If someone can feed me the upcoming series I can handle posting. There may be times when family and/or work will prevent me from posting regularly. In those times, I will ask anyone willing to step up and sub in for me while I cannot post. It's a fairly easy copy and paste job, but you just need to be diligent about changing up the details that are relevant for that day. I also color code and do some light formatting (e.g., bold font, underlining) but that's all to make it easier to look at, but whoever subs in doesn't have to do that.
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Fadethepublic12
SBR Rookie
03-27-17
40
#5
Bump. We need more people involved in this, I can only help out every now and then
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#6
I will also try to contribute....just waiting for a team to get swept...
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#7
Rules
Here are the rules for the MLB Sytem that WE will be posting.As long as you strictly follow the betting guidelines below, you will be winning almost all of your MLB bets.
In a nutshell, you will be betting that one team is going to win at least one game in either 3 or 4 game series versus an opposing team that has swept them in their most recent series. This is a bet that you will win more than 97% of the time.
Before I go into detail on how to make the bets, I will go over the money management system. There are only three bet values you should stick to: Bet A; Bet B; and Bet C.
Bet A = Your beginning bet. You can, for example, set your beginning bet to win $100 when you first start out.
Bet B = In case Bet A fails, you make bet B to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A, plus any profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A was $100, your to-win Bet B can be $200.
Bet C = In case Bet B fails, you make bet C to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A plus Bet B, plus profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A plus Bet B was $300, your to-win Bet C can be $400.
If you lose Bet C, you lose the bet. There may be an occasion when you place a “D” bet, but it’s extremely rare. We will talk more on that later.
However, do not be concerned, because losing a Bet C is something that will almost never happen. Here’s the betting system:
1. Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless versus the opposing team (a sweep)
2. For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously
3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI value (http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi) of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)
4. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team
5. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team
And keep this in mind: ALWAYS bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win (shows -1.5 on the run line). ALWAYS bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog (shows +1.5 on the run line). You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the
bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the run line means they are the underdog. A team showing a -1.5 in the run line means they are the favorite.
If you are unfamiliar with betting, below is a screenshot of what you may see on BetUS
Example#1: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then sweeps them again in a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would qualify for a system play on Florida.
Example#2: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then goes 1-1 against Florida a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would not qualify for a system play.
V2.0 System UPDATE:
The update here is designed to allow you even more action during the course of the baseball season by increasing your wager on betting opportunities that have an exceptional probability of betting success.
The change to this new v2.0 system is that you want to increase your stake on the [b] level when these 2 criteria are met:
The change to this new v2.0 system is that you want to increase your stake on the [b] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [A] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more runs.
Similarly, you want to increase your stake on the [C] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [b] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more runs.
Here’s an example of the v2.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Detroit Tigers played the Minnesota Twins on the road from May 2nd to May 4th and were swept in all 3 games.
On May 23rd, they began another 3-game series with the Minnesota twins, this time at home. Since the Detroit Tigers fell within the accepted .01 range of RPI disparity with the Minnesota Twins at the time, the series was good to go for betting.
Yet, on 5/23/08, Detroit lost to Minnesota again on the [A] bet by a score of 4-9. Since Detroit lost by at least 3 points at the [A] level, and since they’re playing at home, this would make the [b] bet to fall under the criteria for betting in the v2.0 MLB system.
This means that the next day, on May 24th, you should increase your wagering amount by at least two-fold. So, let’s say that you lost $150 on the [A] bet with Detroit. Instead of betting to win $250 (to attain a $100 profit for the series) as you normally would do, you can double up and bet to win $350 (to attain a $200 profit for the series).
Indeed, the Detroit Tigers came back the next day and completely annihilated Minnesota by their season-record score of 19-3!
Now, I want to note to you that you should of course still make all the bets according to the v1.0 system. However, when a situation arises that meets the criteria of the v2.0 betting system, you should then increase your wager on that betting level by at least twice or more.
V3.0 System UPDATE:
The update here is designed to allow you even more betting opportunities during the course of the baseball season by taking advantage of the unofficial plays that fall outside of the acceptable level of RPI difference between the two teams.
The addition to this new v3.0 system is that you want to make a wager for the team that previously did the sweep (NOT the team that was swept previously!) if the following 2 criteria are met:
1. The team that they swept previously came back and beat them on the very first game of their rematch series.
2. They have an RPI of at least .025 or higher than their opponent.
If your bet loses, you would go on and make a [b] bet for the same team the next day. Most of the v3.0 bets will involve betting on a 2-game series. However, in some rare cases you can also make a [C] bet if both your [A] and [b] bet lose, and the series rematch is a 4-game series allowing you an extra final game to make a [C] wager.
