do not see the need to have multiple lines in general. Manage one line correctly and you recover your losses if a team doesn't get swept. Otherwise you are relying on A wagers that lose to be recovered by the next teams A wagers right? If series was designed around 96% of home teams don't get swept, why not use the same line to recover the loss?

Lastly do you have an excel sheet with all the plays? I can go back through the thread and get all the plays with the MLs, but I would want to compare the labby I am talking about with one line and not adding additional units to the line to how you managed this years labby. I'm sure both would be losing given the odds and record so far. Just want to see if single line is losing less or not and see how inflated it is by adding additional half units per # to have 2 strike method for the labby.

Then off topic I also wanted to test home favorites -150+ and total 9+ similar to the filter system, but not based on series chase. Just use labby to manage the money and daily MLB plays. If LAD is -180 and they win and they are -180 the next day with total of 9 I would just continue to bet them. Will save this for another thread once I test it though. Don't want to get too off topic.

Usually, what I do is add numbers from other lines. Thats what seems to be added half units. Maybe I added some units at some points. Usually what I do is for example, you have 7 X 12 on A, 8 X 22 on B and 10 X 30 on C. If 5 series start on A bets, I would bring 64 from C to make 10 X 15 on A, 8 X 22 on B and 10 X 23.6 on C. And I never add new units on B or C.

It's true I could wrote it that way, I don't know why I did the other way. I will change it. For me using 3 lines for A, B and C is more user friendly than only 1 line for the 3. 1 or 3 is not changing nothing since I bring numbers from A, to B or C and Vice versa.

No sorry I don't have an excel sheet for this system. I think it would change nothing since I don't add additionnal units on the labby at least most of the time. I think I added some at the beginning but not since the losses. I think also that On3 used to start the labby after april my bad for that. This could make a difference and would avoid the debut losses. The losses would have been bigger just on chases but The beginning should have been played on a half unit basis.

I would like to see how a system like that would average on home fav, would surely follow.

Thanks

grecycle99 · 04-28-21, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Making a spread sheet and will show the labby variation when I am done. I will only add additional money to the line if when I average it the bet size is less than 1 unit, which case I will bet to win one unit. If labby comes out to $8.4 x 10 I will make it $10 x 10. I want to compare this one and also the one strike method with 6# cap I talked about above as well. Think there was only one day where there were 8 plays, but will just keep splitting the amount on the line to however many #s I need for the day. Very simple process. Also I am only testing the "regular system" not going to have over lapping plays because on a "bad run" things can get really ugly and I just find it slightly greedy. System is based on loss recovery and not actual EV of each game. I don't see the need to double down on any games because of this.

No problem my friend. By overlapping, do you mean plays that are on regular and filtered? Thanks

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 06:29 PM

overlapping, do you mean plays that are on regular and filtered?

yes.

Thanks for break down above. Glad you are moving numbers from C to A or B to A or C etc.. If numbers are being shifted around then it won't matter much if one line or three. I do agree three lines can be more user friendly. I'll check in find a link to a "vertical labby" someone apparently used in Vegas to make a ton of money. I don't want to explain it incorrectly without finding the link first. Will be some what similar to your 3 liner strategy though.

One last thing I will point out though. when you have 3 series and you start first line as A) 10-10-10-10-10-10 and say two out of the three games lose at -150 odds. The 10-10-10-10-x-x becomes 10-10-10-10-30-30 correct? Then when those two series goes to B line how are you choosing bet amount? Because B line starts off empty right? Are you still doing 1 unit or would you move the two 30s down and two Tens down? 10-10-30-30 for the B game, so two units each? What I am getting it is if you add ($10 x 6) or 3 units for the start of three series, then start a fresh B line say 10-10-10-10 for the B wagers, you have added a total of 5 units to the line(s) for those three series. I think this only happens in the beginning of fresh lines though and why I was saying maybe should try one line instead of three, but this would be the main difference in the two strategies in the beginning at least. I'll go see if I can find the link for vertical labby and thanks for the responses. Appreciate the details you give.

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 06:49 PM

@grecycle99 https://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=14522.0 This is not the exact link I was trying to find, but very similar strategy to what I was looking for. I don't think I need to explain it on here, they do a good job of explaining it on their forums. They have some horrible stretches of losses only hitting 39% over 140 spins but still show profit using the strategy.

