MLB Leans ~ Monday 6/1

[macadams]

Dex, the tribe BP is just getting started. They'll find a way to lose this.

[The_Kid]

yanks blew it....bases loaded no out (3 bb's by sowers) and they pulled him at just the right time. this time, the bullpen gets the job done.

I couldn't believe it either. Yankees are a bunch of overpaid, overrated "stars."

[macadams]

Chillax, NYY gonna cash.

[Dexter]

Tue 6/2

pirates (RL) (2x - Autobet) - play the dog on the runline with the total at 7.5 or < so long as the pitcher has a whip of 1.40 or < in his last 3 - moneyline cant be above -150.

over marlins (3x - Autobet) - both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3.

tigers (ML) (3x - Autobet) - dicek has a whip or 1.80 or > (2.36) in his last 3, while porcello is at 1.00 or < (1.00)

twins (RL - 2x) - huff has a 17.84/2.85 in 2 road starts, while slowey has a 2.57/1.05 in his last 3

[ram1502]

Hey Dex, have you updated the records of your autobets? I know you said one of them was pretty much flawless thusfar. I was just curious as to which one it was. TIA

[macadams]

Bruce Wayne's butler must have been unsuccessful in relaying the message that the Indians bullpen had to tread into action. This is BB (beautiful baseball)

[Dexter]

Hey Dex, have you updated the records of your autobets? I know you said one of them was pretty much flawless thusfar. I was just curious as to which one it was. TIA

A1) i will play on any underdog getting 1.5 runs and who is a dog or favored by no more then -110 on the moneyline, but - the pitcher I back must have a WHIP of 1.40 or < in his last 3 starts. (1-4)

*note adjustment made with whip filter - no new plays since filter added 5/22

A2) i will play 2x or more on any underdog at +1.5 on the runline when the game total is 7.5 or less at any point during the day. However, i will not lay more then -150 and the pitcher I back must have a WHIP of 1.40 or < in his last 3 starts (2-5)

*note adjustment made with whip filter - no new plays since filter added 5/31

A3) i will play 3x or more against any pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.80 or > in his last 3 starts - as long as the opposing team is -150 or < on the ML and the opposing pitcher has a WHIP of 1.00 or < in his last 3 starts. Move to run line if above 150 (2-4)

A4) i will play 2x or more on the over in any game where both pitchers have a WHIP of 1.80 or > in the last 3 starts. (3-1)

*this was the one that was 3-0 until 5/27 loss

A5) i will play 2x or more on the under when both pitchers have a whip of 1.00 or < in their last 3 starts (3-2)

[Dexter]

ram - not a great start for the first 3, and i did add the whip filters as too often i was backing pure garbage pitchers and having to lay money at the +1.5. give me someone who's whip is not horrid (1.40 or <) and then i'll play the big dog. funny though, i added the filters yesterday for A2, and of course yesterdays A2 plays would have been on the giants and whitesox. lol.....but i like the filters added for whip. its what i believe in, and it eliminates more plays.

[ram1502]

Thanks Dex. I was thinking the Over was the one that was doing so well.

[Dexter]

joba at 95 pitches thru 7....he should be back for the 8th.

[Dexter]

Thanks Dex. I was thinking the Over was the one that was doing so well.

np - im done tweaking. staying with that the rest of the year. the only change i will make is to my bet size if im doing horrible.

[cocknocker]

If anyone listened to my suggestion about taking the A's in the first 4.5 innings stole money. They may win it outright.

[Jimbo42]

Dodgers coming home from a road trip... always a bit of a distraction... with a division rival waiting for em... plus they aren't playing so hot... I'll give it a shot....

Booked:
Arizona +147
Arizona -1.5 +220

GL

[Dexter]

strasburg out, dexter in

[Dexter]

If anyone listened to my suggestion about taking the A's in the first 4.5 innings stole money. They may win it outright.

youve been going to the day games yet?

[Jimbo42]

Yankees run line wins!

[jellobiafra]

COL/HOU under 8.5

I'm just gonna keep cashing one of these a day in this thread.... unless anyone has an objection?

[jellobiafra]

I'm gonna move this into here too where it might get noticed. I thought these were pretty damn interersting....

Angels are 17-4 in Saunders' last 21 starts as an underdog.

