MLB - Wednesday, 5/18/16

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Wednesday So Far

Rays +118 (Heritage)


YTD: 117-115-5, +10.28


More Coming, I have only looked at Money Lines so far.

[Conqueror]

When you post only one play, we always know there's more coming (lol).
Thanks for all you do here!

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays

4 MLB Plays Wednesday

Braves / Pirates UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
Mariners / Orioles OVER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Rays +118 (Heritage)
Red Sox / Royals UNDER 7 +100 (Game #2) (Heritage)

[44 Mag]

How can you bet game #2 when game #1 hasn't even been played ???? Injuries, line up changes etc. Never mind changes, they might just start the bench players, never understood this.

[LT Profits]

How can you bet game #2 when game #1 hasn't even been played ???? Injuries, line up changes etc. Never mind changes, they might just start the bench players, never understood this.

No different than betting any other game very early while some value is there. There are always lineup risks, comes with the territory for the early birds.

[Jayvegas420]

I prefer the pithing match up in the 2nd game as well.
GL LT

[44 Mag]

No different than betting any other game very early while some value is there. There are always lineup risks, comes with the territory for the early birds.

GL to you, still makes no sense to me. Guess that's why you are a professional.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Lt they just took the royals game 2 off the board do u know why??

[LT Profits]

Lt they just took the royals game 2 off the board do u know why??

What book?

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Hrwager

[RavensFan2k3]

Do we like Boston winning game two?

[PorkChop]

Lt they just took the royals game 2 off the board do u know why??

05/17/16 07:38:01pm	-145	+135
05/17/16 07:38:01pm	7

[LT Profits]

Do we like Boston winning game two?

Yeah, 60%ers coming up.

[RavensFan2k3]

Yeah, 60%ers coming up.

Cool, no problem. Tampa for the sweep!

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Detroit 60% (-150)
Oakland 61% (-156)
Pittsburgh 61% (-156)
Cubs 60% (-150)
St. Louis 62% (-163)
Boston 61% (-156) (Game #2)

[LT Profits]

Hrwager

I see it on the Live Lines right now without logging in, can't say if page is stale as I do not have an account there.

[juicername]

What do you get for Giants/Padres if you don't mind me asking? Thanks.

[RollinDo]

How can you bet game #2 when game #1 hasn't even been played ???? Injuries, line up changes etc. Never mind changes, they might just start the bench players, never understood this.

Yeah, I'm with ya here Mag...a lot depends on what happens in Gm 1...if it's a low score in Gm 1, probably the opposite in Gm 2 and vice-versa...maybe it's a bit different with totals, but I sure wouldn't bet a side for a Gm 2, as Gm 1 is a good indicator of who has a little better likelihood in Gm 2.

[PorkChop]

Just read Kansas City is 5-0 in their last 5, of the first game in double-headers.

[LT Profits]

Yeah, I'm with ya here Mag...a lot depends on what happens in Gm 1...if it's a low score in Gm 1, probably the opposite in Gm 2 and vice-versa...maybe it's a bit different with totals, but I sure wouldn't bet a side for a Gm 2, as Gm 1 is a good indicator of who has a little better likelihood in Gm 2.

I disagree with this whole post, each game is its own entity and should be capped on its own merits. I have said several times that "streaks" do not really exist in terms of handicapping, expect for sometimes giving value to the opposite side of the streak.

[7777KaL]

GL to you, still makes no sense to me. Guess that's why you are a professional.

C'mon my boy, don't blow up his head even more now. Yes, he believes he is a professional but, in reality All he is, is actually a fake. This guy says he bets on all these games but their is never any proof. I can pay the fee also at SBR and become a "PRO". Being a pro doesn't mean you have to bet on every game, what it actually means is that you wager on two three good games a day and make money off that..what this guy does is called GREEDYNESS wants to become a millionaire with one shot.

