dan's thread

[danrman]

i put a little extra on sf and rl.. mets beat sf ace.. time to beat the mets ace.. mets have beaten them 7 in a row... i got the brass balls and i say it ends here

[G's pks]

have you ever refreshed your lines at your book,placed your bet and then they changed the lines on you.. well that happened to me early this morning when hardly anybody at all could be betting and i doubt the lines were moving.. i mean 4:30 in the morning theres a line movement.. i dont know but anyway i put my bet in and then they jab me for any extra few points as tor went from-118 to -123.. did anyone see that movement and then back to 118 minutes later.. anyway when i see that happen i think they have good info on which games they are guarding against and i increased my tor bet from medium to large.. im not going to change it in my documented plays cause thats not fair.. i just got back from shopping w/ the chick and this is as soon as i could blog about it.. i can see the lines changing at normal hours and before games as it always does but changinging and then changing right back in the middle of the night.. cmon man...

Yes...you get a warning message in red...right...and the line never moves in your favor! Happened to me today on my only pick...but it was a small bet so I sent through...and later won.

[danrman]

yeah and if they give you a better price dont bet it has been my experiance... bunch a fukin crooks.. oh well what we would expect...

[danrman]

nascar race driver matchups picks:
taking mark martin over jeff gordon
kyle busch over jimmie johnson
kevin harvick over jeff burton

[danrman]

fla... small op

[danrman]

scratching fla

[danrman]

ariz-small
pitt-large
lad-medium
wash-small

[danrman]

small parlay on oak-balt


check back for west coast games if ya like.. i have 1 large so far

[shoebox]

rough stretch, im sure youll bounce back.. how many units you put on the reverse parlay???

Just take all your losses and slam colorado tonite and you should be ok.....nevermind your on pitt so im against ya

[danrman]

depends on the prices,how hot and cold i am and if the dogs or favs are hitting

[danrman]

large-sd
reverse of cinn,cinn-over 7 and seattle
and cinn-seattle

[danrman]

sat. nights alright alright!!!.. nothing better than hitting 5 big bets... pitt and sd come through but its the streak im on in driver matchups in nascar thats truly freaky.. 17 out of 21 this year and hit all 3 tonight documented in the thread.. in a sport i never ever thought i'd place a bet on i cash bigtime.. used to i thought you had to bet on the winner but then i found out you could bet on one driver to beat another and man have i been successfull at this going on 3 years now.. put some money on a car and watch the race.. its quite a RUSH!!!... but dont be dumb.. dont bet on somebody to win.. thats a fools bet... learn the art of the driver matchup.. anywho i made a typo in the thread on 1 of my bets... i said fla and then i said scratch the bet cause i wasnt sure if i was gonna go small or medium depending on the line and i also was gonna wait and bet it w/ my other 3 bets in the group that was listed.. anyway when i wrote the group (there were 4 in that group,you can check it in the thread) down i wrote lad which is my obreviation for the dodgers of course and that was incorrect.. if you look at the group i was taking all the unpopularly bet on teams and the dodgers dont fit that model.. if you think im full of shit be my guest... im suprised i havent already done it before in writing all these damn bets down.. anyway below is how the day shook out.. were way ahead for the week and tonight had alot to do w/ it as we had been in a rough patch especially w/ small bets (which can accumilate on your ass) but we went large on the 2 plays in baseball and 3 driver matchups and BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE!!!!

[danrman]

the winners were:
tor-medium.. it was -116
ariz-small.. it was +107
fla-medium.. it was -119
pitt-large-it was +104 and another bet when i saw it go to +101
sd-large-it was +130.. love that
mark martin over jeff gordon-large-even money
kyle busch over jimmie johnson-large+115
kevin harvick over jeff burton-large-even money

the loooooooooooooooserzzzzzzzzzzz:
st. louis-small
minn-small
sf-medium
sf-rl-medium
cleve-medium
wash-small

