MLB Season $$$$$$$ Tracker Thread

xXxBallin21xXx · 08-06-09, 11:48 AM

Went Heavy on Twins! Lets cash this biiiatch!

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by dvb02

Would this be a $120 to win $100 play for you?

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

Play: Detroit/Baltimore Under 9.5 (-120)

The Under is 25-10-1 in Barrys last 36 games behind home plate. Both pitchers are throwing the ball well and Porcello had a stellar game in his last outing. Here are a few under stats that make this the right play. The Under is 4-0 in Barrys last 4 games behind home plate vs. Detroit. The Under is 14-3 in Tigers last 17 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Under is 5-0-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts overall. The Under is 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts overall.

Good Luck!

YTD:
13-8, 62%, +$701.00

Sorry, was in a hurry to post it. yes it is.

Play: Detroit/Baltimore Under 9.5 (-120) ($120.00 to win $100.00)

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 01:20 PM

Minnesota is pretty horrid with RISP today. They should have at least 5 runs. Oh well, maybe they will pull it out.

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 02:45 PM

2 tough losses this afternoon. Total missed by a half run and the side lost by 1 run. We will do better tonight. Sorry if you tailed. Losses will come we will get back on track.

G's pks · 08-06-09, 02:54 PM

Hey you are still over .500...come back tonight.... GL G. It is tough trying to pick games every single day I give you guys credit for trying...

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 03:46 PM

Play: Arizona ML -120 ($120.00 to win $100.00)

Arizona i feel is a strong play in this spot and i believe they will sweep the Pirates tonight. The Pirates have lost 4 in a row and they are struggling at this point. Arizona has won 4 straight against the Pirates the second half of the season by a combined score of 26-3, pure domination. Overall the Diamonbacks have beaten the Pirates 6 of 7 and 18 of the last 28 ballgames.

Max Scherzer last took the hill Sunday against the Pirates and he surrendered 0 runs in 7 innings striking out 8 in a 9-0 win. Arizona also has their bullpen working well right now.

Bullpen WHIP L3:

Arizona 0.98
Pittsburgh 1.64

Here is also some back trends:

Arizona:
7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
4-0 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
4-0 in their last 4 road games.
4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
4-0 in their last 4 overall.
6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.

Pittsburgh:
3-13 in their last 16 Thursday games.
1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss.
0-4 in their last 4 home games.
0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
0-4 in their last 4 overall.

YTD:
13-10, +$451.00

Emilio3D · 08-06-09, 04:09 PM

arizona -12.5 over 8.0

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 04:11 PM

I also like the under in the AZ/Pitt game but it wont be a play on the thread. The wind in blowing in from left field @ 10mph with a small chance of showers all game long

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 04:30 PM

Play: ATL/LAD Over 8.5, -115 ($115.00 to win $100.00)

With the wind blowing out at 10-15 mph at gametime and continuing throughout the ballgame it doesnt spell under to me. The ball will be traveling tonight and the total should fly over. The Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Wolf has a ERA of 7.41 last three starts against the Braves this year. Last 10 outings against the Braves he has a ERA of 7.31.

YTD:
13-10, +$451.00

Enogsiwon · 08-06-09, 04:31 PM

the King likes this.. noticed last night that both teams have hit the starters well.. the wind can only help..

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 04:53 PM

I am also going to play a small parlay that i like tonight for shits and giggles. Put what you want on it if you like it.

NYY/Bost OVER 10, +110 (wind blowing out to right 10mph)
Arizona ML -126 (Pitt is terrible, AZ is HOT)
LAD/ATL OVER 8.5, +100 (wind blowing out to all fields at 10-15 mph)

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 05:08 PM

NYY ML -225 ($225.00 to win $100.00)

NYY RL -1.5, -120 ($60.00 to win $50.00)

Short and sweet. Smoltz sux and will get the tar hit out of him. Thats it for tonight. GL

YTD:
13-10, +$451.00

djpremier36 · 08-06-09, 05:42 PM

I'm on ARI for 2 units...and parlaying SD/NYY.

I kind of like ATL late...Dodgers aren't playing great lately and Wolf's #'s are terrible vs. ATL.

GL tonight!

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 05:49 PM

AND NOW FOR MY BEST PLAY FOR TONIGHT!

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 06:00 PM

Seattle ML -105 ($315.00 to win $300.00)

The Mariners have slugged the hell out of the ball the first 2 games of the series and won them both. Tonight the woefull Royals will try to avoid a sweep, which this year they have been absolutely terrible at accomplishing. In 9 out of 11 home series this year that they have lost they failed to compete in the final game and got swept in 4 of those series. In the 9 home series they have lost this year they were outscored in the final game of the series by an average score per game of 8-3. Kansas City just basically quits the last game of the series when they are facing a sweep, they just dont come to play and it has happened all year. I forgot to mention Chen is 0-6 this year and he probably wont win another game this season, GL

edlaw · 08-06-09, 06:07 PM

i like it

BOL lets cash

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 06:09 PM

Xpertcapper · 08-06-09, 06:11 PM

I also played the Seattle RL -1.5 small but obviously the play is the ML. I just cant believe Chen opened as a fav last night barely at -111 at my book.

dvb02 · 08-08-09, 12:42 AM

Xpert, are u taking some time off?

