Mr. Crumbs Leans for Wednesday 5/20/09

[TodaysAction]

Sorry to sound like a newbie, but can someone point me to a link describing what a JM and "A,B,C" play is?

If you are capable of reading American English and can navigate to the baseball forum, scroll down the threads until you find something along the lines of Morrison. Your fountain of youth can be found there but
beware, the natives aren't always friendly.

[chucksmith]

No pucks tonight, chuck.

GUess I meant in game 2 of Canes/Pens. When is that, tomorrow?

[macadams]

FLA to win both games

[macadams]

And Jamie gets number 250, correction due

[CP Thrizzle]

GUess I meant in game 2 of Canes/Pens. When is that, tomorrow?

Yup.

[TodaysAction]

peterpan,

Please check the contest thread prior to evening games tonight.

TA

[showtime2000]

Hey guys, sorry for late post, no hockey tonight, wheeew! They way i picked the last 3 nights i neede a break!

Anyways plays for tonight,

KC ml
Detroit (CK)
Minnesota (CK)



GLA

[Dexter]

copied from yesterdays thread:

Wed 5/20-

cavs -9 (3x)

reds (-120 - 3x) - moyer is an autofade right now with an era/whip of 13.8/2.3 in his last 3. harang has been solid at home in 4 starts with a 2.77/1.07. last year at home vs the phils, harang went for 7ip/2er. *heavy play with amount to be determined after tonights result of phi/cin

under braves 8(Autobet - 2x) - under with both pitchers having a whip of sub 1.00 in their last 3 starts.

under tigers 9 (Autobet - 3x) - under with both pitchers having a whip of sub 1.00 in their last 3 starts.

over yanks 11 - hughes has been horrid of late (11.81/2.90 last 3) and vs the orioles (8.66/2.09) - guthrie is a decent pitcher who has been roughed up on the road (6.62/1.52) and the new yankee launching pad will not be any better for this rhp.

over rays 10 (Autobet - 2x) - over with both pitchers having a whip 1.80 or > in their last 3.

under astros 8 - both rodriguez and gallardo are completely locked in right now. wandy is always super tough at home (.67/.85 in 2009) and gallardo has a career .75/.98 vs the astros in 3 starts. classic pitchers duel.

[Dexter]

verlander is all world again.

[Dexter]

Thur:

nuggets +5.5 (3x)

[showtime2000]

Added Cleveland -6.5, bought 2 points.

[Dexter]

verlander is all world again.

everytime i open my big mouth - verlander gives up a run (no biggie) but goes for 40 pitches in the 5th, and will give us just one more inn now at 103 for the game...

[Jimbo42]

Added:

Game 2 of Double Header

Florida Marlins -120

GL

[ram1502]

Wow look at the Braves(one of the lowest scoring teams in the league) scoring 9 in the bottom of the 4th to wreck my Under.

[Dexter]

yeah, that under is over

[jellobiafra]

everytime i open my big mouth - verlander gives up a run (no biggie) but goes for 40 pitches in the 5th, and will give us just one more inn now at 103 for the game...

Dex... you were the 1st person to announce that Verlander was back about 4 or 5 starts ago. I've been riding him ever since. Good eye bro.

[Dexter]

Dex... you were the 1st person to announce that Verlander was back about 4 or 5 starts ago. I've been riding him ever since. Good eye bro.

heres the problem - hes back to being a power pitcher with tons of k's, yet his pitch counts get super high. one batter into the pen tonight, and a homerun for texas.

going 6 inn per start is not gonna cut it as an ace....he clearly needs to get that changeup going to punch people out in 4/5 pitches. he got battled a lot tonight, as guys were fouling off his 96/97....

this total is gonna be a sweat. i should think about playing the first half of games only on my autobet unders which obviously focuses on the whips of just starting pitchers, not bullpens....

[cocknocker]

F*ck Zumaya. He comes in and blows up a perfectly easy 5-2 lead. Unbelievable. I hate relievers!

[jellobiafra]

Dex-

Yeah. No brainer on the 5 inning autobets now that you mention it. I mean, it's purely based on the PP of the starters.

Hey do me a favor and take a peek at Medlen tomorrow night for ATL. Will be interested in your observations. Thanks.

[TodaysAction]

CK,

You hit the under first half of the TX/DET game?

[jasonjep]

Hi guys, since i dont know nothing about baseball i hope you explain something to me?
Why is that many times a starting pitcher is pitching well and allows maybe 1-2 runs and then in the final 2-3 innings they just put some mug out there who usually allows many runs,and usually fecks up my unders.
Why cant the starting pitcher pitch the whole game??
I live in Finland and we dont even have this sport in here so i am totally clueles about this thing.

