Mr. Crumbs Leans for 6/9/09

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  • macadams
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-05-09
    • 242

    #36
    Hedged out of two earlier bets, updated first post to reflect this. Also added two units to my CLE bet, the units were added @ 1.50. So I got 4u on CLE and the parlay from the first post. Taking a hard look at the Phillies against Johan.
    Comment
    • macadams
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-05-09
      • 242

      #37
      Added:

      2 units TOR @ 2.10
      Comment
      • macadams
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-05-09
        • 242

        #38
        Fever at -2.5 my book, still like them to cover? I agree with ck on picking the phillies, every game they really get up for they perform real well, and facing Johan on the road is a perfect challenge for them I think. My thinking on the TOR pick is that the Rangers has to put a BP guy out there who's been paced like a reliever/get-guys-out-NOW kinda pitcher, and it's hard to suddenly go to a situation where you're starting and you have to pace yourself. It becomes a real problem when the other team sends out a guy has pitched himself several nice games, and TOR also has that plate discipline (really among the best at not swinging wildly outside the zone) that will make it hard for Mathis to get free pitches as he's trying to change up his stuff (which, again typically you don't have to do as a one/two innings guy). BJ's slugging .457 over the last three. And need every game in the race. Rangers bats have cooled a bit, .228 batting last three. Hamilton news a big blow.
        Comment
        • jamieq98
          SBR Rookie
          • 02-19-09
          • 43

          #39
          Apologies if this is the wrong place guys! Didn't really want to start a whole new thread though.

          Anyone got any ideas on why the A's have gone from like -104 to -124 in ~2 hours?

          I was kinda liking the Twins... and still do... but this has scared me temporarily!

          EDIT: Lol, had an absolute nightmare. Scored down too far in Pinny and was looking tomorrows game. Hah.
          Comment
          • macadams
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-05-09
            • 242

            #40
            Added: 1 unit SF @ 1.95 and 1 unit SEA @ 2.12
            Comment
            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #41
              no time for writeups:

              lakers +4.5 (3x)
              marlins +1.5/-150 (autobet)
              phillies +1.5/-150 (autobet)
              padres +1.5/-130 (autobet)

              under rays 8
              indians -1.5/-110 (4x)
              braves -1.5/-110 (3x)
              whitesox -1.5/+120 (2x)
              Comment
              • The_Kid
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-09-08
                • 5049

                #42
                Phillies +130 (Tailing CK)
                Yankees +115
                Padres +175
                Pirates +185

                Happ has pitched very well this year (sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP) and the Phillies offense is much better than the Mets offense right now.

                Burnett has pitched well vs the Red Sox in his career (3.52 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, .227 BAA) and the Yankee bats have hit Beckett pretty well this year (20 hits) in two starts.

                Young has pretty good stats (3.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, .225 BAA) vs the Dodgers in his career and the LA offense is struggling (10 runs in L5).

                Lowe is not a -200 pitcher.
                Comment
                • showtime2000
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-09-08
                  • 1054

                  #43
                  Puck play tonight,

                  Detroit +100 (line opened at -140 in a must win, Game 3 & 4 opened at -150, makes no sense. Line dropped as well with public on Pit)


                  GLA


                  CK, last game of the year in pucks, might want to sprinkle a few......
                  Comment
                  • peterpan19
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-02-08
                    • 3377

                    #44
                    stl-fla...3rd inning...you know what
                    Comment
                    • peterpan19
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-02-08
                      • 3377

                      #45
                      Originally posted by peterpan19
                      stl-fla...3rd inning...you know what


                      +150 baby..
                      Comment
                      • sportsguy04
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-21-08
                        • 11885

                        #46
                        Not looking good for our phillies. Down 3-0 1 out with bases loaded.
                        Comment
                        • sportsguy04
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-21-08
                          • 11885

                          #47
                          Originally posted by sportsguy04
                          Not looking good for our phillies. Down 3-0 1 out with bases loaded.

                          Boom new ball game! Ibanez and Howard go deep!

                          3-2 Mets.
                          Comment
                          • melincrea
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-20-09
                            • 276

                            #48
                            Not loooking good for Yanks.
                            Comment
                            • Jimbo42
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-04-09
                              • 2076

                              #49
                              Royals tacking on...
                              Comment
                              • melincrea
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-20-09
                                • 276

                                #50
                                Mets taking the lead in a second..

                                JM system turns out to be a let down for baseball today...

                                Your games are close today CK!
                                Comment
                                • Jimbo42
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 2076

                                  #51
                                  And just like that KC gives it all back...
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                    Yuh know, I almost went with them but the movement is not there for such a public lay. I would have liked to have seen a bigger spike, but the Red Leggins' slugging % over the last three games is a paltry .271. I just can't lay them when they aren't hitting. I see that the power ranking has Cincy -178 though. Cueto goes deep into games. Zimmerman is journeyman material to be sure. But he has he run production behind him. The Nats bats are hot and Cincy's are not
                                    zimmerman is a front of the the rotation guy. im sure you havent watched much nationals games, but check him out...hes legit and the nats will be very good in about 3 years.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jimbo42
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 2076

                                      #53
                                      Marlins with the walk off!! Boo ya!!
                                      Comment
                                      • macadams
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-05-09
                                        • 242

                                        #54
                                        I call that a grand slam. The correct term, too, I think.
                                        Comment
                                        • jellobiafra
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-08-09
                                          • 6291

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                          For tonight I took :

                                          LAA/TB under 8.5
                                          .