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 07:36 PM

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

For regular system based on the plays posted I have record at 32 wins - 33 losses including the plays today. Let me know what games are wrong?

DATE	TEAM	ABC	RL / ML	ODDS	odds	SCORE	WIN / LOSS	LABBY	RISK	TO WIN	PROFIT	TOTAL	NOTES
1-Apr	CHC	A	RL	106	1.06	3 to 5	LOSS	$10 x 8	$20.00	$21	($20)	($20)
1-Apr	KC	A	ML	-149	1.49	14 to 10	WIN		$29.80	$20	$20	$0
1-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-172	1.72	2 to 3	LOSS		$34.40	$20	($34.40)	($34)
1-Apr	SD	A	RL	-117	1.17	8 to 7	LOSS		$23.40	$20	($23.40)	($58)
2-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-174	1.74	0 to 3	LOSS	$15 x 9	$52.20	$30	($52.20)	($110)
2-Apr	SD	B	RL	-106	1.06	4 to 2	WIN		$31.80	$30	$30	($80)
3-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-167	1.67	2 to 4	LOSS	$20 x 8	$66.80	$40	($66.80)	($147)
3-Apr	CHC	B	ML	-165	1.65	5 to 1	WIN		$66.00	$40	$40	($107)
3-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-161	1.61	1 to 3	LOSS		$64.40	$40	($64.40)	($171)
4-Apr	BOS	C	ML	-163	1.63	3 to 11	LOSS	$31 x 8	$101.06	$62	($101.06)	($272)
5-Apr	CIN	A	ML	-147	1.47	5 to 3	WIN	$39 x 9	$114.66	$78	$78	($194)
5-Apr	SD	A	ML	-149	1.49	2 to 3	LOSS		$116.22	$78	($116.22)	($310)
5-Apr	NYY	A	RL	-112	1.12	7 to 0	WIN		$87.36	$78	$78	($232)
6-Apr	SD	B	ML	-185	1.85	3 to 1	WIN	$52 x 6	$192.40	$104	$104	($128)
7-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			($128)
8-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-165	1.65	6 to 0	WIN	$26 x 8	$85.80	$52	$52	($76)
8-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-151	1.51	6 to 2	WIN		$78.52	$52	$52	($24)
8-Apr	MIN	A	RL	102	1.02	10 to 2	WIN		$53.04	$52	$52	$28
8-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-182	1.82	3 to 2	WIN		$94.64	$52	$52	$80	line clear peak profit
9-Apr	CLE	A	ML	-184	1.84	4 to 1	WIN	$10 X 6	$36.80	$20	$20	$100
9-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-142	1.42	1 to 0	LOSS		$28.40	$20	($28.40)	$71
9-Apr	SF	A	ML	-155	1.55	3 to 1	WIN		$31.00	$20	$20	$91	peak profit
10-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-161	1.61	9 to 5	WIN	$10 x 2	$32.20	$20	$20	$111	peak profit
11-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			$111
12-Apr	HOU	A	RL	-111	1.11	2 to 6	LOSS	$10 x 6	$22.20	$20	($22.20)	$89
12-Apr	STL	A	ML	-147	1.47	2 to 5	LOSS		$29.40	$20	($29.40)	$60
12-Apr	TB	A	RL	102	1.02	1 to 0	LOSS		$20.40	$20	($20.40)	$39
13-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-140	1.4	7 to 0	WIN	$15 x 9	$42.00	$30	$30	$69
13-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-150	1.5	4 to 0	WIN		$45.00	$30	$30	$99
13-Apr	HOU	B	ML	-185	1.85	2 to 8	LOSS		$55.50	$30	($55.50)	$44
13-Apr	TB	B	ML	-169	1.69	3 to 8	LOSS		$50.70	$30	($50.70)	($7)
14-Apr	HOU	C	RL	-115	1.15	4 to 6	LOSS	$26 x 7	$59.80	$52	($59.80)	($67)
14-Apr	TB	C	ML	-187	1.87	1 to 5	LOSS		$97.24	$52	($97.24)	($164)
15-Apr	OAK	A	ML	-163	1.63	8 to 4	WIN	$38 x 9	$123.88	$76	$76	($88)
15-Apr	WAS	A	ML	-170	1.7	6 to 11	LOSS		$129.20	$76	($129.20)	($217)
16-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-150	1.5	2 to 8	LOSS	$49 x 8	$147.00	$98	($147)	($364)
16-Apr	WAS	B	ML	-187	1.87	1 to 0	WIN		$183.26	$98	$98.00	($266)
17-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-109	1.09	3 to 6	LOSS	$63 x 7	$137.34	$126	($137.34)	($404)
18-Apr	NYY	C	RL	-112	1.12	2 to 4	LOSS	$72 x 8	$161.28	$144	($161.28)	($565)
19-Apr	LAA	A	RL	-106	1.06	4 to 6	LOSS	$82 x 9	$173.84	$164	($173.84)	($739)
19-Apr	SD	A	ML	-157	1.57	1 to 3	LOSS		$257.48	$164	($257.48)	($996)
20-Apr	LAA	B	ML	-181	1.81	6 to 2	WIN	$106 x 11	$383.72	$212	$212	($784)
20-Apr	SD	B	ML	-115	1.15	0 to 6	LOSS		$243.80	$212	($243.80)	($1,028)
21-Apr	SD	C	RL	111	1.11	2 to 4	LOSS	$120 x 10	$266.40	$240	($266.40)	($1,294)
22-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-165	1.65	3 to 7	LOSS	$133 x 11	$438.90	$266	($438.90)	($1,733)
22-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-175	1.75	2 to 3	LOSS		$465.50	$266	($465.50)	($2,199)
22-Apr	SF	A	ML	-148	1.48	3 to 0	WIN		$393.68	$266	$266	($1,933)
23-Apr	ATL	A	ML	-160	1.6	5 to 4	WIN	$131 x 16	$419.20	$262	$262	($1,671)
23-Apr	CHC	A	ML	-145	1.45	15 to 2	WIN		$379.90	$262	$262	($1,409)
23-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-145	1.45	9 to 7	WIN		$379.90	$262	$262	($1,147)
23-Apr	MIN	A	ML	-153	1.53	2 to 0	WIN		$400.86	$262	$262	($885)
23-Apr	NYM	A	RL	-124	1.24	6 to 0	WIN		$324.88	$262	$262	($623)
23-Apr	TB	A	ML	-148	1.48	3 to 5	LOSS		$387.76	$262	($387.76)	($1,011)
23-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-138	1.38	6 to 5	WIN		$361.56	$262	$262	($749)
23-Apr	LAD	B	ML	-142	1.42	1 to 6	LOSS		$372.04	$262	($372.04)	($1,121)
24-Apr	TB	B	ML	-136	1.36	5 to 3	WIN	$214 x 6	$568.48	$418	$418	($703)
24-Apr	LAD	C	ML	-142	1.42	5 to 4	WIN		$593.56	$418	$418	($285)
25-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			($285)
26-Apr	ATL	A	RL	112	1.12	8 to 7	LOSS	$43 x 10	$96.32	$86	($96.32)	($381)
26-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-171	1.71	5 to 2	WIN		$147.06	$86	$86	($295)
26-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-185	1.85	3 to 5	LOSS		$159.10	$86	($159.10)	($454)
26-Apr	MIL	A	ML	-168	1.68	0 to 8	LOSS		$144.48	$86	($144.48)	($599)
26-Apr	SF	A	ML	-169	1.69	12 to 0	WIN		$145.34	$86	$86	($513)
27-Apr	CWS	A	RL	-117	1.17	2 to 5	LOSS	$73 x 9	$170.82	$146	($170.82)	($683)
27-Apr	ATL	B	ML	-160	1.6	5 to 0	WIN		$233.60	$146	$146	($537)
27-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-113	1.13	5 to 6	LOSS		$164.98	$146	($164.98)	($702)
27-Apr	MIL	B	ML	-145	1.45	5 to 4	WIN		$211.70	$146	$146	($556)
28-Apr	CWS	B	RL	-101	1.01	postpone		$100 x 7	$0.00			($556)
28-Apr	LAD	C	RL	106	1.06	8 to 0	WIN		$212.00	$200	$200	($356)

