For today I've got:
BOS/PHI under 9.5
I also like the SEA/COL under 9, but haven't added it yet.
Good luck everybody!
BOS/PHI under 9.5
I also like the SEA/COL under 9, but haven't added it yet.
Good luck everybody!
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Twins +120
Cardinals +103
Every time I post in here I seem to have a losing day, so I'm hoping my bringing reference to that will somehow break that streak.Comment -
Friday Plays (copied from 6/11 thread)
LA (-105) @ TEX
- The Dodgers are definitely undervalued here, and the line movement overnight has agrees. Kuroda vs Padilla is not a balanced matchup.
NYM (+181) @ NYY, Under 10.5 (-115)
- Yankees coming off a rough trip to Boston, Mets looking to add insult to injury. Livan has been great recently, and isn't getting enough respect with this line. That being said, Chamberlain is solid and the under looks good to me as well. Yet another very public "the Yankees can't lose again" situation with the NYY line inflating further
FLO @ TOR, RL -1.5 (-118), Over 8 (+100)
Halladay will give them a solid chance at the RL, and even with him on the mound, I can't see this game going under 8, so I'll likely parlay these together as well (small).
OAK (+147) @ SF
- Mazzaro has been solid and I'll roll the dice with him vs SF, even with Lincecum on the mound for the Giants. This matchup screams under, so if anything I think the over is in order. Not a play for me though.
WAS @ TB, RL -1.5 (-110)
- Garza has suffered from a lack of run support, but continues to roll along with a solid WHIP. I can't stomach the ML at -225 though. RL appears to have been a popular choice overnight, moving to -120Comment -
I'm not sure about the Twins but good luck. This kid Wells is the real deal and they have yet to get him a win for his troubles. I kind of have a feeling that ends today.
I like the Cardinals a lot but that's a bad number Trix. I've got them at +105 right now on BetJam.
I like DET today as well. I'm not betting sides right now, but STL, DET and that BOS/PHI under will be my 3 entries in the pick 3 contest above.Comment -
Not so sure about the O8 in the TOR/FLA game. Halladay is simply on fire now. If he holds the Marlins to even 2 runs -- and he will because the Fish can't hit -- this game will finish under. TOR is coming off a nice 0 run performance against TEX. It'll be close the num GL!Comment -
My bad. You're right. Looked at the wrong column there... And you're right about Wells too; he is great. And he deserves a win after what his bullpen has been doing to him. Hopefully today is not the day for that!
And of course, I'm on your under too.Comment -
Ahh... I went ahead and booked STL. That's a false favorite right there if I've ever seen one. Can't pass on it at + odds.Comment -
I like the
Red Birds+103 HEAVY
Pale Hose+110
Mets+200
Dodgers-110 HEAVY
Now hopefully today my teams will get leads and KEEP them, and not implode in the late innings lke they did yesterday. Despite capping my games to the "T" reliever heartburn was in full effect as no less than 4 of my games yesterday had relievers blow the cover...All that I can say is WOW!
WHIP
STL 1.31
CLE 1.94
Advantage Red Birds
Power ranking
STL-118
CLE+118
Line:
STL-120
Advantage push. The Red Birds enjoy a slight advantage with the consensus, teetering back and forth but mostly at a 60%-40% in their favor and while the opening line was STL-120, it has sifted somewhat, and now the line is a break even-110 on some books, and others the Indians are favored -120/+100. Such is the case at my book.
Slugging% last 3 games
STL .483
CLE .260
Advantage Red Birds HEAVY
Bullpen WHIP last 3 games
STL 0.857
CLE 0.661
Advantage Wahoos
My pick: Red Birds HEAVY. Their bats are in order, and they obviously have the better pitcher on the bump. They hold all of the advantages. I see no way that the Wahoos should be favored in this game as they hve only a slight advantage in the bullpen. False favorite in this one.
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WHIP
MET 1.40
NYY 1.40
Advantage PUSH
Power ranking
MET+204
NYY-204
Line
MET+170
NYY-200
Advantage Yanks as the line and power ranking were spot on.
