2016 SDQL Plays

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 2-5 - 3.15 units
Season to date: 363-327-12 + 20.56

Winners: Yankee under and Dbacks under

Losers: Rockies over, Dbacks, Brewers, Astros Over and Rangers under

[Alex Vaile]

Wednesday:

Play Under 9 + 103 Brewers vs Pirates

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

ROI 25% 660 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 10.5 + 108 Giants vs Red Sox

team=Red Sox and LGS and STDSERA<o:STDSERA and season >=2015

Sox 18/5 o/u in this spot

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 13 % 200 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Pirates - 156

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 24% 220 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Blue Jays - 160
Play Blue Jays RL + 105

team = Blue Jays and SG > 1 and p:HR > po:HR and p:SRA<4 and p:line<=-125 and line<-120 and date >= 20150729

Jays 22-1 SU 21-2 RL

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 200 game sample

[thekoreanmang]

Do you ever think about fading your own SDQL formulas for a little while or is that just not smart to do?

[Alex Vaile]

Do you ever think about fading your own SDQL formulas for a little while or is that just not smart to do?

No buddy I wouldn't do that. You just play em or not. Up to you. I am confident it'll turn around.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles + 149

AD and (SG = 1 or SG = 3) and playoffs = 0 and streak > -4 and -8 < o:streak < 6 and -7 < p:margin < 10 and -10 < op:margin < 9 and p:runs < 13 and op:runs != 0 and p:hits > 1 and 3 < op:hits < 15 and op:doubles < 6 and p:triples < 3 and op:triples < 2 and p:SO > 3 and 2 < op:SO < 17 and 3 < p:ground balls < 21 and 2 < op:ground balls < 24 and p:fly balls < 16 and 2 < op:fly balls < 16 and op:BPRA < 9 and 1.5 < p:SIP < 8.1 and 1.9 < op:SIP < 8.5 and 33 < p:SPT < 116 and 48 < op:SPT < 111 and op:SHF < 34 and 27 < p:batters faced < 46 and 28 < op:batters faced < 57 and p:at bats + p:walks < 48 and op:at bats + op:walks < 46 and 0 < p:TLOB < 12 and 0 < op:TLOB < 13 and (14 > site streak > 5 or -1 > site streak > -12) and (1 < o:site streak < 10 or -11 < o:site streak < -5) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:RMAX < 8 and op:R1 < 5 and op:R2 < 4 and op:R3 < 3 and p:errors < 3 and op:errors < 4 and os:SHA < 12 and os:SRA < 7 and 0 < os:SWA < 5 and s:SPT > 83 and starter rest < 12 and s:SIP > 4.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SSO < 10 and op:BL < 8 and 2 < p:PU < 7 and -39 < tS(margin, N=10) - oS(margin, N=10) < 32 and oS(HR, N=10) > 4 and 3 < tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and oS(doubles, N=10) < 29 and tS(hits, N=10) > 63 and 65 < oS(hits, N=10) < 105 and line < 225 and day != Sunday and oss:SHA < 11 and oss:SHRA < 3 and game number > 24 and tS(margin, N=20) - oS(margin, N=20) < 43 and tS(hits, N=20) - oS(hits, N=20) < 27

ROI 41% 540 games

[thekoreanmang]

Started off on the right foot. 2-0 on the TOR ML and RL plays. Let's go!

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 3-3 - .43 units
Season to date: 366-330-12 + 20.13 units

Winners: Jays ML and RL and Giants over

Losers: Pirates and under, Orioles

[Alex Vaile]

Thursday:

Play Rays + 110
Play Rays RL -185



team = Athletics and H and p:HD and p:TLOB < 5
and date >= 20130518

As 0-17 SU and RL in this spot

And

team = Rays and AD and po:SO >= 10 and p:A and date >= 20140914

Rays 11-5 SU and 14-2 RL

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9 -110 Orioles vs Yankees

WP>50 and o:WP>50 and month=7 and H and season>2008

ROI 8.8% 700 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Over 7.5 + 110 Dodgers vs Nats

team = Nationals and line<=-135 and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20160424 and DAY

8-1 SU 9/0 o/u in this spot in day games

And

team = Nationals and line<=-135 and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20160424

15-3 SU 17/1 o/u in this spot this season

And

team = Dodgers and AD and s:SIP < 4 and date >= 20091019

Dodgers 10/0/1 o/u off a game where their starter went less than 4 innings in last start

