Who would ever take a RL favorite at -170???

[Dbldown11]

ME!

Yankees RL-170 sounds like a L**K (this post has been edited to block out bad luck words) to me!

Normally when teams are favored -200 to -230 I like the dog in those situations as the favorite is usually vastly overpriced (see tonights Blue Jays/Phillies game). However when a team is -350 the book is basically saying look we know the Yankees are going to win......and you know the Yankees are going to win. But since we've priced it so outrageously won't you just throw your money at the Nationals since the price is so good??? PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE????????

Well I'm not falling for it. I'm taking Yankees RL -170 which is a lot of juice, and I normally shy away from juice that high....but since I'm fairly certain it's a winner it doesnt matter anyways.

GL with your plays tonight everyone.

[Wilforth]

There're better picks out there. The Yankees can still lose tonight! Nothing is beyond them.

[VegasDave]

Sabathia has given up 4 ER in his last 2 starts and 3 in the 2 starts before. The Yanks have lost 3 of his last 4 starts.

Martis has actually pitched pretty well on occasion this season...

Scary play, but good luck

[fifawcs]

Martis is a flyball pitcher with more walks than strikeouts. This game could be a blowout

[Dbldown11]

exactly...and a flyball pitcher in the new yankee stadium.......I think we all know what that means. So even if Sabathia and the Yanks give up 4-5 runs to the happless Nat's (which I don't think they'll do) they'll still cover the RL when they score double digits

[yisman]

I wouldn't lay the chalk on the Yankees. Baseball favorites of -300 and worse are bad news.

[TheLock]

Square Lock Play Of The Day

(Im not calling you a square DDown but this is a square play)

[Dbldown11]

I would argue the opposite Lock....

I think the Nats are the square play.....Most people are not going to play this game at all because they think they Yankees are going to win but they are not willing to pay that juice.

Most people that do play this game will take the Nats because there is so much "value" in taking them. And I think that is exactly what the books are hoping for.

And to back this up I havnt seen much talk about this game here today (as most people arent touching it either way). But most of the talk I have seen is talking about taking the Nats for a small play since it could pay back 3times what you bet

[themajormt]

I like the over 9.5 and Yanks -1.5 parlay BETTER than laying the juice with just Yanks -1.5.

IF the Yankees win I do not see it being a close game and I think the Nat's will come up with 2-3 runs... I think final score will be 9-3 yanks...

[JerseyShop101]

As long as they don't fumble the ball, Yankees by a TOUCHDOWN today!

[Dbldown11]

a lot closer than my heart likes....and a lot closer than most people probably thought. but a W is a W

[TheLock]

The result was a perfect example of why I played WAS. They had the lead and we're never dominated.

My only mistake was not taking FFive.

Nice hit.

[themajormt]

Yankees are finishing a lot of games and I think that is what still makes them a good bet. Once they get to a teams bullpen I really like their production...

[Dbldown11]

now TODAY is a good day to take the Nats for value

[Bread]

DDown we are pros because we KNEW the RL would hit. We were never worried.

LOL.

[jjgold]

Lucky cover

A win Is a win

[Dbldown11]

that's what I say JJ....a win is a win. Also....almost all covers are lucky haha

[TheLock]

The worst part about me losing my WAS +325 bet last night was that the sucker RL bet covered. I wanted to club baby seals when I saw they won by 2. Awful.

[Dbldown11]

TheLock.....I don't know why you're so adamant that the Yankees RL was the sucker bet.

Most people like the Nats cause of the Value...they were the sucker bet

[TheLock]

We'll agree to disagree. -170 RL's reek of suck to me.

They destroyed the lowly Nats 5-3. Congrats.

[yisman]

that's what I say JJ....a win is a win. Also....almost all covers are lucky haha

I disagree. Some are lucky backdoor covers. The Yankees did not dominate that game. If they won 9-3 like some were saying, that's not lucky. They flat out would've beaten them.

The Yankees won based on defense and bullpen, not much better starting pitching or hitting.

[Dbldown11]

we can agree to disagree....but in my first post I pointed out why the Nats were the suckers bet. Sure it was close, but this is sports betting. There is no such thing as close. There are winning bets and there are losing bets (or pushes)

[Dbldown11]

I disagree. Some are lucky backdoor covers. The Yankees did not dominate that game. If they won 9-3 like some were saying, that's not lucky. They flat out would've beaten them.

The Yankees won based on defense and bullpen, not much better starting pitching or hitting.

What I meant was sportsbetting is all about educated guessing...after you make your pick it's all luck from there.

[Bread]

While I agree it was an ugly win, was there ever any doubt that the NYY wouldn't score one useless run vs. the Nats pitiful bullpen in the 8th? Come on. Easy as pie.

[yisman]

Bread, if you're taking -1.5 at -170, your team better not be trailing late.