MLB - Friday, 5/24/19

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Friday, 5/24/19
    2 MLB Plays Friday

    Rays / Indians UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Giants +118 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 98-108-6, -8.84
  • sosawestbrook
    SBR MVP
    • 12-10-16
    • 3135

    #2
    Woah LT explain Giants pick?

    Must not have Bob Ray ranked that high. I can’t see Pomeranz outpitching him again plus Giants bullpen stretched out after extras last night
    Comment
    • snider
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-25-17
      • 309

      #3
      What’s the o/u record compared to sides LT? Thanks . Good luck today
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by sosawestbrook
        Woah LT explain Giants pick?

        Must not have Bob Ray ranked that high. I can’t see Pomeranz outpitching him again plus Giants bullpen stretched out after extras last night
        Yes Ray is ranked better, but I still end up with just Arizona 51% (-104), DBacks offense grades out surprisingly poorly vs. LHP. Does not help that my default lineup has Ildemaro Vargas leading off.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by snider
          What’s the o/u record compared to sides LT? Thanks . Good luck today
          Sides: 43-53, -6.21
          Totals: 55-55, -2.63
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            LT meet me at Penn National
            Comment
            • sosawestbrook
              SBR MVP
              • 12-10-16
              • 3135

              #7
              Interesting. Vargas shouldn’t play I don’t think. I’m expecting Snakes to call up and start Kevin Cron today who leads MiLB in homeruns. He’d probably play 1B moving Walker to LF. If that’s the case then Peralta is probably out which would be a weaker lineup proving your theory correct.

              I’m thinking of playing Snakes so I’d be against you here. Gonna wait for the official transaction & Peralta status. But either way I am behind Bob Ray all day. He is a tweak here tweak there away from being one of the elite IMO
              Comment
              • StackinGreen
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-09-10
                • 12140

                #8
                Didn't SF win yesterday .. no 13 inning loss, blown out BP now? They suck.

                D'Backs offense is awful though, actually. Ha
                Comment
                • blackHIPPY
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-01-14
                  • 3973

                  #9
                  what you think about cubs under
                  Comment
                  • NBAtony
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-28-17
                    • 169

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Yes Ray is ranked better, but I still end up with just Arizona 51% (-104), DBacks offense grades out surprisingly poorly vs. LHP. Does not help that my default lineup has Ildemaro Vargas leading off.
                    Dbacks have the 4th best OPS vs lefties this year.
                    Dbacks have the 4th best AVG vs lefties this year.
                    Comment
                    • dirtycash66
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-13-12
                      • 2958

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      2 MLB Plays Friday

                      Rays / Indians UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
                      Giants +118 (Bookmaker)


                      YTD: 98-108-6, -8.84
                      0-3 in the last two days lets see how tonight goes
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        4 MLB Additions

                        6 MLB Plays Friday

                        Rays / Indians UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
                        Red Sox / Astros UNDER 8.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
                        Royals +135 (Heritage)
                        Yankees / Royals UNDER 10 -105 (Heritage)
                        Orioles +147 (Heritage)
                        Giants +118 (Bookmaker)
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by NBAtony
                          Dbacks have the 4th best OPS vs lefties this year.
                          Dbacks have the 4th best AVG vs lefties this year.
                          I don't care about mainstream stats, but even setting that aside, those numbers should normalize now that roof at Chase Field will be closed most of the time. When roof is open, Chase plays like Colorado.
                          Comment
                          • Nostradam
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 05-05-15
                            • 161

                            #14
                            I know 3 successful cappers that are opposed to your Baltimore pick. They are on Colorado ML, -1 & -1.5.

                            1) One of them is up about 500 units in MLB the last 5 years combined & about 60 units this year, all 1 unit bets (none of this 2, 3 unit stuff).
                            2) The second is up about 74 & 46 units the last 2 years.
                            3) The third is up about 20 units this year.
                            Comment
                            • StackinGreen
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-09-10
                              • 12140

                              #15
                              recency bias

                              It is recency bias, but historically they did well vs. Lauer and couldn't score but 1 run off of him in 7 IP, he is a LHP.

                              They look pathetic every time I watch them ... that said, they'll win tonight since SF sucks too and can't hit Ray.
                              Comment
                              • StackinGreen
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 12140

                                #16
                                I say he goes 2-4 but he is playing a fair number of dogs.

                                The first two totals are by far the best plays.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nostradam
                                  I know 3 successful cappers that are opposed to your Baltimore pick. They are on Colorado ML, -1 & -1.5.