[danrman]

totals to this point documented:
large or big... 10-2
medium... 3-7
small or supersmall opinion plays... 11-17
i never bet on a fav. over 130 and thats a rarity.. 90% of these are even money or dogs the highest being carolina +175 which was in the small categorie so the below .500 record in the medium and small categorie arent quite as bad as they look... the main thing is hitting your big plays and that went 83% documented to this point.. some parlays hit and some havent.. some reverse parlays have hit and some havent but im not including them in this analysis.. if i list them you can take notice... it all depends on ones syle of betting whether they want to do that or not.. im just going to keep this straight up record in these 3 categories in an effort to not clutter it up and keep it simple and easy to manage.. this is beginning to be a pain in the ass.. i dont know how much longer i want to do this... does anybody but me even really give a fuk... peace

[danrman]

going supersmall just opinion plays cause im concentrating on hockey and basketball... so my supersmall opinion plays are:
cws and on the rl
houston and on the rl
st. louis and over
wash

[danrman]

adding the angels supersmall

[showtime2000]

Puck play for today,

Chicago +165 (fading Detroit after a very hard fought 7 games against Anaheim. Look for the young guns on Chicago firing today)




GLA



Danrman, awesome hits on your big plays, well done!

[danrman]

well if showtime says play chi. we are adding it to the plays... im chosing small but his plays on hockey are really worth more than that.. true that

[danrman]

going w/ some more supersmall dogs in cinn. and seattle

[danrman]

so far: winners:
houston..+216
houston on rl.. -115
st. louis game over-even
seattle.. +128
sf game under
sf-under parlay
orlando ml

loserzzzzzzz:
cws
cws rl
wash
st.louis
la angels
cinn
chicago-hockey tailing showtime

final tally ended up about +9 1/2 units to -7 units or a little under + 2 1/2 w/ the parlay but parlays are not counted in my running total of picks although they are listed

[danrman]

for tonight im goin small on under for the mets game and im doing a very small parlay on sf-under.. hopefully the mets will be looking forward toward the dodger series and bored w/ beating sf for an 8th time in a row.. i'll mostly be watching gm. 7.. go orlando!!!!

[danrman]

what a great way to finish up the week hitting the under for the mets game,hitting the parlay and the bet on orlando.. a great finish to a great week...

[danrman]

catch toronto looking ahead to the trip to boston for a big series.. they will be swinging quick ready to get the hell out of dodge and for the cws its a big game cause they cant remember the last time they won.. 1 team cares about this game and the other doesnt.. if cws were hitting better it would be a big play but do to their lameness i can only say play it somewhere in between small and medium.. i havent decided yet myself and i got to hit the sack... noon start time for this one and a nice price for a dog at this point im seeing +154

[TheLemonDropKid]

for tonight im goin small on under for the mets game and im doing a very small parlay on sf-under.. hopefully the mets will be looking forward toward the dodger series and bored w/ beating sf for an 8th time in a row.. i'll mostly be watching gm. 7.. go orlando!!!!

Damn man...........I should have been tailin' your ass on those picks.....I needed it bad!!

[showtime2000]

Puck play tonight,

Car/Pit over 5.5



GLA

[danrman]

medium-carolina hurricanes
small-ariz
small-minn
small-oak
small-colo
reverse-wash-fla-atl

[danrman]

adding small over 5 1/2 pitt/carol tailing showtime

[danrman]

also adding fla/ariz over 8

[danrman]

adding milwaukee brews small

[danrman]

seattle-large
nym-med
parlay nym-seattle

[showtime2000]

The over almost hit, some miraclous saves held it to the under. Don't expect Fleury to play that good next game!

[showtime2000]

Let's go Seattle!!!!!!!!

[danrman]

you know your having a bad day when the player of the team you bet on doesnt touch the 3rd base bag going into score for the go ahead run in the 10th... mom said there be days likes these.. oh well we'll get em tomorry
winners:
colo-small at +175
mil-small at +116

losers:
seattle-large
mets-medium
carolina-medium
over 5 1/2 hockey-small
oak-small
minn-small
cws-small

[danrman]

picks coming up shortly

[danrman]

large on the cards
smalls on:
tex
colo
cleve
minn
medium ariz
balt
balt rl
oak
tor
cinn
medium houston