MLB - Thursday, 7/27/17

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 7/27/17
    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Reds +130 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 376-407-25, -11.02

    0-6 Wednesday sets me back a bit.
  • NLChad11
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-18-17
    • 709

    #2
    LT I respect what you do and you have a great attitude in here. But man you really grind it out and at best get just over even. I feel like you only take games because you get a good price, but obviously there needs to be more to it than that. GL to you.
    Comment
    • CTOWNsCAPPIN
      SBR MVP
      • 02-11-11
      • 3079

      #3
      I said this last year and it's always going to be this way. Waaaaay to many games played. It's insane
      Comment
      • 44 Mag
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-14-13
        • 34490

        #4
        Originally posted by LT Profits
        1 MLB Play Thursday

        Reds +130 (5 Dimes)


        YTD: 376-407-25, -11.02

        0-6 Wednesday sets me back a bit.
        What the heck have the Reds shown anybody lately???
        Comment
        • SOSANA
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-15-11
          • 58

          #5
          When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

          I do the same damn thing, some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.

          You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


          BOL LTP
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by 44 Mag
            What the heck have the Reds shown anybody lately???
            More to do with O'Grady not being worthy of price. I get Miami just 52% (-108).
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by NLChad11
              LT I respect what you do and you have a great attitude in here. But man you really grind it out and at best get just over even. I feel like you only take games because you get a good price, but obviously there needs to be more to it than that. GL to you.
              Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN
                I said this last year and it's always going to be this way. Waaaaay to many games played. It's insane
                Baseball is the one sport I am most comfortable with playing heavy volume.
                Comment
                • NLChad11
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-18-17
                  • 709

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.
                  I heard about 2015, you've mentioned before and that's a great year. Haven't bet bases regularly until this year but see you on football and college hoops threads...same story for all and you don't really win in those sports. Baseball was your bread and butter, but obviously 2015 is an outlier year and not your normal. GL anyway buddy
                  Comment
                  • NLChad11
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-18-17
                    • 709

                    #10
                    Originally posted by SOSANA
                    When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

                    I do the same damn thing, some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.

                    You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


                    BOL LTP
                    And guys like this that are derogatory are not good guys. We're all just chatting bro, is name calling necessary? Another teenager on the site apparently.
                    Comment
                    • 44 Mag
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-14-13
                      • 34490

                      #11
                      Originally posted by SOSANA
                      When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

                      I do the same d some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.
                      amn thing,
                      You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


                      BOL LTP
                      What an ass clown !!!!
                      Comment
                      • GreatWallofTrump
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-27-16
                        • 729

                        #12
                        Bullpens kill his model. He should stick to FF. Seems to me his loses come from late game disasters.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by GreatWallofTrump
                          Bullpens kill his model. He should stick to FF. Seems to me his loses come from late game disasters.
                          Happened 3 times yesterday.

                          But model does incorporate bullpens as well as starters' expected IP.
                          Comment
                          • dtd069
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-19-14
                            • 702

                            #14
                            model is outdated buddy.... just saying.. time to join the new school of cappin LT
                            Comment
                            • Rich Boy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 9714

                              #15
                              LT hangs on to a single fluke season way back in the day and thats enough to convince him he is a winning player. How many more negative seasons will it take before his ego gives up and reality sinks in?

                              Delusional old man this guy is

                              On Mia ML btw and feel even more confident I see this geriatric on the other side
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                LT hangs on to a single fluke season way back in the day and thats enough to convince him he is a winning player. How many more negative seasons will it take before his ego gives up and reality sinks in?

                                Delusional old man this guy is

                                On Mia ML btw and feel even more confident I see this geriatric on the other side
                                Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?
                                Comment
                                • FUqer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-15
                                  • 3968

                                  #17
                                  Maybe the internet information boom and the beat down that LT and others gave the books in 2015 made the books change their ways and now it's a fine line between value and the books just taking a side.

                                  I have a model but use it in more ways than just for value, for my model, teams with a better starting pitcher and showing negative value are 68-36 since the break and 23-7 if the value is -20 or more. While teams with better pitchers and + value are just 42-31 and the lower the value the better the record.
                                  Comment
                                  • Rich Boy
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-01-09
                                    • 9714

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                    Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?
                                    Im talking about every other sport you post plays in. Would love to see a comprehensive list of your yearly unit totals of all sports in the past 2 years.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      I know I lost in every other sport besides MLB this past season, but that has nothing to do with the MLB model.
                                      Comment
                                      • dtd069
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-19-14
                                        • 702

                                        #20
                                        don't quit day job LT
                                        Comment
                                        • Rambone
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 08-18-15
                                          • 59

                                          #21
                                          LT, do appreciate your inputs and thanks for sharing your picks with us.

                                          I give you 2 thumbs up.....just look at my avitar.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            It is a rare day for me, just the one play.
                                            Comment
                                            • pilebuck13
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-15-15
                                              • 17918

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?
                                              To bet baseball daily and end up plus units is extremely good
                                              Comment
                                              • skinhead
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-07-09
                                                • 251

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Rambone
                                                LT, do appreciate your inputs and thanks for sharing your picks with us.

                                                I give you 2 thumbs up.....just look at my avitar.
                                                i give 4 thumbs too
                                                waiting for new picks
                                                Comment
                                                • CTOWNsCAPPIN
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-11-11
                                                  • 3079

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.
                                                  you did finish strong last year to break out ahead
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tradeout
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-01-14
                                                    • 2541

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                    To bet baseball daily and end up plus units is extremely good
                                                    you are absolutely right. however, there is a huge difference between making picks + keeping a record as opposed to investing real cash.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      LT is taking tremendous heat and It could be affecting his handicapping
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Rich Boy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-01-09
                                                        • 9714

                                                        #28
                                                        Hes taking heat because his picks suck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • philliesfinest
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-13-09
                                                          • 1557

                                                          #29
                                                          appreciate your time and thoughts ,why others worry about ur picks is beyond me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • crackerjack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-06
                                                            • 3366

                                                            #30
                                                            If people aren't picking winners daily they get slammed by the peanut gallery. If they pick winners, they get slammed just the same only for different reasons. No one can win by posting plays at SBR. I don't know why anyone bothers posting any plays...they are just inviting criticism. It's like holding up a sign that says Roast Me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36108

                                                              #31
                                                              Give LT a lot of credit for keeping track of results. Funny and Sam as well to name a couple of others. The Haters are going to hate.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                                Give LT a lot of credit for keeping track of results. Funny and Sam as well to name a couple of others. The Haters are going to hate.
                                                                44Mag also.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shute
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-20-17
                                                                  • 11835

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I admire your record keeping LT.
                                                                  It's just not for me.
                                                                  Maybe fade the chalk today?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dtd069
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-19-14
                                                                    • 702

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by crackerjack
                                                                    If people aren't picking winners daily they get slammed by the peanut gallery. If they pick winners, they get slammed just the same only for different reasons. No one can win by posting plays at SBR. I don't know why anyone bothers posting any plays...they are just inviting criticism. It's like holding up a sign that says Roast Me.
                                                                    I'm heating up cracker
                                                                    Comment
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