[funnyb25]

C'mon my boy, don't blow up his head even more now. Yes, he believes he is a professional but, in reality All he is, is actually a fake. This guy says he bets on all these games but their is never any proof. I can pay the fee also at SBR and become a "PRO". Being a pro doesn't mean you have to bet on every game, what it actually means is that you wager on two three good games a day and make money off that..what this guy does is called GREEDYNESS wants to become a millionaire with one shot.

So he sucks for betting on all these games but trying to be a millionaire in 1 shot? This might be the worst post of the month

[LT Profits]

C'mon my boy, don't blow up his head even more now. Yes, he believes he is a professional but, in reality All he is, is actually a fake. This guy says he bets on all these games but their is never any proof. I can pay the fee also at SBR and become a "PRO". Being a pro doesn't mean you have to bet on every game, what it actually means is that you wager on two three good games a day and make money off that..what this guy does is called GREEDYNESS wants to become a millionaire with one shot.

Dead wrong, I bet 2.5% of Bankroll on 99% of the plays, hardly "greed" or a "get rich quick" scheme. If the plays are truly +EV, then high volume is good and it also leads to less variance. But it is still a grind, +30-unit weeks are an anomaly and not the rule.

[RavensFan2k3]

Hey LT, you don't think BlueJays avoid the sweep here?

[LT Profits]

So he sucks for betting on all these games but trying to be a millionaire in 1 shot? This might be the worst post of the month

Again, that is not the case at all, I bet every single day of my life so I cannot afford to bet a larger % of BR per play where a bad day would be more devastating.

[LT Profits]

Hey LT, you don't think BlueJays avoid the sweep here?

Obviously not.

[funnyb25]

Again, that is not the case at all, I bet every single day of my life so I cannot afford to bet a larger % of BR per play where a bad day would be more devastating.

Lol, I was referring to 777kals post buddy...he makes no sense...read it again

[RavensFan2k3]

Obviously not.

Lmao!!! I guess what I meant was why not, silly question I guess LOL

[LT Profits]

What do you get for Giants/Padres if you don't mind me asking? Thanks.

San Francisco 58% (-138).

I am considering adding the Under as I get 5.6.

[LT Profits]

Lmao!!! I guess what I meant was why not, silly question I guess LOL

Mainly because Odorizzi grades out much better than Dickey. Model has this game dead even at 50% both sides.

[juicername]

San Francisco 58% (-138).

I am considering adding the Under as I get 5.6.

Thanks. Under, really? I would think that Pomeranz has overachieved big time so far but maybe he's a better pitcher than I give him credit for.

[LT Profits]

Thanks. Under, really? I would think that Pomeranz has overachieved big time so far but maybe he's a better pitcher than I give him credit for.

Overachieving yeah, but he is still very solid with a 2.63 FIP and 3.41 xFIP. I also think Pomeranz was underrated to begin the year and am not surprised to see him doing well now that he finally has a steady rotation spot. He still needs to cut down his walks though, but once he escaped from Colorado, he had a 3.77 FIP and 3.65 xFIP in 2014 and 3.62 FIP and 3.89 xFIP last year while with Oakland.

[GreatWallofTrump]

San Diego is going to blow up the Giants. I say this because I am on the Giants. That's how it works.

[kobi_j]

LT what are your thoughts on Balt/sea under? Both pitchers seems to be playing well

[homerbush]

Overachieving yeah, but he is still very solid with a 2.63 FIP and 3.41 xFIP. I also think Pomeranz was underrated to begin the year and am not surprised to see him doing well now that he finally has a steady rotation spot. He still needs to cut down his walks though, but once he escaped from Colorado, he had a 3.77 FIP and 3.65 xFIP in 2014 and 3.62 FIP and 3.89 xFIP last year while with Oakland.

Pomeranz always had the talent and has looked great since leaving Colorado and really had some periods at Colorado weren't terrible but I am still on this over. Rare my capping differs this much from LT. Good luck though.