MLB - Friday, 5/26/17

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Sides Friday

Padres +230 (5 Dimes)
Mariners +168 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 187-193-11, +1.13

Totals Coming

[unusialsusp5]

profits in a horrendous slide lately. last year he was awful early and went on vacation cleared his head in the pocono's and gradually improved. `way too obsessed with line shopping.

[exlusive123]

5/26/2017 3:19 AM

164

-174

5 Dimes real line if you want to bet any size, Pinnacle is 157 and he posts 168, which would only be available to someone who has some kind of reduced juice account at 5D if that even exists. If you are a winning bettor you would be booted after 5 bets from 5D so the +168 number is fantasy anyway. If you follow all LT games and play in the real market you would have significantly worse results than he is getting, almost guaranteeing losing money

[exlusive123]

Apologize, this particular game was available on Bookmaker at 166, I like the same side

[LT Profits]

5/26/2017 3:19 AM

164

-174

5 Dimes real line if you want to bet any size, Pinnacle is 157 and he posts 168, which would only be available to someone who has some kind of reduced juice account at 5D if that even exists. If you are a winning bettor you would be booted after 5 bets from 5D so the +168 number is fantasy anyway. If you follow all LT games and play in the real market you would have significantly worse results than he is getting, almost guaranteeing losing money

Mariners were +168 on Reduced. In fact many line histories including SBR Odds display the 5 Dimes Reduced lines, so stop throwing out accusations. As I have stated countless time, I post my plays a few minutes after getting my plays in and overnight lines at 5 Dimes and Heritage are up until 8:00am ET.

[LT Profits]

Also, having reduced line outlets is one of the biggest keys to successful betting, so instead of criticizing, be thankful that I am directing people to the nice lines.

[LT Profits]

6 MLB Plays Friday

6 MLB Plays Friday

Padres +230 (5 Dimes)
Padres / Nationals UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Mariners +168 (Bookmaker)
Rays / Twins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Giants UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

[2ndchance]

How do you like the Texas game looks like good value right?

[exlusive123]

Again, Im not criticizing, the fact is the books hate to lose, if you are a winning player you won't be able to continue to bet reduced juice accounts, certainly not for size. Also, if you were betting at these spots and if you were beating those places, they would adjust their line based on your sharp bets immediately after you bet, so they would be unavailable for anyone else to follow after you placed your bet. Am I wrong?

[barryt]

profits in a horrendous slide lately. last year he was awful early and went on vacation cleared his head in the pocono's and gradually improved. `way too obsessed with line shopping.

I'm playing the sides and making money. 5-2 yesterday if you include Padres with both them and mariners at ++ money. Last 8 days without padres I played 25 sides 13-12 ROI =12%. Didn't play any < -119

[barryt]

Again, Im not criticizing, the fact is the books hate to lose, if you are a winning player you won't be able to continue to bet reduced juice accounts, certainly not for size. Also, if you were betting at these spots and if you were beating those places, they would adjust their line based on your sharp bets immediately after you bet, so they would be unavailable for anyone else to follow after you placed your bet. Am I wrong?

I'll worry about that when I'm betting $20k a game not $100

[jjgold]

line shopping might be slightly overrated in today

Beating numbers does not seem to matter like it use too

Good luck LT

[chosen4th]

Again, Im not criticizing, the fact is the books hate to lose, if you are a winning player you won't be able to continue to bet reduced juice accounts, certainly not for size. Also, if you were betting at these spots and if you were beating those places, they would adjust their line based on your sharp bets immediately after you bet, so they would be unavailable for anyone else to follow after you placed your bet. Am I wrong?

why are you even in here, if you dont like his picks dont follow the thread. No one is asking you to. People like you need to get a life

[LT Profits]

Again, Im not criticizing, the fact is the books hate to lose, if you are a winning player you won't be able to continue to bet reduced juice accounts, certainly not for size. Also, if you were betting at these spots and if you were beating those places, they would adjust their line based on your sharp bets immediately after you bet, so they would be unavailable for anyone else to follow after you placed your bet. Am I wrong?

Only if you wait too long. And Bookmaker is not even a reduced juice book so you have no leg to stand on as it was not as if I was racing the clock before the reduced ML lines came down at Heritage/5 Dimes. The +168 at Bookmaker was UP AT TIME OF MY POST and stayed up until 7:57am ET and even popped up again a couple of times afterwards toggling between +167 and +168 before dropping to current +159.

Also the San Diego +230 stayed up at 5 Dimes until 7:57am ET.

[LT Profits]

profits in a horrendous slide lately. last year he was awful early and went on vacation cleared his head in the pocono's and gradually improved. `way too obsessed with line shopping.

4-2 yesterday, hopefully upturn in progress.

