Mr. Crumbs Leans for Tuesday 6/2/09

themajormt · 06-02-09, 09:38 AM

I like the info CK but I do not agree with the Texas pick... I think the major difference is the pitching for these teams and NY has been lights out as of late compared to texas... GL!

cnleaf · 06-02-09, 09:43 AM

I like Tex play. Since NY is just coming from the long road trip and this is the 1st game back home. And NY just won the game on national TV last nite.

coolmil · 06-02-09, 09:53 AM

Welcome back!!

Panekkkk · 06-02-09, 10:05 AM

Like the Rangers here too!

Padilla is a road warrior:

2.08 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, .129 BAA on the road is unreal.

He is lights out against righties with .195 BAA (A-Rod, Jeter) but not so much against lefties .342 BAA and much of Yanks offense are lefties

For some reason he is brutal in night games though 8.04 ERA, 1.85 WHIP

Other highlights:
Rangers are 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Joe Sharp · 06-02-09, 10:05 AM

I like that Seattle play Mr. Crumbs!

I actually like Bedard... he's finally "reasonably" healthy and going against his old club. His 3-2 record is a little decieving, it should actually be better - if not for lack of run support. Hernandez will probably be pretty good for Baltimore in the future but is only making is 2nd start...

I've capped the game at 5-3 Mariners.

Good Luck CK, et al

conmanx420 · 06-02-09, 10:16 AM

I definitely like TOR today esp. w/ Halladay taking the mound.

What are people's thoughts on the UNDER for that game as well?

SoonerGreg · 06-02-09, 10:18 AM

Booked:

Giants ML (-150) - T. Lincecum is brilliant. I hate laying this much vig but the RL was only +110, not enough reward to back the limp bats the Giants carry and expect a cover.

Rangers ML (+180) - V. Padilla should never get these type of crumbs. The Rangers get no respect and all they do is keep winning games. Currently sporting the best record in the AL and have the best minor league system according the baseball america. This team is good, young and not going away anytime soon. I may even follow CK's idea and throw a little on the RRL for serious crumbs.

Bluejays RL -1.5 (+125) - This is just a standard bet for me now, always bet on R. Halladay. The blue birds will produce for R.H. as the bullpen blew a 7-1 lead in the 8th during his last outing, making two consecutive no decisions. Both ND he gave up a total of 1 run in 14 innings. Dude is lights out!

Mariners RL -1.5 (+140) - This one is simple. E. Bedard is really good, the Orioles are not. Baltimore is 8-15 on the road this year. I almost took them on the ML -150, but decided to take the crumbs instead.

GL all!

jellobiafra · 06-02-09, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by conmanx420

I definitely like TOR today esp. w/ Halladay taking the mound.

What are people's thoughts on the UNDER for that game as well?

I lean under here as well, although there are some crazy trends in that one. I posted about it last night. Conflicting trends make it a no play for me, although that 40-13-5 for the under in the last 58 is hard to ignore ...

Over is 8-1 in Halladays last 9 home starts.

Over is 15-4 in Halladays last 19 starts overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Halladays last 5 home starts vs. Angels.

Under is 22-5-3 in the last 30 meetings in Toronto.

Under is 40-13-5 in the last 58 meetings.

Under is 8-3-1 in Halladays last 12 starts vs. Angels.

I'll post my play here too because I don't know which thread to use now, but I gotta tell you I'm getting tired of the b/s between posters on this site. It's getting old and making this less pleasurable by the day. Can't we all just get along?

CHC/ATL under 9

conmanx420 · 06-02-09, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by SoonerGreg

Booked:

Giants ML (-150) - T. Lincecum is brilliant. I hate laying this much vig but the RL was only +110, not enough reward to back the limp bats the Giants carry and expect a cover.

Rangers ML (+180) - V. Padilla should never get these type of crumbs. The Rangers get no respect and all they do is keep winning games. Currently sporting the best record in the AL and have the best minor league system according the baseball america. This team is good, young and not going away anytime soon. I may even follow CK's idea and throw a little on the RRL for serious crumbs.

Bluejays RL -1.5 (+125) - This is just a standard bet for me now, always bet on R. Halladay. The blue birds will produce for R.H. as the bullpen blew a 7-1 lead in the 8th during his last outing, making two consecutive no decisions. Both ND he gave up a total of 1 run in 14 innings. Dude is lights out!

Mariners RL -1.5 (+140) - This one is simple. E. Bedard is really good, the Orioles are not. Baltimore is 8-15 on the road this year. I almost took them on the ML -150, but decided to take the crumbs instead.

GL all!

I agree with you for the most part. The Texas game is a no-play for me, but there is some SERIOUS value there. I'm not playing Seattle either, but agree that Bedard is solid when healthy, and probably has added incentive today going against his former team.

Man, I'm almost convincing myself to tail you guys here.

BOL today!

shoebox · 06-02-09, 11:48 AM

Mr crumbs on Doc? It's about time!!

Lets cash this!!

sweetjones55 · 06-02-09, 11:53 AM

What does the mafia think about the Mets and Santana today? He hasn't pitched that well his last 3 games giving up 3, 2 and 4 runs but he got the win in all 3 games. I think he will come through today and shut down the pirates.

SoonerGreg · 06-02-09, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by conmanx420

I agree with you for the most part. The Texas game is a no-play for me, but there is some SERIOUS value there. I'm not playing Seattle either, but agree that Bedard is solid when healthy, and probably has added incentive today going against his former team.

Man, I'm almost convincing myself to tail you guys here.

BOL today!