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9 + 102 Brewers vs Pirates

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

ROI 25%

[Alex Vaile]

Play Orioles + 104

starter= Chris Tillman and division =AL East and season=2016

17-3 in Tillman s starts this season

3-2 as AD

And

starter= Chris Tillman and o:division =AL East and season=2016

9-0 against divison

Orioles have guys back in lineup. Yanks rolling but CC stinks.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Twins + 180
Play Twins RL - 105

team = Twins and p:HR > po:HR and p:A and SG = 1 and date >= 20140805

Twins solid 11-5 SU 14-2 RL when they out Homer their previous opponent off an away game

And

team=Red Sox and H and o:team=Twins and SG=1

Red Sox 8-4 SU and 0-8 RL

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 6-2 + 4.21 units
Season to date: 372-332-12 + 24.34 units

Winners: Orioles and under, Nats over, Rays ML and RL and Pirates under

Losers: Twins ML and RL

[thekoreanmang]

Yesterday's results: 6-2 + 4.21 units
Season to date: 372-332-12 + 24.34 units

Winners: Orioles and under, Nats over, Rays ML and RL and Pirates under

Losers: Twins ML and RL

There we go! Good job!

[Alex Vaile]

Yup gotta keep it up now...

Friday:

Play Indians - 113
Play Indians RL + 140

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

And

p:RMAX > 5 and AF and month!=4 and p:A and n:series game<4 and total>7

ROI 14% ML
ROI 34% RL 220 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Astros - 145


F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

And

(s:SRA + ss:SRA)=3 and A and (month= 5 or month =7) and os:SRA<6 and oss:SRA>2 and line>-184

ROI 16% 400 game sample

And

(s:SRA + ss:SRA) = 3 and A and (month = 5 or month = 7) and os:SRA < 6 and oss:SRA > 2 and line > -184 and p:hits > 5 and pp:hits > 6 and (op:hits + opp:hits + oppp:hits) > 14

ROI 24% 240 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rays - 104

team=Athletics and F and p:SO>p:hits and date>=20150619

As 0-18 as a favorite after having more strikeouts than hits

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rockies - 159

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 24% 230 game sample

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 9% 1400 game sample

And

p:errors = 0 and op:errors = 1 and (H or SG > 1) and SG < 5 and SGS > 2 and SGS - SG < 3 and (H or day != Saturday) and ((H and -215 < line < 142) or (A and -200 < line < 175)) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:HR < 3 and p:runs > 2 and p:margin > -2 and 12 > pp:margin > -9 and streak < 5 and -7 < o:streak < 3 and p:SO < 14 and game number > 13 and -21 < tS(margin, N=10) < 29 and -30 < oS(margin, N=10) < 26 and s:SHA > 1 and s:SWA < 6 and s:SSO < 11 and s:SIP > 1.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SPT < 121 and 4 < starter rest < 17 and os:SRA < 7 and os:SWA < 6 and 20 < os:SHF < 33 and os:SIP < 8.1 and o:starter rest < 10 and op:runs < 9 and opp:runs < 13 and oppp:runs < 11 and oS(runs, N=10) > 21 and tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and tS(walks, N=10) > 16 and 42 < tS(SO, N=10) < 86 and site streak > -10 and o:site streak > -8 and op:SII < 5 and p:RMAX > 1 and oss:SHF > 13 and oss:SPT > 73 and -5 < tS(W, N=10) - oS(W, N=10) < 6 and -8 < tS(errors, N=10) - oS(errors, N=10) < 6 and opp:RMAX < 5

ROI 24% 800 game sample

And

team=Braves and 6<=po:runs and SG>1 and date>=20150819

Braves 6-28 SU in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Reds - 120

league = o:league and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and streak <= -2 and o:streak >= 1 and AWP > o:HWP and AD and season > 2010 and month > 4

ROI 27 % 50 game sample

And

(s:SRA + ss:SRA)=3 and A and (month= 5 or month =7) and os:SRA<6 and oss:SRA>2 and line>-184

ROI 16% 400 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Dodgers vs Cardinals Under 8 -110

team=Dodgers and F and p:MRI>1 and date>=20151009

Dodgers 1/23 o/u in this spot

And

WP>50 and o:WP>50 and month=7 and H and season>2008

ROI 8.8% 700 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Padres vs Nationals Over 9 -105

team = Nationals and line<=-135 and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20160424

Nats 18/1 o/u in this spot after being a 135+ fav and starter has won his last 2 starts

[thekoreanmang]

Play Astros - 145


F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

And

(s:SRA + ss:SRA)=3 and A and (month= 5 or month =7) and os:SRA<6 and oss:SRA>2 and line>-184

ROI 16% 400 game sample

And

(s:SRA + ss:SRA) = 3 and A and (month = 5 or month = 7) and os:SRA < 6 and oss:SRA > 2 and line > -184 and p:hits > 5 and pp:hits > 6 and (op:hits + opp:hits + oppp:hits) > 14

ROI 24% 240 game sample

This is the only I have to fade because of the MLB Sweeps System.