[LT Profits]

Mariners were +168 on Reduced. In fact many line histories including SBR Odds display the 5 Dimes Reduced lines, so stop throwing out accusations. As I have stated countless time, I post my plays a few minutes after getting my plays in and overnight lines at 5 Dimes and Heritage are up until 8:00am ET.

Disregard this, I had temporary brain fart and thought we were talking about 5 Dimes. Refer to Post #14.

[exlusive123]

If I bet my account on Cris they are going to move their price alot. If you are playing into Cris, Bookmaker or whatever skin you use and they don't move, you are not a winning bettor. If you are still able to bet into 5 Dimes at reduced juice and they don't move their line, you are not winning. You have some baseball knowledge no question but you cannot be winning and betting these sites with no move, that is a fact

[LT Profits]

If I bet my account on Cris they are going to move their price alot. If you are playing into Cris, Bookmaker or whatever skin you use and they don't move, you are not a winning bettor. If you are still able to bet into 5 Dimes at reduced juice and they don't move their line, you are not winning. You have some baseball knowledge no question but you cannot be winning and betting these sites with no move, that is a fact

It is not as if I am max betting everything, that is another key to staying under the radar. I try to keep my total balances across all books in the area of 15K, I usually withdraw if I hit 20K. And it would take 20K for base bet to become 5 Dimes overnight max of $500.

[exlusive123]

Ok, hope you wipe them all out. GL

[Rigbone]

Forget this clown. You're a good dude LT. Thanks for all the time and effort you put into this that you very much do not have to share with us.

[LT Profits]

How do you like the Texas game looks like good value right?

Sorry I missed this earlier.

I get Toronto 57% (-133) assuming Donaldson is back. The way price has risen, Texas could start meriting consideration.

[RavensFan2k3]

Hey LT how do you rate Buck Farmer?

[LT Profits]

Hey LT how do you rate Buck Farmer?

Honestly I ignored doubleheader because teams kept switching off which games the known starters (Pelfrey, Boyd) were starting. I initially had those two matched in Game 2 as was the initial plan. At this point, I won't add Farmer or Danish to the database unless either starts again

[LT Profits]

Looks like the Boyd/Pelfrey matchup is happening tonight after all, I will get Farmer and Danish into the system tonight since they are most likely going in Game 2 tomorrow.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

7 MLB Plays Friday

Padres +230 (5 Dimes)
Padres / Nationals UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Mariners +168 (Bookmaker)
Diamondbacks / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Rays / Twins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Giants UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

[RavensFan2k3]

Looks like the Boyd/Pelfrey matchup is happening tonight after all, I will get Farmer and Danish into the system tonight since they are most likely going in Game 2 tomorrow.

How do rate these two?

[LT Profits]

How do rate these two?

Both below average, Pelfrey much more so. But White Sox have edge in bullpen. Everything shakes out to Tigers 55% (-122) IF Cabrera starts. He had been scheduled to sit in PPD Game 1.

[StackinGreen]

Pelfrey will beat Boyd tonight, Sox underdog too

[CamNewtonOutfit]

im taking the white sox bc tigers get 0 rest for a double header

[tatddy]

Again, Im not criticizing, the fact is the books hate to lose, if you are a winning player you won't be able to continue to bet reduced juice accounts, certainly not for size. Also, if you were betting at these spots and if you were beating those places, they would adjust their line based on your sharp bets immediately after you bet, so they would be unavailable for anyone else to follow after you placed your bet. Am I wrong?

Yes. You are 100 percent wrong. Your perception of the size of these betting markets is a joke.

You're sure to get limited in a hurry at these offshore books but not after a week betting reduced juice MLB lines. There are much sharper, smaller markets that when exposed will get you limited.

[LT Profits]

im taking the white sox bc tigers get 0 rest for a double header

No longer a doubleheader tonight. Boyd vs. Pelfrey at 8:10 ET and then doubleheader tomorrow, Fulmer/Holland Game 1, Farmer/Danish Game 2.

[CamNewtonOutfit]

got it they canceled my bet but im keeping the other one anyway

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Addition

8 MLB Plays Friday

Mets / Pirates UNDER 8 -103 (5 Dimes)
Padres +230 (5 Dimes)
Padres / Nationals UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Mariners +168 (Bookmaker)
Diamondbacks / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Rays / Twins OVER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
Braves / Giants UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

[Deucerd]

I don't use offshore, at least not currently, but are you guys telling me that even these SBR top rated books will kick you out if you start winning too much? Whatever that number may be.

[StackinGreen]

Pelfrey will beat Boyd tonight, Sox underdog too

I don't know what the books were thinking here, they are not valuing the White Sox appropriately when they clearly have a pitching advantage. It has happened frequently in the past 2 weeks.