MLB - Thursday, 5/25/17

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 5/25/17
    7 MLB Sides Thursday

    Mariners +136 (5 Dimes)
    Pirates -117 (Heritage)
    Rockies -113 (Heritage)
    Giants +103 (Heritage)
    Reds +189 (Heritage)
    Padres +197 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks -106 (Heritage)


    YTD: 183-191-11, -1.10

    Totals Coming
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    No Totals yet, just the 7 Sides so far.
    Comment
    • Dynasty3669
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-10-17
      • 516

      #3
      From +25 to -1 in a couple of weeks. Ouch. I know, I know, it's only May. GL
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by Dynasty3669
        From +25 to -1 in a couple of weeks. Ouch. I know, I know, it's only May. GL
        YEP. Shit happens, its a marathon not a sprint.
        Comment
        • chosen4th
          SBR MVP
          • 12-29-12
          • 1106

          #5
          a lot of sides for you, which does the model make the top picks
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by chosen4th
            a lot of sides for you, which does the model make the top picks
            I don't rate plays because I bet 99% of them for the same amount
            Comment
            • FUqer
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-15
              • 3968

              #7
              I'm glad I'm not as popular as you are, to the point where everyday someone feels the need to remind you when things aren't going good, as if you aren't are aware of it already.

              Today starts a new positive run.
              Comment
              • FUqer
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-15
                • 3968

                #8
                one game off the books already, Royals/Yankees PPD
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65583

                  #9
                  Originally posted by FUqer
                  I'm glad I'm not as popular as you are, to the point where everyday someone feels the need to remind you when things aren't going good, as if you aren't are aware of it already.

                  Today starts a new positive run.
                  I can relate, and LT is as good as it gets around here.
                  Comment
                  • StackinGreen
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-09-10
                    • 12140

                    #10
                    anyone have totals record for all games? Is OVER like 60% on the year so far? I'm wondering if certain teams are crazy OVER so far too...
                    Comment
                    • ticklemepink1991
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-06-17
                      • 1073

                      #11
                      why the mariners today LT? if you dont mind explaining
                      Comment
                      • exlusive123
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-04-16
                        • 89

                        #12
                        Pirates and Rockies Padres I am playing opposite today. I think the model needs a tuneup, when you are getting 8c better than available lines and you are not getting the results it might be time to redo some stuff. If I randomly picked games and took 8 to 10c off mainstream prices, I should be a nice winner with no capping. I am not trying to beat anyone up, I would rather the information be sharp, that would be more helpful to me anyway.
                        Comment
                        • FUqer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-15
                          • 3968

                          #13
                          Originally posted by StackinGreen
                          anyone have totals record for all games? Is OVER like 60% on the year so far? I'm wondering if certain teams are crazy OVER so far too...

                          349-313-26 (0.72, 52.7%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$953 / -$6,693 ROI: +1.3% / -8.8%
                          Mets = +$1,720
                          Cubs = +$1,173
                          Marlins = +$1,000
                          Brewers = +$978
                          Reds = +$883
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            I am only seeing Over at 354-306, 53.6% overall. Overs have hit at a much higher rate the last couple of weeks though.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by FUqer
                              698-626-52 (0.72, 52.7%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$1,906 / -$13,386 ROI: +1.3% / -8.8%
                              Mets = +$1,720
                              Cubs = +$1,173
                              Marlins = +$1,000
                              Brewers = +$978
                              Reds = +$883
                              You doubled up the results, filter to either home or away.
                              Comment
                              • pet2150
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-31-14
                                • 278

                                #16
                                What's the strongest pick today?
                                Comment
                                • FUqer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-15
                                  • 3968

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  You doubled up the results, filter to either home or away.
                                  I did the 1st time with H and got what you had and thought there should of been over 1300 games and had a brainfart, and forgot to divide by two, so yeah you're right.
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ticklemepink1991
                                    why the mariners today LT? if you dont mind explaining
                                    Gio is the better starter but I have teams fairly even in most other categories, end result is Washington 55% (-122).
                                    Comment
                                    • 2ndchance
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-14-17
                                      • 1056

                                      #19
                                      I think the nym should be a good play and not the Padres but I also dont have a system like him.
                                      Comment
                                      • FUqer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-15
                                        • 3968

                                        #20
                                        Miranda looked very good last time out vs Quintana, I even thought he looked better, but lost 1-0.

