on3's MLB 2017 Opening Day System Thread

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  • imotiv8
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-28-09
    • 892

    #1
    on3's MLB 2017 Opening Day System Thread
    On3 most likely will not be able to post this year so I don't know if I should've created this thread.

    Just hoping someone steps up and posts in his place
  • imotiv8
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-28-09
    • 892

    #2
    Basic rules -- if HOME team A is favored by -145 or greater in game1 of their series, they are a play. 3 game chase. A few filters:

    It was shown to be profitable to play a 5/2 system, the 5/2 is indicating the units bet to win the series. The trigger is when a filtered play loses the (A) game.
    No 2-game series' should be played.

    After the all-star break, teams must meet either the overall .500 record test or the home record over .500 test.
    Odds > -190 should be played on the RL.
    The O/U 9 filter has a very strong historical record.
    Comment
    • imotiv8
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-28-09
      • 892

      #3
      5-0 today
      Comment
      • DStaXX
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-15-12
        • 41

        #4
        Wow. Really? Need someone to keep this thread going.
        Comment
        • 2Shirts
          SBR MVP
          • 03-11-11
          • 4402

          #5
          6-0, wouldn't the Red Sox have been a play at some books?
          Comment
          • 2Shirts
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-11
            • 4402

            #6
            Originally posted by 2Shirts
            6-0, wouldn't the Red Sox have been a play at some books?
            Disregard - miscounted, Red Sox were a play and included in the 5 win count.
            Comment
            • imotiv8
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-28-09
              • 892

              #7
              Originally posted by DStaXX
              Wow. Really? Need someone to keep this thread going.
              Yea it's a pretty good system when it's on. Especially if somebody can keep track of the filtered place.

              Can you do it ?
              Comment
              • DStaXX
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-15-12
                • 41

                #8
                Can you explain the system in depth? I'd be willing to, just need a better understanding.
                Comment
                • dect6.0
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-23-14
                  • 258

                  #9
                  just post the damn plays and screw all the math.
                  Comment
                  • slamuels2021
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-21-16
                    • 201

                    #10
                    Originally posted by dect6.0
                    just post the damn plays and screw all the math.
                    Huh? He needs to know the math in order to post the plays. He is kind enough to do this for us, so lets let thank him.

                    Looking forward to the plays in this thread.
                    Comment
                    • DStaXX
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-15-12
                      • 41

                      #11
                      Originally posted by dect6.0
                      just post the damn plays and screw all the math.
                      So you want me to blindly post plays without following the system? lol
                      Comment
                      • imotiv8
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-28-09
                        • 892

                        #12
                        Here is a sample of On3s 2016 post:

                        Labby will start running after the first two weeks. Until then, I am playing (A) bets as a half unit, (B) bets as one unit, (C) bets as 2 units. Filtered will be doubled. Units and win/loss will not be tracked until April 18th/19th.


                        UPDATED for 4/4/2016
                        System(s) record Chase:
                        Regular system: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
                        Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
                        5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

                        Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
                        Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0
                        Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                        Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0

                        REGULAR FOR 4/4/2016
                        (A) C -- .5 units
                        (A) .5 units

                        Filtered
                        none

                        5/2
                        none
                        Comment
                        • UncleDoc
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-29-17
                          • 98

                          #13
                          More info needed. How would last nights results be within this?
                          Comment
                          • MJ4thQuarter92
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-08-17
                            • 188

                            #14
                            Probably won't be another play until these series end. All home faves have won.

                            I pretty much understand this well enough to post. All but the 5/2 part...also the o/u 9 filter because it wasn't explained
                            Comment
                            • imotiv8
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-28-09
                              • 892

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MJ4thQuarter92
                              Probably won't be another play until these series end. All home faves have won.

                              I pretty much understand this well enough to post. All but the 5/2 part...also the o/u 9 filter because it wasn't explained
                              If a team is a play & the o/u is 9 its considered a higher quality play. If it loses, the next games has a higher statistical chance of winning so we put more units on it than the first...hence 5/2
                              Comment
                              • Notorious_Donk
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-29-11
                                • 2689

                                #16
                                I vaguely remember this system from last year. Not sure if I remember the o/u 9 filter tho.. wanna explain that?
                                Comment
                                • MJ4thQuarter92
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-08-17
                                  • 188

                                  #17
                                  Pirates, Rangers, Astros and Cardinals look like some of tomorrow's plays, if I am understanding this correctly.
                                  Comment
                                  • boycali01
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 07-12-07
                                    • 118

                                    #18
                                    concur stl hou tx however stl 143.
                                    Comment
                                    • imotiv8
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-28-09
                                      • 892

                                      #19
                                      Houston is a filtered play because o/u is 9

                                      So if they lose it will be a 5/2 play. Which basically means put more units on them if they lose
                                      Comment
                                      • MJ4thQuarter92
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-08-17
                                        • 188

                                        #20
                                        Looks like we may be taking both Cards and Astros run line today, because odds are around -190.
                                        Comment
                                        • jcygts6
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 3316

                                          #21
                                          lets keep this party rolling
                                          DO WORK + KROW OD
                                          do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                          Comment
                                          • imotiv8
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-28-09
                                            • 892

                                            #22
                                            Comment
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