[Dexter]

ahh - look at the yankee game fly over late, and the under holds on in motown!

[Dexter]

Hi guys, since i dont know nothing about baseball i hope you explain something to me?
Why is that many times a starting pitcher is pitching well and allows maybe 1-2 runs and then in the final 2-3 innings they just put some mug out there who usually allows many runs,and usually fecks up my unders.
Why cant the starting pitcher pitch the whole game??
I live in Finland and we dont even have this sport in here so i am totally clueles about this thing.

starting pitchers are usually on pitch counts of 100 to 120 pitches (depending on the guy)...then managers are forced to go to the bullpen, and most bullpens are not that good except for the closer (9th inn guy).

baseball is very watered down, as there are way too many teams - thus you have guys pitching in relief that should be working at red lobster.

[Dexter]

F*ck Zumaya. He comes in and blows up a perfectly easy 5-2 lead. Unbelievable. I hate relievers!

where the hell have you been? taking care of styles and ck jr?

[Dexter]

moooooooooooooooooooooo williams!!!!!!!!!!!!

[cocknocker]

where the hell have you been? taking care of styles and ck jr?

Doing too many things today. But not enough for Liriano's latest implosion. It's time for AAA aain fo him

[jasonjep]

starting pitchers are usually on pitch counts of 100 to 120 pitches (depending on the guy)...then managers are forced to go to the bullpen, and most bullpens are not that good except for the closer (9th inn guy).

baseball is very watered down, as there are way too many teams - thus you have guys pitching in relief that should be working at red lobster.

Thank you for the info! I appreciate it

[Dexter]

Dex-

Yeah. No brainer on the 5 inning autobets now that you mention it. I mean, it's purely based on the PP of the starters.

Hey do me a favor and take a peek at Medlen tomorrow night for ATL. Will be interested in your observations. Thanks.

ok....doing my research now for tomorrow card. i hope my autobets dont produce too many games. i really wanna just unload on 1 big game since im playing with house money this week.

[TheLemonDropKid]

ok....doing my research now for tomorrow card. i hope my autobets dont produce too many games. i really wanna just unload on 1 big game since im playing with house money this week.

I agree with you and Jello bro.....if your research is based on the starting pitchers whip, etc, it seems like the 1st 5 is definitely the way to go. I think I might tail you tomorrow based on your new findings......muhahahaha...

[jellobiafra]

ok....doing my research now for tomorrow card. i hope my autobets dont produce too many games. i really wanna just unload on 1 big game since im playing with house money this week.

Not recommending a play either way on that one. I don't like betting on or against an unknown quantity. Just interested in your observations if you get a chance to watch him pitch.

I've actually never seen the kid throw. Have just read reports that he has really clean mechanics, sits in the low 90's and has 3 plus pitches that he can control. He's only about 5'9, 180 lbs.

[TheLemonDropKid]

Tailing my boy T.A. on a late night game tonight.......

I'm going into the Spanish confessional to say some Hail Marys.

[TheLemonDropKid]

Every time I watch Ilgauskas touch the ball I cringe.....he looks like a fish out of water........same with Walton, Jr. for the Lakers. I don't really understand how these goofy white boys got in the NBA....well, I know how Walton, Jr. did.

[Dexter]

Thur-

orioles (RL) (Autobet) - playing the underdog getting 1.5 runs and getting + money on the associated moneyline. as noted, i will actually even make this play up to balt -110.

royals (RL - 5x) - zack greinke is clearly the hottest pitcher in the game and faces an indian team that is slumping badly right now. pavano is on the bump for cleav, and he has been awful on the road with a 6.03/1.40 era/whip and got hit for 4er in 6ip at kc last year. greinke took care of cleav once already this year, and i expect another dominant performance. what i really like about this play is the fact that the royals have won all 7 of greinkes starts by 2+ runs per game. the avg margin of victory in his wins are 4 runs per game.

giants (ML) - lincecum got roughed up earlier in the year at sd, but i'll back the all world ace to make the proper adjustment vs a team that he still has a career 1.45 era vs...the giants are 7-2 in his starts vs sd. this is still one of the worst offenses in baseball.

[Jimbo42]

Tailing my boy T.A. on a late night game tonight.......

I'm going into the Spanish confessional to say some Hail Marys.

T.A. Run sir... like the wind... to the hills and don't look back!....

[Dexter]

good eye jello - this kid has some very impressive numbers in the minors. he really has made a leap forward this year in triple a. was a former 10th round pick, so was never a super prospect, but that doesnt mean anything. i found a real nice scouting report on him - Thx....gonna go add him to my fantasy team

http://www.baseball-intellect.com/scouting-kris-medlen/