                                        And the Padres are starting a top prospect who can rack up the K's, I'm hoping one of the pitchers gets tagged though and the Over hits.
                                        Comment
                                        • StackinGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-09-10
                                          • 12140

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by FUqer
                                          349-313-26 (0.72, 52.7%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$953 / -$6,693 ROI: +1.3% / -8.8%
                                          Mets = +$1,720
                                          Cubs = +$1,173
                                          Marlins = +$1,000
                                          Brewers = +$978
                                          Reds = +$883
                                          Thanks, great stuff.
                                          Comment
                                          • StackinGreen
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-09-10
                                            • 12140

                                            #22
                                            FU, is that over for Mets/Cubs/Marlins/Brew/Reds and what's the base wager, $100?
                                            Comment
                                            • FUqer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-15
                                              • 3968

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                              FU, is that over for Mets/Cubs/Marlins/Brew/Reds and what's the base wager, $100?
                                              yea
                                              Comment
                                              • FUqer
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-15
                                                • 3968

                                                #24
                                                Mets

                                                28-10-6 (2.70, 73.7%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,720 / -$2,013 ROI: +35.0% / -42.2%
                                                Comment
                                                • Deucerd
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-29-17
                                                  • 258

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                  anyone have totals record for all games? Is OVER like 60% on the year so far? I'm wondering if certain teams are crazy OVER so far too...
                                                  This is a side note. Not what you're asking but made me think of it. I've been charting run scored in first inning since 4/22 the record for "yes" is 247-188. I don't have the resources to pull up a big report but just found it interesting and that's fairly lopsided. Sorry for the clog LT, GL All
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CamNewtonOutfit
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-26-16
                                                    • 525

                                                    #26
                                                    Giants a no go, cubs much better odds they are a marquee team and giants starter could not hit the broad side of a barn
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      For First 5-INNING Overs this season, I am showing 338-305 with a 2.6% ROI.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
                                                        Giants a no go, cubs much better odds they are a marquee team and giants starter could not hit the broad side of a barn
                                                        Samardzija is fine, he is above average. Butler is the shitty pitcher in this matchup.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FUqer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-15
                                                          • 3968

                                                          #29
                                                          Samardzija hasn't been that bad, hard to win many starts when he is getting 2.48 rpg in run support in his L24 team starts. Under is 3-19-1.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SOSANA
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 11-15-11
                                                            • 58

                                                            #30
                                                            @LT Profits,

                                                            Curious your total numbers for over's this morning. I have a lot of over plays

                                                            Mariners
                                                            Pirates
                                                            Rockies
                                                            Yanks
                                                            Reds
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FUqer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-15
                                                              • 3968

                                                              #31
                                                              Away Starter with ERA over 3 and less than 4, this season.

                                                              70-37-5 (1.71, 65.4%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$2,983 / -$3,916 ROI: +24.1% / -31.8%
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FUqer
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-15
                                                                • 3968

                                                                #32
                                                                shit, what you got for the D-Backs total, lol

                                                                I got 8.39 , really close, now that it dropped from 9, and Brewers vs a lefty.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FUqer
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-15
                                                                  • 3968

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by SOSANA
                                                                  @LT Profits,

                                                                  Curious your total numbers for over's this morning. I have a lot of over plays

                                                                  Mariners
                                                                  Pirates
                                                                  Rockies
                                                                  Yanks
                                                                  Reds
                                                                  Yanks PPD
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by SOSANA
                                                                    @LT Profits,

                                                                    Curious your total numbers for over's this morning. I have a lot of over plays

                                                                    Mariners
                                                                    Pirates
                                                                    Rockies
                                                                    Yanks
                                                                    Reds
                                                                    Mariners 8.7
                                                                    Pirates 8.4
                                                                    Rockies 7.9
                                                                    Reds 9.9
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by FUqer
                                                                      shit, what you got for the D-Backs total, lol

                                                                      I got 8.39 , really close, now that it dropped from 9, and Brewers vs a lefty.
                                                                      8.2
                                                                      Comment
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