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here is an easy gem for you. i have an autobet on a team RL when the pitcher is in the CY predictor (found on espn.com), offense in the top 15 in runs scored and a top 10 defensive efficiency and a .480 or better road record (if that is applicable) and a .400 home record (again, where applicable).
(yukon cornelious voice) wahoo! gooold!
that is how i came up with the tigers play today.Comment -
Added:
Pittsburgh +185
Pittsburgh -1.5 +300
GL homies!Comment -
And this gives credence to the fellow who is fading the Nats every game. I think the appropriate way to take the nats mone yis to consistently wager against them for the series price. They won't win three series in a row at any time this year, so it will be a constant money maker. If you need to pay the light bill on Monday morning, bet against the Nats on the series at the beginnin of the week. Lest ye should be alright then!Comment -
Is Lackey really fade material?Comment -
What about FLA/STL UNDER? STL in a lot of low scoring games it seems, good pitchers, wind blowing in...Comment -
Man, playing BOS is like getting to play two gams at the price of one. Decent chance Wang just gives it away, I mean if the sink's not there forget about it right? Then, if he pitches a good game, you still get the chance of BOS simply winning a tight, close game.Comment -
I could have told ya that without sabermetrics. There's no way they can continue to be so bad. They do have some decent hitters ;P. But they are also under the Adam Dunn curse. I swear, team .avg's drop when he is on the team.
I just wish Pinnacle had series prices. Might have to open another book just for the series Nats fade =).
Nats also have yet to win game 1 of a road series.Comment -
Booked:
1 unit DET @ 1.76
1 unit SEA @1.95
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June record: - 1.05Comment -
Jello, 8.5 o/u for the HOU Cubs game, low total for that ballpark with Wandy struggling a bit as of late if there is any residual heat on the cubbie bats, no?Comment -
....Comment -
MLB play,
Cin/Was over 9
Harang's #'s,
-ERA over 7 last 3 games
-ERA over 5 away games
-ERA over 5 night games
Martis #'s,
-ERA over 7 last 3 games
-ERA over 6 night games
-ERA over 3 at home
GLAComment -
This is a tough total, imo. You expect near greatness from Wandy at home, but he didn't give it last time out. His last two overall he's given up 12 ER in less than 10 IP. You expect greatness from Z almost every time he takes the hill, but he's shown a tendency to blow up at the drop of a hat.
Basically, there's too many unknowns in this one for me to offer an opinion. When I cap totals I'm looking exclusively for unders and basically trying to find reasons to exclude a game as a potential play. This one was automatically dismissed b/c of Wandy's last 2. But then again he's a good pitcher and he could pitch a gem. This goes to my philosophy of not playing overs. These guys should all be able to pitch a good game on any given night. That's why they're up here. In this one you've got two #1 to #2 caliber guys facing each other. Despite Wandy's last two outings, it's just as likely you'll see a 4-2 game here as you might see a 7-4, imo.Comment -
no time for write ups:
phillies -130 (3x)
over brewers 8.5 (2x)
indians -140 (3x)
over redsox 11 (Autobet - 5x)
tigers -130Comment -
The results from round 1 are in, and play begins again tomorrow with everyone back at the 60 unit starting bankroll. I guess theres something to the contest creator getting knocked out in the first round (see sam) but its cool - i'll be back to break that hex with a sweet ass structured NFL season long contest
The only thing I will change for next years baseball contest is reseeding after each round factoring in your net units, and make the daily limit be 20% instead of 15%
Good Luck all and pm me or suicidekings with any questions.Comment -
Pavano doesn't have it tonight for the Tribe.Comment -
Jeezus. Pavano gives up a granny in the 5th. 9-0 KC in the 5th.
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Thur 6/11
Game 4: Lakers +3 (5x)
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under drays (5x) - david price has been as good as advertised, and should be a difficult read for the angels having never seen his magical left arm. i watched ervin santana's last start, and he is completely back to his old form. a ton of value on this total at 9 right now.
rockies (RL) (Autobet) - play the dog +1.5 with a total at 7.5 or < etc etc
dbacks (ML) (2x) - sanchez has a 6.43/1.86 in his last 3 and a 6.88/1.80 career vs arz
under tigers (2x) - jackson has a 1.16/.68 in his last 3, and floyd has a 2.49/1.02
yankees (ML) (3x) - have to back cc to avoid the sweep in bos vs penny
phillies (ML) (Autobet - 4x) - moyer has a whip of 1.00 or < in his last 3, and redding has a whip of 1.80 or >
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carl pavano is who we thought he was...shame on me for re-thinking that year on the marlins. he fooled me but good.Comment -
Cole Hamels is getting shelled tonight. He definitely doesn't have his best stuff tonightComment -
We've got some early ones tomorrow, fellers. So far in the early games I like the Red Birds and Rockies. Gallardo is good, but let's face it, he's going up against some hot bats with the Rockies. As far as the Red Birds are concerned, they are going to bust out the whoopin' sticks tomorrow against Miller who's a below average pitcher.Comment -
back to back homers for the yanks! one more run pleaseComment