J.M. Disciple · 04-28-21, 08:20 PM

@grecycle99 as you can see from my above post single line is no bueno! You guys are only down -13.59 units with your method where I would be down -17.8 units. However that includes a 10 unit win on LAD today if I was playing my strategy, so would be down technically double your loss.

Sorry to keep bothering you, but if you look at the labby for April 23th shows 131 x 16. It ends up making around $800 on the day, but the labby line still increases for April 24th despite going 6-2 for the day. How would you manage this? Because I cross off 12 #s and add two #s so on the 24th line is $214 x 6 based on the money left on the line. This is the part of the labby where any system I tested always seemed to fail with single line labby because of increases like this after making a solid run. I would think labby would decrease in the wager size or at the very least stay the same.

Lastly, how are you guys only down $456 / 22.82 units? If my math is correct I count $1,015 on the three lines or 50.75 units? I count 32#s over the 3 lines ($32 x 32) So if you get 16 wins you'll be up roughly 30 units for the regular + filtered. Not sure how you end up with so many extra units on your line compared to your peak profit. For example if your peak profit this season was 5 units, I would think if you are down 22 units, there would not be more than (22 + 5 + 1) or 28 units on your line. Seems super inflated now that I add it all up.

grecycle99 · 04-29-21, 12:18 PM

UPDATED for 04/29/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 28-5; Profit: 13.59 units
Filtered System: 6-3; Profit: 9.23 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 35-11; Profit: 79.03 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 18-15; 5-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 9-6; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 1-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14

REGULAR FOR 04/29/2021

(A) Arizona -146 to win to win 3.57U (watch the line in case it gets under 145)
(B) Chicago White Sox RL 113 to win 3.36U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

J.M. Disciple · 04-30-21, 03:45 AM

Hi Grecycle99,

I tested a one strike labby and will post spread sheet below for games up to the present date.
Biggest bet $167 (8.35u) with risk of $237 (11.85u).
Peak profit $122 (6.1u)
Current down $76 (3.8u)

The strategy is to start with 1 unit per game but cap your line at 6#s. Cross one or add one, but if your line reaches 6#s just average out the loss over those 6#s. Really easy method and appears to be way less risk than current labby strategy. Given how bad this season has gone, I would consider this method a win! Only down 3.8 units and have 13.5 units on the line.