                                  1) One of them is up about 500 units in MLB the last 5 years combined & about 60 units this year, all 1 unit bets (none of this 2, 3 unit stuff).
                                  2) The second is up about 74 & 46 units the last 2 years.
                                  3) The third is up about 20 units this year.
                                  I can't be bothered by what others are playing so I couldn't care less.
                                  Comment
                                  • Chi_archie
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-22-08
                                    • 63167

                                    #18
                                    get em
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Nostradam
                                      I know 3 successful cappers that are opposed to your Baltimore pick. They are on Colorado ML, -1 & -1.5.

                                      1) One of them is up about 500 units in MLB the last 5 years combined & about 60 units this year, all 1 unit bets (none of this 2, 3 unit stuff).
                                      2) The second is up about 74 & 46 units the last 2 years.
                                      3) The third is up about 20 units this year.
                                      Now that I re-read that, it seems unfathomable for someone to be +60 at this point at one unit per play. Is there documentation?

                                      In fact, I call BS at +500 last 5 years, that sounds like total tout-speak.
                                      Comment
                                      • CanuckG
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-23-10
                                        • 21978

                                        #20
                                        Love the Indians today. Thoughts?
                                        Comment
                                        • DrunkHorseplayer
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-15-10
                                          • 7719

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Nostradam
                                          I know 3 successful cappers that are opposed to your Baltimore pick. They are on Colorado ML, -1 & -1.5.

                                          1) One of them is up about 500 units in MLB the last 5 years combined & about 60 units this year, all 1 unit bets (none of this 2, 3 unit stuff).
                                          2) The second is up about 74 & 46 units the last 2 years.
                                          3) The third is up about 20 units this year.
                                          Go home you dirty tout.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by CanuckG
                                            Love the Indians today. Thoughts?
                                            Nothing for me, I get Rays 57% (-133)
                                            Comment
                                            • eaglesfan371
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-19
                                              • 4079

                                              #23
                                              LT I'm really excited over this. Been crushing Pinnacle/Fairlay and last 3 bets I've placed has instantly moved the line. Bet under 8.5 SD/TOR +100 for $500, the line immediately moved it to -105/-105 (within 5 seconds after). Makes me feel good. Does Heritage move the line after you bet usually? Also, what do you get for BOS/HOU ML & total?
                                              Comment
                                              • NBAtony
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-28-17
                                                • 169

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by CanuckG
                                                Love the Indians today. Thoughts?
                                                on them as well

                                                public all on rays, yet line moving other way --
                                                i like these types of plays -- others don't and love to argue about it =)

                                                bol
                                                Comment
                                                • spippen
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-17-09
                                                  • 3874

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Now that I re-read that, it seems unfathomable for someone to be +60 at this point at one unit per play. Is there documentation?

                                                  In fact, I call BS at +500 last 5 years, that sounds like total tout-speak.
                                                  I agree. Show proof or it means squat.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jimmycage
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-01-18
                                                    • 124

                                                    #26
                                                    what a brutal fuggn ending to that orioles game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nostradam
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 05-05-15
                                                      • 161

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                      I know 3 successful cappers that are opposed to your Baltimore pick. They are on Colorado ML, -1 & -1.5.

                                                      1) One of them is up about 500 units in MLB the last 5 years combined & about 60 units this year, all 1 unit bets (none of this 2, 3 unit stuff).
                                                      2) The second is up about 74 & 46 units the last 2 years.
                                                      3) The third is up about 20 units this year.

                                                      Colorado ML - winner
                                                      Colorado -1 - winner
                                                      Colorado -1.5 - winner

                                                      3-0, 100%

                                                      $ to those who followed.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GreatWallofTrump
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-27-16
                                                        • 729

                                                        #28
                                                        LT is just a dog chaser and mathematician. Had one good season 5 years ago.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by GreatWallofTrump
                                                          LT is just a dog chaser and mathematician. Had one good season 5 years ago.
                                                          4 winning MLB seasons in last 5 (Yes, one +93 year but small wins other years is still winning) and winning in all other sports, so get your facts straight.

                                                          EDIT: And "just a dog chaser" implies blindly betting dogs, which I obviously do not do.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 44 Mag
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-14-13
                                                            • 34490

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            4 winning MLB seasons in last 5 (Yes, one +93 year but small wins other years is still winning) and winning in all other sports, so get your facts straight.

                                                            EDIT: And "just a dog chaser" implies blindly betting dogs, which I obviously do not do.
                                                            Letting a troll get to you, is very unlike LT. But, good come back overall. Keep up the good work and all the info you provide to the rest of us.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Nostradam
                                                              Colorado ML - winner
                                                              Colorado -1 - winner
                                                              Colorado -1.5 - winner

                                                              3-0, 100%

                                                              $ to those who followed.
                                                              Comment
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