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results: 4-4 - .22 units
Season to date: 376-336-12 + 24.12 units

Winners: Dodgers under, Rockies, Reds and Astros

Losers: Rays, Indians ML and RL and Nats over

[Alex Vaile]

Saturday:

Play Blue Jays - 122

team = Blue Jays and SG > 1 and p:HR > po:HR and p:SRA<4 and p:line<=-125 and line<-120 and date >= 20150729

Jays 22-1 SU 22-2 RL in this spot

And
H and -8 > (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -14 and day != Wednesday and day != Thursday and day != Friday and 6 > s:SRA > 0 and p:hits < 13 and total > 6.5 and (1.4 > STDSWHIP>1.1 or tA(runs) > 4.8)

ROI 23% 300 game sample

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 8.7% 1400 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rangers - 113
Play Rangers vs Royals Under 8.5 + 105

team=Rangers and F and p:hits<=6 and p:L and SG<SGS and date>=20100804 and p:runs<5 and p:HR<2

Rangers 51-11 SU in this spot

And

team=Rangers and AF and p:hits<=6 and p:AL and date>=20120608

Rangers 1/17 o/u in this spot

[Alex Vaile]

Play Marlins - 148

starter = Jose Fernandez and H and s:SSO > s:SHA and date >= 20130413

Marlins 25-1 SU in this spot

And

175>=line>=125 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=.250 and os:starter era<=3.7 and o:conference=NL and Average(starter hits@starter and season)<=5.5 and 2008<=season

ROI 9.8% 450 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians + 121

starter =Josh Tomlin and AD and season=2016

Indians 5-0 with Tomlin being away dog. Not sure why Orioles are favored here.

team=Indians and SG>1 and p:L and AD

Indians 1-1 this season as away dog after losing first game as away favorite. Too small samples

I have this query that is 20-0 SU favoring Orioles but Gausman not great this season.

Orioles and HF and p:H and p:S3 = p:runs
and date >= 20120807

starter =Kevin Gausman and H only 3-3 at home this season.

[tallwhiterussian]

Play Indians + 121

starter =Josh Tomlin and AD and season=2016

Indians 5-0 with Tomlin being away dog. Not sure why Orioles are favored here.

team=Indians and SG>1 and p:L and AD

Indians 1-1 this season as away dog after losing first game as away favorite. Too small samples

I have this query that is 20-0 SU favoring Orioles but Gausman not great this season.

Orioles and HF and p:H and p:S3 = p:runs
and date >= 20120807

starter =Kevin Gausman and H only 3-3 at home this season.

Thank you for all your efforts i check in time to time and look at this crazy formulas and sometimes i cant even make out what the configurations mean.... it seems that each pick differs in the reasoning is there a pick that you feel stronger about because of the formula that is backing that pick? im not even sure if i understand what i just wrote hopefully you do.... I guess im asking out of the 4 picks today do you feel stronger about any of them then the others?

Thank you again....

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9 - 110 Angels vs Astros


H and tS(o:runs<5,N=3) = 3 and op:margin = -1 and total > 8 and season>2009

ROI 15% 220 game sample

[Alex Vaile]

Thank you for all your efforts i check in time to time and look at this crazy formulas and sometimes i cant even make out what the configurations mean.... it seems that each pick differs in the reasoning is there a pick that you feel stronger about because of the formula that is backing that pick? im not even sure if i understand what i just wrote hopefully you do.... I guess im asking out of the 4 picks today do you feel stronger about any of them then the others?

Thank you again....

Still adding but I like the Jays off a loss where they struck out a bunch. Also Fernandez only lost once at home so it's a little pricey but Marlins ML should be good. DeGrom been dealing as well but Jose seems to have good luck at home.

[Alex Vaile]

The stronger the ROI % usually the stronger the query. And it's always better when sample size of games is large.