Do it! All the cool kids are.

peterpan19 · 06-02-09, 12:00 PM

ck
Toronto no more a heavy play ?

peterpan19 · 06-02-09, 12:17 PM

plays today...PIT...you know I love the DUKE...COL...they will today against Hou

GL

sportsguy04 · 06-02-09, 01:06 PM

Im rolling with:

PHL ML +145
Texas ML +175
Toronto RL +120
White Sox RL +140

Jimbo42 · 06-02-09, 01:27 PM

I go to work this am... check back on SBR and CK jacked the thread! LOL.. But I do see why... Good deal...I don't really like opening(being the front man) on the thread anyway... Everyone wants to comment on the plays of the guy that opens the thread... too much pressure ..LOL

Booked:
Atlanta -117
Atlanta -1.5 +175

Baltimore +135
Baltimore -1.5 +200

LA Dodgers -120
LA Dodgers -1.5 +180

GL

Jimbo42 · 06-02-09, 01:30 PM

CK, Also, let me say that I like the way that you have been showing everyone lately how you cap these games... that is very helpful for some of the guys who are really interested in learning.. very cool of you bro!

The_Kid · 06-02-09, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

plays today...PIT...you know I love the DUKE...

Was looking at the Pirates too. Nice crumbs there. If Santana can't go at least seven innings, then the bullpen could implode again like last game.

sweetjones55 · 06-02-09, 02:00 PM

Which team so far this year usually wins by more than one the most?

macadams · 06-02-09, 02:10 PM

MIL 1u @1.94
DET 1u @1.81
TAM 1u @1.66
MIN 1u @ 1.61

----------------------------------------

June: -1.32 units

tbill11 · 06-02-09, 02:13 PM

Anyone got thoughts on the Giants tonight? I'm a little nervous because the Nats have lost their last 6, but I think Lincecum could come out and shut em down to make it 7 in a row.

ragiche · 06-02-09, 02:33 PM

A nice start yesterday.So here we go again,my booked plays for tonight's game.

Rangers RRL (3x) Tailing CK.

Bluebirds -1.5+125 (3x) Tailing CK.

Mariners RL (3x) Tailing CK.

Palehose RL (3x) My pick.

Redhose ML (3x) My pick.

Giants RL (3x) My Pick.

Padres -1.0 (3x) Sorry CK,I'm on the other side.

So GL today to all of you,wish that we all have a positive day today.

cocknocker · 06-02-09, 02:38 PM

Slight noon day reverse on Seattle. The line has gone down to -139 from -148 with 86% on the moneyline, but they only have 23% of bettors on their runline, which I do like. However, if i can get them at -135, then I will do away with the risk and just take them on the moneyline straight and do away with the runline aspect of this wager.

Texas is coming along fine and remains my favorite wager of the day.

Toronto has dipped a bit, which I don't like, because I am making a very public play, which has never been my style. But I can't pay the vigorish of -165 to play Halladay or any other pitcher for that matter. So runline it is. I just don't like to see that the line dip even one cent when I am taking a favorite of this magnitude. I'm going to hang in there and do it since some have already played it on my behalf though. We all go down in flames or rise above the skies together on this one mates. I still can't believe I am taking Halladay, lol!

sweetjones55 · 06-02-09, 02:39 PM

Phillies are 5th in runs scored, San Diego 28th.

jellobiafra · 06-02-09, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Which team so far this year usually wins by more than one the most?

I believe your answer is the Cubs. I know last week their record on games they'd won as the ML favorite was 17-4. I think they have only added to that since then.

RoagBettor · 06-02-09, 02:46 PM

Booked Rangers alternate RL +260 let's cash this beotch!

tsn101 · 06-02-09, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

I still can't believe I am taking Halladay, lol!

Yeah I cant believe it from reading all your posts lol. Good luck!

sweetjones55 · 06-02-09, 04:45 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

I believe your answer is the Cubs. I know last week their record on games they'd won as the ML favorite was 17-4. I think they have only added to that since then.

Thanks, I appreciate it.

showtime2000 · 06-02-09, 05:50 PM

Puck play tonight,

Det/Pit over 5.5 (lack of penalties called last 2 games should lead to alot more penalties this game, in turn more PP)

Pittsburgh regulation +1/2 +108 (i'm hoping a 3rd time is a charm)

BB
Atlanta ml (Jimbo)
Texas +180 (CK)

GLA

wangichu · 06-02-09, 06:01 PM

i was hot for like a week, and i may have gone cold again, but here goes nothing...

MIN -1.5
PIT ML
COL -1.5
FLA ML

good luck guys

Dexter · 06-02-09, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

Mr crumbs on Doc? It's about time!!

Lets cash this!!

lol....thats what i said....i had to lay 2x on the runline just because he sided with doc. he hates halladay..haha

Dexter · 06-02-09, 06:27 PM

Tue 6/2 *copied from last nights thread

pirates (RL) (2x - Autobet) - play the dog on the runline with the total at 7.5 or < so long as the pitcher has a whip of 1.40 or < in his last 3 - moneyline cant be above -150.

over marlins (3x - Autobet) - both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3.

tigers (ML) (3x - Autobet) - dicek has a whip or 1.80 or > (2.36) in his last 3, while porcello is at 1.00 or < (1.00)

twins (RL - 2x) - huff has a 17.84/2.85 in 2 road starts, while slowey has a 2.57/1.05 in his last 3

ram1502 · 06-02-09, 06:33 PM

Going with the heap of aces pitching tonight...Mets, Jays, Giants, Padres, Twins, Reds. Also tailing my man CK on the Rangers and my man Dex on the Tigers. GLA

Panekkkk · 06-02-09, 06:45 PM

Yanks wearing down Padilla already... Not looking good.

29 pitches and 0 outs in the 2nd inning!

Rangers need to hammer some runs early!