Slugging% last 3 games
MET .456
NYY .380
Advantage Mets
Bullpen WHIP last 3 games
MET 1.100
NYY 1.339
Advantage Mets
My pick: Mets. The pitchers are equal, the Mets are hitting the ball better, and have the better pen at this time (although it's hard to believe after last night, lol! But the numbers don't lie). Anyone watching the Red Sox/Yanks series knows that the Yanks are struggling with situational hitting. Plus there's just too many crumbs out there and the public is all over the Yanks and the high juice 72-28%. Let's go Mets!
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WHIP
LAD 0.96
TEX 1.47
Advantage Dodgers HEAVY
Power Ranking
LAD-132
TEX+132
Line
LAD-110
TEX +102
Advantage Dodgers as the line has risen a bit on the Dodgers overnight from -110 to -115 with 54% of bettors on them. They are also by Power numbers undervalued and thereby is a good play no matter what.
Slugging% last 3 games
LAD .423
TEX 231
Advantage Dodgers HEAVY
Bullpen WHIP Last 3
LAD 0.826
TEX 1.728
Advantage Dodgers
My pick: Dodgers HEAVY Joe Torry knows his way around American League parks
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WHIP
CWS 1.50
MIL 1.62
Advantage Pales
Power Rankings
CWS +130
MIL -130
Line
CWS+120
MIL-140
Advantage Pales with only 9% of bettors on their side, the line went down from -140 opening to -125 on average on the books.
Slugging% last 3 games
CWS .372
MIL .367
AdvantagePales
Bullpen WHIP last 3 Games
CWS 1.803
MIL 1.727
Advantage Brewers if there is one because both pens stink obviously from those numbers
My Pick: Pale Hose of course. No one else is taking them, lol! The Brewers look like they have a chicken dinner in front of them. In the world of wagering that is a very bad place to be. Pale Hose will stay close in Brewer Park today, and have a chance to steal the game late. Suppan is a -110 pitcher at bestComment -
Jello, I see your boy Tommy's pitching tonight, decent chance to get his first W, I should think. Braves hitting better post-trade and Berken got touched up last time. Maybe a road game is just what the doctor ordered for Hanson right now. I mean, we know he's got the stuff. I like the fact that they left him in there last time even if he was knocked some, I really think that will help him tonight, he gave up some runs but, psychologically I think it was good that he didn't leave the game in the middle of an inning. Now, he's had four days of staring at his 9.0 ERA swearing up and down he'll do something about it. ATL must be poised to strike back after a gutwrenching BP loss. You got a beat on this Canizares fella? BTW, I might be playing this game, although generally it would take some doin' to get me behind a second-starter.Comment -
Took:
Twins ML
Twins/Cubs Under 8
Cardinals ML HEAVY
Dodgers MLComment -
I'm with you on the Cards and Dodgers, but do you honestly think Livan can beat the Yanks with all those injuries? Also, the Brew are gonna destroy the Chi Sox. Chicago will be without Konerko, Brew are at home, and Brew have the better team. Also, Chicago is gonna lose their DH.Comment -
Mac -
I like the way you're thinking vis a vis Hanson tonight. If this was a month ago when I would have 20-30 units out on any given night, I'd probably be all over the Braves. But I'm a lot more conservative these days and I like to wait until a pitcher has proven he can win up here before I put money on his back. Don't get me wrong. I think the world of Hanson and believe he will be a future ace. But I'm a 1-3 wager a day guy now and this one just doesn't make my cut.Comment -
Sure I do. A man lying prone in a field with a pitchfork is more dangerous than a man running at you with a knife. You never see it coming. Livan and Chamberlain have the same WHIP number. That's all that I'm saying. The Mets are hitting well, matter of fact better than the Yanks. With so many advantages Im actually wondering why the Yanks are such a heavy favorite if for nothing else the name.
How is Chamberlain gonna get the ball past Wright or Beltran? Sheffield is the DH now and can't hurt with bad defense, lol! And his battery mate, Posada doesn't face the kind of speed that the Mets field. He is not good at throwing out runners. That will not help.
The truth is the Yankee bats are cold and numbers don't lie. The Mets bats are hot. They gave the World Champs a run for their money in the last series. This is basically a home game for them. The short porch and Chamberlain's high pitch counts and penchant for not going deep into games will catch up with him in this one. The Mets can hit out of that stadium too ya know.Comment -
Chamberlain won't get out of the 4th. He never does. Livan has a history of going deep in games because is arm never gets tired. You guys will find out with your money what I am talking about. The Yanks are overpriced. This game should be Mets -105/Yanks-115 at best. I'm with the 28%Comment -
Mets RRL +260
Mariners +143Comment -
Hey Wilforth, what's up?