Xpertcapper · 08-08-09, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by dvb02

Xpert, are u taking some time off?

I took yesterday to think, "Why am i spending time out of my day posting" for people like this who dont visit a thread unless its to post something negative. A thread is for plays to be posted and for others to share their ideas and opinions and maybe even their plays and the discussion ensues. This forum seem to have some who obviously look and read the thread because of my almost 5k views, where most of the posts are from me. The only time some get the urge to post is to type some negative, bashing bullshit thats makes me think, why the hell am i trying to help people like this? I dont need to post to some who all they do is wait for a weak point and pounce on the poster to make themselves feel like they are worth something. The only time they post a comment is to make themselves think they are some expert with alll the answers. Start a post and get a feel for it. There are a select few here at SBR who wake up everyday, read this post, dont make any comments that would benefit others in making wagering decisions, but when they feel the time is right they try to draw people away from the thread with their grade school tactics and comments. I dont understand people like this and frankly i dont need a thread to make money. Im not trying to build clients to lead them into a tout service like some here. My plan is to make money for myself, which im pretty sucessfull at doing, and share my info with others. My time spent sharing info with others who dont use it in a positive manner but rather to bash me in order to make themselves feel worthy is over. I will continue to make myself a pretty good living and hopefully there are other posters on this site that are sucessfull enough you can tail to help you stay above water. I will continue to add to other threads in the forum that are positive threads. I will not continue to author a thread for others to vent their daily life frustrations in.

dvb02 · 08-08-09, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by Xpertcapper

I took yesterday to think, "Why am i spending time out of my day posting" for people like this who dont visit a thread unless its to post something negative. A thread is for plays to be posted and for others to share their ideas and opinions and maybe even their plays and the discussion ensues. This forum seem to have some who obviously look and read the thread because of my almost 5k views, where most of the posts are from me. The only time some get the urge to post is to type some negative, bashing bullshit thats makes me think, why the hell am i trying to help people like this? I dont need to post to some who all they do is wait for a weak point and pounce on the poster to make themselves feel like they are worth something. The only time they post a comment is to make themselves think they are some expert with alll the answers. Start a post and get a feel for it. There are a select few here at SBR who wake up everyday, read this post, dont make any comments that would benefit others in making wagering decisions, but when they feel the time is right they try to draw people away from the thread with their grade school tactics and comments. I dont understand people like this and frankly i dont need a thread to make money. Im not trying to build clients to lead them into a tout service like some here. My plan is to make money for myself, which im pretty sucessfull at doing, and share my info with others. My time spent sharing info with others who dont use it in a positive manner but rather to bash me in order to make themselves feel worthy is over. I will continue to make myself a pretty good living and hopefully there are other posters on this site that are sucessfull enough you can tail to help you stay above water. I will continue to add to other threads in the forum that are positive threads. I will not continue to author a thread for others to vent their daily life frustrations in.

I hope you are not talking about me. If so, you took my post the wrong way. I never post negative comments....and I don't post opinions or ideas b/c I am a tailer. I hope you keep posting. Either way, good luck.

edlaw · 08-08-09, 11:52 AM

i wish u j/post your plays,i look foward to seeing your plays,i like to get general idea from everybody and either fade or play,but every-1 a critic when u lose and when your down even the dog kicks u

but if we were all perfect cappers we wouldnt be here ,now would we?hope u keep posting BOL

Engine · 08-08-09, 11:59 AM

Not good at all.. This thread is as important to me as any other thread. So it would be a shame if you stopped posting in it.

What I'm trying to say is that most of us appreciate your work and would very much like to see it continue henceforth..

Thanks!

dvb02 · 08-08-09, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by Engine

Not good at all.. This thread is as important to me as any other thread. So it would be a shame if you stopped posting in it.

What I'm trying to say is that most of us appreciate your work and would very much like to see it continue henceforth..

Thanks!

I agree 100%!!!!!

AxthelmsLiver · 08-08-09, 12:06 PM

Keep up the solid plays, X, and **** the bashers.

G's pks · 08-08-09, 12:22 PM

Don't give up xcapper...you are still over .500...you are due for a good run... GL today... Some of these degens are counting on you!

Xpertcapper · 08-08-09, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by Engine

Not good at all.. This thread is as important to me as any other thread. So it would be a shame if you stopped posting in it.

What I'm trying to say is that most of us appreciate your work and would very much like to see it continue henceforth..

Thanks!

Thats not known if there are no positive contributions. I will let the dust settle and give it one more shot starting monday morning. The last straw for me will be any more non contributing negative posters. GL over the weekend.

Xpertcapper · 08-08-09, 02:37 PM

YTD: 17-11, 61%, +$486

I will post a few plays today that i really like with no write ups for those interested.

Plays posted in a few

edlaw · 08-08-09, 02:39 PM

ok there u go bro do it

Xpertcapper · 08-08-09, 02:42 PM

Washington Nationals ML +180 ($100.00 to win $180.00)
Washington Nationals RRL -1.5, +350 ($100.00 to win $350.00)
They have beaten better. Haren really struggling. Give me this price with a hot team all day.

YTD: 17-11, 61%, +$486

Xpertcapper · 08-08-09, 02:42 PM