DFoster Wednesday Picks/Leans, 147-121-3, +48.73 units

SlicWilly3 · 05-20-09, 10:30 AM

Love this play too Foster..... Love Cincy -1 1/2 +155 even more as Harang is always a better pitcher at home, and Moyer has been throwing BP his last 3 starts.

Moyers last 3 starts 13.87 ERA and a Whip of 2.35......

DFoster · 05-20-09, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by SlicWilly3

Love this play too Foster..... Love Cincy -1 1/2 +155 even more as Harang is always a better pitcher at home, and Moyer has been throwing BP his last 3 starts.

Moyers last 3 starts 13.87 ERA and a Whip of 2.35......

I may make a small play on that as well. Moyer has been putting it on a tee.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 10:47 AM

keep em comin we need to make up for last nite jk lol

SlicWilly3 · 05-20-09, 10:56 AM

I actually just got Cincy at -1 1/2 +165....

Also played:

Cubs +110
Det/Tex UNDER 5 (1st 5 innings) -120
Colorado +139
Colo/Atl UNDER 4 (1st 5) Ev
Milw/Houst UNDER 4 (1st 5) -110

And I just need the Cavs at -7 1/2 (-140) to hit a huge parlay from yesterday.....

Good luck today fella's

DMB40 · 05-20-09, 10:57 AM

wow I have cin/phi over 10.5 -102 or
over 9.5 -150.

you get some great lines there.

Did you play this overnight?

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by DMB40

wow I have cin/phi over 10.5 -102 or
over 9.5 -150.

you get some great lines there.

Did you play this overnight?

I played on matchbook earlier this morning...its at -135 right now at 9.5 but they pushed the line to 10 at -114 currently. Some huge line movement in the last 2+ hours.

DMB40 · 05-20-09, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by DFoster

I played on matchbook earlier this morning...its at -135 right now at 9.5 but they pushed the line to 10 at -114 currently. Some huge line movement in the last 2+ hours.

Do you look at line movement when you make your picks or its not that important to you.

I have been tailing you for awhile now and love the picks.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 11:05 AM

yea im in at 10

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:06 AM

TEX Rangers @ DET Tigers
Harrison vs Verlander
TEX/DET under 9 -109 --- 2 units

Harrison has been very solid in his last 3 outings and Verlander has dominated. The Rangers are hitting just .225 in their last 5 games against right handers and .212 total. The Tigers are hitting everyone well but with Harrison throwing well, I don't see the Tigers putting up a huge amount of runs. The wind in Detroit is currently blowing in around 14 MPH with low humidity...things that don't necessarily affect my total decisions but make me feel better about them nonetheless.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 11:06 AM

and it just moved to 10.5

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by DMB40

Do you look at line movement when you make your picks or its not that important to you.

I have been tailing you for awhile now and love the picks.

I'm starting to look at it more. I used to not look at it really at all but I'm starting to give it more credence. It could mean the difference of a play or no play on something I like but don't feel great about.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 11:09 AM

im in... I was thinkin, usually a terrile idea, that i like verlander and the run line

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 11:11 AM

whatcha think

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:14 AM

Originally posted by kotzwell88

im in... I was thinkin, usually a terrile idea, that i like verlander and the run line

I'm on the fence. I lean that way but the Tigers tend to keep it close when Verlander throws and I'm never a huge fan of home team run lines. Both teams are hot which makes me a little uneasy on the game. I definitely lean on Detroit but I'm not sure about risking the RL when Harrison has given up 2 ER in his last 23 innings or so.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 11:22 AM

thanks, will not take it

SlicWilly3 · 05-20-09, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by DFoster

TEX Rangers @ DET Tigers
Harrison vs Verlander
TEX/DET under 9 -109 --- 2 units

Harrison has been very solid in his last 3 outings and Verlander has dominated. The Rangers are hitting just .225 in their last 5 games against right handers and .212 total. The Tigers are hitting everyone well but with Harrison throwing well, I don't see the Tigers putting up a huge amount of runs. The wind in Detroit is currently blowing in around 14 MPH with low humidity...things that don't necessarily affect my total decisions but make me feel better about them nonetheless.

Do you ever play the 1st 5 innings Foster?? The reason why I do is you are betting on just the starting pitchers......Instead of the entire game where so often the bullpen comes in and gets knocked around.

Tex bullpen this year: 5.22 ERA 1.55 Whip
Det bullpen this year: 4.75 ERA 1.46 Whip

Not awful...but not great either....

I never use to play 5 innings until I started picking the right pitchers and/or pitchers....But then I would get burned in the 7-9th inning by a scrub out of the bullpen.

The under for the 1st 5 innings with these two is 5.... Seems like a safer play to me than the entire game.... Just wondering what your thoughts on this are

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by SlicWilly3

Do you ever play the 1st 5 innings Foster?? The reason why I do is you are betting on just the starting pitchers......Instead of the entire game where so often the bullpen comes in and gets knocked around.

Tex bullpen this year: 5.22 ERA 1.55 Whip
Det bullpen this year: 4.75 ERA 1.46 Whip

Not awful...but not great either....

I never use to play 5 innings until I started picking the right pitchers and/or pitchers....But then I would get burned in the 7-9th inning by a scrub out of the bullpen.

The under for the 1st 5 innings with these two is 5.... Seems like a safer play to me than the entire game.... Just wondering what your thoughts on this are

I actually like 5 inning unders quite a bit and love it in this case especially...however, when I went to make an under play matchbook didn't have much money on the 5 inning line. The under in the first half was something ridiculous, like -141 or something which made me go with the 9 inning under at -109. The way I look at this game...if Verlander and Harrison don't go 7 innings, either under is probably in trouble. Harrison has 2 complete games in his last 3 and Verlander is known to go deep into games. I like your 5 inning line more than my 9 right now, but not at the lines I had them at at the time.