DATE	TEAM	ABC	RL / ML	ODDS	odds	SCORE	WIN / LOSS		RISK	TO WIN	PROFIT	TOTAL
1-Apr	CHC	A	RL	106	1.06	3 to 5	LOSS	$20 - $20 - $20 - $20	$20.00	$21	($20)	($20)
1-Apr	KC	A	ML	-149	1.49	14 to 10	WIN		$29.80	$20	$20	$0
1-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-172	1.72	2 to 3	LOSS		$34.40	$20	($34.40)	($34)
1-Apr	SD	A	RL	-117	1.17	8 to 7	LOSS		$23.40	$20	($23.40)	($58)
2-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-174	1.74	0 to 3	LOSS	$23 - $23 - $23 - $23 - $23 - $23	$40.02	$23	($40.02)	($98)
2-Apr	SD	B	RL	-106	1.06	4 to 2	WIN		$24.38	$23	$23	($75)
3-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-167	1.67	2 to 4	LOSS	$26 - $26 - $26 - $26 - $26 - $26	$43.42	$26	($43.42)	($118)
3-Apr	CHC	B	ML	-165	1.65	5 to 1	WIN		$42.90	$26	$26	($92)
3-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-161	1.61	1 to 3	LOSS		$41.86	$26	($41.86)	($134)
4-Apr	BOS	C	ML	-163	1.63	3 to 11	LOSS	$36 - $36 - $36 - $36 - $36 - $36	$58.68	$36	($58.68)	($193)
5-Apr	CIN	A	ML	-147	1.47	5 to 3	WIN	$46 - $46 - $46 - $46 -$46 - $46	$67.62	$46	$46	($147)
5-Apr	SD	A	ML	-149	1.49	2 to 3	LOSS		$68.54	$46	($68.54)	($215)
5-Apr	NYY	A	RL	-112	1.12	7 to 0	WIN		$51.52	$46	$46	($169)
6-Apr	SD	B	ML	-185	1.85	3 to 1	WIN	$51 - $51 - $51 - $51 - $51	$94.35	$51	$51	($118)
7-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			($118)
8-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-165	1.65	6 to 0	WIN	$51 - $51 - $51 - $51	$84.15	$51	$51	($67)
8-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-151	1.51	6 to 2	WIN		$77.01	$51	$51	($16)
8-Apr	MIN	A	RL	102	1.02	10 to 2	WIN		$52.02	$51	$51	$35
8-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-182	1.82	3 to 2	WIN		$92.82	$51	$51	$86
9-Apr	CLE	A	ML	-184	1.84	4 to 1	WIN	$20 - $20 - $20	$36.80	$20	$20	$106
9-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-142	1.42	1 to 0	LOSS		$28.40	$20	($28.40)	$77
9-Apr	SF	A	ML	-155	1.55	3 to 1	WIN		$31.00	$20	$20	$97
10-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-161	1.61	9 to 5	WIN	$25 - $25	$40.25	$25	$25	$122
11-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			$122
12-Apr	HOU	A	RL	-111	1.11	2 to 6	LOSS	$22 - $22 - $22	$24.42	$22	($24.42)	$98
12-Apr	STL	A	ML	-147	1.47	2 to 5	LOSS		$32.34	$22	($32.34)	$66
12-Apr	TB	A	RL	102	1.02	1 to 0	LOSS		$22.44	$22	($22.44)	$43
13-Apr	LAD	A	RL	-140	1.4	7 to 0	WIN	$24 - $24 - $24 - $24 - $24 - $24	$33.60	$24	$24	$67
13-Apr	NYM	A	ML	-150	1.5	4 to 0	WIN		$36.00	$24	$24	$91
13-Apr	HOU	B	ML	-185	1.85	2 to 8	LOSS		$44.40	$24	($44.40)	$47
13-Apr	TB	B	ML	-169	1.69	3 to 8	LOSS		$40.56	$24	($40.56)	$6
14-Apr	HOU	C	RL	-115	1.15	4 to 6	LOSS	$30 - $30 - $30 - $30 - $30 - $30	$34.50	$30	($34.50)	($28)
14-Apr	TB	C	ML	-187	1.87	1 to 5	LOSS		$56.10	$30	($56.10)	($84)
15-Apr	OAK	A	ML	-163	1.63	8 to 4	WIN	$45 - $45 - $45 - $45 - $45 - $45	$73.35	$45	$45	($39)