                                          Another one of these cashed.

                                          The past few days I'd gotten away from what I've been showing success with lately. I decided last night to go back to my bread and butter from now on.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                            Another one of these cashed.

                                            The past few days I'd gotten away from what I've been showing success with lately. I decided last night to go back to my bread and butter from now on.
                                            this one didnt look good very early...good hit
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                              no time for writeups:

                                              lakers +4.5 (3x)
                                              marlins +1.5/-150 (autobet)
                                              phillies +1.5/-150 (autobet)
                                              padres +1.5/-130 (autobet)

                                              under rays 8
                                              indians -1.5/-110 (4x)
                                              braves -1.5/-110 (3x)
                                              whitesox -1.5/+120 (2x)
                                              lol....so i decide this past week to scale back the A2 autobets (all above) from minimum 2x to minimum 1x since ive been running bad lately....

                                              Comment
                                              • jellobiafra
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-08-09
                                                • 6291

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                                this one didnt look good very early...good hit

                                                It didn't in the first because of two freaking errors by TAM and 2 unearned runs. I've learned to not sweat a 1st inning run at all though since I've been playing almost exclusively unders. CK has taught us that they occur more often than not anyway, not to mention that makes sense with both team's top of the order batting back to back, and in addition a team is going to have to score at least one eventually. So a first inning run doesn't bother me at all anymore when I'm on an under. Two, on the other hand.... I was a little unsettled. But after the top of the first it was a fairly easy cover. Weaver was excellent again.
                                                Comment
                                                • Panekkkk
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-09
                                                  • 2430

                                                  #59
                                                  Good night tonight, pending that CIN finishes off the Nats.

                                                  Tomorrow I am heavy on the Cubs to get it done again,

                                                  Cubbies rattled off 14+ hits tonight while Lilly held the Stros to just 2 (so far). Zambrano is coming off 2 gems with 1 ER in his last 2 starts. Rodriguez on the other hand has let up 12 ER in his last 2 starts and is due for a major correction to his 2.97 ERA. Zambrona's splits starts are looking very nice as he's holding righties to just a .212 BA. And guess what, Houston is mostly righties. Zambrano's last start in Houston yielded only 1 ER with the Cubbies pulling it out 4-2.

                                                  Add to that: Cubs are 6-0 in Zambranos last 6 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

                                                  Look for the Cubbies to stay hot!!!

                                                  Book it now for great value with Cubs at -110.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • macadams
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                    • 242

                                                    #60
                                                    On a similar note dex, I booked and then backed out of LAA and DET. At least 4x CLE + 2x TOR cashes and SF 1unit play still alive.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #61
                                                      Attn Those In Tournament***I will update the tournament results and start the new threads tomorrow night when i get home***
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #62
                                                        damn - wang beat me by 1.09 units......

                                                        take it down wang!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BTTNext
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 04-06-09
                                                          • 355

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                          For today I like the

                                                          Mariners+110
                                                          Phillies+155
                                                          Pale Hose-1.5 +125 Crumbs Play-O-The-Day
                                                          0-3. Ouch.

                                                          Good picks IMO, just didn't play out like we wanted it to.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • macadams
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 04-05-09
                                                            • 242

                                                            #64
                                                            Frisco wins, 3-1 on the day minus a paltry parlay. June record now stands at -1.05, I can smell positive territory.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • melincrea
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-20-09
                                                              • 276

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by BTTNext
                                                              0-3. Ouch.

                                                              Good picks IMO, just didn't play out like we wanted it to.
                                                              Florida won
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cocknocker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-06-08
                                                                • 8001

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by BTTNext
                                                                0-3. Ouch.

                                                                Good picks IMO, just didn't play out like we wanted it to.

                                                                You forgot the Twins!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Basketball I couldn't miss today. I got the over and the Lakers, my Lakers/over teaser and then I got the Fevers, but then my baseball teams went 1-3, lol! My system killed today. But one of the JM's let me down. One more in progress, and then it's time for the smooth shit. Back to the drawing board tomorrow.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BTTNext
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-06-09
                                                                    • 355

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                    You forgot the Twins!
                                                                    My bad man, totally missed it - kudos for that one.

                                                                    Speaking of the Twins, that's a brutal way to close a game...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                                      • 63167

                                                                      #69
                                                                      why is this linked to P.T all the sudden?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • melincrea
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 02-20-09
                                                                        • 276

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by melincrea
                                                                        Florida won
                                                                        Oh my bad, I took Florida Marlins today.. misread Mariners.. lucky me
                                                                        Comment
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