Long time no see. You were one of the first people to greet me when I came here to SBR! I see that you see the same thing that I see on the Yanks/Mets game. Good luck to us.
As a side note, doesn't anyone think that it's peculiar that the RRL is +260, and the game moneyline is +200 for te Mets. The books don't usually do that. usually a RRL is 2x the normal dog moneyline. So why then isn't the RRL like +380 or +400. And secondly, why aren't most books even offering a RRL for this gam yet? The Greek doesn't even have RRL for this game for the Mets. This is laughable. They have RRL's for several games but not this one...
Good stick Wilforth!
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Early game: BOOKED
Cubbies -130 (3x)
Night Games: Booked
Redbirds ML (5x) Tailing CK.
Dodgers -104 (5x) Tailing CK.
Brewcrew -135 (3x) My Pick (sorry ck i'm on the other side)
Snakes -193 (3x) My pick.
Rockies -152 (10x) My pick. Out of nowhere.Just having that gut feeling they will win tonight like yesterday when i played the palehose.
GL everybody
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Nice series price of Red Birds-130 for the takers. I'm in!Comment -
Hey guys.....Jimbo is in the motel room next door having sex with some toothless crack-whore and texted me asking to post his early play for today......so without further ado.....
Jimbo Play
MIN +122 (1 Unit)Comment -
Cubs 1st 5 -134
Giants 1st 5 -160 (timmy is gonna embarass the A's...but you can't trust that giants bullpen)
White Sox +124Comment -
Astros at Snakes u8.5
Hampton's WHIP Last 3 Starts: 0.95
Haren's WHIP Last 3 Starts: 0.68
Astros average Runs Scored, Last 5: 3 Runs/Game
Snakes average Runs Scored, Last 5: 4.4 Runs/Game (3.25 in Last 4, Last 5 is skewed by a run showing)
Also considering, the Pitcher's Ballpark it's being played in, and its a play for me. What do you guys think?Comment -
ck, i see some RLM in the cards game, 80% on cards and the line moved from -105 to +100.i'm not very experienced with this stuff so i have to ask for your opinion. thanxComment -
Yeah both the dodgers and STL game have strong public support and the line doesnt move (Dodgers) or it moves with RLM on STL game against STL.
Not sure if this is a strong thing to consider since there are not 5K bets on either game , but i would like some input about this too.Comment -
Here's what's on my plate...GL
TOR -1.5 (3 units)
The starters in this game are not on the same page, recently and overall. The Jays also have the superior bullpen and are a strong home team. It also doesn't hurt that Hanley(questionable) and Cantu(probable) are not 100% right now.
DET -126 1st 5 (3 units)
Both teams are playing well right now, but the starters involved, are both not. Snell is stinking it up, while young Porcello has been steady. Buccos are 2-7 in Snell's last 9 starts, while the Tigers are 6-1 in Porcello's last 7. I don't trust the Tigers bullpen so I will play the first 5 innings.
SEA/COL under 9 (3 units)
Both starters and bullpens are doing well recently and overall. The under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings, while the under for SEA is also 8-1-1 in their last 10 on the road. Jimenez usually goes over at home but COL historically goes under during inter-league affairs.
MIL -136 (3 units)
The Brew Crew have lost their last 4 so it's time to break the streak. Who better than a crappy White Sox team minus 3 of their biggest sluggers (Thome, Konerko, Quentin) to remedy the madness. Brewers are 7-3 in Suppan's last 10 starts, while the CHW are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 vs. a winning ballclub.
HOU +1.5 (3 units)
The Stros are the hotter team right now and the D-Backs are mediocre. Haren has been lights out as usual but so has Hampton recently. D-backs do not generally blow out teams and with their bullpen I like HOU at 20 cents to not lose by 2.Comment -
Milton Bradley.... LMAO!!Comment -
hey ck just wondering are there any other series price that you like?Comment -
Booked:
ATL 1 unit @ 1.89
KC 1 unit @ 1.88
Phillies 1 unit @ 2.12Comment -
Twins ML ---- WON
TWINS UNDER----LOST
Dodgers ML -- heavy
Cards ML -- Heavy
Adding:
Braves ML
Reds ML
Angels RL +130Comment
