We've already seen it in basketball and football. Now baseball, with all of its advanced stat garbage, has been swallowed whole, and oddsmakers have completely and blindly tailed.
This Yankees/Rangers game tonight is a perfect example, and more specifically, Tanaka. I don't mean to pick on LT, but I saw him defending Tanaka in his thread earlier, citing both surface and advanced stats to justify arguably the worst line I've ever seen for a baseball game. I've actually WATCHED Tanaka pitch in three of his last four starts. Something is clearly not right with him. He's been dodging bullets for weeks now. Yet if you stare at a stat sheet -- LT already says he never watches games -- and nothing else, you'd have no idea.
Vegas has gone from making honest, legitimate lines based on both numbers and human knowledge/error, to buying into horseshit systems that spew out nonsense like what's been going on with the Rangers lately. This team is absolutely gang-raping the books, yet has their been any adjustment from oddsmakers? Hell no. The +170 line tonight is a perfect example of both how infatuated they've become with advanced stats, and how unwilling they are to move beyond what a computer tells them.
As a result:
Major League Baseball Money Statistics
It is, quite literally, insane.
This Yankees/Rangers game tonight is a perfect example, and more specifically, Tanaka. I don't mean to pick on LT, but I saw him defending Tanaka in his thread earlier, citing both surface and advanced stats to justify arguably the worst line I've ever seen for a baseball game. I've actually WATCHED Tanaka pitch in three of his last four starts. Something is clearly not right with him. He's been dodging bullets for weeks now. Yet if you stare at a stat sheet -- LT already says he never watches games -- and nothing else, you'd have no idea.
Vegas has gone from making honest, legitimate lines based on both numbers and human knowledge/error, to buying into horseshit systems that spew out nonsense like what's been going on with the Rangers lately. This team is absolutely gang-raping the books, yet has their been any adjustment from oddsmakers? Hell no. The +170 line tonight is a perfect example of both how infatuated they've become with advanced stats, and how unwilling they are to move beyond what a computer tells them.
As a result:
Major League Baseball Money Statistics
Team | Record | Pct. | Money | Home | Home $ | Road | Road $ | RL | RL $ | O-U | |
1 | Texas | 51-27 | 0.654 | 3110 | 28-12 | 1662 | 23-15 | 1448 | 51-27 | 2307 | 40-34 |
2 | Baltimore | 47-30 | 0.610 | 1686 | 31-13 | 1540 | 16-17 | 146 | 46-31 | 1694 | 39-35 |
3 | San Francisco | 49-30 | 0.620 | 1369 | 24-16 | 310 | 25-14 | 1059 | 39-40 | -87 | 40-38 |
4 | Cleveland | 46-30 | 0.605 | 1033 | 23-12 | 709 | 23-18 | 324 | 41-35 | 1068 | 39-31 |
5 | Chi. Cubs | 51-26 | 0.662 | 615 | 25-11 | 171 | 26-15 | 444 | 44-33 | 1277 | 39-35 |
It is, quite literally, insane.