I'm waiting on 3 different totals/5 inning lines to be taken at matchbook currently. I'm hoping at least 2 of them book. As soon as that happens, I'll make my posts. I should have a few more coming anyway.

DFoster · 05-20-09, 11:41 AM

Slicwilly, I just saw the line on the 5 inning under for DET at -124...so I'm taking it for an additional unit.

DET/TEX under 5 in 5 inn -124 --- 1 unit

DFoster · 05-20-09, 12:01 PM

NY Mets @ LA Dodgers
Hernandez vs Weaver
NYM/LAD over 5 in 5 innings -126 --- 3 units

The ump here is a huge over ump. These two pitchers aren't good and should get hit hard today. I'm going with the 5 inning line because both bullpens are solid. The trends are over for both pithers...big time. The wind is blowing out at 15 MPH. Both teams hit right handers well and that trend should continue tonight.

SlicWilly3 · 05-20-09, 12:09 PM

DFost....How does matchbook work exactly?? They seem to have the best lines, but I don't know anything about them?

Currently I have accts with Bookmaker, and BetJamaica......... But may be interested in opening am acct with matchbook......Is it that you are actually betting against another person, and not the book?? And the book just takes a little bit of juice from each person??

How easy are withdrawls from them as well?? Thanks in advance....I was going to pm you, but I figured some other people that read this thread may have interest in matchbook as well....

DFoster · 05-20-09, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by SlicWilly3

DFost....How does matchbook work exactly?? They seem to have the best lines, but I don't know anything about them?

Currently I have accts with Bookmaker, and BetJamaica......... But may be interested in opening am acct with matchbook......Is it that you are actually betting against another person, and not the book?? And the book just takes a little bit of juice from each person??

How easy are withdrawls from them as well?? Thanks in advance....I was going to pm you, but I figured some other people that read this thread may have interest in matchbook as well....

You are betting against other people. The people betting on matchbook make their lines. If I want a line, I can post it and someone has the opportunity to take it. Say the line for the BOS TT is 4 at -135 and I would take it if it were at say -123. I can post that line and if someone wants to take it, or if it works it way down to that line, it will be a booked bet. Matchbook takes a very small commission from the winning bets, not the losers. It's a great site, one that is much better than what I used previously (beted.com). The only things I don't like...no parlays, no props, etc. You can get TT's, 5 inning lines, RL, RRL, etc so it's a great place for baseball.

DFoster · 05-20-09, 12:41 PM

MIL Brewers @ HOU Astros
Gallardo vs Rodriguez
MIL/HOU under 4 in 5inn -107 --- 2.5 units

I was waiting to see if this line would drop from the -121 at matchbook and for some reason someone posted this line. I'll take it. Rodriguez has been lights out at home and I've ridden the Yovani train since game 1. This should be a low scoring game and I have no interest of risking a full game under with the Astro bullpen.

DFoster · 05-20-09, 12:45 PM

Current card:

PHI/CIN over 9.5 -118 --- 4 units
TEX/DET under 9 -109 --- 2 units
DET/TEX under 5 in 5 inn -124 --- 1 unit
NYM/LAD over 5 in 5 innings -126 --- 3 units
MIL/HOU under 4 in 5inn -107 --- 2.5 units

3 more pending for a match...

D.J. · 05-20-09, 02:35 PM

DFoster,

Do you keep a spreadsheet for umps?

DFoster · 05-20-09, 02:46 PM

"

milwaukee mike · 05-20-09, 03:21 PM

gl i actually like all of those plays, especially the under of texas/det.

DMB40 · 05-20-09, 05:17 PM

yeah that over in the phi game came down -115 now 9.5.

I get the worst PRINTS!!!!

DFoster · 05-20-09, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by DMB40

yeah that over in the phi game came down -115 now 9.5.

I get the worst PRINTS!!!!

I saw that the line has gone back down pretty significantely...I'm confused as to why though.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 05:21 PM

I don't remember you ever having a card of straight over/unders...but I wont question the genius, I'll just ask for his picks lol

DFoster · 05-20-09, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by kotzwell88

I don't remember you ever having a card of straight over/unders...but I wont question the genius, I'll just ask for his picks lol

I have thought about putting a unit on CIN but haven't. I haven't seen anything that sticks out as good value in terms of ML and RL tonight. I may do a unit on the CHC RRL since I'll be watching the game with friends and what not...and if Carp goes out early they could easily win big.

kotzwell88 · 05-20-09, 05:31 PM

Im just soooo angry with the cubs after their bats slept through last nights game

DFoster · 05-20-09, 05:41 PM

A few were just matched at matchbook, one partially:

HOU TT under 4 -131 --- 2 units
FLA/ARI over 9.5 game 2 -118 --- 1.5 units
WAS ML 1st half -123 --- .5 units

DFoster · 05-20-09, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by kotzwell88

Im just soooo angry with the cubs after their bats slept through last nights game

Yeah, tell me about it. I was VERY confident in that game. Screw Jo-EL Piniero.

DFoster · 05-20-09, 05:44 PM

Full card for tonight...

PHI/CIN over 9.5 -118 --- 4 units
TEX/DET under 9 -109 --- 2 units
DET/TEX under 5 in 5 inn -124 --- 1 unit
NYM/LAD over 5 in 5 innings -126 --- 3 units
MIL/HOU under 4 in 5inn -107 --- 2.5 units
HOU TT under 4 -131 --- 2 units
FLA/ARI over 9.5 game 2 -118 --- 1.5 units
WAS ML 1st half -123 --- .5 units