Remember, the same betting rules apply: Always bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win. Always bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog. You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the
Here’s an example of the v3.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Boston Red Sox played the Kansas City Royals from May 19th to May 22nd and swept them in the entire series.
On August 4th, Boston played Kansas City again in a 3-game series. At this time during the season, Boston's RPI was at least .025 higher than Kansas City, making the series fall outside of the original v1.0 system's betting criteria for Kansas City. However, Kansas City ended up winning the first game of the series on August 4th.
Since Boston was the team that swept Kansas City previously, and their RPI is at least .025 higher than Kansas City, the fact that Kansas City came back and won the first game vs. Boston make the series eligible for play under the v3.0 MLB system.
Therefore, on August 5th, you would put down an [A] bet for Boston to beat Kansas City. Boston ended up winning the game. At this point you've won the betting series, and there's no need to make any more wagers for either team.
IF Boston had lost to Kansas City again on August 5th, then you would need to place a [b] bet for Boston again on August 6th when they play Kansas City in the final game.
There are no possible [C] bets in this series.
OPTIONAL FILTERS:
These are the filters from the JM MLB System. They will be mentioned when they come into play but will not affect the posting of the plays. All series will be posted regardless of the filter. Morrison always sends out the plays and then pulls the filter out of his ass when the series loses. It will be your choice on whether or not to play the series. These are filters that were added over the course of time to eliminate losses from the record. We will not use them for the posted MLB Sweep System but just mention them because they are a part of JM's system.
- Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series.
- Top 3 rpi filter- If the team you are betting against is rated top 3 in the rpi then you should pass on this series.
- Worst road team filter- If the team you are betting on is a road team and in the bottom 10% of of losing road teams then you should pass on the series. Effectively he is saying the bottom 3 road teams. If they are the home team then it is okay to bet on them.
- Alternate Run Line Rule- If the team you are betting on is favored by up to -115 odds then you should buy the +1.5 alternate run line.
- (D) bet rule- If the series is a 4 game set he now says not to play the (D) bet or 4th game.
- The rpi drop- This is not a rule or a filter but Morrison has used it in the past to erase losses from his record. The rule is if a team you are betting on drops below the recommended .015 rpi during the course of the series then you should pass on the series. Vintage JM B.S. When you start a series just take note of how close the rpi is and decide for yourself whether or not to play it.
We can reference this post to those who keep asking for the rules.
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betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#8
MLB Sweep System
2017 Official season series: 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Upcoming plays
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#9
Upcoming plays
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians
Comment
Hothands12
SBR Rookie
06-07-16
6
#10
Is everyone here planning on using v2 and v3 or do we think its too risky considering the sample size?
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TwoCats
SBR High Roller
07-14-12
229
#11
Originally posted by Hothands12
Is everyone here planning on using v2 and v3 or do we think its too risky considering the sample size?
I avoid v3 completely and the few times that I bet on v2, I stick to the ordinary amounts (not double-ups). I do not think that it is worth the risk.
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#12
Upcoming plays
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#13
First System Play starts on Tuesday!
Upcoming plays
4/18 Philadelphia Phillies vs Mets
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/19 Tampa Bay Rays vs Yankees 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians
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HoleCamels
SBR Hustler
09-23-16
92
#14
Why would you want to chase a team that has got swept by the same team in their previous matchup? Never made sense to me
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edh1011
SBR Wise Guy
08-02-09
907
#15
Most of the time the team that got swept will win at least once in the next meeting. But every season there's at least one that will lose 6 straight. That's why money management is the key like with any system. Doubling up on every loss will eventually hurt you.
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thomaschau
SBR MVP
05-31-10
2420
#16
i dont want to chase any lost, always end up lost big. Win less but lost more. This system used to work well not any more
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Fadethepublic12
SBR Rookie
03-27-17
40
#17
Originally posted by thomaschau
i dont want to chase any lost, always end up lost big. Win less but lost more. This system used to work well not any more
Are we doubting this system? Numbers from last year look great For the official version 40-1. Yes one loss counts as prob 9 or 10 units. But that's still 40-9. Even if you lose 3 series this year which is unlikely that's 40-27. I'd say the official version is what we need to stick with the others are unproven and risky
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alexknyc
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
861
#18
Originally posted by Fadethepublic12
Are we doubting this system? Numbers from last year look great For the official version 40-1. Yes one loss counts as prob 9 or 10 units. But that's still 40-9. Even if you lose 3 series this year which is unlikely that's 40-27. I'd say the official version is what we need to stick with the others are unproven and risky
Losing ABC at -110 is 8.26 units. Most of our bets are not -110.