Angels are 20-5 in Saunders' last 25 starts during game 1 of a series.

Angels are 23-8 in Saunders' last 31 road starts.

Blue Jays are 40-12 in their last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 8-1 in Halladays last 9 home starts.

Over is 15-4 in Halladays last 19 starts overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Halladays last 5 home starts vs. Angels.

Under is 22-5-3 in the last 30 meetings in Toronto.

Under is 40-13-5 in the last 58 meetings.

Under is 8-3-1 in Halladays last 12 starts vs. Angels.

[Dexter]

Yankees run line wins!

whew....the public play gets there.

[cocknocker]

youve been going to the day games yet?

No but the Missus and her buddies have. I am waiting for the hot day games!

[cocknocker]

Alright f*ckers. Here's what I came up with for tomorrow:

Texas+170 HEAVY
Texas-1.5 +260 RRL
Toronto-1.5 +125 HEAVY
Seattle-1.5 +140

[ragiche]

Internet break down for me last night.But back to normal again today.And these are the plays i like for today.

Chw RL (6x) Tailing Peter. Love this pick. (WIN)

Nyy -1.5+100 (6x) Tailing Jimbo. Also love this one. (WIN)

Sdg ML (6x).

Phi/Sdg Over 8 (6x).

Mil ML (6x). (LOSE)

Thanks guys.

[suicidekings]

Anybody noticed Philadelphia's starting pitcher for tomorrow? A. Bastardo...

Insert joke here: ______

[jellobiafra]

My under tomorrow is gonna be CHC/ATL u9. Posting it here now in case anyone is interested, because I have a feeling it might drop to 8.5 before too long.

[suicidekings]

Alright f*ckers. Here's what I came up with for tomorrow:

Texas+170 HEAVY
Texas-1.5 +260 RRL
Toronto-1.5 +125 HEAVY
Seattle-1.5 +140

Yeah... Padilla the road warrior at that price is solid. Let's get em.

[Dexter]

Thanks guys.

didnt you go like 20x on a game recently? how did that do?

[Dexter]

Alright f*ckers. Here's what I came up with for tomorrow:

Texas+170 HEAVY
Texas-1.5 +260 RRL
Toronto-1.5 +125 HEAVY
Seattle-1.5 +140

he finally takes halladay

[jellobiafra]

he finally takes halladay

In a spot where he's vulnerable, imo.

[ragiche]

With that info,I'll be riding the red leggins' also.Eventhough i'm already a little above my natural $3500 daily waging practices.So, What the hell,just booked it.

Cin ML (6x). Tailing CK. (WIN)

Huge Crumbs eventhough volquez pitch only one inning. Thanks CK.

[Jimbo42]

Nice cap job on the Reds CK!

[ram1502]

My under tomorrow is gonna be CHC/ATL u9. Posting it here now in case anyone is interested, because I have a feeling it might drop to 8.5 before too long.

With Kawakami on the mound, any Under wager is very dangerous IMHO. He has been rocked this year, especially lately. But good luck to you Jello.

[The_Kid]

over marlins (3x - Autobet) - both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3.

This one looks good. Parra is garbage on the road and Sanchez is coming off the DL tomorrow so he'll be on a limited pitch count. That means the Florida bullpen could see a lot of action tomorrow and they're just terrible.

Nice cap job on the Reds CK!

Thanks for the play, CK. Was a little worried after Volquez left early but the Reds still got the job done!

[jellobiafra]

With Kawakami on the mound, any Under wager is very dangerous IMHO. He has been rocked this year, especially lately. But good luck to you Jello.

I know the Braves as well as anyone on this board. I've watched each of his last 3 starts closely. He's been a different pitcher. Keeping the ball down where he needs to be....starting the curve at the waist instead of the chest. He's even had a little more giddyup on the fastball. He's actually been fantastic lately. Check the numbers. I'm not pulling these out of my ass, trust me.

[Dexter]

With Kawakami on the mound, any Under wager is very dangerous IMHO. He has been rocked this year, especially lately. But good luck to you Jello.

hes actually been pretty solid in his last 3 (era/whip of 2.89/1.18)

i was giving this under some consideration, but i have never seen wells pitch - nor do i know anything about him.

[cocknocker]

he finally takes halladay

Oh go to hell, Dexter!