I ran some numbers on how many times each game that went UNDER the total was scoreless in the first inning.
I then calculated the $Won for the UNDER and the $Won for a parlay of the UNDER and the Scoreless 1st inning bet.
For every team, except the Orioles and Cardinals, you are better off using a parlay of the UNDER and the scoreless 1st inning bet than you are betting the UNDER straight.
There is definitely a correlation between the UNDER and the scoreless first inning.
HOWEVER, people are complaining that offshore books don't allow this, I don't use offshore books so I dont' care what they do. So, if you use an offshore book and you can't play this way then use this for informational purposes.
Here are the results:
(Column 1=Team, Column 2=# of games that went UNDER, Column 3=$ Won on UNDER using bet to win $100, Column 4=# of games that went UNDER and the scoreless in the 1st inning bet won - NO="Score in first inning?", Column 5=$ Won parlaying UNDER and scoreless risking $100, Column 6=$Advantage over betting the UNDER straight, NOTE** The advantage is higher % wise because I used betting to win $100 on the UNDER and betting to risk $100 on the parlay).
Team #U $Won #U+NO $Parlay W $ Advantage
Angels 36 $3,600 23 $5,428 $1,828
Astros 46 $4,600 21 $4,956 $356
Athletics 41 $4,100 25 $5,900 $1,800
Blue Jays 41 $4,100 23 $5,428 $1,328
Braves 44 $4,400 28 $6,608 $2,208
Brewers 40 $4,000 24 $5,664 $1,664
Cardinals 44 $4,400 19 $4,484 $84
Cubs 42 $4,200 23 $5,428 $1,228
Dbacks 39 $3,900 29 $6,844 $2,944
Dodgers 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Giants 41 $4,100 28 $6,608 $2,508
Indians 37 $3,700 24 $5,664 $1,964
Mariners 47 $4,700 30 $7,080 $2,380
Marlins 39 $3,900 18 $4,248 $348
Mets 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Nationals 42 $4,200 27 $6,372 $2,172
Orioles 37 $3,700 14 $3,304 -$396
Padres 41 $4,100 27 $6,372 $2,272
Phillies 40 $4,000 21 $4,956 $956
Pirates 43 $4,300 23 $5,428 $1,128
Rangers 48 $4,800 25 $5,900 $1,100
Rays 43 $4,300 26 $6,136 $1,836
Red 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Reds 44 $4,400 21 $4,956 $556
Rockies 41 $4,100 25 $5,900 $1,800
Royals 44 $4,400 23 $5,428 $1,028
Tigers 46 $4,600 28 $6,608 $2,008
Twins 46 $4,600 29 $6,844 $2,244
White 47 $4,700 26 $6,136 $1,436
Yankees 41 $4,100 24 $5,664 $1,564
I then calculated the $Won for the UNDER and the $Won for a parlay of the UNDER and the Scoreless 1st inning bet.
For every team, except the Orioles and Cardinals, you are better off using a parlay of the UNDER and the scoreless 1st inning bet than you are betting the UNDER straight.
There is definitely a correlation between the UNDER and the scoreless first inning.
HOWEVER, people are complaining that offshore books don't allow this, I don't use offshore books so I dont' care what they do. So, if you use an offshore book and you can't play this way then use this for informational purposes.
Here are the results:
(Column 1=Team, Column 2=# of games that went UNDER, Column 3=$ Won on UNDER using bet to win $100, Column 4=# of games that went UNDER and the scoreless in the 1st inning bet won - NO="Score in first inning?", Column 5=$ Won parlaying UNDER and scoreless risking $100, Column 6=$Advantage over betting the UNDER straight, NOTE** The advantage is higher % wise because I used betting to win $100 on the UNDER and betting to risk $100 on the parlay).
Team #U $Won #U+NO $Parlay W $ Advantage
Angels 36 $3,600 23 $5,428 $1,828
Astros 46 $4,600 21 $4,956 $356
Athletics 41 $4,100 25 $5,900 $1,800
Blue Jays 41 $4,100 23 $5,428 $1,328
Braves 44 $4,400 28 $6,608 $2,208
Brewers 40 $4,000 24 $5,664 $1,664
Cardinals 44 $4,400 19 $4,484 $84
Cubs 42 $4,200 23 $5,428 $1,228
Dbacks 39 $3,900 29 $6,844 $2,944
Dodgers 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Giants 41 $4,100 28 $6,608 $2,508
Indians 37 $3,700 24 $5,664 $1,964
Mariners 47 $4,700 30 $7,080 $2,380
Marlins 39 $3,900 18 $4,248 $348
Mets 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Nationals 42 $4,200 27 $6,372 $2,172
Orioles 37 $3,700 14 $3,304 -$396
Padres 41 $4,100 27 $6,372 $2,272
Phillies 40 $4,000 21 $4,956 $956
Pirates 43 $4,300 23 $5,428 $1,128
Rangers 48 $4,800 25 $5,900 $1,100
Rays 43 $4,300 26 $6,136 $1,836
Red 42 $4,200 22 $5,192 $992
Reds 44 $4,400 21 $4,956 $556
Rockies 41 $4,100 25 $5,900 $1,800
Royals 44 $4,400 23 $5,428 $1,028
Tigers 46 $4,600 28 $6,608 $2,008
Twins 46 $4,600 29 $6,844 $2,244
White 47 $4,700 26 $6,136 $1,436
Yankees 41 $4,100 24 $5,664 $1,564