15-Apr	WAS	A	ML	-170	1.7	6 to 11	LOSS		$76.50	$45	($76.50)	($116)
16-Apr	NYY	A	ML	-150	1.5	2 to 8	LOSS	$50 -$50 -$50 -$50 -$50 -$50	$75.00	$50	($75)	($191)
16-Apr	WAS	B	ML	-187	1.87	1 to 0	WIN		$93.50	$50	$50.00	($141)
17-Apr	NYY	B	ML	-109	1.09	3 to 6	LOSS	$54 - $54 -$54 - $54 -$54 - $54	$58.86	$54	($58.86)	($200)
18-Apr	NYY	C	RL	-112	1.12	2 to 4	LOSS	$64 - $64 -$64 - $64 -$64 - $64	$71.68	$64	($71.68)	($272)
19-Apr	LAA	A	RL	-106	1.06	4 to 6	LOSS	$76 - $76 - $76 - $76 - $76 - $76	$80.56	$76	($80.56)	($352)
19-Apr	SD	A	ML	-157	1.57	1 to 3	LOSS		$119.32	$76	($119.32)	($471)
20-Apr	LAA	B	ML	-181	1.81	6 to 2	WIN	$109 - $109 - $109 - $109 - $109 - $109	$197.29	$109	$109	($362)
20-Apr	SD	B	ML	-115	1.15	0 to 6	LOSS		$125.35	$109	($125.35)	($488)
21-Apr	SD	C	RL	111	1.11	2 to 4	LOSS	$112 - $112 - $112 - $112 - $112 - $112	$100.90	$112	($100.90)	($589)
22-Apr	BOS	A	ML	-165	1.65	3 to 7	LOSS	$129 - $129 -$129 - $129 -$129 - $129	$212.85	$129	($212.85)	($802)
22-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-175	1.75	2 to 3	LOSS		$225.75	$129	($225.75)	($1,027)
22-Apr	SF	A	ML	-148	1.48	3 to 0	WIN		$190.92	$129	$129	($898)
23-Apr	ATL	A	ML	-160	1.6	5 to 4	WIN	$136 - $136 - $136 - $136 - $136 - $136 - $136 - $136	$217.60	$136	$136	($762)
23-Apr	CHC	A	ML	-145	1.45	15 to 2	WIN		$197.20	$136	$136	($626)
23-Apr	CWS	A	ML	-145	1.45	9 to 7	WIN		$197.20	$136	$136	($490)
23-Apr	MIN	A	ML	-153	1.53	2 to 0	WIN		$208.08	$136	$136	($354)
23-Apr	NYM	A	RL	-124	1.24	6 to 0	WIN		$168.64	$136	$136	($218)
23-Apr	TB	A	ML	-148	1.48	3 to 5	LOSS		$201.28	$136	($201.28)	($420)
23-Apr	BOS	B	ML	-138	1.38	6 to 5	WIN		$187.68	$136	$136	($284)
23-Apr	LAD	B	ML	-142	1.42	1 to 6	LOSS		$193.12	$136	($193.12)	($477)
24-Apr	TB	B	ML	-136	1.36	5 to 3	WIN	$167 - $167 - $167 - $167	$227.12	$167	$167	($310)
24-Apr	LAD	C	ML	-142	1.42	5 to 4	WIN		$237.14	$167	$167	($143)
25-Apr	NO PLAY								$0.00			($143)
26-Apr	ATL	A	RL	112	1.12	8 to 7	LOSS	$67 - $67 - $67 - $67 - $67	$75.04	$67	($75.04)	($218)
26-Apr	HOU	A	ML	-171	1.71	5 to 2	WIN		$114.57	$67	$67	($151)
26-Apr	LAD	A	ML	-185	1.85	3 to 5	LOSS		$123.95	$67	($123.95)	($275)
26-Apr	MIL	A	ML	-168	1.68	0 to 8	LOSS		$112.56	$67	($112.56)	($387)
26-Apr	SF	A	ML	-169	1.69	12 to 0	WIN		$113.23	$67	$67	($320)
27-Apr	CWS	A	RL	-117	1.17	2 to 5	LOSS	$86 - $86 - $86 - $86 - $86 - $86	$100.62	$86	($100.62)	($421)
27-Apr	ATL	B	ML	-160	1.6	5 to 0	WIN		$137.60	$86	$86	($335)
27-Apr	LAD	B	RL	-113	1.13	5 to 6	LOSS		$97.18	$86	($97.18)	($432)
27-Apr	MIL	B	ML	-145	1.45	5 to 4	WIN		$124.70	$86	$86	($346)
28-Apr	CWS	B	RL	-101	1.01	postpone		$90 - $90 - $90 - $90 - $90 - $90	$0.00			($346)
28-Apr	LAD	C	RL	106	1.06	8 to 0	WIN		$84.90	$90	$90	($256)
29-Apr	ARZ	A	ML	-146	1.46	5 TO 3	WIN	$90 - $90 - $90 - $90 - $90	$131.40	$90	$90	($166)
29-Apr	CWS	B	RL	113	1.13	11 TO 0	WIN		$79.65	$90	$90	($76)
								$90 - $90 - $90