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Fadethepublic12
SBR Rookie
03-27-17
40
#19
Originally posted by alexknyc
Losing ABC at -110 is 8.26 units. Most of our bets are not -110.
yeah that's why I was saying you could add another unit or two to that
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alexknyc
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
861
#20
Originally posted by Fadethepublic12
yeah that's why I was saying you could add another unit or two to that
Probably even more than that. Most of the bets we'll make are RL bets, at significantly higher numbers than -110.
Three losses can kill a season. Tread carefully.
Comment
Fadethepublic12
SBR Rookie
03-27-17
40
#21
Originally posted by alexknyc
Probably even more than that. Most of the bets we'll make are RL bets, at significantly higher numbers than -110.
Three losses can kill a season. Tread carefully.
I know money management should be key and anything's possible but I would think 3 losses would most likely be worst case and prob very unlikely. Opinions? Just trying to get others opinions before this starts up
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Tbux
SBR Rookie
04-15-10
4
#22
Anyone keeping up with the Demolisher system around here?
Comment
Fadethepublic12
SBR Rookie
03-27-17
40
#23
Trying to figure out the rpi thing. The Phillies are a play today unless the rpi dosent qualify. Phils is .467 and the mets is .492
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betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#24
As you stated, Phillies are .467, and Mets are .492. The difference is .025. Phillies would need to have an RPI of .477 or higher to qualify as an official play. I understand that the wording of the rules may seem difficult to understand (I've had to re-read them many times), but after reviewing the plays of 2016, I believe the Phillies are an unofficial play.
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#25
MLB Sweep System
2017 Official season series: 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
PLAYS
UNOFFICIAL
4/18 Philadelphia Phillies (.467) vs Mets (.492)
UPCOMING PLAYS 4/24 Chicago Cubs vs Pirates
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/19 Tampa Bay Rays vs Yankees 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/15 Los Angeles Angles vs Royals 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians 6/27 San Diego Padres vs Braves
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TwoCats
SBR High Roller
07-14-12
229
#26
Does anybody know why, when using Google Chrome, when trying to give points, the points box just comes up as a grey box with nothing in it and no way of entering the number of points?
No problem using Firefox - only seen the problem with Chrome.
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#27
MLB Sweep System
2017 Official season series: 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
PLAYS
UNOFFICIAL
4/18 Philadelphia Phillies (.467, AWAY) vs Mets (.492, HOME) Bet A Won! 6-2
UPCOMING PLAYS 4/24 Chicago Cubs vs Pirates 4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/19 Tampa Bay Rays vs Yankees 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/15 Los Angeles Angles vs Royals 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians 6/27 San Diego Padres vs Braves
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brian311
SBR MVP
12-05-15
2700
#28
5/5 Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners
Comment
betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#29
MLB Sweep System
2017 Official season series: 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
PLAYS
OFFICIAL
4/24 Chicago Cubs (.514, AWAY) vs Pirates(.495, HOME) Bet A
UPCOMING PLAYS 4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 4/28 New York Mets vs Nationals 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/5 Texas Rangers vs Mariners 5/19 Tampa Bay Rays vs Yankees 5/19 Atlanta Braves vs Nationals 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/5 Atlanta Braves vs Phillies 6/15 San Francisco Giants vs Rockies 6/15 Los Angeles Angles vs Royals 6/15 Detroit Tigers vs Rays 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians 6/27 San Diego Padres vs Braves 7/14 Kansas City Royals vs Rangers
Comment
brian311
SBR MVP
12-05-15
2700
#30
6/23 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cardinals
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success27
SBR Wise Guy
11-21-13
918
#31
Easy win to start off the official bets!
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betwithdaniel
SBR Wise Guy
07-27-16
956
#32
MLB Sweep System
2017 Official season series: 1-0
(A) 1-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
PLAYS
OFFICIAL
4/24 Chicago Cubs (.514, AWAY) vs Pirates (.495, HOME) Bet A Won! 14-3
UPCOMING PLAYS
4/28 Kansas City Royals vs Twins 4/28 New York Mets vs Nationals 5/1 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Reds 5/2 Seattle Mariners vs Angels 5/5 Texas Rangers vs Mariners 5/19 Tampa Bay Rays vs Yankees 5/19 Atlanta Braves vs Nationals 5/22 Atlanta Braves vs Pirates 6/5 Atlanta Braves vs Phillies 6/15 San Francisco Giants vs Rockies 6/15 Los Angeles Angles vs Royals 6/15 Detroit Tigers vs Rays 6/23 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cardinals 6/26 Texas Rangers vs Indians 6/27 San Diego Padres vs Braves 7/14 Kansas City Royals vs Rangers