grecycle99 · 04-30-21, 10:24 AM

UPDATED for 04/30/2021

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 34-5; Profit: 14.75 units
Filtered System: 7-3; Profit: 6.98 units
5/2 chase: 1-3; profit: 56.21 units

Total (3 systems) : 42-11; Profit: 77.94 unit (Series chase lost : REGULAR Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, Tampa Bay -6.73U, NY Yankees -8.19U, San Diego -13.82U, FILTERED Boston -5.04U, Houston -5.81U, NY Yankees -8.19U, 5/2 Boston -25.22U, Houston -22.21U, NY Yankees -18.04U)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 20-19; 6-4; 1-3
Game 2 (B) win = 12-7; 1-3; 0-3
Game 3 (C) win = 2-5; 0-3

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66-35.66
(B) 33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54-33.54
(C) 27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14-27.14

REGULAR FOR 04/30/2021

(A) NY Yankees RL -161 to win 3.57U
(A) San Diego -189 to win 3.57U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

J.M. Disciple · 04-30-21, 04:19 PM

I thought my post would get a response. The bet sizes seem very reasonable with busting bankroll, but the biggest swing is still going to be 50 units due to the bad stretch the system had. I think on average the bet size is smaller. Would just run one line for regular system and one line for filtered system. Let me know if you have any questions of how I managed it.